🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura · Regular Season - 5 FT

Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo - Primera División - Apertura

Boston River
Boston River
L L D D
0 - 1
HT: 0-1
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
W L D W W
Estadio Campeones Olimpicos · Ref: Santiago Motta, Uruguay
Bos 5 · Liv 2

Match Preview

The Uruguayan Primera División Apertura continues with a clash between two sides seeking to improve their league standing. Boston River, currently languishing in 14th place with only two points, desperately need a win to kickstart their season. Liverpool Montevideo, sitting in a more comfortable 9th position with seven points, will be aiming to solidify their place in the top half of the table and close the gap on the league leaders.

Boston River's form has been concerning, failing to win any of their opening four matches, including a disappointing home record of one draw and one loss. They desperately need to turn things around at Parque Artigas. Liverpool Montevideo, while also drawing their last two league games, boast a solid away record, remaining undefeated with one win and one draw on their travels. Their recent Copa Libertadores draw against Independiente Medellin highlights their resilience, even if it might induce fatigue.

Historically, Liverpool Montevideo holds a slight edge in the head-to-head record, winning twice in the last five encounters compared to Boston River's solitary victory, with two draws between the sides. While the Elo model surprisingly gives Boston River a significant home advantage, Liverpool Montevideo's better form and away record suggest they are well-placed to secure at least a point, potentially even upsetting the odds and grabbing all three.

Our Predictions

1X2 2 48% 2.10 medium
BTTS BTTS Yes 48% 2.10 medium
CS 1-1 15% 7.20 medium
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HT/FT X/2 17% 6.35 medium
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O/U Under 2.5 65% 1.53 high

Match Info

Stadium
Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
Referee
Santiago Motta, Uruguay
Round
Regular Season - 5
Boston River Liverpool Montevideo
60.4% Win Probability 39.6%

Match Analysis

Combo Double chance : draw or Liverpool Montevideo and -3.5 goals

Predicted winner: Liverpool Montevideo — Win or draw

Boston River 10.00%
Draw 45.00%
Liverpool Montevideo 45.00%
Expected goals: -1.5 - -2.5

Match Events

12' 🟦
I. Fernandez Yellow Card
44'
R. Machado
57' 🟦
E. Castillo Yellow Card
58' 🔄
L. Suhr (Y. Gonzalez) Substitution 1
61' 🔄
K. Lewis (D. Romero) Substitution 1
61' 🔄
F. Martinez (K. Amaro) Substitution 2
69' 🔄
F. Barrios (G. Ramirez) Substitution 2
69' 🔄
I. Fernandez (A. Amado) Substitution 3
69' 🔄
G. Reyna (F. Perez) Substitution 4
76' 🔄
L. Acosta (G. de Mello) Substitution 3
76' 🔄
N. Garayalde (E. Olivera) Substitution 4
79' 🟦
F. Martinez Yellow Card
79' 🟦
E. Olivera Yellow Card
87' 🔄
A. Gonzalez (F. Bonfiglio) Substitution 5
87' 🟦
G. Ramirez Yellow Card
88' 🔄
D. Zabala (M. Mir) Substitution 5
90+4' 🟦
F. Perez Yellow Card
90+4' 🟦
M. Rivero Yellow Card

Lineups

Boston River Boston River 3-4-3
4-4-1-1 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
Israel Damonte Coach Gustavo Ferrin
3-4-3
99
Reyna
9
González
16
Suhr
31
Acosta
5
Barrios
14
Dafonte
22
Martínez
23
Rivero
2
Sotto
13
Fernandez
1
Antúnez
4-4-1-1
9
Machado
16
Acosta
22
Zabala
5
Garayalde
20
Rabuñal
7
Martínez
15
Laquidaín
3
Strasorier
23
Castillo
34
Lewis
25
Campaña
Starting XI
1 Bruno Antúnez G
G Martín Campaña 25
23 Mateo Rivero D
D Santiago Laquidaín 15
2 Kevin Sotto D
D Santiago Strasorier 3
13 Ignacio Fernandez D
D Enzo Castillo 23
31 Juan Manuel Acosta D
D Kevin Lewis 34
5 Francisco Barrios M
M Diego Zabala 22
14 Federico Dafonte M
M Nicolás Garayalde 5
22 Fredy Martínez D
M Martín Rabuñal 20
99 Gonzalo Reyna F
F Federico Martínez 7
9 Alexander González F
M Lucas Acosta 16
16 Leandro Suhr M
F Renzo Machado 9
Substitutes
32 Yair González
Diego Romero 27
10 Agustín Amado
Kevin Amaro 24
11 Gastón Ramírez
Matías Mir 8
21 Franco Pérez
Mathias Bernatene 1
8 Francisco Bonfiglio
Jorge Castillo 28
12 Juan Ignacio González
Gonzalo de Mello 17
30 Martín González
Ezequiel Olivera 29
25 Agustín Aguirre
Alfonso de Luca 19
24 Jairo O'Neil
Rubén Bentancourt 11
6 Andrés Romero
Felipe Barrenechea Acuña 32

Head to Head

Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
0 wins 2 draws 3 wins
2025-09-27
Liverpool Montevideo 2 - 1 Boston River
HT: 2-1
2025-03-29
Boston River 0 - 1 Liverpool Montevideo
HT: 0-0
2024-09-29
Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 1 Boston River
HT: 0-0
2024-06-23
Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 0 Boston River
HT: 1-0
2024-03-14
Boston River 1 - 1 Liverpool Montevideo
HT: 0-1

Odds

Bet365
Home
3.30
Draw
3.00
Away
2.10
Home
4.33
Draw
2.00
Away
2.88
Home
3.40
Draw
2.25
Away
2.75
Over 1.5
1.44
Under 1.5
2.62
Over 2.5
2.40
Under 2.5
1.53
Over 3.5
4.50
Under 3.5
1.18
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
11.00
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
23.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
51.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Home -1.25
6.80
Away -1.25
1.10
Home -1
6.80
Away -1
1.10
Home -0.75
4.25
Away -0.75
1.21
Home -0.5
3.30
Away -0.5
1.32
Home -0.25
2.85
Away -0.25
1.40
Home +0
2.38
Away +0
1.55
Home +0.25
1.92
Away +0.25
1.88
Home +0.5
1.68
Away +0.5
2.15
Home +0.75
1.48
Away +0.75
2.60
Home +1
1.27
Away +1
3.55
Home -1.5
7.00
Away -1.5
1.10
Home +1.25
1.23
Away +1.25
4.00
Home +1.5
1.20
Away +1.5
4.40
Home +1.75
1.12
Away +1.75
6.00
Home -0.75
5.90
Away -0.75
1.13
Home -0.5
4.00
Away -0.5
1.23
Home -0.25
3.10
Away -0.25
1.35
Home +0
2.25
Away +0
1.62
Home +0.25
1.60
Away +0.25
2.30
Home +0.5
1.38
Away +0.5
3.00
Home +0.75
1.23
Away +0.75
4.00
Home/Draw
1.62
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.30
Home/Draw
1.40
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.20
1:0
8.50
2:0
17.00
2:1
13.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
34.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
81.00
0:0
7.00
1:1
6.00
2:2
19.00
0:1
6.00
0:2
9.50
0:3
21.00
1:2
9.50
1:3
21.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
41.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
101.00
0:5
101.00
0:6
351.00
1:5
101.00
1:6
351.00
2:5
201.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
301.00
5:1
251.00
5:2
301.00
4:3
201.00
1:0
5.50
2:0
21.00
2:1
34.00
3:0
67.00
3:1
101.00
3:2
301.00
4:0
301.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
8.50
2:2
67.00
0:1
4.00
0:2
13.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
26.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
151.00
1:4
301.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
5.50
Draw/Draw
4.50
Home/Home
5.50
Draw/Home
7.00
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
3.75
Home
2.38
Away
1.53
Home/Yes
8.00
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
5.50
Home/No
5.50
Draw/No
7.00
Away/No
3.40
o/yes 2.5
2.88
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
1.91
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.00
1
3.75
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
7.50
5
15.00
6
34.00
more 7
51.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
3
13.00
4
41.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.25
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.45
Under 1.5
2.68
Over 1.75
1.58
Under 1.75
2.35
Over 2.25
2.10
Under 2.25
1.70
Over 2.5
2.38
Under 2.5
1.55
Over 2.75
2.85
Under 2.75
1.40
Over 3.5
4.50
Under 3.5
1.19
Over 1
1.13
Under 1
5.90
Over 2
1.80
Under 2
2.00
Over 3
3.80
Under 3
1.25
Over 0.75
1.11
Under 0.75
6.60
Over 1.25
1.30
Under 1.25
3.45
Over 3.25
4.15
Under 3.25
1.22
Over 3.75
6.00
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 1.5
3.45
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 1.75
4.65
Under 1.75
1.18
Over 1
2.30
Under 1
1.60
Over 0.5
1.52
Under 0.5
2.42
Over 0.75
1.75
Under 0.75
2.05
Over 1.25
2.85
Under 1.25
1.40
Home -1
7.50
Away -1
1.33
Draw -1
4.75
Home -2
21.00
Draw -2
10.00
Away -2
1.08
Home +1
1.57
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
4.75
Home +2
1.17
Draw +2
7.00
Away +2
12.00
Home +3
1.04
Draw +3
15.00
Away +3
29.00
Home -1
15.00
Away -1
1.22
Draw -1
4.50
Home +1
1.40
Draw +1
3.60
Away +1
10.00
Home +2
1.04
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
41.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
51.00
Away +3
201.00
Over 8.5
1.73
Under 8.5
2.00
Over 9
2.00
Under 9
1.80
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.25
Under 4
2.30
Home +0
1.95
Away +0
1.85
Home +0.5
1.98
Away +0.5
1.82
Home -1
2.60
Away -1
1.67
Draw -1
7.50
Home +1
1.91
Draw +1
7.50
Away +1
2.20
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
29.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
0
2.38
1
2.50
2
5.00
more 3
11.00
Over 3.5
1.67
Under 3.5
2.10
Over 4.5
2.10
Under 4.5
1.67
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.25
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
6.00
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.83
Home
5.50
Away
3.40
Home
15.00
Away
8.00
Home
2.25
Away
1.67
Home
17.00
Away
11.00
Home
2.25
Draw
7.00
Away
1.83
Home
2.25
Draw
7.00
Away
1.83
Draw
3.20
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
6.00
Away
4.00
Home/Over 2.5
7.00
Draw/Over 2.5
17.00
Away/Over 2.5
4.33
Home/Under 2.5
6.00
Draw/Under 2.5
3.60
Away/Under 2.5
4.00
1 by 1
5.00
2 by 1
3.75
1 by 4+
51.00
1 by 2
11.00
2 by 2
6.50
1 by 3
29.00
2 by 3
15.00
2 by 4+
26.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
7.00
Draw
2.25
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
2.38
No
1.53
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Home
5.50
Away
3.60
Draw
1.50
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
5.50
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
10.00
Draw
1.11
Away
8.00
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.62
Over 16.5
1.83
Under 16.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
8.00
Home/Over 1.5
13.00
Home/Under 1.5
5.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.50
Away/Under 1.5
4.00
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
23.00
Exactly 5
12.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.73
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.20
Under 9
2.00
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.00
Under 10
1.62
Exactly 11
10.00
Over 11
4.33
Under 11
1.36
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.00
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.50
Under 12
1.20
Exactly 6
9.00
Over 6
1.22
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
10.00
Under 13
1.11
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.06
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
19.00
Under 15
1.03

Primera División - Apertura Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
Racing Montevideo
5 3 1 1 11:6 +5 10
W W W D L
2.
Deportivo Maldonado
5 3 1 1 9:5 +4 10
D W L W W
3.
Atletico Torque
5 3 1 1 9:5 +4 10
W W W D L
4.
Central Espanol
5 3 1 1 6:2 +4 10
D L W W W
5.
Penarol
5 3 1 1 8:5 +3 10
D W W L W
6.
Liverpool Montevideo
5 3 1 1 7:4 +3 10
W W D L W
7.
Defensor Sporting
5 2 2 1 4:3 +1 8
D L W W D
8.
Danubio
5 2 2 1 6:7 -1 8
D D L W W
9.
Wanderers
5 2 2 1 4:6 -2 8
D W L W D
10.
Club Nacional
5 2 1 2 5:6 -1 7
L L W D W
11.
Albion FC
5 1 2 2 7:7 0 5
D L D W L
12.
Juventud
5 1 1 3 6:7 -1 4
W L L D L
13.
Cerro Largo
5 1 0 4 2:6 -4 3
L L L L W
14.
Boston River
5 0 2 3 2:6 -4 2
L D D L L
15.
Cerro
5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
L D D L L
16.
Progreso
5 0 2 3 4:10 -6 2
D D L L L
Promotion

Season Form

Boston River
0
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 2 GA: 5 GD: -3
Liverpool Montevideo
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 7 GA: 4 GD: +3

Last 5 Matches

Boston River
05 Mar H Racing Montevideo 1-0 W
Liverpool Montevideo
01 Mar H Cerro Largo 2-0 W
25 Feb A Independiente Medellin 0-0 D

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