🇨🇱 Primera División · Regular Season - 7 HT

A. Italiano vs Concepción - Primera División

A. Italiano
A. Italiano
W L W L L
3 - 0
LIVE
Concepción
Concepción
L L D W L
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida · Ref: Nicolas Millas, Chile

Match Preview

A crucial encounter in the Chilean Primera División sees 13th-placed Audax Italiano host bottom-of-the-table Deportes Concepción in Round 7. Both sides desperately need points; Audax Italiano aims to climb into the top half, while Concepción is fighting to escape the relegation zone and distance themselves from the foot of the table. A loss for either team will significantly compound their early-season struggles.

Audax Italiano's form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. However, they boast a solid home record, winning two of their three matches at the Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida. Their recent back-to-back draws, including one against Colo Colo, suggest some resilience. Conversely, Concepción is struggling mightily, with three losses and only one draw in their last five. While their away form mirrors their overall form, with one win and three losses, they are clearly lacking confidence and struggling to find the back of the net. Their recent draw against Nublense ended a losing streak, but provides little evidence of a true turnaround.

The recent head-to-head record favours Concepción slightly, with one win and one draw in the last two meetings, although this provides a small sample size. While no injury information is available, Audax Italiano’s stronger home form and slightly superior league position suggest they have a marginal edge. Despite the Elo-based win probability favoring the home side, and the draw probability being uncalculated, it is difficult to see Concepción breaking out of their slump on the road.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 50% 2.00 high
BTTS BTTS Yes 55% 1.83 high
CS 1-1 14% 7.71 medium
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HT/FT 1/1 19% 5.68 medium
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O/U Under 2.5 61% 1.73 high

Match Info

Stadium
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida
Referee
Nicolas Millas, Chile
Round
Regular Season - 7
A. Italiano Concepción
53.44% Win Probability 46.56%

Match Analysis

Combo Double chance : A. Italiano or draw and -3.5 goals

Predicted winner: A. Italiano — Win or draw

A. Italiano 45.00%
Draw 45.00%
Concepción 10.00%
Expected goals: -2.5 - -1.5

Head to Head

A. Italiano
Concepción
1
0
1 wins 1 draws 0 wins
2025-05-07
A. Italiano 2 - 1 Concepción
HT: 1-0
2025-04-06
Concepción 0 - 0 A. Italiano
HT: 0-0

Odds

Bet365
Home
2.00
Draw
3.40
Away
3.50
Home
2.75
Draw
2.10
Away
4.33
Home
2.40
Draw
2.38
Away
3.60
Over 1.5
1.33
Under 1.5
3.25
Over 2.5
2.08
Under 2.5
1.73
Over 3.5
3.75
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
8.00
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
34.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.83
No
1.83
Yes
5.00
No
1.17
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
3.45
Away -1.25
1.30
Home -1
3.00
Away -1
1.38
Home -0.75
2.35
Away -0.75
1.58
Home -0.5
2.02
Away -0.5
1.78
Home -0.25
1.75
Away -0.25
2.05
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.38
Away +0.25
3.00
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.20
Away +0.75
4.40
Home +1
1.10
Away +1
7.00
Home -1.75
5.00
Away -1.75
1.17
Home -1.5
3.80
Away -1.5
1.25
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
6.80
Home -1
6.60
Away -1
1.11
Home -0.75
3.55
Away -0.75
1.27
Home -0.5
2.68
Away -0.5
1.45
Home -0.25
2.10
Away -0.25
1.70
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.23
Away +0.5
4.00
Home +0.75
1.13
Away +0.75
5.90
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.80
Home/Draw
1.20
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
7.00
2:0
9.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
17.00
3:1
17.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
9.00
1:1
6.50
2:2
17.00
0:1
9.50
0:2
17.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
301.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
301.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
126.00
6:0
201.00
6:1
201.00
4:3
101.00
5:3
301.00
4:4
301.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
21.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
101.00
4:1
201.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
351.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
7.50
Draw/Draw
5.00
Home/Home
3.25
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.00
Home
1.50
Away
2.50
Home/Yes
4.50
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
7.50
Home/No
3.40
Draw/No
9.00
Away/No
6.00
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
9.50
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.20
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
9.00
1
4.33
2
3.50
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
12.00
6
26.00
more 7
34.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
7.50
4
19.00
more 5
34.00
Over 1.5
1.35
Under 1.5
3.10
Over 1.75
1.42
Under 1.75
2.75
Over 2.25
1.82
Under 2.25
1.98
Over 2.75
2.38
Under 2.75
1.55
Over 3.5
3.70
Under 3.5
1.26
Over 2
1.58
Under 2
2.35
Over 3
3.00
Under 3
1.38
Over 4
6.80
Under 4
1.10
Over 1.25
1.22
Under 1.25
4.15
Over 3.25
3.45
Under 3.25
1.30
Over 3.75
4.65
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.38
Over 1.75
3.90
Under 1.75
1.24
Over 1
2.00
Under 1
1.80
Over 2
6.80
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.45
Under 0.5
2.68
Over 0.75
1.62
Under 0.75
2.25
Over 1.25
2.50
Under 1.25
1.50
Home -1
4.00
Away -1
1.80
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
21.00
Draw -3
13.00
Away -3
1.06
Home -2
8.50
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.25
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
8.00
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
8.50
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
101.00
Draw -3
34.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
29.00
Draw -2
10.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.20
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
15.00
Over 9.5
1.91
Under 9.5
1.80
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.05
Under 4
2.60
Over 4.5
2.05
Under 4.5
1.75
Home +0
1.95
Away +0
1.85
Home +1
1.67
Draw +1
8.00
Away +1
2.50
Over 1.5
2.20
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
29.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
3.75
1
2.62
2
3.60
more 3
5.00
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.83
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
10.00
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.83
Home
3.40
Away
6.00
Home
6.50
Away
15.00
Home
1.57
Away
2.25
Home
10.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.73
Draw
9.00
Away
2.38
Home
1.73
Draw
9.00
Away
2.38
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.50
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
3.50
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.50
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
4.33
Away/Under 2.5
6.50
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
5.00
1 by 4+
21.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
13.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
9.00
Mario Sandoval Molina
6.00
Martin Jimenez
8.50
Norman Rodriguez
13.00
Yonatan Rodriguez
9.50
Ethan Espinoza
6.00
Matias Cavalleri
3.75
Ariel Caceres
9.50
Raimundo Rebolledo
8.50
Enzo Ferrario
9.50
Bryan Soto
8.00
Diego Carrasco
17.00
Mario Sandoval
8.50
Patricio Romero
3.75
Federico Mateos
5.50
Jorge Henriquez
4.75
Marcelo Ortiz
12.00
Carlos Escobar
4.00
Angel Gillard
5.50
Claudio Fernandez
11.00
Franco Troyansky
3.10
Giovani Chiaverano
4.00
Rodrigo Cabral
4.75
Fausto Grillo
13.00
Sebastian Martinez
8.50
Ignacio Fuenzalida
3.50
Diego Coelho
2.75
Leonardo Valencia
3.75
Nelson Sepulveda
6.00
Sebastian Silva
12.00
Paolo Guajardo
4.75
Cristobal Munoz
9.50
Esteban Matus
8.50
Nicolas Aedo
5.50
Nicolas Orellana
5.50
Marco Collao
7.00
Oliver Rojas
8.50
Daniel Pina
11.00
Diego Monreal
9.50
Favian Loyola
4.00
Brayan Vejar
13.00
Cristian Suarez
13.00
Misael Davila
4.75
Leenhan Romero
4.75
Michael Vadulli
4.75
Fabricio Manzo
8.50
Javier Rojas
11.00
Jonathan Espinola
11.00
Martin Valdes
6.00
Joaquin Larrivey
3.75
Mauricio Vera
8.50
Ignacio Mesias
3.10
Aldrix Jara
2.75
Martin Ramirez
9.50
Norman Rodriguez
13.00
Yonatan Rodriguez
9.50
Ethan Espinoza
6.00
Matias Cavalleri
3.75
Ariel Caceres
9.50
Diego Carrasco
17.00
Mario Sandoval
8.50
Patricio Romero
3.75
Jorge Henriquez
4.75
Carlos Escobar
4.00
Angel Gillard
5.50
Claudio Fernandez
11.00
Fausto Grillo
13.00
Sebastian Martinez
8.50
Leonardo Valencia
3.75
Nelson Sepulveda
6.00
Sebastian Silva
12.00
Brayan Vejar
13.00
Cristian Suarez
13.00
Misael Davila
4.75
Leenhan Romero
4.75
Fabricio Manzo
8.50
Javier Rojas
11.00
Jonathan Espinola
11.00
Joaquin Larrivey
3.75
Mauricio Vera
8.50
Ignacio Mesias
3.10
Aldrix Jara
2.75
Martin Ramirez
9.50
Norman Rodriguez
34.00
Yonatan Rodriguez
23.00
Ethan Espinoza
15.00
Matias Cavalleri
9.00
Ariel Caceres
23.00
Diego Carrasco
41.00
Mario Sandoval
21.00
Patricio Romero
8.50
Jorge Henriquez
11.00
Carlos Escobar
9.50
Angel Gillard
13.00
Claudio Fernandez
26.00
Fausto Grillo
34.00
Sebastian Martinez
21.00
Leonardo Valencia
8.50
Nelson Sepulveda
15.00
Sebastian Silva
29.00
Brayan Vejar
34.00
Cristian Suarez
34.00
Misael Davila
11.00
Leenhan Romero
11.00
Fabricio Manzo
21.00
Javier Rojas
26.00
Jonathan Espinola
26.00
Joaquin Larrivey
8.50
Mauricio Vera
21.00
Ignacio Mesias
7.00
Aldrix Jara
6.00
Martin Ramirez
23.00
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Norman Rodriguez
34.00
Yonatan Rodriguez
23.00
Ethan Espinoza
15.00
Matias Cavalleri
9.00
Ariel Caceres
23.00
Diego Carrasco
41.00
Mario Sandoval
21.00
Patricio Romero
8.50
Jorge Henriquez
11.00
Carlos Escobar
9.50
Angel Gillard
13.00
Claudio Fernandez
26.00
Fausto Grillo
34.00
Sebastian Martinez
21.00
Leonardo Valencia
8.50
Nelson Sepulveda
15.00
Sebastian Silva
29.00
Brayan Vejar
34.00
Cristian Suarez
34.00
Misael Davila
11.00
Leenhan Romero
11.00
Fabricio Manzo
21.00
Javier Rojas
26.00
Jonathan Espinola
26.00
Joaquin Larrivey
8.50
Mauricio Vera
21.00
Ignacio Mesias
7.00
Aldrix Jara
6.00
Martin Ramirez
23.00
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home
4.00
Away
4.00
Draw
1.62
Under 6
9.00
6 - 8
3.00
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.50
Over 14
11.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
7.50
Draw
1.14
Away
10.00
Mario Sandoval Molina
15.00
Martin Jimenez
21.00
Norman Rodriguez
34.00
Yonatan Rodriguez
23.00
Ethan Espinoza
15.00
No Goalscorer
9.00
Matias Cavalleri
9.00
Ariel Caceres
23.00
Raimundo Rebolledo
21.00
Enzo Ferrario
23.00
Bryan Soto
19.00
Diego Carrasco
41.00
Mario Sandoval
21.00
Patricio Romero
8.50
Federico Mateos
13.00
Jorge Henriquez
11.00
Marcelo Ortiz
29.00
Carlos Escobar
9.50
Angel Gillard
13.00
Claudio Fernandez
26.00
Franco Troyansky
7.00
Giovani Chiaverano
9.50
Rodrigo Cabral
11.00
Fausto Grillo
34.00
Sebastian Martinez
21.00
Ignacio Fuenzalida
8.00
Diego Coelho
6.00
Leonardo Valencia
8.50
Nelson Sepulveda
15.00
Sebastian Silva
29.00
Paolo Guajardo
11.00
Cristobal Munoz
23.00
Esteban Matus
21.00
Nicolas Aedo
13.00
Nicolas Orellana
13.00
Marco Collao
17.00
Oliver Rojas
21.00
Daniel Pina
26.00
Diego Monreal
23.00
Favian Loyola
9.50
Brayan Vejar
34.00
Cristian Suarez
34.00
Misael Davila
11.00
Leenhan Romero
11.00
Michael Vadulli
11.00
Fabricio Manzo
21.00
Javier Rojas
26.00
Jonathan Espinola
26.00
Martin Valdes
15.00
Joaquin Larrivey
8.50
Mauricio Vera
21.00
Ignacio Mesias
7.00
Aldrix Jara
6.00
Martin Ramirez
23.00
Mario Sandoval Molina
6.00
Martin Jimenez
8.50
Raimundo Rebolledo
8.50
Enzo Ferrario
9.50
Bryan Soto
8.00
Federico Mateos
5.50
Marcelo Ortiz
12.00
Franco Troyansky
3.10
Giovani Chiaverano
4.00
Rodrigo Cabral
4.75
Ignacio Fuenzalida
3.50
Diego Coelho
2.75
Paolo Guajardo
4.75
Cristobal Munoz
9.50
Esteban Matus
8.50
Nicolas Aedo
5.50
Nicolas Orellana
5.50
Marco Collao
7.00
Oliver Rojas
8.50
Daniel Pina
11.00
Diego Monreal
9.50
Favian Loyola
4.00
Michael Vadulli
4.75
Martin Valdes
6.00
Mario Sandoval Molina
15.00
Martin Jimenez
21.00
Raimundo Rebolledo
21.00
Enzo Ferrario
23.00
Bryan Soto
19.00
Federico Mateos
13.00
Marcelo Ortiz
29.00
Franco Troyansky
7.00
Giovani Chiaverano
9.50
Rodrigo Cabral
11.00
Ignacio Fuenzalida
8.00
Diego Coelho
6.00
Paolo Guajardo
11.00
Cristobal Munoz
23.00
Esteban Matus
21.00
Nicolas Aedo
13.00
Nicolas Orellana
13.00
Marco Collao
17.00
Oliver Rojas
21.00
Daniel Pina
26.00
Diego Monreal
23.00
Favian Loyola
9.50
Michael Vadulli
11.00
Martin Valdes
15.00
Draw
2.40
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Mario Sandoval Molina
15.00
Martin Jimenez
21.00
Raimundo Rebolledo
21.00
Enzo Ferrario
23.00
Bryan Soto
19.00
Federico Mateos
13.00
Marcelo Ortiz
29.00
Franco Troyansky
7.00
Giovani Chiaverano
9.50
Rodrigo Cabral
11.00
Ignacio Fuenzalida
8.00
Diego Coelho
6.00
Paolo Guajardo
11.00
Cristobal Munoz
23.00
Esteban Matus
21.00
Nicolas Aedo
13.00
Nicolas Orellana
13.00
Marco Collao
17.00
Oliver Rojas
21.00
Daniel Pina
26.00
Diego Monreal
23.00
Favian Loyola
9.50
Michael Vadulli
11.00
Martin Valdes
15.00
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Mario Sandoval Molina
15.00
Martin Jimenez
21.00
Norman Rodriguez
34.00
Yonatan Rodriguez
23.00
Ethan Espinoza
15.00
No Goalscorer
9.00
Matias Cavalleri
9.00
Ariel Caceres
23.00
Raimundo Rebolledo
21.00
Enzo Ferrario
23.00
Bryan Soto
19.00
Diego Carrasco
41.00
Mario Sandoval
21.00
Patricio Romero
8.50
Federico Mateos
13.00
Jorge Henriquez
11.00
Marcelo Ortiz
29.00
Carlos Escobar
9.50
Angel Gillard
13.00
Claudio Fernandez
26.00
Franco Troyansky
7.00
Giovani Chiaverano
9.50
Rodrigo Cabral
11.00
Fausto Grillo
34.00
Sebastian Martinez
21.00
Ignacio Fuenzalida
8.00
Diego Coelho
6.00
Leonardo Valencia
8.50
Nelson Sepulveda
15.00
Sebastian Silva
29.00
Paolo Guajardo
11.00
Cristobal Munoz
23.00
Esteban Matus
21.00
Nicolas Aedo
13.00
Nicolas Orellana
13.00
Marco Collao
17.00
Oliver Rojas
21.00
Daniel Pina
26.00
Diego Monreal
23.00
Favian Loyola
9.50
Brayan Vejar
34.00
Cristian Suarez
34.00
Misael Davila
11.00
Leenhan Romero
11.00
Michael Vadulli
11.00
Fabricio Manzo
21.00
Javier Rojas
26.00
Jonathan Espinola
26.00
Martin Valdes
15.00
Joaquin Larrivey
8.50
Mauricio Vera
21.00
Ignacio Mesias
7.00
Aldrix Jara
6.00
Martin Ramirez
23.00
Over 19.5
1.80
Under 19.5
1.91
Yes
13.00
No
1.04
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Over 1.5
6.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
19.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.07
Under 5
17.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.53
Under 8
3.40
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
1.91
Under 9
2.38
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.50
Under 10
1.80
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.50
Under 11
1.50
Exactly 7
8.50
Over 7
1.30
Under 7
5.00
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.00
Under 12
1.28
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.17
Under 6
9.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
7.00
Under 13
1.17
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
11.00
Under 14
1.10
Exactly 16
26.00
Over 16
21.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
15.00
Under 15
1.05

Primera División Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
Colo Colo
6 4 0 2 6:4 +2 12
W L W W W
2.
Deportes Limache
6 3 2 1 11:6 +5 11
L W D W D
3.
Nublense
6 3 2 1 7:4 +3 11
W L W W D
4.
U. Catolica
6 3 1 2 11:8 +3 10
L W W L W
5.
Coquimbo Unido
6 3 0 3 8:7 +1 9
W L L W W
6.
Union La Calera
6 3 0 3 7:6 +1 9
L W L L W
7.
Huachipato
6 3 0 3 8:9 -1 9
L L W W W
8.
O'Higgins
6 3 0 3 7:8 -1 9
W L L L W
9.
D. La Serena
6 2 2 2 7:5 +2 8
W W D L L
10.
Palestino
6 2 2 2 11:10 +1 8
W W L D L
11.
Universidad de Concepcion
6 2 2 2 5:9 -4 8
D L D W L
12.
Universidad de Chile
6 1 4 1 5:5 0 7
D W D D L
13.
A. Italiano
6 2 1 3 4:5 -1 7
L L W L W
14.
Cobresal
6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L L D W L
15.
Everton de Vina
6 2 0 4 4:7 -3 6
W W L L L
16.
Concepción
6 1 1 4 4:9 -5 4
L W D L L
Promotion
Relegation

Season Form

A. Italiano
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 4 GA: 5 GD: -1
Concepción
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 4 GA: 9 GD: -5

Last 5 Matches

A. Italiano
07 Mar H Colo Colo 0-1 L
04 Mar A Cobresal 1-1 D
Concepción
06 Mar H Nublense 0-2 L

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