🇨🇾 1. Division
· Regular Season - 26
NS
Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca - 1. Division
Ethnikos Achnas
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Cypriot 1. Division sees Ethnikos Achna fighting for survival against AEK Larnaca, who are aiming to consolidate their position in the Championship playoff spots. With Ethnikos currently 13th and only just above the relegation zone, every point is vital. AEK Larnaca, sitting comfortably in 4th, will be keen to secure a win to boost their chances of a strong finish.
Ethnikos Achna's recent form is a mixed bag, with three wins followed by two losses. Their home record is respectable, with 6 wins from 12 matches. However, AEK Larnaca presents a stern test. Despite their impressive overall standing, AEK has been stuttering recently, drawing their last three league games. Their away form is strong, though, boasting 7 wins from 12 outings. The recent draws against Crystal Palace, Akritas, and Olympiakos could indicate a dip in form or simply a tough run of fixtures.
Historically, head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been closely contested, with one win each and three draws in the last five meetings. While there is no data on specific injuries, the recent draw-heavy form of AEK Larnaca combined with Ethnikos Achna's desperate need for points at home suggests a potentially tighter game than the league standings might indicate. The Elo model slightly favors an away win, but Ethnikos's home advantage could prove decisive.
Ethnikos Achna's recent form is a mixed bag, with three wins followed by two losses. Their home record is respectable, with 6 wins from 12 matches. However, AEK Larnaca presents a stern test. Despite their impressive overall standing, AEK has been stuttering recently, drawing their last three league games. Their away form is strong, though, boasting 7 wins from 12 outings. The recent draws against Crystal Palace, Akritas, and Olympiakos could indicate a dip in form or simply a tough run of fixtures.
Historically, head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been closely contested, with one win each and three draws in the last five meetings. While there is no data on specific injuries, the recent draw-heavy form of AEK Larnaca combined with Ethnikos Achna's desperate need for points at home suggests a potentially tighter game than the league standings might indicate. The Elo model slightly favors an away win, but Ethnikos's home advantage could prove decisive.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
59%
1.55
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
41%
2.00
medium
O/U
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Ethnikos Achnas
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 26
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
46.58%
Win Probability
53.42%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or AEK Larnaca
Predicted winner: AEK Larnaca — Win or draw
Ethnikos Achna
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
AEK Larnaca
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
0
2
0 wins
3 draws
2 wins
2025-12-06
AEK Larnaca
2 - 1
Ethnikos Achna
HT: 1-0
2025-01-08
Ethnikos Achna
2 - 2
AEK Larnaca
HT: 1-2
2024-09-22
AEK Larnaca
2 - 2
Ethnikos Achna
HT: 0-1
2023-12-16
Ethnikos Achna
0 - 3
AEK Larnaca
HT: 0-1
2023-08-28
AEK Larnaca
5 - 5
Ethnikos Achna
HT: 4-4
Odds
Bet365
Home
5.75
Draw
4.10
Away
1.55
Home
6.00
Draw
2.20
Away
2.05
Home
5.00
Draw
2.60
Away
1.91
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.95
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.40
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
6.00
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 7.5
21.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
10.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
15.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
12.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
4.50
Under 2.5
1.18
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Home -0.75
6.80
Away -0.75
1.10
Home -0.5
5.75
Away -0.5
1.14
Home -0.25
5.00
Away -0.25
1.17
Home +0
4.40
Away +0
1.20
Home +0.25
3.00
Away +0.25
1.38
Home +0.5
2.38
Away +0.5
1.55
Home +0.75
2.15
Away +0.75
1.68
Home +1
1.85
Away +1
1.95
Home +2
1.23
Away +2
4.00
Home +1.25
1.62
Away +1.25
2.25
Home +1.5
1.50
Away +1.5
2.50
Home +1.75
1.38
Away +1.75
3.00
Home +2.25
1.20
Away +2.25
4.40
Home +2.5
1.18
Away +2.5
4.80
Home +2.75
1.12
Away +2.75
6.25
Home -0.5
5.90
Away -0.5
1.13
Home -0.25
4.65
Away -0.25
1.18
Home +0
3.55
Away +0
1.27
Home +0.25
2.10
Away +0.25
1.70
Home +0.5
1.70
Away +0.5
2.10
Home +0.75
1.48
Away +0.75
2.60
Home +1
1.23
Away +1
4.00
Home +1.25
1.18
Away +1.25
4.65
Home +1.5
1.15
Away +1.5
5.50
Home +1.75
1.10
Away +1.75
7.00
Home/Draw
2.38
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
1.12
Home/Draw
1.73
Home/Away
1.62
Draw/Away
1.11
1:0
15.00
2:0
29.00
2:1
19.00
3:0
67.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
51.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
126.00
0:0
10.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
19.00
0:1
6.50
0:2
7.00
0:3
11.00
1:2
9.00
1:3
13.00
2:3
29.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
21.00
1:4
26.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
126.00
0:5
41.00
0:6
81.00
1:5
51.00
1:6
101.00
2:5
81.00
2:6
151.00
3:4
101.00
4:3
151.00
0:7
151.00
1:0
7.50
2:0
34.00
2:1
41.00
3:0
126.00
3:1
151.00
0:0
3.00
1:1
9.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
3.50
0:2
7.50
0:3
23.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
151.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
126.00
0:5
151.00
Home/Draw
19.00
Home/Away
23.00
Draw/Away
4.33
Draw/Draw
6.00
Home/Home
9.50
Draw/Home
12.00
Away/Home
51.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
2.30
Home
4.33
Away
1.20
Home/Yes
12.00
Draw/Yes
5.50
Away/Yes
3.75
Home/No
10.00
Draw/No
10.00
Away/No
2.38
o/yes 2.5
2.60
o/no 2.5
6.00
u/yes 2.5
8.00
u/no 2.5
2.25
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
10.00
1
4.75
2
3.60
3
4.00
4
6.00
5
11.00
6
21.00
more 7
15.00
0
3.00
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.50
4
26.00
more 5
21.00
0
3.75
1
2.75
2
3.60
3
7.00
4
17.00
more 5
29.00
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.45
Over 1.75
1.35
Under 1.75
3.10
Over 2.25
1.68
Under 2.25
2.15
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 2.75
2.15
Under 2.75
1.68
Over 3.5
3.30
Under 3.5
1.32
Over 2
1.45
Under 2
2.68
Over 3
2.60
Under 3
1.48
Over 4
5.50
Under 4
1.15
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
4.65
Over 4.5
6.25
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 3.25
2.85
Under 3.25
1.40
Over 3.75
3.90
Under 3.75
1.24
Over 4.25
5.90
Under 4.25
1.13
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.42
Over 1.75
3.55
Under 1.75
1.27
Over 2.25
6.40
Under 2.25
1.12
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 1
1.85
Under 1
1.95
Over 2
5.75
Under 2
1.14
Over 0.5
1.38
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 0.75
1.52
Under 0.75
2.42
Over 1.25
2.30
Under 1.25
1.60
Home -1
13.00
Away -1
1.12
Draw -1
7.50
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
19.00
Away -2
1.03
Home +1
2.38
Draw +1
3.50
Away +1
2.50
Home +2
1.50
Draw +2
4.50
Away +2
4.75
Home +3
1.14
Draw +3
7.00
Away +3
9.50
Home -1
23.00
Away -1
1.11
Draw -1
6.50
Home +1
1.73
Draw +1
3.00
Away +1
5.50
Home +2
1.11
Draw +2
6.50
Away +2
15.00
Home +3
1.02
Draw +3
21.00
Away +3
41.00
Over 8.5
1.83
Under 8.5
1.83
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.38
Under 4
2.20
Over 1.5
4.50
Under 1.5
1.17
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.03
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.73
Under 0.5
2.00
0
2.00
1
2.50
2
6.00
more 3
10.00
Over 1.5
1.73
Under 1.5
2.00
Over 2.5
3.25
Under 2.5
1.33
Over 3.5
6.50
Under 3.5
1.10
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.00
Over 4.5
10.50
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.00
1
3.10
2
3.40
more 3
3.25
Home
10.00
Away
2.38
Home
26.00
Away
4.00
Home
3.25
Away
1.33
Home
21.00
Away
8.00
Home
3.00
Draw
10.00
Away
1.50
Home
3.00
Draw
10.00
Away
1.50
Draw
3.50
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.10
Home
8.00
Away
2.62
Home/Over 2.5
11.00
Draw/Over 2.5
17.00
Away/Over 2.5
2.50
Home/Under 2.5
10.00
Draw/Under 2.5
4.75
Away/Under 2.5
3.60
1 by 1
7.50
2 by 1
3.50
1 by 4+
151.00
1 by 2
19.00
2 by 2
4.50
1 by 3
51.00
2 by 3
7.00
2 by 4+
9.50
Score Draw
5.50
Draw
10.00
Draw
2.75
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
Yes
5.00
No
1.14
Under 6
6.00
6 - 8
2.50
9 - 11
2.88
12 - 14
6.00
Over 14
15.00
Draw
1.73
1st Half
4.33
2nd Half
3.20
Odd
2.38
Even
1.53
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
4.50
Home/Over 1.5
19.00
Home/Under 1.5
7.50
Draw/Under 1.5
3.00
Away/Under 1.5
3.50
Exactly 4
15.00
Over 4
1.05
Under 4
21.00
Exactly 5
11.00
Over 5
1.12
Under 5
11.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.83
Under 8
2.50
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.50
Under 9
1.83
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.50
Under 10
1.50
Exactly 7
7.50
Over 7
1.50
Under 7
3.50
Exactly 6
8.50
Over 6
1.28
Under 6
6.00
1. Division Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Omonia Nicosia
|
25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 58:17 | +41 | 58 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Apollon Limassol
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | +14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Pafos
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | +29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 4. |
AEK Larnaca
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 47:22 | +25 | 50 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 5. |
Apoel Nicosia
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | +18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 6. |
Aris
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | +22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 7. |
Omonia Aradippou
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 8. |
AEL
|
26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
Anorthosis
|
26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 10. |
Olympiakos
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 28 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 11. |
Akritas
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12. |
Krasava Ypsonas
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 13. |
Ethnikos Achna
|
25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 14. |
Enosis
|
25 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 5:63 | -58 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Ethnikos Achna
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 25
GA: 42
GD: -17
AEK Larnaca
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 7
GA: 1
GD: +6
Last 5 Matches
Ethnikos Achna
07 Mar
A
Olympiakos
1-2
L
AEK Larnaca
12 Mar
A
Crystal Palace
0-0
D
06 Mar
H
Akritas
3-0
W
01 Mar
H
Olympiakos
1-1
D