🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 28
FT
Cacereño vs Ponferradina - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Estadio Principe Felipe
Cac
·
Pon
3
AI Match Analysis
A crucial encounter in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 sees Cacereño fighting for survival against Ponferradina, who have aspirations of climbing into the playoff spots. With Cacereño currently languishing in 18th place on 28 points, this match represents a vital opportunity to claw their way out of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Ponferradina, sitting comfortably in 11th with 39 points, will be keen to build on their mid-table position and close the gap on the top five.
Ponferradina enter this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches, a stark contrast to Cacereño's more inconsistent run of two draws, a win, a loss, and a draw. Cacereño's home form is concerning, with only three wins in 13 matches at the Estadio Principe Felipe. Ponferradina, however, boast an impressive away record, securing six wins, four draws, and only four losses on their travels. Their recent draws against Real Madrid II and Osasuna II show grit on the road.
Head-to-head, the record is evenly split with each team claiming one victory in their last two encounters. While no specific injury information is available, fitness will be a key factor at this stage of the season. Despite Cacereño's desperate need for points, Ponferradina's superior form and strong away record suggest they are the more likely to secure a positive result in this contest, although the Elo model gives Cacereño a surprising 65% win probability.
Ponferradina enter this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches, a stark contrast to Cacereño's more inconsistent run of two draws, a win, a loss, and a draw. Cacereño's home form is concerning, with only three wins in 13 matches at the Estadio Principe Felipe. Ponferradina, however, boast an impressive away record, securing six wins, four draws, and only four losses on their travels. Their recent draws against Real Madrid II and Osasuna II show grit on the road.
Head-to-head, the record is evenly split with each team claiming one victory in their last two encounters. While no specific injury information is available, fitness will be a key factor at this stage of the season. Despite Cacereño's desperate need for points, Ponferradina's superior form and strong away record suggest they are the more likely to secure a positive result in this contest, although the Elo model gives Cacereño a surprising 65% win probability.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
47%
2.50
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
58%
1.67
high
O/U
Under 2.5
63%
1.57
high
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio Principe Felipe
Referee
-
Round
Group 1 - 28
Cacereño
Ponferradina
64.34%
Win Probability
35.66%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : draw or Ponferradina and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Ponferradina — Win or draw
Cacereño
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Ponferradina
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -1.5
Match Events
31'
🟦
V. Kysil
Yellow Card
34'
🟦
E. Frimpong
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
V. Kysil
(C. Calderon)
Substitution 1
62'
🔄
R. Valdera
(K. Vazquez)
Substitution 1
62'
🔄
P. Palacin
(A. Monerris)
Substitution 2
68'
🔄
X. Fernandez
(J. Cortes)
Substitution 2
68'
🔄
A. Keita
(Slavy)
Substitution 3
71'
🔄
A. Lopez
(V. Sousa)
Substitution 4
79'
🔄
J. Barrio
(I. Fernandez)
Substitution 3
80'
🔄
E. Frimpong
(V. Esquerdo)
Substitution 5
89'
🔄
N. Conesa
(R. Sanchis)
Substitution 4
90+2'
🟦
B. Valle
Yellow Card
Head to Head
Cacereño
Ponferradina
0
2
0 wins
0 draws
2 wins
2025-11-02
Ponferradina
2 - 0
Cacereño
HT: 0-0
2021-12-01
Cacereño
1 - 2
Ponferradina
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.75
Draw
2.88
Away
2.50
Home
3.50
Draw
1.95
Away
3.20
Home
3.10
Draw
2.25
Away
2.88
Over 1.5
1.44
Under 1.5
2.62
Over 2.5
2.35
Under 2.5
1.57
Over 3.5
4.33
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 4.5
8.00
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
12.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
8.50
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Home -1.25
5.90
Away -1.25
1.13
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.15
Home -0.75
3.55
Away -0.75
1.27
Home -0.5
2.85
Away -0.5
1.40
Home -0.25
2.42
Away -0.25
1.52
Home +0
2.02
Away +0
1.78
Home +0.25
1.68
Away +0.25
2.15
Home +0.5
1.50
Away +0.5
2.50
Home +0.75
1.35
Away +0.75
3.10
Home +1
1.20
Away +1
4.40
Home -1.5
6.40
Away -1.5
1.12
Home +1.25
1.18
Away +1.25
4.80
Home +1.5
1.15
Away +1.5
5.50
Home -0.75
5.25
Away -0.75
1.16
Home -0.5
3.55
Away -0.5
1.27
Home -0.25
2.75
Away -0.25
1.42
Home +0
2.00
Away +0
1.80
Home +0.25
1.50
Away +0.25
2.50
Home +0.5
1.32
Away +0.5
3.30
Home +0.75
1.19
Away +0.75
4.50
Home/Draw
1.44
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.36
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.28
1:0
7.00
2:0
13.00
2:1
12.00
3:0
29.00
3:1
29.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
6.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
19.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
11.00
0:3
26.00
1:2
11.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
81.00
0:5
126.00
1:5
151.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
151.00
5:1
151.00
1:0
4.75
2:0
17.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
81.00
0:0
2.38
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
4.50
0:2
15.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
6.00
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
4.50
Draw/Home
6.00
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
4.33
Home
1.91
Away
1.80
Home/Yes
7.00
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
6.50
Home/No
4.33
Draw/No
6.50
Away/No
3.75
o/yes 2.5
2.88
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
1.95
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.00
1
4.00
2
3.25
3
4.50
4
7.50
5
15.00
6
34.00
more 7
21.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
3
13.00
4
41.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.00
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.00
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.45
Under 1.5
2.68
Over 1.75
1.58
Under 1.75
2.35
Over 2.25
2.08
Under 2.25
1.72
Over 2.5
2.38
Under 2.5
1.55
Over 2.75
2.85
Under 2.75
1.40
Over 3.5
4.40
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 1
1.14
Under 1
5.75
Over 2
1.78
Under 2
2.02
Over 3
3.55
Under 3
1.27
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
6.40
Over 1.25
1.30
Under 1.25
3.45
Over 3.25
4.00
Under 3.25
1.23
Over 3.75
5.90
Under 3.75
1.13
Over 1.5
3.45
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 1.75
4.50
Under 1.75
1.19
Over 1
2.25
Under 1
1.62
Over 0.5
1.52
Under 0.5
2.42
Over 0.75
1.75
Under 0.75
2.05
Over 1.25
2.85
Under 1.25
1.40
Home -1
6.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
4.33
Home -2
15.00
Draw -2
8.00
Away -2
1.08
Home +1
1.44
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
5.50
Home +2
1.11
Draw +2
7.50
Away +2
13.00
Home +3
1.03
Draw +3
19.00
Away +3
34.00
Home -1
13.00
Away -1
1.28
Draw -1
4.33
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
11.00
Home +2
1.04
Draw +2
13.00
Away +2
41.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
51.00
Away +3
251.00
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.20
Under 4
2.40
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
7.50
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
7.50
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
12.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
7.00
Home
4.33
Away
3.75
Home
11.00
Away
10.00
Home
2.00
Away
1.83
Home
15.00
Away
13.00
Home
2.20
Draw
6.50
Away
2.00
Home
2.20
Draw
6.50
Away
2.00
Draw
3.20
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
5.00
Away
4.50
Home/Over 2.5
5.00
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.00
Home/Under 2.5
5.50
Draw/Under 2.5
3.50
Away/Under 2.5
4.75
1 by 1
4.33
2 by 1
4.00
1 by 4+
41.00
1 by 2
8.00
2 by 2
7.50
1 by 3
21.00
2 by 3
19.00
2 by 4+
34.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
6.50
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Draw/Over 1.5
8.50
Away/Over 1.5
9.00
Home/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.75
Draw/Under 1.5
2.50
Away/Under 1.5
4.50
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Tenerife
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | +32 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Celta de Vigo II
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | +8 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Pontevedra
|
27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | +12 | 42 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 4. |
Zamora
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | +5 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 5. |
Lugo
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 27:23 | +4 | 42 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 6. |
Racing Ferrol
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
Barakaldo
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 35:29 | +6 | 40 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 8. |
Athletic Club II
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 40 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 9. |
Mérida AD
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 10. |
Real Madrid II
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
| 11. |
Ponferradina
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 28:23 | +5 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 12. |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:33 | +4 | 38 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 13. |
Arenas Getxo
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Ourense CF
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 15. |
Real Avilés
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
Guadalajara
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 17. |
CF Talavera
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 29 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 18. |
Cacereño
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 19. |
Arenteiro
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 20. |
Osasuna II
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 18:32 | -14 | 24 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Cacereño
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 26
GA: 37
GD: -11
Ponferradina
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 28
GA: 23
GD: +5
Last 5 Matches
Cacereño
08 Mar
A
Racing Ferrol
1-3
L
Ponferradina
07 Mar
H
Osasuna II
0-1
L
01 Mar
A
Real Madrid II
1-0
W