🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 28
FT
CF Talavera vs Real Avilés - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Estadio El Prado
CF
3
·
Rea
2
AI Match Analysis
A crucial encounter in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 sees CF Talavera host Real Avilés on matchday 28. Both teams are embroiled in a relegation battle, with Talavera currently sitting 17th on 29 points and Avilés slightly better off in 14th with 32 points. A win for either side would provide a significant boost in their fight for survival.
Talavera’s form has been patchy, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings, though they will take heart from their solid home record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at the Estadio El Prado. Real Avilés, meanwhile, are enduring a tougher spell, failing to win in their last five, recording three losses and two draws. Their away form offers some hope, with 5 wins and 2 draws from 13 matches on the road. Their recent results showed both teams recording draws, which neither team will want to repeat in this match.
The solitary head-to-head meeting between these sides ended in a draw, suggesting a potentially tight affair. Unfortunately, we have no injury news to report. Given Talavera’s home advantage and the Elo model favouring them with a 65.58% win probability, they will likely be pushing for all three points. However, Avilés' decent away record cannot be discounted, making this a tense and vital clash.
Talavera’s form has been patchy, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings, though they will take heart from their solid home record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at the Estadio El Prado. Real Avilés, meanwhile, are enduring a tougher spell, failing to win in their last five, recording three losses and two draws. Their away form offers some hope, with 5 wins and 2 draws from 13 matches on the road. Their recent results showed both teams recording draws, which neither team will want to repeat in this match.
The solitary head-to-head meeting between these sides ended in a draw, suggesting a potentially tight affair. Unfortunately, we have no injury news to report. Given Talavera’s home advantage and the Elo model favouring them with a 65.58% win probability, they will likely be pushing for all three points. However, Avilés' decent away record cannot be discounted, making this a tense and vital clash.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
45%
1.95
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
32%
1.91
low
O/U
Under 2.5
62%
1.70
high
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio El Prado
Referee
-
Round
Group 1 - 28
CF Talavera
Real Avilés
64%
Win Probability
36%
Match Analysis
Double chance : CF Talavera or draw
Predicted winner: CF Talavera — Win or draw
CF Talavera
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Real Avilés
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Events
20'
⚽
Ferni
31'
⚽
B. Cayarga
45'
🟦
I. Navarro
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
R. Grigore
(E. Chukwuma)
Substitution 1
62'
🔄
B. Cayarga
(R. Rubio)
Substitution 2
62'
🔄
A. Gomez
(C. Rivera)
Substitution 3
62'
🔄
D. Cuenca
(A. Roig)
Substitution 1
62'
🔄
Montero Sergio
(V. Gomez)
Substitution 2
69'
🔄
J. Cueto
(A. Santamaria)
Substitution 4
72'
🔄
I. Navarro
(L. Acosta)
Substitution 3
73'
🔄
O. Menendez
(G. Ortega)
Substitution 5
77'
🔄
M. Moreno
(G. Di Renzo)
Substitution 4
77'
🔄
Pitu
(L. Sanchez)
Substitution 5
83'
🟦
Isi Ros
Yellow Card
90'
🟦
Belman
Yellow Card
90+5'
🟦
K. Bautista
Yellow Card
90+7'
🟦
Yellow Card
Head to Head
CF Talavera
Real Avilés
0
0
0 wins
1 draws
0 wins
2025-10-19
Real Avilés
1 - 1
CF Talavera
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.95
Draw
3.30
Away
3.30
Home
2.62
Draw
2.05
Away
4.00
Home
2.40
Draw
2.38
Away
3.60
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.10
Under 2.5
1.70
Over 3.5
3.75
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
7.50
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
3.55
Away -1.25
1.27
Home -1
3.10
Away -1
1.35
Home -0.75
2.38
Away -0.75
1.55
Home -0.5
2.08
Away -0.5
1.72
Home -0.25
1.80
Away -0.25
2.00
Home +0
1.52
Away +0
2.42
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.32
Away +0.5
3.30
Home +0.75
1.22
Away +0.75
4.15
Home +1
1.12
Away +1
6.40
Home -1.75
5.25
Away -1.75
1.16
Home -1.5
3.90
Away -1.5
1.24
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
7.00
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home -1
6.60
Away -1
1.11
Home -0.75
3.70
Away -0.75
1.26
Home -0.5
2.75
Away -0.5
1.42
Home -0.25
2.10
Away -0.25
1.70
Home +0
1.65
Away +0
2.20
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.24
Away +0.5
3.90
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.67
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.44
1:0
7.00
2:0
9.00
2:1
9.50
3:0
17.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
9.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
17.00
0:1
9.50
0:2
17.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
151.00
1:5
151.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
67.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
126.00
4:3
126.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
101.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
101.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
7.50
Draw/Draw
5.00
Home/Home
3.25
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.50
Away
2.50
Home/Yes
4.75
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
7.50
Home/No
3.25
Draw/No
9.00
Away/No
5.50
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
9.00
u/yes 2.5
7.00
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.50
1
4.33
2
3.50
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
26.00
more 7
17.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
7.50
4
21.00
more 5
34.00
Over 1.5
1.35
Under 1.5
3.10
Over 1.75
1.45
Under 1.75
2.68
Over 2.25
1.85
Under 2.25
1.95
Over 2.5
2.10
Under 2.5
1.70
Over 2.75
2.42
Under 2.75
1.52
Over 3.5
3.70
Under 3.5
1.26
Over 2
1.58
Under 2
2.35
Over 3
3.00
Under 3
1.38
Over 4
6.80
Under 4
1.10
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
4.10
Over 3.25
3.45
Under 3.25
1.30
Over 3.75
4.65
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 1.5
3.10
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 1.75
4.00
Under 1.75
1.23
Over 1
2.02
Under 1
1.78
Over 2
6.80
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.75
1.62
Under 0.75
2.25
Over 1.25
2.50
Under 1.25
1.50
Home -1
3.75
Away -1
1.67
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
21.00
Draw -3
13.00
Away -3
1.06
Home -2
8.50
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.22
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
7.00
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
8.50
Away -1
1.44
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
101.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
29.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
15.00
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
4.50
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
9.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Over 4.5
17.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
more 3
4.50
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
more 3
8.00
Home
3.40
Away
5.50
Home
7.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.62
Away
2.20
Home
10.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.73
Draw
8.50
Away
2.40
Home
1.73
Draw
8.50
Away
2.30
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.75
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
3.50
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.50
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
4.33
Away/Under 2.5
6.50
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
4.75
1 by 4+
21.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
13.00
2 by 3
26.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
3.50
No
1.28
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Draw
2.40
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Over 1.5
7.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Tenerife
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | +32 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Celta de Vigo II
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | +8 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Athletic Club II
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 4. |
Pontevedra
|
27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | +12 | 42 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 5. |
Zamora
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | +5 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 6. |
Real Madrid II
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | +2 | 42 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 7. |
Barakaldo
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 35:29 | +6 | 41 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 8. |
Racing Ferrol
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 9. |
Lugo
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 10. |
Ponferradina
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | +5 | 40 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 11. |
Mérida AD
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:33 | +4 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 13. |
Arenas Getxo
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Real Avilés
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 15. |
Ourense CF
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 16. |
Guadalajara
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 17. |
CF Talavera
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 18. |
Cacereño
|
28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 19. |
Arenteiro
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 20. |
Osasuna II
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
CF Talavera
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 28
GA: 37
GD: -9
Real Avilés
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 39
GA: 47
GD: -8
Last 5 Matches
CF Talavera
07 Mar
A
Mérida AD
0-0
D
Real Avilés
08 Mar
H
Zamora
0-2
L