🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Premier League · Championship Group - 28 FT

Colwyn Bay

D W L W L

3 - 1

HT: 1-0

Barry Town

L L W W W

Llanelian Road · Ref: N. Pratt

Col 2 · Bar 1 1

AI Match Analysis

A tight affair is expected in the Welsh Premier League Championship Group as sixth-placed Colwyn Bay host fifth-placed Barry Town in round 28. Both teams are locked on 30 points, making this a crucial encounter in their pursuit of a strong finish to the season. A win for either side would provide a significant boost, while a draw would do little to separate them in the standings.

Colwyn Bay's home form has been decent, with four wins and four draws from 11 games at Llanelian Road, but they'll need to improve on their three losses. Barry Town's away record is similar, boasting three wins and four draws, but also suffering four defeats. Their recent form, symbolized by a draw against Penybont, suggests they are finding it difficult to convert draws into wins. The match is likely to be a cagey affair, with both teams struggling for consistency away from home.

Historically, Colwyn Bay have the edge in head-to-head encounters, winning two of the last five meetings, with two draws and one Barry Town victory. The ELO-based win probability heavily favors the home side at 58.11%, implying their ground advantage is significant. Given the slight advantage in H2H record and the strong home win probability, Colwyn Bay might just edge this one, but a draw remains a very real possibility.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 46% 2.10 medium

BTTS BTTS Yes 38% 1.73 low

CS 2-1 9% 12.00 low

HT/FT 1/1 20% 5.40 medium

O/U Over 2.5 51% 1.85 medium

Bet at Bet365

Match Info

Stadium

Llanelian Road

Referee

N. Pratt

Round

Championship Group - 28

Colwyn Bay Barry Town

70.36% Win Probability 29.64%

Match Analysis

Double chance : Colwyn Bay or draw

Predicted winner: Colwyn Bay — Win or draw

Colwyn Bay 45.00%

Draw 45.00%

Barry Town 10.00%

Expected goals: -2.5 - -2.5

Match Events

39' 🔄

N. Peate (R. Astles) Substitution 1

45+3' ⚽

L. Robles

54' ⚽

A. Edwards

68' ⚽

A. Edwards

69' 🔄

I. Owen (D. Smith) Substitution 1

69' 🔄

E. Williams (O. Cuddihy) Substitution 2

69' 🔄

A. Edwards (J. Cumming) Substitution 2

75' 🔄

E. Roberts (A. Williams) Substitution 3

76' 🔄

A. Moore (S. Hart) Substitution 4

78' ⚽

M. George

81' 🟦

J. Davies Yellow Card

83' 🟥

D. Barton Red Card

88' 🟦

D. Smith Yellow Card

89' 🟦

R. Astles Yellow Card

Head to Head

Colwyn Bay

Barry Town

2 wins 2 draws 1 wins

2026-02-07

Barry Town 0 - 1 Colwyn Bay

HT: 0-0

2025-11-01

Colwyn Bay 1 - 4 Barry Town

HT: 1-2

2025-08-16

Barry Town 1 - 1 Colwyn Bay

HT: 1-1

2024-04-21

Colwyn Bay 1 - 0 Barry Town

HT: 0-0

2024-03-09

Barry Town 1 - 1 Colwyn Bay

HT: 0-0

Odds

Bet365

Home

2.10

Draw

3.40

Away

2.90

Home

2.75

Draw

2.20

Away

3.50

Over 1.5

1.28

Under 1.5

3.50

Over 2.5

1.85

Under 2.5

1.95

Over 3.5

3.25

Under 3.5

1.33

Over 0.5

1.02

Under 0.5

11.00

Over 4.5

5.50

Under 4.5

1.12

Over 7.5

21.00

Under 7.5

1.00

Over 5.5

9.00

Under 5.5

1.04

Over 6.5

15.00

Under 6.5

1.01

Yes

1.73

2.00

Yes

4.33

1.20

Yes

3.40

1.30

Home -0.25

1.90

Away -0.25

1.90

Home/Draw

1.30

Home/Away

1.25

Draw/Away

1.60

Home/Draw

1.28

Home/Away

1.62

Draw/Away

1.40

1:0

8.50

2:0

11.00

2:1

9.50

3:0

19.00

3:1

17.00

3:2

26.00

4:0

41.00

4:1

41.00

0:0

11.00

1:1

7.00

2:2

15.00

0:1

10.00

0:2

15.00

0:3

34.00

1:2

11.00

1:3

23.00

2:3

34.00

3:3

41.00

0:4

51.00

1:4

51.00

2:4

67.00

4:2

51.00

0:5

151.00

1:5

126.00

2:5

151.00

3:4

101.00

5:0

81.00

5:1

67.00

5:2

101.00

4:3

81.00

1:0

4.33

2:0

12.00

2:1

21.00

3:0

41.00

3:1

51.00

3:2

126.00

4:0

101.00

0:0

3.00

1:1

7.50

2:2

51.00

0:1

5.00

0:2

17.00

0:3

51.00

1:2

23.00

1:3

67.00

2:3

151.00

Home

1.62

Away

2.20

Home/Yes

4.33

Draw/Yes

4.75

Away/Yes

6.00

Home/No

3.75

Draw/No

11.00

Away/No

5.50

o/yes 2.5

2.20

o/no 2.5

9.00

u/yes 2.5

7.00

u/no 2.5

2.40

3.00

2.60

4.00

9.50

26.00

more 5

21.00

Over 1.5

1.27

Under 1.5

3.55

Over 1.75

1.35

Under 1.75

3.10

Over 2.25

1.65

Under 2.25

2.20

Over 2.5

1.90

Under 2.5

1.90

Over 2.75

2.10

Under 2.75

1.70

Over 3.5

3.10

Under 3.5

1.35

Over 2

1.42

Under 2

2.75

Over 3

2.50

Under 3

1.50

Over 4

5.25

Under 4

1.16

Over 1.25

1.17

Under 1.25

5.00

Over 4.5

6.00

Under 4.5

1.12

Over 3.25

2.75

Under 3.25

1.42

Over 3.75

3.80

Under 3.75

1.25

Over 4.25

5.75

Under 4.25

1.14

Over 1.5

2.75

Under 1.5

1.42

Over 1.75

3.55

Under 1.75

1.27

Over 2.25

6.25

Under 2.25

1.12

Over 2.5

7.00

Under 2.5

1.10

Over 2

5.75

Under 2

1.14

Over 0.75

1.52

Under 0.75

2.42

Over 1.25

2.30

Under 1.25

1.60

Home -1

4.00

Away -1

1.60

Draw -1

4.00

Home -1

8.50

Away -1

1.40

Draw -1

3.60

Home

3.75

Away

5.50

Home

7.00

Away

11.00

Home

1.62

Away

2.00

Home

10.00

Away

13.00

Home

3.40

Away

4.33

Home/Over 2.5

3.50

Draw/Over 2.5

12.00

Away/Over 2.5

5.00

Home/Under 2.5

5.00

Draw/Under 2.5

4.50

Away/Under 2.5

6.50

Draw

2.50

1st Half

3.25

2nd Half

2.50

Premier League Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1.	The New Saints	22	17	2	3	59:19	+40	53	W W W W W
2.	GAP Connah S Quay FC	22	14	5	3	48:25	+23	47	W L L D D
3.	Penybont	22	11	5	6	36:31	+5	38	L L L D L
4.	Caernarfon Town	22	9	7	6	44:32	+12	34	L W L L D
5.	Barry Town	22	7	9	6	33:25	+8	30	L W W W L
6.	Colwyn Bay	22	8	6	8	29:25	+4	30	W L W L W
7.	Cardiff MET	22	6	10	6	33:36	-3	28	L D D D L
8.	Briton Ferry	22	6	7	9	32:40	-8	25	W W D L W
9.	Haverfordwest County AFC	22	6	6	10	30:39	-9	24	W L W W W
10.	Bala Town	22	6	5	11	19:30	-11	23	D D L L D
11.	Flint Town United	22	5	6	11	34:48	-14	21	D W D D W
12.	llanelli AFC	22	2	2	18	12:59	-47	8	L D L D L