🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura
· Regular Season - 6
NS
Danubio vs Juventud - Primera División - Apertura
AI Match Analysis
A crucial Primera División Apertura clash sees Danubio host Juventud in Round 6. With Danubio sitting mid-table at ninth with 8 points, and Juventud struggling down in fourteenth with just 4, both sides are desperate for points to either solidify a playoff push or escape the early-season doldrums. A win for Danubio would cement their home form, while Juventud needs a victory to kickstart their campaign and escape the bottom spots.
Danubio's form is mixed, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five, including a recent draw against Penarol. Crucially, they are unbeaten at home, boasting one win and one draw. Juventud's form is equally inconsistent, mirroring Danubio with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their away record is poor, failing to secure a win on the road so far, with one draw and one loss. The recent series of draws for Juventud suggest a team that is difficult to beat but struggles to convert draws into victories.
Head-to-head records show a closely contested rivalry, with Danubio and Juventud each claiming two wins and sharing one draw in their last five encounters. This suggests a potentially tight affair. The Elo ratings strongly favor a Danubio victory, assigning them a 57.92% probability of winning at home. The data points to a narrow Danubio victory, leveraging their home advantage and slightly superior form.
Danubio's form is mixed, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five, including a recent draw against Penarol. Crucially, they are unbeaten at home, boasting one win and one draw. Juventud's form is equally inconsistent, mirroring Danubio with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their away record is poor, failing to secure a win on the road so far, with one draw and one loss. The recent series of draws for Juventud suggest a team that is difficult to beat but struggles to convert draws into victories.
Head-to-head records show a closely contested rivalry, with Danubio and Juventud each claiming two wins and sharing one draw in their last five encounters. This suggests a potentially tight affair. The Elo ratings strongly favor a Danubio victory, assigning them a 57.92% probability of winning at home. The data points to a narrow Danubio victory, leveraging their home advantage and slightly superior form.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
47%
2.00
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
56%
1.67
high
O/U
Under 2.5
58%
1.53
high
Match Info
Stadium
-
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 6
Danubio
Juventud
57.92%
Win Probability
42.08%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Danubio or draw
Predicted winner: Danubio — Win or draw
Danubio
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Juventud
10.00%
Expected goals:
-3.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
Danubio
Juventud
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2025-08-10
Danubio
2 - 1
Juventud
HT: 1-1
2025-06-21
Juventud
3 - 1
Danubio
HT: 0-0
2025-02-09
Juventud
2 - 2
Danubio
HT: 0-2
2021-10-13
Danubio
0 - 1
Juventud
HT: 0-1
2021-07-01
Juventud
0 - 1
Danubio
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.00
Draw
3.10
Away
3.50
Home
2.88
Draw
2.00
Away
4.50
Home
2.40
Draw
2.20
Away
4.00
Over 1.5
1.44
Under 1.5
2.62
Over 2.5
2.40
Under 2.5
1.53
Over 3.5
5.00
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 4.5
11.00
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
23.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
51.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home -1.25
3.70
Away -1.25
1.26
Home -1
3.30
Away -1
1.32
Home -0.75
2.42
Away -0.75
1.52
Home -0.5
2.05
Away -0.5
1.75
Home -0.25
1.78
Away -0.25
2.02
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.38
Away +0.25
3.00
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.19
Away +0.75
4.50
Home +1
1.11
Away +1
6.60
Home -1.75
5.75
Away -1.75
1.14
Home -1.5
4.15
Away -1.5
1.22
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
7.00
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
6.80
Home -1
7.00
Away -1
1.10
Home -0.75
3.80
Away -0.75
1.25
Home -0.5
2.75
Away -0.5
1.42
Home -0.25
2.20
Away -0.25
1.65
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.30
Away +0.25
3.45
Home +0.5
1.21
Away +0.5
4.25
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.40
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.67
Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
6.00
2:0
8.50
2:1
9.50
3:0
19.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
7.00
1:1
6.50
2:2
19.00
0:1
8.50
0:2
17.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
81.00
2:4
101.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
351.00
1:5
301.00
2:5
301.00
3:4
201.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
101.00
5:2
151.00
6:0
301.00
6:1
301.00
4:3
151.00
5:3
351.00
4:4
301.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
12.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
301.00
0:0
2.38
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
23.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
34.00
1:3
126.00
2:3
301.00
0:4
351.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
8.00
Draw/Draw
4.50
Home/Home
3.40
Draw/Home
4.75
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.50
Home
1.50
Away
2.50
Home/Yes
5.50
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
8.50
Home/No
3.25
Draw/No
7.00
Away/No
5.50
o/yes 2.5
3.00
o/no 2.5
10.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
1.91
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.00
1
3.75
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
7.50
5
17.00
6
34.00
more 7
51.00
0
2.38
1
2.50
2
4.75
3
13.00
4
41.00
more 5
101.00
0
3.25
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.00
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.48
Under 1.5
2.60
Over 1.75
1.60
Under 1.75
2.30
Over 2.25
2.15
Under 2.25
1.68
Over 2.5
2.42
Under 2.5
1.52
Over 2.75
3.00
Under 2.75
1.38
Over 3.5
4.65
Under 3.5
1.18
Over 1
1.14
Under 1
5.75
Over 2
1.82
Under 2
1.98
Over 3
3.90
Under 3
1.24
Over 4
6.80
Under 4
1.10
Over 0.75
1.11
Under 0.75
6.60
Over 1.25
1.30
Under 1.25
3.45
Over 3.25
4.25
Under 3.25
1.21
Over 3.75
6.25
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 1.5
3.55
Under 1.5
1.27
Over 1.75
4.65
Under 1.75
1.18
Over 1
2.35
Under 1
1.58
Over 2
6.80
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.52
Under 0.5
2.42
Over 0.75
1.78
Under 0.75
2.02
Over 1.25
2.85
Under 1.25
1.40
Home -1
4.00
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
26.00
Draw -3
13.00
Away -3
1.05
Home -2
10.00
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.20
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
9.00
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
26.00
Home -1
9.50
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.50
Home -3
126.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.17
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
19.00
Over 8.5
1.83
Under 8.5
1.83
Over 9
1.80
Under 9
2.00
Over 9.5
2.00
Under 9.5
1.73
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.10
Under 4
2.50
Home -1
1.98
Away -1
1.82
Home -1
2.10
Away -1
1.95
Draw -1
7.50
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 4.5
41.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.40
1
2.60
2
3.75
more 3
6.00
Over 4.5
1.67
Under 4.5
2.10
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
13.00
Under 2.5
1.04
Over 3.5
34.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.57
Under 0.5
2.25
0
2.20
1
2.50
2
5.50
more 3
13.00
Over 3.5
1.62
Under 3.5
2.20
Home
3.00
Away
5.50
Home
7.00
Away
17.00
Home
1.62
Away
2.50
Home
11.00
Away
17.00
Home
1.80
Draw
7.00
Away
2.50
Home
1.73
Draw
7.00
Away
2.50
Draw
3.20
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
3.75
Away
7.00
Home/Over 2.5
4.00
Draw/Over 2.5
17.00
Away/Over 2.5
7.50
Home/Under 2.5
3.75
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
6.00
1 by 1
3.60
2 by 1
5.00
1 by 4+
23.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
12.00
1 by 3
13.00
2 by 3
34.00
2 by 4+
67.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
7.00
Draw
1.83
1st Half
4.00
2nd Half
3.00
Odd
2.20
Even
1.62
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Yes
2.20
No
1.62
Home
3.25
Away
5.50
Draw
1.62
Under 6
8.00
6 - 8
2.88
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.75
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
8.00
Draw
1.11
Away
11.00
Draw
2.30
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 18.5
1.83
Under 18.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
15.00
Home/Over 1.5
7.50
Home/Under 1.5
3.75
Draw/Under 1.5
2.38
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
19.00
Over 4
1.03
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.08
Under 5
15.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.62
Under 8
3.25
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.00
Under 9
2.20
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.62
Under 10
1.73
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.75
Under 11
1.44
Exactly 7
8.50
Over 7
1.33
Under 7
4.50
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.50
Under 12
1.25
Exactly 6
10.00
Over 6
1.18
Under 6
8.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
8.00
Under 13
1.14
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.08
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
21.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
15.00
Under 15
1.04
Primera División - Apertura Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Racing Montevideo
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
Penarol
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 3. |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Atletico Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 5. |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 6. |
Central Espanol
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Club Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 8. |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9. |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 10. |
Wanderers
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 11. |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 12. |
Albion FC
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 13. |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 14. |
Juventud
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 15. |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 16. |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Danubio
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 6
GA: 7
GD: -1
Juventud
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 8
GD: +1
Last 5 Matches
Danubio
07 Mar
A
Penarol
1-1
D
Juventud
13 Mar
A
Independiente Medellin
1-2
L
08 Mar
H
Club Nacional
3-1
W
06 Mar
H
Independiente Medellin
1-1
D
26 Feb
A
Club Guarani
2-1
W