🇨🇾 1. Division
· Regular Season - 26
FT
Akritas vs Pafos - 1. Division
Stelios Kyriakidis
·
Ref: Menelaos Antoniou, Cyprus
Akr
2
·
Paf
1
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Cypriot 1. Division sees fourth-placed Pafos travel to the Stelios Kyriakides Stadium to face Akritas, currently sitting 11th. With Pafos aiming to consolidate their European qualification spot and Akritas battling to distance themselves from the relegation zone, this Round 26 encounter carries significant weight for both sides. Pafos desperately needs a win after recent slip-ups, while Akritas seeks to capitalize on any home advantage they can muster.
Recent form paints a contrasting picture. Akritas has been inconsistent, alternating wins, losses, and a couple of draws in their last five outings. Their home form shows a struggle with only 3 wins in 12 matches. Meanwhile, Pafos, despite boasting a strong overall record, has stumbled recently with two consecutive draws, although their away form is impressive, securing victory in half of their away games this season. The recent draws against Krasava Ypsonas for both teams suggest a potential vulnerability.
Historically, Pafos has dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-head encounters. The Elo model gives Pafos a commanding 64% win probability, reflecting their superior league position and overall strength. While no specific injury news is available, Pafos's need for a win and their historical dominance suggest they will likely come away with three points, but Akritas's fight for survival could make it a tighter contest than the odds suggest.
Recent form paints a contrasting picture. Akritas has been inconsistent, alternating wins, losses, and a couple of draws in their last five outings. Their home form shows a struggle with only 3 wins in 12 matches. Meanwhile, Pafos, despite boasting a strong overall record, has stumbled recently with two consecutive draws, although their away form is impressive, securing victory in half of their away games this season. The recent draws against Krasava Ypsonas for both teams suggest a potential vulnerability.
Historically, Pafos has dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-head encounters. The Elo model gives Pafos a commanding 64% win probability, reflecting their superior league position and overall strength. While no specific injury news is available, Pafos's need for a win and their historical dominance suggest they will likely come away with three points, but Akritas's fight for survival could make it a tighter contest than the odds suggest.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
72%
1.22
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
34%
2.25
low
O/U
Over 2.5
62%
1.60
high
Match Info
Stadium
Stelios Kyriakidis
Referee
Menelaos Antoniou, Cyprus
Round
Regular Season - 26
Akritas
Pafos
27%
Win Probability
73%
Match Analysis
Winner : Pafos
Predicted winner: Pafos
Akritas
0.00%
Draw
50.00%
Pafos
50.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -3.5
Match Events
4'
🟦
A. Fernandez
Yellow Card
14'
🟦
I. Sunjic
Yellow Card
19'
⚽
J. Correia
44'
🟦
S. Miller
Yellow Card
47'
⚽
I. Sunjic
55'
🔄
Anderson Silva
(Lele)
Substitution 1
55'
🔄
J. Correia
(Jaja)
Substitution 2
60'
🔄
J. Romo
(Benito)
Substitution 1
60'
🔄
A. Limbombe
(Y. Castro)
Substitution 2
69'
🔄
I. Sunjic
(M. Orsic)
Substitution 3
69'
🔄
K. Sema
(D. Quina)
Substitution 4
76'
🔄
T. Ioannou
(E. Vignato)
Substitution 3
76'
🔄
B. M. Manu
(T. Barry)
Substitution 4
78'
⚽
David Luiz
80'
🔄
Pepe
(Dani Silva)
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
Jaja
Lineups
Akritas
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
Pafos
Alexandros Garpozis
Coach
Albert Celades
4-2-3-1
9
Romo
77
Limbombe
14
Fernández
37
Manu
29
Zinonos
30
Vasiliou
82
Anang
28
Zabelin
4
Miller
19
Ioannou
1
Perntreou
4-2-3-1
33
Silva
77
Correia
26
Šunjić
12
Sema
30
Dragomir
88
Pêpê
7
Bruno
23
Luckassen
4
Luiz
14
Ioannou
93
Michael
Starting XI
1
Kleton Perntreou
G
G
Neofytos Michael
93
82
Benson Anang
D
D
Bruno
7
28
Pavel Zabelin
D
D
Derrick Luckassen
23
4
Stefanos Miller
D
D
David Luiz
4
19
Thomas Ioannou
D
M
Nicholas Ioannou
14
29
Nearchos Zinonos
D
M
Vlad Dragomir
30
30
Giorgos Vasiliou
D
M
Pêpê
88
77
Anthony Limbombe
M
M
João Correia
77
14
Alberto Fernández
M
M
Ivan Šunjić
26
37
Braydon Manu
F
M
Ken Sema
12
9
José Romo
F
F
Anderson Silva
33
Substitutes
17
Yair Castro
Jajá
11
22
Benito
Lelê
18
7
Thierno Barry
Domingos Quina
8
25
Emanuel Vignato
Mislav Oršić
17
88
Andreas Theokli
Dani Silva
80
99
Yigal Becker
Athanasios Papadoudis
99
16
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony
Axel Guessand
19
11
Andreas Athanasiou
Kostas Pileas
2
23
Emanuel Taffertshofer
Ognjen Mimović
21
24
Nikita Dubov
Alexandre Brito
50
80
Carlitos
Wilmer Odefalk
20
26
Ioannis Chatzivasilis
Mons Bassouamina
9
Head to Head
Akritas
Pafos
0
5
0 wins
0 draws
5 wins
2026-01-07
Pafos
2 - 1
Akritas
HT: 1-0
2025-12-05
Pafos
4 - 0
Akritas
HT: 2-0
2023-01-17
Pafos
3 - 1
Akritas
HT: 1-0
2022-12-23
Pafos
5 - 2
Akritas
HT: 2-2
2022-09-10
Akritas
0 - 4
Pafos
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
13.00
Draw
5.75
Away
1.22
Home
9.50
Draw
2.62
Away
1.62
Home
9.00
Draw
3.10
Away
1.50
Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.50
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
4.33
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 7.5
17.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
7.50
Under 5.5
1.07
Over 6.5
10.50
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Over 1.5
1.80
Under 1.5
1.91
Over 2.5
3.50
Under 2.5
1.28
Over 3.5
9.00
Under 3.5
1.07
Over 0.5
1.18
Under 0.5
4.50
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
2.25
No
1.57
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home +0.25
5.50
Away +0.25
1.15
Home +0.5
3.90
Away +0.5
1.24
Home +0.75
3.55
Away +0.75
1.27
Home +1
3.10
Away +1
1.35
Home +2
1.70
Away +2
2.10
Home +3
1.23
Away +3
4.00
Home +1.25
2.50
Away +1.25
1.50
Home +1.5
2.15
Away +1.5
1.68
Home +1.75
1.95
Away +1.75
1.85
Home +2.25
1.55
Away +2.25
2.38
Home +2.5
1.45
Away +2.5
2.68
Home +2.75
1.35
Away +2.75
3.10
Home +3.5
1.18
Away +3.5
4.80
Home +3.25
1.20
Away +3.25
4.40
Home +3.75
1.12
Away +3.75
6.00
Home +0
6.60
Away +0
1.11
Home +0.25
3.00
Away +0.25
1.38
Home +0.5
2.25
Away +0.5
1.62
Home +0.75
1.90
Away +0.75
1.90
Home +1
1.55
Away +1
2.38
Home +1.25
1.40
Away +1.25
2.85
Home +1.5
1.30
Away +1.5
3.45
Home +1.75
1.20
Away +1.75
4.40
Home/Draw
4.00
Home/Away
1.12
Draw/Away
1.01
Home/Draw
2.20
Home/Away
1.44
Draw/Away
1.04
1:0
26.00
2:0
51.00
2:1
34.00
3:0
151.00
3:1
81.00
3:2
67.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
11.00
2:2
26.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
6.00
0:3
7.00
1:2
10.00
1:3
12.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
81.00
0:4
11.00
1:4
19.00
2:4
41.00
0:5
19.00
0:6
34.00
1:5
29.00
1:6
51.00
2:5
67.00
2:6
126.00
3:4
126.00
0:7
67.00
0:8
126.00
1:7
101.00
1:0
12.00
2:0
51.00
2:1
51.00
0:0
3.50
1:1
11.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
3.20
0:2
5.50
0:3
13.00
1:2
19.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
151.00
0:4
34.00
1:4
81.00
0:5
81.00
Home/Draw
23.00
Home/Away
21.00
Draw/Away
3.75
Draw/Draw
8.50
Home/Home
21.00
Draw/Home
21.00
Away/Home
51.00
Away/Draw
23.00
Away/Away
1.67
Home
8.00
Away
1.06
Home/Yes
21.00
Draw/Yes
7.50
Away/Yes
3.25
Home/No
19.00
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
1.83
o/yes 2.5
2.62
o/no 2.5
3.40
u/yes 2.5
11.00
u/no 2.5
2.75
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
13.00
1
6.50
2
4.00
3
4.00
4
5.00
5
8.00
6
15.00
more 7
10.50
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
7.50
4
19.00
more 5
17.00
0
4.50
1
3.00
2
3.40
3
6.00
4
12.00
more 5
21.00
Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.65
Over 1.75
1.22
Under 1.75
4.15
Over 2.25
1.42
Under 2.25
2.75
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 2.75
1.72
Under 2.75
2.08
Over 3.5
2.42
Under 3.5
1.52
Over 2
1.26
Under 2
3.70
Over 3
1.98
Under 3
1.82
Over 4
3.55
Under 4
1.27
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
6.60
Over 4.5
4.25
Under 4.5
1.21
Over 3.25
2.20
Under 3.25
1.65
Over 3.75
2.85
Under 3.75
1.40
Over 4.25
3.90
Under 4.25
1.24
Over 4.75
5.50
Under 4.75
1.15
Over 1.5
2.30
Under 1.5
1.60
Over 1.75
2.85
Under 1.75
1.40
Over 2.25
4.50
Under 2.25
1.19
Over 2.5
5.25
Under 2.5
1.16
Over 2.75
7.00
Under 2.75
1.10
Over 1
1.55
Under 1
2.38
Over 2
4.00
Under 2
1.23
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.45
Over 0.75
1.38
Under 0.75
3.00
Over 1.25
1.98
Under 1.25
1.82
Home -1
29.00
Away -1
1.01
Draw -1
15.00
Home +1
4.00
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
1.67
Home +2
2.10
Draw +2
4.00
Away +2
2.60
Home +3
1.44
Draw +3
5.00
Away +3
4.50
Home +4
1.14
Draw +4
7.50
Away +4
9.00
Home -1
41.00
Away -1
1.04
Draw -1
10.00
Home +1
2.20
Draw +1
2.75
Away +1
3.40
Home +2
1.28
Draw +2
4.75
Away +2
8.50
Home +3
1.06
Draw +3
12.00
Away +3
23.00
Over 8.5
1.83
Under 8.5
1.83
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.25
Under 4
2.30
Over 1.5
6.50
Under 1.5
1.10
Over 2.5
15.00
Under 2.5
1.01
Over 0.5
2.10
Under 0.5
1.67
0
1.67
1
2.75
2
8.00
more 3
15.00
Over 1.5
1.33
Under 1.5
3.25
Over 2.5
2.00
Under 2.5
1.73
Over 3.5
3.75
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
6.50
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.00
0
8.00
1
4.33
2
3.50
more 3
2.00
Home
19.00
Away
1.83
Home
51.00
Away
2.50
Home
5.50
Away
1.14
Home
34.00
Away
8.00
Home
4.00
Draw
13.00
Away
1.25
Home
4.00
Draw
13.00
Away
1.25
Draw
3.75
1st Half
2.88
2nd Half
2.05
Home
13.00
Away
1.83
Home/Over 2.5
21.00
Draw/Over 2.5
21.00
Away/Over 2.5
1.80
Home/Under 2.5
21.00
Draw/Under 2.5
6.50
Away/Under 2.5
3.50
1 by 1
15.00
2 by 1
4.00
1 by 4+
351.00
1 by 2
41.00
2 by 2
4.00
1 by 3
101.00
2 by 3
5.00
2 by 4+
4.50
Score Draw
8.00
Draw
13.00
Draw
3.40
1st Half
2.88
2nd Half
2.10
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Yes
1.67
No
2.10
Yes
8.00
No
1.06
Under 6
6.00
6 - 8
2.60
9 - 11
2.88
12 - 14
6.00
Over 14
15.00
Draw
1.53
1st Half
5.00
2nd Half
3.75
Odd
2.62
Even
1.44
Draw/Over 1.5
10.00
Away/Over 1.5
3.00
Home/Over 1.5
34.00
Home/Under 1.5
12.00
Draw/Under 1.5
3.50
Away/Under 1.5
3.20
Exactly 4
15.00
Over 4
1.05
Under 4
21.00
Exactly 5
11.00
Over 5
1.12
Under 5
11.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.83
Under 8
2.50
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.50
Under 9
1.83
Exactly 10
9.00
Over 10
3.40
Under 10
1.50
Exactly 11
11.00
Over 11
5.00
Under 11
1.30
Exactly 7
7.50
Over 7
1.50
Under 7
3.50
Exactly 12
13.00
Over 12
7.00
Under 12
1.17
Exactly 6
8.50
Over 6
1.28
Under 6
6.00
Exactly 13
17.00
Over 13
11.00
Under 13
1.10
Exactly 14
21.00
Over 14
15.00
Under 14
1.05
Exactly 15
26.00
Over 15
21.00
Under 15
1.02
1. Division Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Omonia Nicosia
|
25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 58:17 | +41 | 58 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Apollon Limassol
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | +14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Pafos
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | +29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 4. |
AEK Larnaca
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 47:22 | +25 | 50 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 5. |
Apoel Nicosia
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | +18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 6. |
Aris
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | +22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 7. |
Omonia Aradippou
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 8. |
AEL
|
26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
Anorthosis
|
26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 10. |
Olympiakos
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 28 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 11. |
Akritas
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12. |
Krasava Ypsonas
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 13. |
Ethnikos Achna
|
25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 14. |
Enosis
|
25 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 5:63 | -58 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Akritas
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 23
GA: 44
GD: -21
Pafos
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 49
GA: 24
GD: +25
Last 5 Matches
Akritas
06 Mar
A
AEK Larnaca
0-3
L
01 Mar
H
Krasava Ypsonas
1-3
L
Pafos
07 Mar
H
Krasava Ypsonas
7-0
W
01 Mar
A
Aris
2-2
D