🌍 CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Qualification Round 1 NS

Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad - CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca
W
02:00
Thu, 05 Mar 2026
Libertad
Libertad
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar

Match Preview

A coveted spot in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana group stage is on the line as the Qualification Round 1 pits two Ecuadorian sides against each other. The tie between Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad promises a tactical battle, with both teams eager to secure an advantage in the first leg at the Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Securing passage to the next round not only provides financial benefits but also a chance at continental glory.

Deportivo Cuenca’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with their home record proving crucial to their aspirations. They will need to capitalize on familiar surroundings. Libertad, on the other hand, will be looking to upset the odds away from home. Any away goal for Libertad would put them in a favorable position heading into the return leg.

Historical data suggests a closely contested affair, with Deportivo Cuenca edging Libertad slightly with one win compared to two losses in their last five encounters, with two draws. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors the home side at 59.25%, although the absence of draw probability suggests a winner will emerge on the night. Expect a determined performance from Deportivo Cuenca, driven by the desire to leverage their home advantage and history.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 42% 2.57 low
BTTS BTTS Yes 55% 1.96 medium
CS 1-1 14% 7.71 medium
Get VIP Access
HT/FT 1/1 20% 5.40 medium
Get VIP Access
O/U Under 2.5 51% 2.12 medium

Match Info

Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee
-
Round
Qualification Round 1
Deportivo Cuenca Libertad
59.25% Win Probability 40.75%

Match Analysis

Double chance : draw or Libertad

Predicted winner: Libertad — Win or draw

Deportivo Cuenca 10.00%
Draw 45.00%
Libertad 45.00%

Head to Head

Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
1
2
1 wins 2 draws 2 wins
2025-07-05
Libertad 2 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca
HT: 0-1
2025-03-08
Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Libertad
HT: 0-0
2024-11-23
Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 1 Libertad
HT: 0-0
2024-05-28
Libertad 0 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca
HT: 0-0
2023-08-12
Deportivo Cuenca 2 - 1 Libertad
HT: 1-0

Season Form

Deportivo Cuenca
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 3 GA: 0 GD: +3
Libertad
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 0 GA: 0 GD: +0

More Predictions