🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30 NS

De Graafschap vs Vitesse - Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
D W W W D
11:15
Sun, 08 Mar 2026
Vitesse
Vitesse
D W D L W
De Vijverberg · Ref: R. Hensgens

Match Preview

A crucial Eerste Divisie clash unfolds as De Graafschap, currently fourth in the standings, welcomes Vitesse, languishing in 19th, for their Round 30 encounter. De Graafschap will be eager to consolidate their playoff position with a victory, while Vitesse desperately needs points to climb away from the relegation zone. A win for the hosts would significantly bolster their promotion ambitions, while a positive result for Vitesse could spark a late-season resurgence.

De Graafschap's form has been solid, though their home record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses reveals some vulnerability at De Vijverberg. While not unbeatable at home, their overall goal difference of +11 suggests a team capable of finding the net consistently. Vitesse's away form mirrors their overall struggles, with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses on the road. They have shown glimpses of resilience, but their negative goal difference indicates a difficulty in securing victories.

Historically, Vitesse holds a significant edge in the head-to-head record, winning four of the last five meetings between the two sides. However, past results may hold little sway given the current contrasting form and league positions. De Graafschap's superior standing and the advantage of playing on home soil make them the favorites, as reflected in the Elo-based win probability favoring the home side. Expect De Graafschap to leverage their position and home advantage to secure a vital three points.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 57% 1.75 high
BTTS BTTS Yes 71% 1.40 high
CS 2-1 10% 10.80 medium
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HT/FT 1/1 30% 3.60 medium
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O/U Over 2.5 71% 1.40 high

Match Info

Stadium
De Vijverberg
Referee
R. Hensgens
Round
Regular Season - 30
De Graafschap Vitesse
59.25% Win Probability 40.75%

Match Analysis

Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

Predicted winner: De Graafschap — Win or draw

De Graafschap 35.00%
Draw 35.00%
Vitesse 30.00%
Expected goals: -2.5 - -2.5

Head to Head

De Graafschap
Vitesse
2
3
2 wins 0 draws 3 wins
2025-12-04
Vitesse 1 - 2 De Graafschap
HT: 1-1
2025-02-16
Vitesse 2 - 0 De Graafschap
HT: 1-0
2024-09-29
De Graafschap 3 - 1 Vitesse
HT: 1-0
2019-10-29
Vitesse 2 - 0 De Graafschap
HT: 1-0
2019-05-12
Vitesse 6 - 1 De Graafschap
HT: 2-0

Odds

Bet365
Home
1.75
Draw
4.20
Away
4.00
Home
2.30
Draw
2.62
Away
3.75
Home
2.05
Draw
2.88
Away
3.50
Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
6.50
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.88
Over 3.5
1.91
Under 3.5
1.80
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
21.00
Over 8.5
41.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.40
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 7.5
23.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.00
Under 5.5
1.12
Over 6.5
11.00
Under 6.5
1.05
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 1.5
1.62
Under 1.5
2.20
Over 2.5
2.75
Under 2.5
1.40
Over 3.5
6.00
Under 3.5
1.12
Over 0.5
1.12
Under 0.5
6.00
Over 4.5
15.00
Under 4.5
1.03
Yes
1.40
No
2.75
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Yes
2.38
No
1.53
Home -1.25
2.60
Away -1.25
1.48
Home -1
2.35
Away -1
1.58
Home -0.75
2.02
Away -0.75
1.78
Home -0.5
1.80
Away -0.5
2.00
Home -0.25
1.60
Away -0.25
2.30
Home +0
1.40
Away +0
2.85
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.26
Away +0.5
3.70
Home +0.75
1.18
Away +0.75
4.65
Home -2
4.65
Away -2
1.18
Home +1
1.10
Away +1
6.80
Home -1.75
3.55
Away -1.75
1.27
Home -1.5
2.85
Away -1.5
1.40
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
7.00
Home -2.5
5.50
Away -2.5
1.15
Home -2.25
5.25
Away -2.25
1.16
Home -1.25
5.00
Away -1.25
1.17
Home -1
4.25
Away -1
1.21
Home -0.75
2.85
Away -0.75
1.40
Home -0.5
2.30
Away -0.5
1.60
Home -0.25
1.92
Away -0.25
1.88
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.26
Away +0.5
3.70
Home +0.75
1.16
Away +0.75
5.25
Home -1.5
5.75
Away -1.5
1.14
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.95
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.44
Draw/Away
1.57
1:0
13.00
2:0
13.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
17.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
17.00
4:0
29.00
4:1
21.00
0:0
21.00
1:1
8.50
2:2
11.00
0:1
21.00
0:2
26.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
26.00
3:3
29.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
29.00
0:5
201.00
1:5
101.00
2:5
101.00
3:4
51.00
5:0
51.00
5:1
41.00
5:2
51.00
6:0
101.00
6:1
81.00
6:2
101.00
4:3
41.00
3:5
151.00
4:5
251.00
5:3
81.00
5:4
151.00
6:3
151.00
4:4
81.00
7:0
251.00
7:1
151.00
1:0
4.50
2:0
9.00
2:1
13.00
3:0
26.00
3:1
34.00
3:2
67.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
81.00
0:0
4.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
34.00
0:1
6.50
0:2
19.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
19.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
81.00
3:3
201.00
0:4
201.00
1:4
201.00
4:2
201.00
5:0
201.00
5:1
301.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
26.00
Draw/Away
9.00
Draw/Draw
7.50
Home/Home
2.75
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
17.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.00
Home
1.36
Away
3.00
Home/Yes
2.88
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
5.50
Home/No
4.33
Draw/No
21.00
Away/No
10.00
o/yes 2.5
1.62
o/no 2.5
8.00
u/yes 2.5
8.50
u/no 2.5
3.75
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
21.00
1
8.50
2
4.75
3
4.33
4
4.50
5
6.50
6
10.00
more 7
11.00
0
4.00
1
2.75
2
3.50
3
6.50
4
15.00
more 5
26.00
0
6.00
1
3.25
2
3.40
3
5.00
4
10.00
more 5
15.00
Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
6.40
Over 1.75
1.13
Under 1.75
5.90
Over 2.25
1.27
Under 2.25
3.55
Over 2.5
1.40
Under 2.5
2.85
Over 2.75
1.48
Under 2.75
2.60
Over 3.5
2.02
Under 3.5
1.78
Over 2
1.15
Under 2
5.50
Over 3
1.60
Under 3
2.30
Over 4
2.68
Under 4
1.45
Over 5
5.25
Under 5
1.16
Over 4.5
3.30
Under 4.5
1.32
Over 3.25
1.98
Under 3.25
1.82
Over 3.75
2.25
Under 3.75
1.62
Over 4.25
3.00
Under 4.25
1.38
Over 4.75
3.90
Under 4.75
1.24
Over 5.5
5.75
Under 5.5
1.14
Over 5.25
5.50
Under 5.25
1.15
Over 1.5
2.05
Under 1.5
1.75
Over 1.75
2.38
Under 1.75
1.55
Over 2.25
3.70
Under 2.25
1.26
Over 2.5
4.25
Under 2.5
1.21
Over 2.75
5.75
Under 2.75
1.14
Over 1
1.40
Under 1
2.85
Over 2
3.30
Under 2
1.32
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.15
Over 0.75
1.27
Under 0.75
3.55
Over 1.25
1.72
Under 1.25
2.08
Home -1
2.88
Away -1
1.95
Draw -1
4.33
Home -3
11.00
Draw -3
8.50
Away -3
1.12
Home -2
5.50
Draw -2
5.50
Away -2
1.40
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
6.50
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
17.00
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.57
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
41.00
Draw -3
21.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
15.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.11
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
11.00
Over 10.5
1.90
Under 10.5
1.90
Exactly 5
5.50
Over 5
2.38
Under 5
2.10
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 2.5
2.62
Under 2.5
1.44
Over 3.5
5.50
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 4.5
13.00
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 5.5
26.00
Under 5.5
1.01
0
7.00
1
3.40
2
3.25
more 3
2.62
Over 1.5
2.20
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
34.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.75
1
2.62
2
3.60
more 3
5.00
Home
4.33
Away
10.00
Home
5.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.40
Away
2.10
Home
6.50
Away
11.00
Home
1.62
Draw
21.00
Away
2.20
Home
1.62
Draw
21.00
Away
2.20
Draw
4.00
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
1.95
Home
2.20
Away
3.50
Draw/Over 3.5
8.00
Home/Over 3.5
3.40
Away/Over 3.5
8.00
Home/Under 3.5
3.50
Draw/Under 3.5
6.50
Away/Under 3.5
6.50
1 by 1
4.33
2 by 1
6.00
1 by 4+
11.00
1 by 2
5.50
2 by 2
12.00
1 by 3
9.00
2 by 3
23.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
21.00
Draw
2.40
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
7.00
No
1.10
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Under 6
15.00
6 - 8
4.00
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
3.50
Over 14
6.50
Home
5.50
Draw
1.25
Away
7.50
Draw
3.00
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
6.00
Away/Over 1.5
8.00
Home/Over 1.5
4.33
Home/Under 1.5
4.50
Draw/Under 1.5
4.00
Away/Under 1.5
6.50
Exactly 5
19.00
Over 5
1.03
Under 5
21.00
Exactly 8
9.00
Over 8
1.30
Under 8
5.00
Exactly 9
8.50
Over 9
1.53
Under 9
3.40
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
1.83
Under 10
2.38
Exactly 11
8.50
Over 11
2.38
Under 11
1.83
Exactly 7
11.00
Over 7
1.17
Under 7
8.00
Exactly 12
9.50
Over 12
3.25
Under 12
1.53
Exactly 6
15.00
Over 6
1.08
Under 6
15.00
Exactly 13
11.00
Over 13
4.33
Under 13
1.33
Exactly 14
13.00
Over 14
6.50
Under 14
1.20
Exactly 17
23.00
Over 17
17.00
Under 17
1.03
Exactly 18
29.00
Over 18
23.00
Under 18
1.02
Exactly 16
19.00
Over 16
13.00
Under 16
1.06
Exactly 15
15.00
Over 15
10.00
Under 15
1.11

Eerste Divisie Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
ADO Den Haag
30 22 2 6 70:31 +39 68
L W W W W
2.
Cambuur
28 19 6 3 60:32 +28 63
W W W D W
3.
Jong PSV U21
30 15 5 10 61:53 +8 50
W D W L W
4.
De Graafschap
29 14 7 8 55:44 +11 49
D W W W D
5.
Willem II
29 13 7 9 41:36 +5 46
W L W D W
6.
Roda
30 12 10 8 49:45 +4 46
L D W W L
7.
Almere City FC
30 14 3 13 61:50 +11 45
W L W L L
8.
Waalwijk
30 12 8 10 50:44 +6 44
W W D L L
9.
Dordrecht
30 11 9 10 40:39 +1 42
D D L W W
10.
Den Bosch
29 11 6 12 51:53 -2 39
D D W L D
11.
VVV Venlo
30 11 4 15 38:46 -8 37
L L D D W
12.
FC Eindhoven
30 11 4 15 43:54 -11 37
W L L W L
13.
Jong Utrecht
29 8 9 12 47:52 -5 33
L L L D D
14.
Emmen
28 9 6 13 43:51 -8 33
W L D L L
15.
Helmond Sport
30 9 6 15 37:54 -17 33
D L L W W
16.
MVV
30 8 8 14 36:59 -23 32
D D L L W
17.
Jong AZ
29 9 3 17 49:57 -8 30
L D W L W
18.
FC OSS
30 6 10 14 36:51 -15 28
D L D L L
19.
Vitesse
29 10 9 10 43:45 -2 27
W L D W D
20.
Jong Ajax
30 6 8 16 41:55 -14 26
L W D W L
Promotion

Season Form

De Graafschap
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 55 GA: 44 GD: +11
Vitesse
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 43 GA: 45 GD: -2

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