🏴 Championship
· Regular Season - 29
FT
Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers - Championship
East End Park
·
Ref: M. MacDermid
Dun
2
·
Rai
3
AI Match Analysis
A crucial Fife Derby unfolds in the Scottish Championship as fourth-placed Dunfermline host Raith Rovers, who sit three places below them. With Dunfermline chasing a playoff spot and Raith Rovers needing points to distance themselves from the relegation zone, this Round 29 encounter at East End Park carries significant weight. A win for the Pars would solidify their top-four ambitions, while Rovers desperately need to improve their form to avoid a late-season slide.
Dunfermline enter this match in impressive form, boasting three consecutive league wins. Their recent Scottish Cup draws against Aberdeen and Ross County show they can compete with top-tier opposition. At home, however, their record is mixed (5W 4D 5L), suggesting vulnerability. Raith Rovers, conversely, struggle on the road, securing only two wins in 14 away matches, drawing six and losing six. Their form is less inspiring than the Pars, and they will need to overcome their away day blues to get a result.
Historically, Raith Rovers have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters. However, Dunfermline's recent form and the home advantage may swing the pendulum. Given the home side's momentum and the calculated win probability heavily favouring Dunfermline, expect a hard-fought contest with the Pars likely to edge it.
Dunfermline enter this match in impressive form, boasting three consecutive league wins. Their recent Scottish Cup draws against Aberdeen and Ross County show they can compete with top-tier opposition. At home, however, their record is mixed (5W 4D 5L), suggesting vulnerability. Raith Rovers, conversely, struggle on the road, securing only two wins in 14 away matches, drawing six and losing six. Their form is less inspiring than the Pars, and they will need to overcome their away day blues to get a result.
Historically, Raith Rovers have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters. However, Dunfermline's recent form and the home advantage may swing the pendulum. Given the home side's momentum and the calculated win probability heavily favouring Dunfermline, expect a hard-fought contest with the Pars likely to edge it.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
48%
2.45
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
35%
2.00
low
O/U
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
high
Match Info
Stadium
East End Park
Referee
M. MacDermid
Round
Regular Season - 29
Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
78.63%
Win Probability
21.37%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Dunfermline or draw
Predicted winner: Dunfermline — Win or draw
Dunfermline
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Raith Rovers
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Match Events
6'
🔄
O. Thomas
(C. Kane)
Substitution 1
8'
🟦
P. Nsio
Yellow Card
27'
⚽
C. Morrison
(R. Fraser)
29'
🟦
K. Ngwenya
Yellow Card
30'
🔄
J. Hamilton
(I. Cameron)
Substitution 1
43'
🟦
C. Morrison
Yellow Card
59'
🟦
J. Doherty
Yellow Card
61'
🔄
F. Turley
(K. Benedictus)
Substitution 2
61'
🔄
M. Todd
(S. Kearney)
Substitution 3
63'
🔄
D. Easton
(K. Montagu)
Substitution 2
63'
🔄
J. Mullin
(A. Winter)
Substitution 3
72'
🔄
J. Doherty
(R. Matthews)
Substitution 4
72'
🔄
L. Vaughan
(R. Chin)
Substitution 5
74'
🔄
C. Morrison
(J. Cooper)
Substitution 4
74'
🔄
A. Amade
(C. Hamilton)
Substitution 5
87'
🟦
R. Matthews
Yellow Card
90'
⚽
C. Kane
(A. Tod)
90+3'
⚽
A. Tod
(C. Gilmour)
Head to Head
Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
3
2
3 wins
0 draws
2 wins
2025-12-27
Raith Rovers
1 - 2
Dunfermline
HT: 0-2
2025-10-17
Dunfermline
2 - 0
Raith Rovers
HT: 1-0
2025-08-22
Raith Rovers
2 - 0
Dunfermline
HT: 1-0
2025-03-14
Raith Rovers
2 - 0
Dunfermline
HT: 1-0
2025-02-01
Dunfermline
3 - 1
Raith Rovers
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.45
Draw
3.00
Away
2.62
Home
3.25
Draw
1.95
Away
3.40
Home
2.88
Draw
2.25
Away
3.00
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.75
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 4.5
7.50
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Home -1.25
4.80
Away -1.25
1.18
Home -1
4.25
Away -1
1.21
Home -0.75
3.10
Away -0.75
1.35
Home -0.5
2.50
Away -0.5
1.50
Home -0.25
2.20
Away -0.25
1.65
Home +0
1.85
Away +0
1.95
Home +0.25
1.58
Away +0.25
2.35
Home +0.5
1.45
Away +0.5
2.68
Home +0.75
1.30
Away +0.75
3.45
Home +1
1.18
Away +1
4.80
Home -1.75
7.00
Away -1.75
1.10
Home -1.5
5.50
Away -1.5
1.15
Home +1.25
1.15
Away +1.25
5.50
Home +1.5
1.13
Away +1.5
5.90
Home -0.75
4.50
Away -0.75
1.19
Home -0.5
3.30
Away -0.5
1.32
Home -0.25
2.50
Away -0.25
1.50
Home +0
1.85
Away +0
1.95
Home +0.25
1.45
Away +0.25
2.68
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.18
Away +0.75
4.80
Home/Draw
1.40
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.44
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.33
1:0
7.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
11.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
23.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
7.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
17.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
12.00
0:3
29.00
1:2
11.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
151.00
1:5
151.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
126.00
4:3
151.00
1:0
4.50
2:0
15.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
81.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
8.50
2:2
67.00
0:1
4.75
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
6.00
Draw/Draw
4.50
Home/Home
4.00
Draw/Home
6.00
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
4.50
Home
1.80
Away
1.91
Home/Yes
6.00
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
6.50
Home/No
4.00
Draw/No
7.50
Away/No
4.33
o/yes 2.5
2.75
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
1.95
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.50
1
4.00
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
7.50
5
15.00
6
34.00
more 7
21.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
3
13.00
4
41.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.25
1
2.62
2
4.00
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.85
Over 1.75
1.52
Under 1.75
2.42
Over 2.25
2.00
Under 2.25
1.80
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 2.75
2.68
Under 2.75
1.45
Over 3.5
4.15
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 1
1.12
Under 1
6.40
Over 2
1.70
Under 2
2.10
Over 3
3.45
Under 3
1.30
Over 0.75
1.10
Under 0.75
7.00
Over 1.25
1.26
Under 1.25
3.70
Over 3.25
3.70
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
5.50
Under 3.75
1.15
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.40
Under 1.75
1.20
Over 1
2.15
Under 1
1.68
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 0.75
1.70
Under 0.75
2.10
Over 1.25
2.75
Under 1.25
1.42
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.44
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
34.00
Draw -3
17.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
12.00
Draw -2
7.50
Away -2
1.11
Home +1
1.40
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
5.50
Home +2
1.10
Draw +2
8.00
Away +2
13.00
Home -1
12.00
Away -1
1.33
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
301.00
Draw -3
51.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
13.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.30
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
13.00
Over 9.5
1.98
Under 9.5
1.82
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.05
Under 4
2.60
Over 4.5
2.05
Under 4.5
1.75
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
12.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
6.50
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
12.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
7.00
Home
4.00
Away
4.33
Home
10.00
Away
11.00
Home
1.83
Away
1.91
Home
13.00
Away
13.00
Home
2.00
Draw
7.50
Away
2.10
Home
2.00
Draw
7.50
Away
2.10
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
4.50
Away
5.00
Home/Over 2.5
4.75
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.75
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
5.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
4.33
1 by 4+
34.00
1 by 2
7.50
2 by 2
8.00
1 by 3
17.00
2 by 3
19.00
2 by 4+
34.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
7.50
Paul McMullan
4.33
Andy Winter
3.60
Charlie Gilmour
9.00
Richard Chin
6.50
Callum Hannah
12.00
Rory Macleod
3.75
Shea Kearney
8.00
Alasdair Davidson
17.00
Lucas Fyfe
2.88
Nurudeen Abdulai
12.00
Christopher Kane
3.00
Zak Rudden
3.00
Lewis Vaughan
2.88
Jack Hamilton
3.60
Josh Cooper
5.00
Matthew Todd
5.50
Ewan Otoo
8.00
Kane Ritchie-Hosler
7.50
Chris Hamilton
10.00
Kieran Ngwenya
12.00
Dylan Easton
3.60
Lewis Gibson
3.75
Joshua Mullin
6.50
Kai Montagu
5.50
Ross Matthews
8.00
Scott Brown
7.50
Lewis Stevenson
8.00
Shaun Byrne
8.00
Callum Fordyce
12.00
Paul Hanlon
17.00
Freddie Turley
15.00
Olly Thomas
3.00
Jai Rowe
11.00
Darragh O'Connor
17.00
Owen Stirton
3.50
Graham Carey
5.00
Robbie Fraser
12.00
Innes Cameron
3.60
Ewan Wilson
17.00
Callum Morrison
4.50
Kyle Benedictus
12.00
Alfons Amade
8.00
John Tod
15.00
Keith Bray
5.50
Jordan Doherty
10.00
Paul Nsio
9.00
Jeremiah Mullen
12.00
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
8.00
Andrew Tod
3.50
Paul McMullan
4.33
Andy Winter
3.60
Richard Chin
6.50
Callum Hannah
12.00
Lewis Vaughan
2.88
Jack Hamilton
3.60
Dylan Easton
3.60
Lewis Gibson
3.75
Joshua Mullin
6.50
Kai Montagu
5.50
Ross Matthews
8.00
Scott Brown
7.50
Lewis Stevenson
8.00
Shaun Byrne
8.00
Callum Fordyce
12.00
Paul Hanlon
17.00
Jai Rowe
11.00
Darragh O'Connor
17.00
Innes Cameron
3.60
Ewan Wilson
17.00
Jordan Doherty
10.00
Paul Nsio
9.00
Paul McMullan
9.50
Andy Winter
8.00
Richard Chin
15.00
Callum Hannah
29.00
Lewis Vaughan
6.00
Jack Hamilton
8.00
Dylan Easton
8.00
Lewis Gibson
8.50
Joshua Mullin
15.00
Kai Montagu
13.00
Ross Matthews
19.00
Scott Brown
17.00
Lewis Stevenson
19.00
Shaun Byrne
19.00
Callum Fordyce
29.00
Paul Hanlon
41.00
Jai Rowe
26.00
Darragh O'Connor
41.00
Innes Cameron
8.00
Ewan Wilson
41.00
Jordan Doherty
23.00
Paul Nsio
21.00
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Paul McMullan
9.50
Andy Winter
8.00
Richard Chin
15.00
Callum Hannah
29.00
Lewis Vaughan
6.00
Jack Hamilton
8.00
Dylan Easton
8.00
Lewis Gibson
8.50
Joshua Mullin
15.00
Kai Montagu
13.00
Ross Matthews
19.00
Scott Brown
17.00
Lewis Stevenson
19.00
Shaun Byrne
19.00
Callum Fordyce
29.00
Paul Hanlon
41.00
Jai Rowe
26.00
Darragh O'Connor
41.00
Innes Cameron
8.00
Ewan Wilson
41.00
Jordan Doherty
23.00
Paul Nsio
21.00
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Under 6
9.00
6 - 8
3.00
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.50
Over 14
11.00
No Goalscorer
7.50
Paul McMullan
9.50
Andy Winter
8.00
Charlie Gilmour
21.00
Richard Chin
15.00
Callum Hannah
29.00
Rory Macleod
8.50
Shea Kearney
19.00
Alasdair Davidson
41.00
Lucas Fyfe
6.00
Nurudeen Abdulai
29.00
Christopher Kane
6.50
Zak Rudden
6.50
Lewis Vaughan
6.00
Jack Hamilton
8.00
Josh Cooper
11.00
Matthew Todd
13.00
Ewan Otoo
19.00
Kane Ritchie-Hosler
17.00
Chris Hamilton
23.00
Kieran Ngwenya
29.00
Dylan Easton
8.00
Lewis Gibson
8.50
Joshua Mullin
15.00
Kai Montagu
13.00
Ross Matthews
19.00
Scott Brown
17.00
Lewis Stevenson
19.00
Shaun Byrne
19.00
Callum Fordyce
29.00
Paul Hanlon
41.00
Freddie Turley
34.00
Olly Thomas
6.50
Jai Rowe
26.00
Darragh O'Connor
41.00
Owen Stirton
7.50
Graham Carey
11.00
Robbie Fraser
29.00
Innes Cameron
8.00
Ewan Wilson
41.00
Callum Morrison
10.00
Kyle Benedictus
29.00
Alfons Amade
19.00
John Tod
34.00
Keith Bray
13.00
Jordan Doherty
23.00
Paul Nsio
21.00
Jeremiah Mullen
29.00
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
19.00
Andrew Tod
7.50
Charlie Gilmour
9.00
Rory Macleod
3.75
Shea Kearney
8.00
Alasdair Davidson
17.00
Lucas Fyfe
2.88
Nurudeen Abdulai
12.00
Christopher Kane
3.00
Zak Rudden
3.00
Josh Cooper
5.00
Matthew Todd
5.50
Ewan Otoo
8.00
Kane Ritchie-Hosler
7.50
Chris Hamilton
10.00
Kieran Ngwenya
12.00
Freddie Turley
15.00
Olly Thomas
3.00
Owen Stirton
3.50
Graham Carey
5.00
Robbie Fraser
12.00
Callum Morrison
4.50
Kyle Benedictus
12.00
Alfons Amade
8.00
John Tod
15.00
Keith Bray
5.50
Jeremiah Mullen
12.00
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
8.00
Andrew Tod
3.50
Charlie Gilmour
21.00
Rory Macleod
8.50
Shea Kearney
19.00
Alasdair Davidson
41.00
Lucas Fyfe
6.00
Nurudeen Abdulai
29.00
Christopher Kane
6.50
Zak Rudden
6.50
Josh Cooper
11.00
Matthew Todd
13.00
Ewan Otoo
19.00
Kane Ritchie-Hosler
17.00
Chris Hamilton
23.00
Kieran Ngwenya
29.00
Freddie Turley
34.00
Olly Thomas
6.50
Owen Stirton
7.50
Graham Carey
11.00
Robbie Fraser
29.00
Callum Morrison
10.00
Kyle Benedictus
29.00
Alfons Amade
19.00
John Tod
34.00
Keith Bray
13.00
Jeremiah Mullen
29.00
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
19.00
Andrew Tod
7.50
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.75
Charlie Gilmour
21.00
Rory Macleod
8.50
Shea Kearney
19.00
Alasdair Davidson
41.00
Lucas Fyfe
6.00
Nurudeen Abdulai
29.00
Christopher Kane
6.50
Zak Rudden
6.50
Josh Cooper
11.00
Matthew Todd
13.00
Ewan Otoo
19.00
Kane Ritchie-Hosler
17.00
Chris Hamilton
23.00
Kieran Ngwenya
29.00
Freddie Turley
34.00
Olly Thomas
6.50
Owen Stirton
7.50
Graham Carey
11.00
Robbie Fraser
29.00
Callum Morrison
10.00
Kyle Benedictus
29.00
Alfons Amade
19.00
John Tod
34.00
Keith Bray
13.00
Jeremiah Mullen
29.00
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
19.00
Andrew Tod
7.50
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
No Goalscorer
7.50
Paul McMullan
9.50
Andy Winter
8.00
Charlie Gilmour
21.00
Richard Chin
15.00
Callum Hannah
29.00
Rory Macleod
8.50
Shea Kearney
19.00
Alasdair Davidson
41.00
Lucas Fyfe
6.00
Nurudeen Abdulai
29.00
Christopher Kane
6.50
Zak Rudden
6.50
Lewis Vaughan
6.00
Jack Hamilton
8.00
Josh Cooper
11.00
Matthew Todd
13.00
Ewan Otoo
19.00
Kane Ritchie-Hosler
17.00
Chris Hamilton
23.00
Kieran Ngwenya
29.00
Dylan Easton
8.00
Lewis Gibson
8.50
Joshua Mullin
15.00
Kai Montagu
13.00
Ross Matthews
19.00
Scott Brown
17.00
Lewis Stevenson
19.00
Shaun Byrne
19.00
Callum Fordyce
29.00
Paul Hanlon
41.00
Freddie Turley
34.00
Olly Thomas
6.50
Jai Rowe
26.00
Darragh O'Connor
41.00
Owen Stirton
7.50
Graham Carey
11.00
Robbie Fraser
29.00
Innes Cameron
8.00
Ewan Wilson
41.00
Callum Morrison
10.00
Kyle Benedictus
29.00
Alfons Amade
19.00
John Tod
34.00
Keith Bray
13.00
Jordan Doherty
23.00
Paul Nsio
21.00
Jeremiah Mullen
29.00
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
19.00
Andrew Tod
7.50
Yes
13.00
No
1.04
Draw/Over 1.5
8.50
Away/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Over 1.5
9.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.50
Away/Under 1.5
4.75
Exactly 4
19.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.07
Under 5
17.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.53
Under 8
3.40
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
1.91
Under 9
2.38
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.50
Under 10
1.80
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.50
Under 11
1.50
Exactly 7
8.50
Over 7
1.30
Under 7
5.00
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.00
Under 12
1.28
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.17
Under 6
9.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
7.00
Under 13
1.17
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
11.00
Under 14
1.10
Exactly 16
26.00
Over 16
21.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
15.00
Under 15
1.05
Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
ST Johnstone
|
29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53:22 | +31 | 60 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 2. |
Partick
|
28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 42:31 | +11 | 52 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 3. |
Arbroath
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 37:33 | +4 | 44 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 4. |
Dunfermline
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 40:32 | +8 | 39 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 5. |
Ayr Utd
|
28 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 34:34 | 0 | 35 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 6. |
Queen's Park
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 7. |
Raith Rovers
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 8. |
Morton
|
29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 30 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 9. |
Airdrie United
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | -13 | 27 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 10. |
Ross County
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 27 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Dunfermline
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 37
GA: 32
GD: +5
Raith Rovers
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 28
GA: 28
GD: +0
Last 5 Matches
Dunfermline
07 Mar
H
Aberdeen
3-0
W
03 Mar
H
Ross County
3-0
W