🌍 CONMEBOL Sudamericana
· Qualification Round 1
NS
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad - CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Deportivo Cuenca
W
02:00
Thu, 05 Mar 2026
Libertad
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Match Preview
A coveted spot in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana group stage is on the line as the Qualification Round 1 pits two Ecuadorian sides against each other. The tie between Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad promises a tactical battle, with both teams eager to secure an advantage in the first leg at the Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Securing passage to the next round not only provides financial benefits but also a chance at continental glory.
Deportivo Cuenca’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with their home record proving crucial to their aspirations. They will need to capitalize on familiar surroundings. Libertad, on the other hand, will be looking to upset the odds away from home. Any away goal for Libertad would put them in a favorable position heading into the return leg.
Historical data suggests a closely contested affair, with Deportivo Cuenca edging Libertad slightly with one win compared to two losses in their last five encounters, with two draws. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors the home side at 59.25%, although the absence of draw probability suggests a winner will emerge on the night. Expect a determined performance from Deportivo Cuenca, driven by the desire to leverage their home advantage and history.
Deportivo Cuenca’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with their home record proving crucial to their aspirations. They will need to capitalize on familiar surroundings. Libertad, on the other hand, will be looking to upset the odds away from home. Any away goal for Libertad would put them in a favorable position heading into the return leg.
Historical data suggests a closely contested affair, with Deportivo Cuenca edging Libertad slightly with one win compared to two losses in their last five encounters, with two draws. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors the home side at 59.25%, although the absence of draw probability suggests a winner will emerge on the night. Expect a determined performance from Deportivo Cuenca, driven by the desire to leverage their home advantage and history.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
42%
2.57
low
BTTS
BTTS Yes
55%
1.96
medium
CS
1-1
14%
7.71
medium
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HT/FT
1/1
20%
5.40
medium
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O/U
Under 2.5
51%
2.12
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee
-
Round
Qualification Round 1
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
59.25%
Win Probability
40.75%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Libertad
Predicted winner: Libertad — Win or draw
Deportivo Cuenca
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Libertad
45.00%
Head to Head
Libertad
1
2
1 wins
2 draws
2 wins
2025-07-05
Libertad
2 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
HT: 0-1
2025-03-08
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 1
Libertad
HT: 0-0
2024-11-23
Deportivo Cuenca
1 - 1
Libertad
HT: 0-0
2024-05-28
Libertad
0 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
HT: 0-0
2023-08-12
Deportivo Cuenca
2 - 1
Libertad
HT: 1-0
Season Form
Deportivo Cuenca
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 3
GA: 0
GD: +3
Libertad
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 0
GA: 0
GD: +0