🇨🇾 1. Division
· Regular Season - 26
FT
AEL vs Omonia Aradippou - 1. Division
Alphamega Stadium
·
Ref: Kyriakos Athanasiou, Cyprus
AEL
3
·
Omo
3
AI Match Analysis
A mid-table clash in the Cypriot 1. Division sees AEL host Omonia Aradippou in the 26th round of the regular season. With just two points separating the sides, both are vying for bragging rights and a slightly more comfortable position in the standings. AEL currently sits in 7th with 33 points, closely followed by Omonia Aradippou in 8th with 31. While neither team is in relegation danger, a win provides momentum heading into the final stages of the season.
AEL’s form is patchy (WLLWL), although their recent draw against Apollon Limassol may provide a confidence boost. They have a middling home record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses at the Alphamega Stadium. Omonia Aradippou, conversely, have shown signs of improvement recently (LWDWW), despite their own recent draw against Omonia Nicosia. Their away form is also reasonable, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Omonia Aradippou are definitely trending upwards, whereas AEL's form is harder to predict.
Historically, AEL holds the advantage in head-to-head matchups, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters against Omonia Aradippou. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors AEL at 70.72%, suggesting the model believes home advantage will be a significant factor. While Omonia Aradippou are in better form, overcoming AEL on their home turf will be a tough ask. All considered, AEL are expected to take the spoils in a tight affair.
AEL’s form is patchy (WLLWL), although their recent draw against Apollon Limassol may provide a confidence boost. They have a middling home record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses at the Alphamega Stadium. Omonia Aradippou, conversely, have shown signs of improvement recently (LWDWW), despite their own recent draw against Omonia Nicosia. Their away form is also reasonable, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Omonia Aradippou are definitely trending upwards, whereas AEL's form is harder to predict.
Historically, AEL holds the advantage in head-to-head matchups, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters against Omonia Aradippou. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors AEL at 70.72%, suggesting the model believes home advantage will be a significant factor. While Omonia Aradippou are in better form, overcoming AEL on their home turf will be a tough ask. All considered, AEL are expected to take the spoils in a tight affair.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
50%
2.00
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
38%
1.83
low
O/U
Over 2.5
43%
2.05
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Alphamega Stadium
Referee
Kyriakos Athanasiou, Cyprus
Round
Regular Season - 26
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
58.08%
Win Probability
41.92%
Match Analysis
Double chance : AEL or draw
Predicted winner: AEL — Win or draw
AEL
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Omonia Aradippou
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Match Events
17'
🔄
P. Polykarpou
(J. Mouaddib)
Substitution 1
23'
⚽
G. Pontikos
31'
🟦
J. Mouaddib
Yellow Card
45+1'
🟦
L. Singh
Yellow Card
63'
🔄
D. Zdravkovski
(V. Papafotis)
Substitution 1
63'
🔄
L. Singh
(A. Makris)
Substitution 2
66'
🟦
S. Georgiou
Yellow Card
68'
🟦
I. Milosavljevic
Yellow Card
69'
🟦
J. Szoke
Yellow Card
71'
🟦
R. Edwards
Yellow Card
72'
🔄
L. Cano
(S. Ring)
Substitution 2
72'
🔄
J. Assehnoun
(N. Havelka)
Substitution 3
79'
🔄
T. Maseko
(D. Paroutis)
Substitution 3
82'
🔄
Leo Natel
(F. Forestieri)
Substitution 4
83'
🔄
G. Pontikos
(C. Kallis)
Substitution 4
83'
🔄
R. Edwards
(Jorginho)
Substitution 5
85'
⚽
F. Forestieri
88'
⚽
S. Georgiou
Lineups
AEL
3-4-3
4-2-3-1
Omonia Aradippou
Hugo Martins
Coach
Marinos Satsias
3-4-3
11
Singh
23
Natel
40
Maseko
35
Conceição
27
Sawo
37
Szőke
19
Milosavlj.
2
Frantzis
6
Zdravkovs.
15
Stevanović
13
Ochoa
4-2-3-1
9
Pontikos
70
Georgiou
35
Polikarpou
78
Assehnoun
6
Edwards
14
Mullem
22
Antoniou
5
Thelander
34
Danny
24
Cano
12
Kostić
Starting XI
13
Guillermo Ochoa
G
G
Ivan Kostić
12
2
Christoforos Frantzis
D
D
Minas Antoniou
22
6
Davor Zdravkovski
M
D
Rasmus Thelander
5
15
Dušan Stevanović
D
D
Danny
34
35
Sérgio Conceição
M
D
Lautaro Cano
24
27
Zakaria Sawo
F
M
Ryan Edwards
6
37
Július Szőke
M
D
Jeremy van Mullem
14
19
Ivan Milosavljević
M
F
Stavros Georgiou
70
11
Luther Singh
M
M
Paris Polikarpou
35
23
Léo Natel
F
M
Jasin Assehnoun
78
40
Thapelo Maseko
M
M
Giorgos Pontikos
9
Substitutes
8
Vasilios Papafotis
Jaly Mouaddib
10
33
Andreas Makris
Sebastian Ring
3
29
Danil Paroutis
Niko Havelka
8
45
Fernando Forestieri
Christos Kallis
4
98
Panagiotis Kyriakou
Jorginho
7
99
Andreas Keravnos
Gavriel Sakka
99
24
Emmanuel Imanishimwe
Antoine Ortega
28
22
Kypros Neofytou
Konstantinos Panteli
91
25
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis
Efthymios Efthymiou
17
90
Panagiotis Panagi
Konstantinos Evripidou
44
14
Simonas Christofi
Sebastián Lomónaco
31
63
François Régis Mughe
Head to Head
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
4
0
4 wins
1 draws
0 wins
2025-12-07
Omonia Aradippou
1 - 3
AEL
HT: 1-2
2025-03-15
Omonia Aradippou
1 - 2
AEL
HT: 1-0
2024-12-22
Omonia Aradippou
2 - 2
AEL
HT: 2-0
2024-08-31
AEL
1 - 0
Omonia Aradippou
HT: 0-0
2018-12-05
Omonia Aradippou
0 - 3
AEL
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.00
Draw
3.30
Away
3.75
Home
2.60
Draw
2.10
Away
4.00
Home
2.30
Draw
2.40
Away
3.75
Over 1.5
1.33
Under 1.5
3.25
Over 2.5
2.05
Under 2.5
1.75
Over 3.5
3.50
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
7.50
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.83
No
1.83
Yes
5.00
No
1.17
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
3.45
Away -1.25
1.30
Home -1
3.00
Away -1
1.38
Home -0.75
2.35
Away -0.75
1.58
Home -0.5
2.00
Away -0.5
1.80
Home -0.25
1.75
Away -0.25
2.05
Home +0
1.45
Away +0
2.68
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.27
Away +0.5
3.55
Home +0.75
1.18
Away +0.75
4.65
Home -2
7.00
Away -2
1.10
Home -1.75
4.80
Away -1.75
1.18
Home -1.5
3.70
Away -1.5
1.26
Home -1
6.25
Away -1
1.12
Home -0.75
3.45
Away -0.75
1.30
Home -0.5
2.60
Away -0.5
1.48
Home -0.25
2.10
Away -0.25
1.70
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.23
Away +0.5
4.10
Home +0.75
1.13
Away +0.75
5.90
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.73
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.50
1:0
7.00
2:0
9.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
17.00
3:1
17.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
34.00
4:1
34.00
0:0
8.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
15.00
0:1
11.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
51.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
67.00
5:1
67.00
5:2
101.00
6:0
151.00
6:1
151.00
4:3
101.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
21.00
3:0
34.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
101.00
0:0
2.75
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
8.00
Draw/Draw
5.00
Home/Home
3.10
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.00
Home
1.44
Away
2.62
Home/Yes
4.50
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
8.00
Home/No
3.40
Draw/No
8.50
Away/No
6.50
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
9.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.20
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.50
1
4.50
2
3.50
3
4.33
4
6.00
5
12.00
6
23.00
more 7
17.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
29.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.50
1
2.75
2
3.75
3
7.50
4
19.00
more 5
34.00
Over 1.5
1.32
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 1.75
1.42
Under 1.75
2.75
Over 2.25
1.80
Under 2.25
2.00
Over 2.5
2.05
Under 2.5
1.75
Over 2.75
2.35
Under 2.75
1.58
Over 3.5
3.55
Under 3.5
1.27
Over 2
1.55
Under 2
2.38
Over 3
2.85
Under 3
1.40
Over 4
6.40
Under 4
1.12
Over 1.25
1.21
Under 1.25
4.25
Over 3.25
3.30
Under 3.25
1.32
Over 3.75
4.40
Under 3.75
1.20
Over 4.25
6.80
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.38
Over 1.75
3.90
Under 1.75
1.24
Over 1
2.00
Under 1
1.80
Over 2
6.60
Under 2
1.11
Over 0.5
1.42
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 0.75
1.60
Under 0.75
2.30
Over 1.25
2.42
Under 1.25
1.52
Home -1
3.60
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
19.00
Draw -3
12.00
Away -3
1.07
Home -2
7.50
Draw -2
5.50
Away -2
1.25
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
8.00
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
8.00
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
81.00
Draw -3
34.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
29.00
Draw -2
10.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
15.00
Over 9.5
1.83
Under 9.5
1.83
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.95
Under 4
2.62
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
8.50
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 4.5
15.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
3.75
1
2.75
2
3.60
more 3
4.50
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
more 3
8.00
Home
3.40
Away
6.50
Home
6.50
Away
15.00
Home
1.57
Away
2.25
Home
10.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.73
Draw
8.50
Away
2.40
Home
1.73
Draw
8.50
Away
2.40
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.40
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
3.40
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.50
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
7.50
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
19.00
1 by 2
5.50
2 by 2
12.00
1 by 3
12.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.10
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
10.00
Draw
2.50
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.40
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Over 1.5
6.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.75
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.50
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.83
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.38
Under 10
1.83
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.25
Under 11
1.53
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.28
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
4.50
Under 12
1.33
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
6.50
Under 13
1.18
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
10.00
Under 14
1.11
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
19.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.06
1. Division Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Omonia Nicosia
|
26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | +46 | 61 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 2. |
AEK Larnaca
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | +27 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3. |
Apollon Limassol
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | +14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 4. |
Pafos
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | +29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 5. |
Apoel Nicosia
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | +18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 6. |
Aris
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | +22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 7. |
Omonia Aradippou
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 8. |
AEL
|
26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
Anorthosis
|
26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 10. |
Krasava Ypsonas
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 11. |
Olympiakos
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 12. |
Akritas
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 13. |
Ethnikos Achna
|
26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 14. |
Enosis
|
26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
AEL
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
GF: 30
GA: 36
GD: -6
Omonia Aradippou
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 21
GA: 30
GD: -9
Last 5 Matches
AEL
08 Mar
A
Apollon Limassol
1-2
L
Omonia Aradippou
07 Mar
H
Omonia Nicosia
0-2
L