🇪🇬 Premier League
· Regular Season - 21
NS
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly - Premier League
El Mokawloon
W
L
W
D
D
19:30
Thu, 05 Mar 2026
Al Ahly
D
W
W
W
D
Arab Contractors Stadium
Match Preview
In the Egyptian Premier League, a crucial round 21 fixture sees struggling El Mokawloon, languishing in 16th place and battling relegation, host title-chasing Al Ahly, currently third in the standings. For Al Ahly, a win is vital to keep pace with the league leaders, while El Mokawloon desperately need points to climb out of the drop zone. Pressure is mounting on both sides for very different reasons.
El Mokawloon's form is a major concern, particularly at home where they are yet to record a victory this season, drawing five and losing four. Al Ahly, on the other hand, are unbeaten away from home, boasting three wins and five draws. However, their recent form is slightly stuttering, reflected in a recent drawn match against Masr. A win would certainly get the ship sailing in the right direction once again.
Historically, the head-to-head record favors El Mokawloon, with three wins in the last five meetings against Al Ahly. However, Al Ahly's superior form and unbeaten away record make them the favorites. The Elo model also suggests a higher probability of an away win. Despite the home side's historical edge, Al Ahly's quality should prevail in this encounter.
El Mokawloon's form is a major concern, particularly at home where they are yet to record a victory this season, drawing five and losing four. Al Ahly, on the other hand, are unbeaten away from home, boasting three wins and five draws. However, their recent form is slightly stuttering, reflected in a recent drawn match against Masr. A win would certainly get the ship sailing in the right direction once again.
Historically, the head-to-head record favors El Mokawloon, with three wins in the last five meetings against Al Ahly. However, Al Ahly's superior form and unbeaten away record make them the favorites. The Elo model also suggests a higher probability of an away win. Despite the home side's historical edge, Al Ahly's quality should prevail in this encounter.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
68%
1.48
high
BTTS
BTTS No
64%
1.57
high
CS
0-1
12%
9.00
medium
Get VIP Access
HT/FT
2/2
29%
3.72
medium
Get VIP Access
O/U
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
high
Match Info
Stadium
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 21
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
61.38%
Win Probability
38.62%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : draw or Al Ahly and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Al Ahly — Win or draw
El Mokawloon
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Al Ahly
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
4
1 wins
0 draws
4 wins
2025-12-30
Al Ahly
0 - 3
El Mokawloon
HT: 0-2
2024-08-04
Al Ahly
4 - 0
El Mokawloon
HT: 2-0
2023-11-04
El Mokawloon
1 - 2
Al Ahly
HT: 0-1
2023-07-16
El Mokawloon
1 - 4
Al Ahly
HT: 1-1
2023-03-07
Al Ahly
2 - 1
El Mokawloon
HT: 2-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
7.00
Draw
3.60
Away
1.48
Home
7.00
Draw
2.10
Away
2.00
Home
6.00
Draw
2.50
Away
1.83
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.67
Over 3.5
3.75
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
7.50
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
2.25
No
1.57
Yes
6.50
No
1.11
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Home -0.5
6.80
Away -0.5
1.10
Home -0.25
6.00
Away -0.25
1.12
Home +0
5.50
Away +0
1.15
Home +0.25
3.30
Away +0.25
1.32
Home +0.5
2.50
Away +0.5
1.50
Home +0.75
2.25
Away +0.75
1.62
Home +1
1.95
Away +1
1.85
Home +2
1.24
Away +2
3.90
Home +1.25
1.68
Away +1.25
2.15
Home +1.5
1.52
Away +1.5
2.42
Home +1.75
1.38
Away +1.75
3.00
Home +2.25
1.21
Away +2.25
4.25
Home +2.5
1.18
Away +2.5
4.65
Home +2.75
1.12
Away +2.75
6.25
Home -0.5
6.80
Away -0.5
1.10
Home -0.25
5.50
Away -0.25
1.15
Home +0
4.10
Away +0
1.23
Home +0.25
2.20
Away +0.25
1.65
Home +0.5
1.72
Away +0.5
2.08
Home +0.75
1.48
Away +0.75
2.60
Home +1
1.23
Away +1
4.00
Home +1.25
1.18
Away +1.25
4.65
Home +1.5
1.14
Away +1.5
5.75
Home/Draw
2.40
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.06
Home/Draw
1.73
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.08
1:0
15.00
2:0
34.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
81.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
67.00
0:0
8.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
23.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
6.00
0:3
9.50
1:2
9.50
1:3
15.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
81.00
0:4
19.00
1:4
29.00
2:4
51.00
0:5
41.00
0:6
81.00
1:5
51.00
1:6
101.00
2:5
101.00
3:4
151.00
0:7
151.00
1:0
8.00
2:0
41.00
2:1
41.00
3:0
151.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
10.00
2:2
81.00
0:1
3.25
0:2
7.50
0:3
23.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
51.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
151.00
Home/Draw
21.00
Home/Away
26.00
Draw/Away
4.00
Draw/Draw
5.50
Home/Home
11.00
Draw/Home
13.00
Away/Home
51.00
Away/Draw
19.00
Away/Away
2.25
Home
5.00
Away
1.14
Home/Yes
17.00
Draw/Yes
6.00
Away/Yes
4.33
Home/No
11.00
Draw/No
8.00
Away/No
2.10
o/yes 2.5
3.10
o/no 2.5
6.00
u/yes 2.5
8.00
u/no 2.5
2.00
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.00
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
26.00
more 7
17.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
34.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.60
Over 2.25
1.90
Under 2.25
1.90
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.68
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.80
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
6.80
Over 2
1.60
Under 2
2.30
Over 3
3.10
Under 3
1.35
Over 4
7.00
Under 4
1.10
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.90
Over 3.25
3.45
Under 3.25
1.30
Over 3.75
4.80
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 1.5
3.10
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 1.75
4.10
Under 1.75
1.23
Over 1
2.05
Under 1
1.75
Over 2
6.80
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.45
Under 0.5
2.68
Over 0.75
1.65
Under 0.75
2.20
Over 1.25
2.60
Under 1.25
1.48
Home -1
19.00
Away -1
1.06
Draw -1
9.00
Home -2
51.00
Draw -2
23.00
Away -2
1.02
Home +1
2.40
Draw +1
3.40
Away +1
2.40
Home +2
1.50
Draw +2
4.33
Away +2
4.50
Home +3
1.14
Draw +3
7.00
Away +3
9.50
Home -1
34.00
Away -1
1.08
Draw -1
8.00
Home +1
1.73
Draw +1
3.00
Away +1
5.50
Home +2
1.11
Draw +2
6.50
Away +2
15.00
Home +3
1.02
Draw +3
21.00
Away +3
41.00
Over 9.5
1.80
Under 9.5
1.91
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.91
Under 4
2.75
Over 1.5
6.00
Under 1.5
1.11
Over 2.5
12.00
Under 2.5
1.01
Over 0.5
2.00
Under 0.5
1.73
0
1.73
1
2.62
2
7.50
more 3
12.00
Over 1.5
1.80
Under 1.5
1.91
Over 2.5
3.40
Under 2.5
1.30
Over 3.5
7.00
Under 3.5
1.08
Over 0.5
1.17
Under 0.5
4.50
Over 4.5
11.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
4.50
1
3.00
2
3.40
more 3
3.40
Home
11.00
Away
2.10
Home
29.00
Away
4.00
Home
3.75
Away
1.30
Home
26.00
Away
10.00
Home
3.40
Draw
8.00
Away
1.44
Home
3.40
Draw
8.00
Away
1.44
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.10
Home
11.00
Away
2.62
Home/Over 2.5
15.00
Draw/Over 2.5
21.00
Away/Over 2.5
2.62
Home/Under 2.5
11.00
Draw/Under 2.5
4.33
Away/Under 2.5
3.10
1 by 1
9.00
2 by 1
3.40
1 by 4+
251.00
1 by 2
23.00
2 by 2
4.33
1 by 3
81.00
2 by 3
7.00
2 by 4+
9.50
Score Draw
6.00
Draw
8.00
Draw
2.75
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Yes
1.73
No
2.00
Yes
4.50
No
1.17
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.20
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
10.00
Draw
1.62
1st Half
4.75
2nd Half
3.60
Odd
2.62
Even
1.44
Draw/Over 1.5
10.00
Away/Over 1.5
4.75
Home/Over 1.5
26.00
Home/Under 1.5
8.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
3.25
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.75
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.80
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.25
Under 10
1.91
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.25
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Zamalek SC
|
18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
Pyramids FC
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | +15 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 3. |
Al Ahly
|
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | +13 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 4. |
Ceramica Cleopatra
|
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | +13 | 37 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 5. |
AL Masry
|
18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | +8 | 29 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 6. |
Smouha SC
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | +5 | 28 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
Wadi Degla
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | +3 | 28 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 8. |
Masr
|
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | +3 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
| 9. |
National Bank of Egypt
|
18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 25 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 10. |
Petrojet
|
19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 11. |
Enppi
|
18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 12. |
El Gouna FC
|
18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 13. |
Future FC
|
18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
| 14. |
Al Ittihad
|
19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 15. |
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 16. |
El Mokawloon
|
19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 17. |
Haras El Hodood
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 18. |
El Geish
|
18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 19. |
Kahraba Ismailia
|
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 20. |
Pharco
|
19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 21. |
Ismaily SC
|
19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
El Mokawloon
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 12
GA: 18
GD: -6
Al Ahly
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 29
GA: 16
GD: +13
Last 5 Matches
Al Ahly
28 Feb
H
Masr
1-1
D