🇨🇾 1. Division
· Regular Season - 26
FT
Aris vs Apoel Nicosia - 1. Division
Alphamega Stadium
·
Ref: Constantinos Fellas, Cyprus
Ari
3 1
·
Apo
4 1
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Cypriot 1. Division sees fifth-placed Aris host sixth-placed Apoel Nicosia in the final round of the regular season. With just a single point separating the sides, both are desperate for a win to secure a potentially higher spot heading into the Championship Group. The stakes are high as positioning could influence their chances of European qualification.
Aris enters the match in dreadful form, winless in their last five (LLDDD), although their recent draws against Enosis and Pafos suggest a degree of resilience. At home, they boast an impressive record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses, making them a tough opponent at the Alphamega Stadium. Apoel Nicosia's form is marginally better, punctuated by two wins amidst three losses (LLLWW). However, their away form is solid, mirroring Aris's home form with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. A recent draw against Anorthosis hasn't done much to inspire confidence, though.
Historically, Apoel Nicosia has dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters. While there is no injury information provided, it will be important to consider this ahead of the match. The Elo model heavily favors Aris with a whopping 70% win probability, a significant divergence from recent head-to-head results. Given Aris’s strong home record and Apoel’s own good away form, this match has all the makings of a tight contest.
Aris enters the match in dreadful form, winless in their last five (LLDDD), although their recent draws against Enosis and Pafos suggest a degree of resilience. At home, they boast an impressive record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses, making them a tough opponent at the Alphamega Stadium. Apoel Nicosia's form is marginally better, punctuated by two wins amidst three losses (LLLWW). However, their away form is solid, mirroring Aris's home form with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. A recent draw against Anorthosis hasn't done much to inspire confidence, though.
Historically, Apoel Nicosia has dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters. While there is no injury information provided, it will be important to consider this ahead of the match. The Elo model heavily favors Aris with a whopping 70% win probability, a significant divergence from recent head-to-head results. Given Aris’s strong home record and Apoel’s own good away form, this match has all the makings of a tight contest.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
52%
2.20
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
37%
1.73
low
O/U
Over 2.5
53%
1.90
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Alphamega Stadium
Referee
Constantinos Fellas, Cyprus
Round
Regular Season - 26
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
66.93%
Win Probability
33.07%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Aris or draw
Predicted winner: Aris — Win or draw
Aris
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Apoel Nicosia
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Events
41'
⚽
D. Mancini
46'
🔄
Diego Rosa
(M. Meyer)
Substitution 1
46'
🟦
Vitor Meer
Yellow Card
46'
🟦
C. Goldson
Yellow Card
49'
🟥
M. Sane
Red Card
50'
🟦
D. Mancini
Yellow Card
57'
🟦
Vitor Meer
Yellow Card
57'
🟥
Vitor Meer
Red Card
62'
🔄
Marquinhos
(C. Poursaitidis)
Substitution 2
65'
🟦
A. Kokorin
Yellow Card
68'
🟦
A. Kakoullis
Yellow Card
69'
🔄
P. Olayinka
(S. Drazic)
Substitution 3
69'
🔄
A. Kokorin
(D. Gaustad)
Substitution 1
69'
🔄
C. Charalampous
(J. Montnor)
Substitution 2
72'
⚽
M. Tomas
76'
🔄
M. Tomas
(Gabriel Maioli)
Substitution 4
76'
🔄
D. Mancini
(M. Degenek)
Substitution 5
79'
🔄
A. Kakoullis
(Y. Gomis)
Substitution 3
79'
🔄
G. Kastanos
(M. Theodosiou)
Substitution 4
79'
⚽
L. Balogun
90+2'
🟦
V. Belec
Yellow Card
Lineups
Aris
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
Apoel Nicosia
Liasos Louka
Coach
Pablo Garcia
4-4-2
80
Kakoullis
9
Kokorin
19
Sane
18
Bourhane
76
Charalamp.
28
Kastanos
20
Yago
6
Goldson
27
Balogun
7
Correia
1
Vaná
4-2-3-1
99
Olayinka
77
Mancini
15
Tomás
10
Marquinhos
20
Dálcio
29
Rosa
14
Nanú
31
Brorsson
2
Antoniou
6
Meer
27
Belec
Starting XI
1
Vaná
G
G
Vid Belec
27
20
Steeve Yago
D
D
Nanú
14
6
Connor Goldson
D
D
Franz Brorsson
31
27
Leon Balogun
D
D
Evagoras Antoniou
2
7
Anderson Correia
D
D
Vitor Meer
6
19
Mamadou Sane
D
M
Dálcio
20
18
Yacine Bourhane
M
M
Diego Rosa
29
76
Charalampos Charalampous
M
M
Daniel Mancini
77
28
Grigoris Kastanos
M
M
MathÃas Tomás
15
80
Andronikos Kakoullis
F
M
Marquinhos
10
9
Aleksandr Kokorin
F
M
Peter Olayinka
99
Substitutes
25
Wesley Foderingham
Gabriel Pereira
1
90
Ellinas Sofroniou
Andreas Christodoulou
22
4
David Lelle
Miloš Degenek
5
45
Ross McCausland
Konstantinos Giannakou
45
29
Dennis Bakke Gaustad
Max Meyer
7
66
Jaden Montnor
Gabriel Maioli
11
70
Edi Semedo
Stefan Dražić
9
88
Collins Phares Fi Akamba
Constantinos Poursaitides
21
14
Yannick Gomis
Charles Yaw Appiah
36
75
Michail Theodosiou
Head to Head
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
3 wins
0 draws
2 wins
2025-12-07
Apoel Nicosia
2 - 0
Aris
HT: 1-0
2025-04-22
Apoel Nicosia
2 - 1
Aris
HT: 0-1
2025-03-15
Aris
1 - 0
Apoel Nicosia
HT: 1-0
2025-03-01
Aris
3 - 0
Apoel Nicosia
HT: 1-0
2024-12-02
Apoel Nicosia
1 - 2
Aris
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.20
Draw
3.40
Away
3.20
Home
2.75
Draw
2.20
Away
3.50
Home
2.60
Draw
2.50
Away
3.10
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.90
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
21.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
9.00
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
15.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
12.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.73
No
2.00
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Home -1.25
3.70
Away -1.25
1.26
Home -1
3.45
Away -1
1.30
Home -0.75
2.60
Away -0.75
1.48
Home -0.5
2.20
Away -0.5
1.65
Home -0.25
1.92
Away -0.25
1.88
Home +0
1.60
Away +0
2.30
Home +0.25
1.45
Away +0.25
2.68
Home +0.5
1.35
Away +0.5
3.10
Home +0.75
1.25
Away +0.75
3.80
Home +1
1.14
Away +1
5.75
Home -1.75
5.50
Away -1.75
1.15
Home -1.5
4.15
Away -1.5
1.22
Home +1.25
1.12
Away +1.25
6.00
Home +1.5
1.12
Away +1.5
6.40
Home -1
6.80
Away -1
1.10
Home -0.75
3.70
Away -0.75
1.26
Home -0.5
2.75
Away -0.5
1.42
Home -0.25
2.25
Away -0.25
1.62
Home +0
1.68
Away +0
2.15
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.27
Away +0.5
3.55
Home +0.75
1.17
Away +0.75
5.00
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.62
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.62
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
8.50
2:0
11.00
2:1
9.50
3:0
21.00
3:1
17.00
3:2
26.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
10.00
1:1
6.50
2:2
13.00
0:1
11.00
0:2
17.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
151.00
1:5
126.00
2:5
151.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
67.00
5:2
101.00
4:3
81.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
12.00
2:1
21.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
126.00
4:0
101.00
0:0
3.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.00
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
151.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
7.00
Draw/Draw
5.50
Home/Home
3.50
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
4.75
Home
1.57
Away
2.25
Home/Yes
4.50
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
6.00
Home/No
4.00
Draw/No
10.00
Away/No
5.50
o/yes 2.5
2.20
o/no 2.5
9.50
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.40
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
10.00
1
5.00
2
3.60
3
4.33
4
5.50
5
11.00
6
21.00
more 7
15.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
3
9.50
4
26.00
more 5
21.00
0
4.00
1
2.75
2
3.60
3
6.50
4
15.00
more 5
26.00
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.55
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
3.30
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.20
Over 2.5
1.90
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 2.75
2.10
Under 2.75
1.70
Over 3.5
3.10
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 2
1.42
Under 2
2.75
Over 3
2.50
Under 3
1.50
Over 4
5.50
Under 4
1.15
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
4.80
Over 4.5
6.00
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 3.25
2.75
Under 3.25
1.42
Over 3.75
3.80
Under 3.75
1.25
Over 4.25
5.75
Under 4.25
1.14
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.42
Over 1.75
3.55
Under 1.75
1.27
Over 2.25
6.40
Under 2.25
1.12
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 1
1.82
Under 1
1.98
Over 2
5.75
Under 2
1.14
Over 0.5
1.38
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 0.75
1.52
Under 0.75
2.42
Over 1.25
2.30
Under 1.25
1.60
Home -1
4.00
Away -1
1.62
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
21.00
Draw -3
13.00
Away -3
1.06
Home -2
8.50
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.20
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
6.00
Home +2
1.10
Draw +2
9.50
Away +2
15.00
Home -1
8.50
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
81.00
Draw -3
34.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
29.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
12.00
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
4.50
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
9.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
15.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
3.75
1
2.62
2
3.60
more 3
4.50
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
6.50
Home
4.00
Away
5.50
Home
7.00
Away
11.00
Home
1.67
Away
2.00
Home
10.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.80
Draw
10.00
Away
2.20
Home
1.80
Draw
10.00
Away
2.20
Draw
3.60
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.05
Home
3.50
Away
4.33
Home/Over 2.5
3.50
Draw/Over 2.5
11.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.00
Home/Under 2.5
5.00
Draw/Under 2.5
4.33
Away/Under 2.5
7.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
5.00
1 by 4+
21.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
9.50
1 by 3
13.00
2 by 3
21.00
2 by 4+
34.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
10.00
Draw
2.20
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Draw
2.40
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
7.50
Away/Over 1.5
9.50
Home/Over 1.5
6.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
2.75
Away/Under 1.5
5.00
1. Division Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Omonia Nicosia
|
25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 58:17 | +41 | 58 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Apollon Limassol
|
25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 35:21 | +14 | 52 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Pafos
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | +29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 4. |
AEK Larnaca
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 47:22 | +25 | 50 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 5. |
Aris
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 47:24 | +23 | 43 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
| 6. |
Apoel Nicosia
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43:26 | +17 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 7. |
Omonia Aradippou
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 8. |
AEL
|
26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
Anorthosis
|
25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 22:32 | -10 | 31 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 10. |
Olympiakos
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 28 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 11. |
Akritas
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12. |
Krasava Ypsonas
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 13. |
Ethnikos Achna
|
25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 14. |
Enosis
|
25 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 5:63 | -58 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Aris
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 47
GA: 24
GD: +23
Apoel Nicosia
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 43
GA: 26
GD: +17
Last 5 Matches
Aris
08 Mar
A
Enosis
4-0
W
01 Mar
H
Pafos
2-2
D
Apoel Nicosia
08 Mar
H
Anorthosis
0-2
L