🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura
· Regular Season - 6
FT
Albion FC vs Penarol - Primera División - Apertura
Estadio Luis Franzini
AI Match Analysis
A mid-table clash in the Uruguayan Primera División Apertura sees Albion FC host Penarol in Round 6. Penarol, currently fifth with 10 points, will be looking to climb into the top four, while Albion, sitting 11th with just 5 points, desperately needs a win to distance themselves from the bottom of the table.
Albion's form is patchy, reflected in their recent LWDL sequence. While they managed a draw in their last outing against Progreso, their home record is concerning, with only one win in three games. Penarol, despite a more encouraging WLWW form, has also drawn their last two matches, both stalemates against Danubio and Club Nacional. Their away form is decent with one win and one loss, indicating they are capable of picking up points on the road.
Head-to-head records suggest a tight affair, with each side recording one win and one draw in their last three meetings. No clear injury information is available, so both teams should be at relatively full strength. Despite Albion's slightly higher win probability according to Elo ratings, Penarol's superior league position and recent form make them slight favorites to secure at least a point at the Estadio Luis Franzini.
Albion's form is patchy, reflected in their recent LWDL sequence. While they managed a draw in their last outing against Progreso, their home record is concerning, with only one win in three games. Penarol, despite a more encouraging WLWW form, has also drawn their last two matches, both stalemates against Danubio and Club Nacional. Their away form is decent with one win and one loss, indicating they are capable of picking up points on the road.
Head-to-head records suggest a tight affair, with each side recording one win and one draw in their last three meetings. No clear injury information is available, so both teams should be at relatively full strength. Despite Albion's slightly higher win probability according to Elo ratings, Penarol's superior league position and recent form make them slight favorites to secure at least a point at the Estadio Luis Franzini.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
55%
1.62
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
54%
1.57
medium
O/U
Under 2.5
57%
1.60
high
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio Luis Franzini
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 6
Albion FC
Penarol
57.69%
Win Probability
42.31%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Penarol
Predicted winner: Penarol — Win or draw
Albion FC
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Penarol
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
Albion FC
Penarol
0
2
0 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2022-08-13
Penarol
2 - 0
Albion FC
HT: 0-0
2022-07-23
Albion FC
1 - 3
Penarol
HT: 0-1
2022-02-19
Albion FC
1 - 1
Penarol
HT: 1-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
4.75
Draw
3.50
Away
1.62
Home
6.00
Draw
2.10
Away
2.30
Home
5.00
Draw
2.30
Away
2.05
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.75
Over 2.5
2.30
Under 2.5
1.60
Over 3.5
4.33
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
10.00
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
21.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
51.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.25
No
1.57
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Home -0.75
6.80
Away -0.75
1.10
Home -0.5
4.80
Away -0.5
1.18
Home -0.25
4.25
Away -0.25
1.21
Home +0
3.70
Away +0
1.26
Home +0.25
2.68
Away +0.25
1.45
Home +0.5
2.20
Away +0.5
1.65
Home +0.75
1.95
Away +0.75
1.85
Home +1
1.65
Away +1
2.20
Home +2
1.15
Away +2
5.50
Home +1.25
1.48
Away +1.25
2.60
Home +1.5
1.38
Away +1.5
3.00
Home +1.75
1.27
Away +1.75
3.55
Home +2.25
1.13
Away +2.25
5.90
Home +2.5
1.12
Away +2.5
6.40
Home -0.5
5.75
Away -0.5
1.14
Home -0.25
4.40
Away -0.25
1.20
Home +0
3.10
Away +0
1.35
Home +0.25
2.00
Away +0.25
1.80
Home +0.5
1.52
Away +0.5
2.42
Home +0.75
1.32
Away +0.75
3.30
Home +1
1.14
Away +1
5.75
Home +1.25
1.11
Away +1.25
6.60
Home/Draw
2.00
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.17
Home/Draw
1.57
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.11
1:0
11.00
2:0
26.00
2:1
17.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
51.00
4:0
201.00
4:1
151.00
0:0
8.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
23.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
6.50
0:3
12.00
1:2
9.00
1:3
17.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
81.00
0:4
26.00
1:4
34.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
151.00
0:5
51.00
0:6
126.00
1:5
67.00
1:6
151.00
2:5
126.00
3:4
151.00
4:3
301.00
1:0
7.00
2:0
34.00
2:1
41.00
3:0
126.00
3:1
151.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
9.50
2:2
67.00
0:1
3.40
0:2
8.50
0:3
29.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
201.00
0:5
351.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
26.00
Draw/Away
4.33
Draw/Draw
5.00
Home/Home
9.50
Draw/Home
10.00
Away/Home
41.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
2.62
Home
3.75
Away
1.25
Home/Yes
12.00
Draw/Yes
6.00
Away/Yes
4.50
Home/No
8.00
Draw/No
8.00
Away/No
2.38
o/yes 2.5
3.00
o/no 2.5
7.50
u/yes 2.5
7.50
u/no 2.5
1.91
Odd
1.92
Even
1.92
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.00
1
3.60
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
8.00
5
17.00
6
41.00
more 7
51.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
41.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.25
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.42
Under 1.5
2.75
Over 1.75
1.55
Under 1.75
2.38
Over 2.25
2.02
Under 2.25
1.78
Over 2.5
2.30
Under 2.5
1.60
Over 2.75
2.68
Under 2.75
1.45
Over 3.5
4.25
Under 3.5
1.21
Over 2
1.72
Under 2
2.08
Over 3
3.55
Under 3
1.27
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 1.25
1.27
Under 1.25
3.55
Over 3.25
3.90
Under 3.25
1.24
Over 3.75
5.75
Under 3.75
1.14
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.40
Under 1.75
1.20
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 0.75
1.70
Under 0.75
2.10
Over 1.25
2.75
Under 1.25
1.42
Home -1
13.00
Away -1
1.17
Draw -1
6.00
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
17.00
Away -2
1.03
Home +1
2.10
Draw +1
3.40
Away +1
3.00
Home +2
1.33
Draw +2
5.00
Away +2
7.50
Home +3
1.08
Draw +3
11.00
Away +3
19.00
Home -1
23.00
Away -1
1.11
Draw -1
6.00
Home +1
1.57
Draw +1
3.10
Away +1
6.50
Home +2
1.09
Draw +2
8.50
Away +2
23.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
26.00
Away +3
67.00
Over 8.5
1.73
Under 8.5
2.00
Over 9
1.98
Under 9
1.82
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.82
Under 4
1.98
Home +1.5
1.95
Away +1.5
1.85
Home +2
1.83
Draw +2
7.50
Away +2
2.25
Over 1.5
5.00
Under 1.5
1.17
Over 2.5
19.00
Under 2.5
1.02
Over 3.5
51.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.80
Under 0.5
1.91
0
1.91
1
2.50
2
6.50
more 3
19.00
Over 3.5
1.91
Under 3.5
1.80
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.00
Under 2.5
1.22
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
4.33
1
2.75
2
3.50
more 3
4.00
Over 5.5
2.10
Under 5.5
1.67
Home
8.00
Away
2.38
Home
26.00
Away
5.00
Home
3.25
Away
1.40
Home
21.00
Away
10.00
Home
3.00
Draw
8.00
Away
1.53
Home
3.00
Draw
8.00
Away
1.53
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
9.00
Away
3.25
Home/Over 2.5
11.00
Draw/Over 2.5
19.00
Away/Over 2.5
3.10
Home/Under 2.5
8.00
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
3.20
1 by 1
6.50
2 by 1
3.40
1 by 4+
201.00
1 by 2
17.00
2 by 2
4.75
1 by 3
51.00
2 by 3
9.00
2 by 4+
15.00
Score Draw
6.00
Draw
8.00
Draw
2.50
1st Half
3.20
2nd Half
2.40
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home
8.00
Away
2.88
Draw
1.57
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
5.50
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
13.00
Draw
1.12
Away
7.00
Draw
1.67
1st Half
4.50
2nd Half
3.40
Odd
2.38
Even
1.53
Over 17.5
1.83
Under 17.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
10.00
Away/Over 1.5
6.50
Home/Over 1.5
21.00
Home/Under 1.5
7.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.38
Away/Under 1.5
3.50
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
12.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.73
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.20
Under 9
2.00
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.00
Under 10
1.62
Exactly 11
10.00
Over 11
4.00
Under 11
1.36
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.00
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.00
Under 12
1.22
Exactly 6
9.00
Over 6
1.22
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
10.00
Under 13
1.12
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.06
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
26.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
19.00
Under 15
1.03
Primera División - Apertura Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Racing Montevideo
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
Penarol
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 3. |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Atletico Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 5. |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 6. |
Central Espanol
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Club Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 8. |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9. |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 10. |
Wanderers
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 11. |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 12. |
Albion FC
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 13. |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 14. |
Juventud
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 15. |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 16. |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Albion FC
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 7
GA: 7
GD: +0
Penarol
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 8
GA: 5
GD: +3
Last 5 Matches
Albion FC
07 Mar
A
Progreso
2-2
D
Penarol
07 Mar
H
Danubio
1-1
D
01 Mar
A
Club Nacional
1-0
W