🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura
· Regular Season - 6
NS
Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting - Primera División - Apertura
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Uruguayan Primera División Apertura sees second-placed Deportivo Maldonado host eighth-placed Defensor Sporting in round six. Maldonado, sitting on 10 points, will be looking to solidify their position near the top of the table, while Defensor Sporting, with 8 points, aim to close the gap and climb into the top four. Expect a competitive encounter with significant implications for both teams' early-season ambitions.
Deportivo Maldonado's recent form is strong, boasting four wins in their last five (WWLW). Their home form is particularly impressive, with a perfect record of two wins from two matches. Defensor Sporting's form is more mixed (DWWL), but they have shown resilience on the road, securing one win and one draw in their three away games. Recent results show both teams coming off draws, suggesting a degree of parity heading into this fixture. Maldonado's home advantage could prove decisive.
Historically, Defensor Sporting holds the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five meetings compared to Maldonado's one, with one draw. The provided Elo ratings give Deportivo Maldonado a significant 61% probability of winning at home. While specific injury news is unavailable, Maldonado's superior home form and higher league position suggest they are slight favorites to secure the three points, despite the historical H2H record favoring the visitors.
Deportivo Maldonado's recent form is strong, boasting four wins in their last five (WWLW). Their home form is particularly impressive, with a perfect record of two wins from two matches. Defensor Sporting's form is more mixed (DWWL), but they have shown resilience on the road, securing one win and one draw in their three away games. Recent results show both teams coming off draws, suggesting a degree of parity heading into this fixture. Maldonado's home advantage could prove decisive.
Historically, Defensor Sporting holds the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five meetings compared to Maldonado's one, with one draw. The provided Elo ratings give Deportivo Maldonado a significant 61% probability of winning at home. While specific injury news is unavailable, Maldonado's superior home form and higher league position suggest they are slight favorites to secure the three points, despite the historical H2H record favoring the visitors.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
45%
2.25
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
60%
1.80
high
O/U
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
high
Match Info
Stadium
-
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 6
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
60.85%
Win Probability
39.15%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Deportivo Maldonado or draw
Predicted winner: Deportivo Maldonado — Win or draw
Deportivo Maldonado
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Defensor Sporting
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Head to Head
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2024-09-29
Defensor Sporting
3 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado
HT: 0-0
2024-06-08
Deportivo Maldonado
0 - 2
Defensor Sporting
HT: 0-1
2024-03-24
Deportivo Maldonado
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
HT: 0-0
2023-11-25
Deportivo Maldonado
2 - 1
Defensor Sporting
HT: 1-1
2023-04-22
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.25
Draw
2.90
Away
3.00
Home
3.10
Draw
2.05
Away
3.75
Home
2.75
Draw
2.30
Away
3.25
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
4.40
Away -1.25
1.20
Home -1
3.90
Away -1
1.24
Home -0.75
2.85
Away -0.75
1.40
Home -0.5
2.35
Away -0.5
1.58
Home -0.25
2.02
Away -0.25
1.78
Home +0
1.68
Away +0
2.15
Home +0.25
1.48
Away +0.25
2.60
Home +0.5
1.38
Away +0.5
3.00
Home +0.75
1.25
Away +0.75
3.80
Home +1
1.14
Away +1
5.75
Home -1.75
6.60
Away -1.75
1.11
Home -1.5
4.80
Away -1.5
1.18
Home +1.25
1.12
Away +1.25
6.25
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
6.80
Home -0.75
4.25
Away -0.75
1.21
Home -0.5
3.10
Away -0.5
1.35
Home -0.25
2.38
Away -0.25
1.55
Home +0
1.72
Away +0
2.08
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.27
Away +0.5
3.55
Home +0.75
1.16
Away +0.75
5.25
Home/Draw
1.33
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.53
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.36
1:0
7.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
10.00
3:0
21.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
8.00
1:1
6.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
8.50
0:2
15.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
201.00
1:5
151.00
2:5
251.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
101.00
5:1
101.00
5:2
151.00
6:0
351.00
6:1
351.00
4:3
126.00
5:3
351.00
4:4
351.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
13.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
301.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.00
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
251.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
6.50
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
3.75
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.00
Home
1.62
Away
2.20
Home/Yes
5.50
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
7.00
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
8.00
Away/No
5.00
o/yes 2.5
2.60
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.05
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.00
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
7.00
5
15.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.40
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.85
Over 1.75
1.50
Under 1.75
2.50
Over 2.25
1.98
Under 2.25
1.82
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 2.75
2.60
Under 2.75
1.48
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.23
Over 1
1.12
Under 1
6.40
Over 2
1.65
Under 2
2.20
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.32
Over 0.75
1.11
Under 0.75
6.60
Over 1.25
1.25
Under 1.25
3.80
Over 3.25
3.70
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
5.25
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.25
Under 1.75
1.21
Over 1
2.10
Under 1
1.70
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.68
Under 0.75
2.15
Over 1.25
2.68
Under 1.25
1.45
Home -1
4.75
Away -1
1.53
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
29.00
Draw -3
15.00
Away -3
1.04
Home -2
11.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.17
Home +1
1.33
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
7.00
Home +2
1.08
Draw +2
10.00
Away +2
19.00
Home +3
1.02
Draw +3
21.00
Away +3
41.00
Home -1
10.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
151.00
Draw -3
51.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
12.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
13.00
Over 8.5
1.67
Under 8.5
2.10
Over 9
1.95
Under 9
1.85
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.20
Under 4
2.38
Home -1
1.85
Away -1
1.95
Home -1
2.00
Away -1
2.10
Draw -1
7.50
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.40
1
2.50
2
3.75
more 3
6.00
Over 4.5
1.67
Under 4.5
2.10
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
9.00
Over 3.5
1.73
Under 3.5
2.00
Home
3.75
Away
5.00
Home
9.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.73
Away
2.00
Home
11.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.91
Draw
8.00
Away
2.20
Home
1.91
Draw
8.00
Away
2.20
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
4.00
Away
5.00
Home/Over 2.5
4.33
Draw/Over 2.5
12.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.50
Home/Under 2.5
4.50
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
6.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
4.75
1 by 4+
29.00
1 by 2
7.00
2 by 2
10.00
1 by 3
15.00
2 by 3
23.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
8.00
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Home
3.20
Away
6.50
Draw
1.53
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
5.00
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
8.00
Draw
1.12
Away
9.50
Draw
2.25
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 17.5
1.83
Under 17.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Over 1.5
8.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
5.00
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.67
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.20
Under 9
2.10
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.00
Under 10
1.62
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
4.00
Under 11
1.36
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.33
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.00
Under 12
1.22
Exactly 6
9.50
Over 6
1.20
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
9.00
Under 13
1.12
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.07
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
26.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
17.00
Under 15
1.03
Primera División - Apertura Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Racing Montevideo
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Atletico Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 4. |
Central Espanol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 10 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Penarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 6. |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 7. |
Club Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 8. |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9. |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 10. |
Wanderers
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 11. |
Albion FC
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 13. |
Juventud
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 14. |
Cerro Largo
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 15. |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 16. |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Deportivo Maldonado
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 5
GD: +4
Defensor Sporting
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 4
GA: 3
GD: +1
Last 5 Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
06 Mar
A
Wanderers
0-0
D
Defensor Sporting
08 Mar
H
Central Espanol
0-0
D
03 Mar
A
Atletico Torque
0-1
L