🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura
· Regular Season - 6
NS
Cerro vs Progreso - Primera División - Apertura
Cerro
L
L
D
D
13:00
Sat, 14 Mar 2026
Progreso
L
L
L
D
Match Preview
A crucial clash at the bottom of the Primera División Apertura sees 15th-placed Cerro lock horns with 16th-placed Progreso in a desperate bid to kickstart their campaigns. Both sides are languishing near the foot of the table with a paltry two points from their opening five fixtures, highlighting the importance of securing a victory in this Round 6 encounter. A win would provide a much-needed confidence boost and potentially lift either team out of the relegation mire, while a defeat would further compound their early-season woes.
Neither side enters this game in encouraging form. Cerro's last five matches have yielded two draws and three losses, mirroring Progreso's identical record. Recent results saw both teams draw their respective matches, with Cerro holding Racing Montevideo and Progreso drawing against Albion FC. Analyzing home and away form offers little solace; Cerro are yet to win at home (0W 2D 1L), while Progreso have similarly struggled on the road (0W 1D 1L). It’s a battle of two struggling teams looking for any spark to ignite their season.
Historically, Cerro holds a slight edge in head-to-head matchups, winning two, drawing two, and losing only one of their last five encounters with Progreso. Unfortunately, injury news is unavailable at this time. While form suggests a tight affair, the Elo-based win probability gives a significant advantage to the home side, favoring Cerro with a 58.34% chance of victory. Given Cerro's historical dominance and the slight edge in Elo rating, they might just edge this contest.
Neither side enters this game in encouraging form. Cerro's last five matches have yielded two draws and three losses, mirroring Progreso's identical record. Recent results saw both teams draw their respective matches, with Cerro holding Racing Montevideo and Progreso drawing against Albion FC. Analyzing home and away form offers little solace; Cerro are yet to win at home (0W 2D 1L), while Progreso have similarly struggled on the road (0W 1D 1L). It’s a battle of two struggling teams looking for any spark to ignite their season.
Historically, Cerro holds a slight edge in head-to-head matchups, winning two, drawing two, and losing only one of their last five encounters with Progreso. Unfortunately, injury news is unavailable at this time. While form suggests a tight affair, the Elo-based win probability gives a significant advantage to the home side, favoring Cerro with a 58.34% chance of victory. Given Cerro's historical dominance and the slight edge in Elo rating, they might just edge this contest.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
35%
2.35
low
BTTS
BTTS No
66%
1.67
high
CS
1-0
13%
8.31
medium
Get VIP Access
HT/FT
X/1
18%
6.00
medium
Get VIP Access
O/U
Under 2.5
68%
1.50
high
Match Info
Stadium
-
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 6
Cerro
Progreso
58.51%
Win Probability
41.49%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Progreso
Predicted winner: Progreso — Win or draw
Cerro
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Progreso
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -1.5
Head to Head
Cerro
Progreso
1
2
1 wins
2 draws
2 wins
2025-10-05
Progreso
2 - 0
Cerro
HT: 2-0
2025-04-06
Cerro
0 - 0
Progreso
HT: 0-0
2024-09-14
Progreso
0 - 1
Cerro
HT: 0-1
2024-03-01
Cerro
2 - 3
Progreso
HT: 2-1
2022-09-10
Cerro
1 - 1
Progreso
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.35
Draw
2.90
Away
2.80
Home
3.25
Draw
1.95
Away
3.75
Home
2.88
Draw
2.20
Away
3.40
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.50
Over 3.5
5.00
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 4.5
11.00
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
26.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
51.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home -1.25
4.50
Away -1.25
1.19
Home -1
4.10
Away -1
1.23
Home -0.75
2.85
Away -0.75
1.40
Home -0.5
2.38
Away -0.5
1.55
Home -0.25
2.05
Away -0.25
1.75
Home +0
1.70
Away +0
2.10
Home +0.25
1.50
Away +0.25
2.50
Home +0.5
1.38
Away +0.5
3.00
Home +0.75
1.26
Away +0.75
3.70
Home +1
1.13
Away +1
5.90
Home -1.75
7.00
Away -1.75
1.10
Home -1.5
5.25
Away -1.5
1.16
Home +1.25
1.12
Away +1.25
6.40
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home -0.75
4.40
Away -0.75
1.20
Home -0.5
3.30
Away -0.5
1.32
Home -0.25
2.42
Away -0.25
1.52
Home +0
1.72
Away +0
2.08
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.26
Away +0.5
3.70
Home +0.75
1.15
Away +0.75
5.50
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.53
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.33
1:0
6.50
2:0
10.00
2:1
10.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
23.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
6.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
19.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
13.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
101.00
4:2
81.00
0:5
251.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
351.00
3:4
201.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
126.00
5:2
251.00
4:3
151.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
15.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
81.00
3:2
251.00
4:0
201.00
0:0
2.38
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
5.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
34.00
1:3
101.00
2:3
301.00
0:4
301.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
6.50
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
4.00
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.00
Home
1.67
Away
2.10
Home/Yes
6.00
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
7.00
Home/No
3.50
Draw/No
6.50
Away/No
4.33
o/yes 2.5
3.00
o/no 2.5
12.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
1.83
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
6.50
1
3.60
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
8.00
5
17.00
6
41.00
more 7
51.00
0
2.38
1
2.50
2
4.75
3
13.00
4
41.00
more 5
101.00
0
3.00
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.00
4
26.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 1.75
1.62
Under 1.75
2.25
Over 2.25
2.20
Under 2.25
1.65
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.50
Over 2.75
3.00
Under 2.75
1.38
Over 3.5
5.00
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 1
1.15
Under 1
5.50
Over 2
1.88
Under 2
1.92
Over 3
4.00
Under 3
1.23
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
6.25
Over 1.25
1.32
Under 1.25
3.30
Over 3.25
4.40
Under 3.25
1.20
Over 3.75
6.40
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 1.5
3.55
Under 1.5
1.27
Over 1.75
5.00
Under 1.75
1.17
Over 1
2.38
Under 1
1.55
Over 0.5
1.55
Under 0.5
2.38
Over 0.75
1.80
Under 0.75
2.00
Over 1.25
3.00
Under 1.25
1.38
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.53
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
34.00
Draw -3
17.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
13.00
Draw -2
7.50
Away -2
1.14
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
7.00
Home +2
1.08
Draw +2
9.50
Away +2
19.00
Home -1
12.00
Away -1
1.33
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
351.00
Draw -3
67.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
13.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
15.00
Over 9
1.88
Under 9
1.92
Over 9.5
2.10
Under 9.5
1.67
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.80
Under 4
2.00
Over 4.5
2.05
Under 4.5
1.75
Home +0.5
1.80
Away +0.5
2.00
Home +1
1.73
Draw +1
8.00
Away +1
2.40
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.83
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
29.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
more 3
10.00
Over 4.5
2.10
Under 4.5
1.67
Home
3.50
Away
4.33
Home
10.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.83
Away
2.10
Home
13.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.95
Draw
6.50
Away
2.25
Home
1.95
Draw
6.50
Away
2.25
Draw
3.10
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
4.50
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
4.75
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
3.50
Away/Under 2.5
5.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
4.50
1 by 4+
34.00
1 by 2
7.50
2 by 2
9.50
1 by 3
17.00
2 by 3
23.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
6.50
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home
4.00
Away
4.75
Draw
1.53
Under 6
8.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
5.00
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.62
Under
2.20
Home
9.00
Draw
1.11
Away
10.00
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 19.5
1.80
Under 19.5
1.91
Over 18.5
1.91
Under 18.5
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Over 1.5
9.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
2.38
Away/Under 1.5
5.00
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.03
Under 4
23.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.08
Under 5
15.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.67
Under 8
3.00
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.10
Under 9
2.10
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
2.75
Under 10
1.67
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.75
Under 11
1.40
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.36
Under 7
4.33
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.50
Under 12
1.25
Exactly 6
9.50
Over 6
1.20
Under 6
8.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
9.00
Under 13
1.14
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.07
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
23.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
17.00
Under 15
1.04
Primera División - Apertura Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Racing Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 2. |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Atletico Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 4. |
Central Espanol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 10 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Penarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 6. |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 7. |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 8. |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 9. |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 10. |
Club Nacional
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 11. |
Albion FC
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Juventud
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 13. |
Cerro Largo
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 14. |
Boston River
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 15. |
Cerro
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
Progreso
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Cerro
0
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 2
GA: 6
GD: -4
Progreso
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 2
GA: 8
GD: -6
Last 5 Matches
Cerro
08 Mar
A
Racing Montevideo
0-1
L
Progreso
07 Mar
H
Albion FC
2-2
D