🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie
· Regular Season - 32
NS
Almere City FC vs Waalwijk - Eerste Divisie
Yanmar Stadion
·
Ref: I. Oostrom
AI Match Analysis
A crucial Eerste Divisie clash awaits as sixth-placed Almere City FC hosts seventh-placed Waalwijk in a battle for playoff positioning. With only a single point separating the two sides after 31 games, the stakes are high at the Yanmar Stadion. Victory for either team would provide a significant boost in the race for promotion, while a draw could leave both vulnerable to being overtaken by the chasing pack.
Almere City's recent form has been patchy, with two wins offset by three losses in their last five outings. However, their home record is respectable, with eight wins from fifteen matches, although they've dropped points in two of their last three on home turf. Waalwijk, on the other hand, appear to have turned a corner, securing two wins and two draws in their last four after a previous run of poor results. Their away form is solid, mirroring Almere's home form with six wins and only five losses on the road. Recent results show both teams have been drawing games.
Historically, Waalwijk holds the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, winning three of the last five encounters against Almere City. The home side will need to overcome that psychological hurdle. Based on Elo ratings, Almere City enter as clear favourites, but Waalwijk's recent improvement and solid away record suggest they are capable of causing an upset, making this a potentially close and intriguing contest.
Almere City's recent form has been patchy, with two wins offset by three losses in their last five outings. However, their home record is respectable, with eight wins from fifteen matches, although they've dropped points in two of their last three on home turf. Waalwijk, on the other hand, appear to have turned a corner, securing two wins and two draws in their last four after a previous run of poor results. Their away form is solid, mirroring Almere's home form with six wins and only five losses on the road. Recent results show both teams have been drawing games.
Historically, Waalwijk holds the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, winning three of the last five encounters against Almere City. The home side will need to overcome that psychological hurdle. Based on Elo ratings, Almere City enter as clear favourites, but Waalwijk's recent improvement and solid away record suggest they are capable of causing an upset, making this a potentially close and intriguing contest.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
46%
2.05
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
42%
1.40
low
O/U
Under 2.5
46%
2.70
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Yanmar Stadion
Referee
I. Oostrom
Round
Regular Season - 32
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
62.86%
Win Probability
37.14%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Waalwijk
Predicted winner: Waalwijk — Win or draw
Almere City FC
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Waalwijk
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
1
3
1 wins
1 draws
3 wins
2025-08-30
Waalwijk
2 - 0
Almere City FC
HT: 1-0
2025-02-02
Almere City FC
1 - 4
Waalwijk
HT: 1-0
2024-11-03
Waalwijk
2 - 0
Almere City FC
HT: 1-0
2024-08-03
Almere City FC
1 - 0
Waalwijk
HT: 1-0
2024-04-04
Waalwijk
0 - 0
Almere City FC
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.05
Draw
3.20
Away
3.75
Home
2.50
Draw
2.60
Away
3.40
Home
2.30
Draw
2.88
Away
3.00
Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
6.00
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.70
Over 3.5
2.00
Under 3.5
1.73
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
21.00
Over 8.5
51.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.40
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 7.5
23.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.00
Under 5.5
1.12
Over 6.5
13.00
Under 6.5
1.04
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 1.5
1.62
Under 1.5
2.20
Over 2.5
3.00
Under 2.5
1.36
Over 3.5
6.50
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.12
Under 0.5
6.00
Over 4.5
15.00
Under 4.5
1.03
Yes
1.40
No
2.75
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Yes
2.38
No
1.53
Home -1.25
3.10
Away -1.25
1.35
Home -1
2.85
Away -1
1.40
Home -0.75
2.35
Away -0.75
1.58
Home -0.5
2.05
Away -0.5
1.75
Home -0.25
1.80
Away -0.25
2.00
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.42
Away +0.25
2.75
Home +0.5
1.35
Away +0.5
3.10
Home +0.75
1.26
Away +0.75
3.70
Home -2
6.00
Away -2
1.12
Home +1
1.16
Away +1
5.25
Home -1.75
4.25
Away -1.75
1.21
Home -1.5
3.45
Away -1.5
1.30
Home +1.25
1.14
Away +1.25
5.75
Home +1.5
1.12
Away +1.5
6.00
Home -2.5
6.00
Away -2.5
1.12
Home -2.25
6.60
Away -2.25
1.11
Home -1.25
5.90
Away -1.25
1.13
Home -1
5.25
Away -1
1.16
Home -0.75
3.30
Away -0.75
1.32
Home -0.5
2.50
Away -0.5
1.50
Home -0.25
2.08
Away -0.25
1.72
Home +0
1.65
Away +0
2.20
Home +0.25
1.42
Away +0.25
2.75
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.19
Away +0.75
4.50
Home -1.5
6.60
Away -1.5
1.11
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.73
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.50
Draw/Away
1.50
1:0
13.00
2:0
15.00
2:1
9.50
3:0
21.00
3:1
15.00
3:2
17.00
4:0
34.00
4:1
26.00
0:0
21.00
1:1
8.00
2:2
11.00
0:1
17.00
0:2
21.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
21.00
2:3
23.00
3:3
29.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
41.00
4:2
34.00
0:5
126.00
1:5
81.00
1:6
201.00
2:5
81.00
3:4
51.00
5:0
67.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
51.00
6:0
126.00
6:1
101.00
6:2
126.00
4:3
51.00
3:5
126.00
4:5
201.00
5:3
81.00
5:4
151.00
6:3
201.00
4:4
81.00
7:1
201.00
1:0
4.75
2:0
10.00
2:1
15.00
3:0
29.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
67.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
101.00
0:0
4.00
1:1
6.50
2:2
34.00
0:1
6.00
0:2
15.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
19.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
81.00
3:3
201.00
0:4
151.00
1:4
151.00
2:4
351.00
4:2
251.00
5:0
301.00
5:1
351.00
Home/Draw
12.00
Home/Away
23.00
Draw/Away
8.00
Draw/Draw
6.50
Home/Home
3.20
Draw/Home
6.00
Away/Home
19.00
Away/Draw
13.00
Away/Away
5.00
Home
1.53
Away
2.38
Home/Yes
3.20
Draw/Yes
3.75
Away/Yes
4.75
Home/No
5.00
Draw/No
19.00
Away/No
8.00
o/yes 2.5
1.62
o/no 2.5
9.00
u/yes 2.5
8.00
u/no 2.5
3.75
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
21.00
1
8.00
2
4.50
3
4.33
4
4.75
5
7.00
6
11.00
more 7
13.00
0
4.00
1
2.75
2
3.50
3
6.50
4
17.00
more 5
29.00
0
6.00
1
3.25
2
3.40
3
5.00
4
10.00
more 5
15.00
Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
6.00
Over 1.75
1.14
Under 1.75
5.75
Over 2.25
1.30
Under 2.25
3.45
Over 2.5
1.42
Under 2.5
2.75
Over 2.75
1.52
Under 2.75
2.42
Over 3.5
2.05
Under 3.5
1.75
Over 2
1.17
Under 2
5.00
Over 3
1.65
Under 3
2.20
Over 4
2.75
Under 4
1.42
Over 5
5.50
Under 5
1.15
Over 4.5
3.45
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 3.25
1.85
Under 3.25
1.95
Over 3.75
2.35
Under 3.75
1.58
Over 4.25
3.10
Under 4.25
1.35
Over 4.75
4.10
Under 4.75
1.23
Over 5.5
6.00
Under 5.5
1.12
Over 5.25
5.75
Under 5.25
1.14
Over 1.5
2.08
Under 1.5
1.72
Over 1.75
2.42
Under 1.75
1.52
Over 2.25
3.90
Under 2.25
1.24
Over 2.5
4.40
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 2.75
5.90
Under 2.75
1.13
Over 1
1.42
Under 1
2.75
Over 2
3.45
Under 2
1.30
Over 0.5
1.23
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 0.75
1.30
Under 0.75
3.45
Over 1.25
1.75
Under 1.25
2.05
Home -1
3.50
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
4.33
Home -3
15.00
Draw -3
11.00
Away -3
1.09
Home -2
7.00
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.28
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
6.00
Home +2
1.11
Draw +2
9.00
Away +2
13.00
Home -1
6.50
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
3.50
Home -3
51.00
Draw -3
23.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
21.00
Draw -2
8.50
Away -2
1.09
Home +1
1.30
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
10.00
Over 10
1.85
Under 10
1.95
Over 10.5
2.00
Under 10.5
1.73
Over 1.5
1.62
Under 1.5
2.20
Over 2.5
3.00
Under 2.5
1.36
Over 3.5
6.50
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.12
Under 0.5
6.00
Over 4.5
17.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
34.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
6.00
1
3.20
2
3.25
more 3
3.00
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
4.00
1
2.75
2
3.50
more 3
4.33
Home
5.00
Away
8.00
Home
6.00
Away
11.00
Home
1.53
Away
1.91
Home
7.00
Away
10.00
Home
1.73
Draw
21.00
Away
2.05
Home
1.73
Draw
21.00
Away
2.05
Draw
4.00
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
1.95
Home
2.50
Away
3.25
Draw/Over 3.5
7.00
Home/Over 3.5
4.00
Away/Over 3.5
6.50
Home/Under 3.5
3.75
Draw/Under 3.5
5.50
Away/Under 3.5
5.50
1 by 1
4.33
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
15.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
9.00
1 by 3
11.00
2 by 3
19.00
2 by 4+
29.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
21.00
Draw
2.50
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.38
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Under 6
13.00
6 - 8
3.50
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
3.75
Over 14
8.00
Home
6.00
Draw
1.25
Away
7.00
Draw
2.88
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.25
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
6.00
Away/Over 1.5
7.00
Home/Over 1.5
4.75
Home/Under 1.5
4.75
Draw/Under 1.5
4.00
Away/Under 1.5
6.00
Exactly 5
17.00
Over 5
1.04
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.40
Under 8
4.33
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.67
Under 9
2.75
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.00
Under 10
2.10
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
2.62
Under 11
1.73
Exactly 7
10.00
Over 7
1.20
Under 7
7.00
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
3.75
Under 12
1.44
Exactly 6
13.00
Over 6
1.10
Under 6
13.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
5.00
Under 13
1.25
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
8.00
Under 14
1.17
Exactly 17
26.00
Over 17
21.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
21.00
Over 16
17.00
Under 16
1.05
Exactly 15
17.00
Over 15
11.00
Under 15
1.08
Eerste Divisie Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
ADO Den Haag
|
31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 71:31 | +40 | 71 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
Cambuur
|
30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 62:33 | +29 | 67 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
De Graafschap
|
31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 58:49 | +9 | 52 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 4. |
Jong PSV U21
|
31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 62:55 | +7 | 50 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 5. |
Willem II
|
31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:38 | +7 | 50 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 6. |
Almere City FC
|
31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 64:51 | +13 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 7. |
Waalwijk
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52:45 | +7 | 47 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 8. |
Roda
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 50:46 | +4 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 9. |
Dordrecht
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 10. |
Den Bosch
|
31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 54:57 | -3 | 40 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 11. |
FC Eindhoven
|
31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 45:55 | -10 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 12. |
VVV Venlo
|
31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 37 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 13. |
Jong Utrecht
|
31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 48:53 | -5 | 36 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Emmen
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 15. |
MVV
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
Helmond Sport
|
31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37:55 | -18 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 17. |
Vitesse
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48:49 | -1 | 30 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 18. |
Jong AZ
|
31 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 52:62 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 19. |
Jong Ajax
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 29 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 20. |
FC OSS
|
31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 37:54 | -17 | 28 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Almere City FC
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 64
GA: 51
GD: +13
Waalwijk
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 52
GA: 45
GD: +7
Last 5 Matches
Almere City FC
13 Mar
A
Vitesse
3-1
W
07 Mar
H
ADO Den Haag
1-0
W
03 Mar
A
Cambuur
2-3
L
Waalwijk
13 Mar
H
Jong AZ
2-1
W
06 Mar
A
VVV Venlo
3-0
W