🇨🇠Super League
· Regular Season - 30
FT
FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur - Super League
Swissporarena
·
Ref: Urs Schnyder, Switzerland
FC
2
·
FC
3
AI Match Analysis
A crucial Super League clash unfolds as FC Luzern hosts FC Winterthur in Round 30. Luzern, currently sitting in 7th place with 36 points, will be aiming to solidify their mid-table position and potentially push for a higher spot. For Winterthur, rooted at the bottom in 12th with just 16 points, every match is a desperate fight for survival, hoping to claw their way out of the relegation zone.
Luzern's recent form is a mixed bag, with three wins followed by two losses highlighting inconsistency. Their home record is less than stellar, with only three wins from 14 matches at the Swissporarena. Winterthur, on the other hand, are in dire straits, failing to secure a victory in their last five games, managing only a single point from a possible fifteen. Their away form is equally concerning, with just one win in fifteen away fixtures. Recent results show both teams drawing their last two matches.
Head-to-head records favor Luzern, who have won three of the last five encounters, losing only once. Considering the contrasting form, the home advantage, and the historical dominance, everything points toward a Luzern victory. Winterthur's struggles on the road and Luzern's need to improve their home form make it a difficult task for the visitors. The ELO model gives Luzern a 66.92% chance of winning.
Luzern's recent form is a mixed bag, with three wins followed by two losses highlighting inconsistency. Their home record is less than stellar, with only three wins from 14 matches at the Swissporarena. Winterthur, on the other hand, are in dire straits, failing to secure a victory in their last five games, managing only a single point from a possible fifteen. Their away form is equally concerning, with just one win in fifteen away fixtures. Recent results show both teams drawing their last two matches.
Head-to-head records favor Luzern, who have won three of the last five encounters, losing only once. Considering the contrasting form, the home advantage, and the historical dominance, everything points toward a Luzern victory. Winterthur's struggles on the road and Luzern's need to improve their home form make it a difficult task for the visitors. The ELO model gives Luzern a 66.92% chance of winning.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
63%
1.38
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
36%
1.53
low
O/U
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Swissporarena
Referee
Urs Schnyder, Switzerland
Round
Regular Season - 30
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
63.43%
Win Probability
36.57%
Match Analysis
Combo Winner : FC Luzern and +1.5 goals
Predicted winner: FC Luzern
FC Luzern
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
FC Winterthur
10.00%
Expected goals:
-4.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
68%
Ball Possession
32%
18
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots off Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
0
13
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
554
Total passes
260
468
Passes accurate
176
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Match Events
10'
🟦
O. Kabwit
Yellow Card
15'
⚽
M. Di Giusto
Penalty
16'
🟦
F. Rohner
Yellow Card
32'
⚽
N. Burkart
(A. Hunziker)
37'
🔄
R. Arnold
(T. Citherlet)
Substitution 1
42'
🔄
B. Freimann
(E. Sadikaj)
Substitution 1
45+4'
⚽
T. Golliard
(N. Burkart)
46'
🔄
P. Kasami
(L. Zuffi)
Substitution 2
46'
🔄
S. Cueni
(A. Jankewitz)
Substitution 3
51'
🔄
N. Burkart
(F. Momoh)
Substitution 4
58'
🟦
S. Sidler
Yellow Card
64'
🔄
R. Dantas
(A. Ciganiks)
Substitution 2
64'
🔄
L. M. Silva Ferreira
(L. Villiger)
Substitution 3
69'
🟦
A. Jankewitz
Yellow Card
75'
🔄
O. Kabwit
(S. Wyss)
Substitution 4
75'
🔄
A. Vasovic
(A. Grbic)
Substitution 5
80'
🔄
F. Rohner
(B. Dansoko)
Substitution 5
90+1'
🟦
L. Villiger
Yellow Card
Player Ratings
FC Luzern
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Sinan Karweina
-
-
-
-
-
FC Winterthur
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Dario Ulrich
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
FC Luzern
4-2-2-2
3-4-2-1
FC Winterthur
Mario Frick
Coach
Patrick Rahmen
4-2-2-2
16
Kabwit
19
Vasovic
73
Silva
11
Giusto
24
Owusu
6
Abe
20
Dorn
5
Knežević
46
Freimann
22
Dantas
1
Loretz
3-4-2-1
17
Hunziker
8
Golliard
99
Burkart
27
Rohner
44
Cueni
23
Kasami
24
Sidler
16
Arnold
5
Mühl
21
Lüthi
1
Kapino
Starting XI
1
Pascal Loretz
G
G
Stefanos Kapino
1
20
Pius Dorn
D
D
Remo Arnold
16
5
Stefan Knežević
D
D
Lukas Mühl
5
46
Bung Meng Freimann
D
D
Loïc Lüthi
21
22
Rúben Dantas
D
M
Fabian Rohner
27
24
Tyron Owusu
M
M
Stéphane Cueni
44
6
Taisei Abe
M
M
Pajtim Kasami
23
73
Lucas Silva
M
M
Silvan Sidler
24
11
Matteo Di Giusto
M
F
Theo Golliard
8
16
Oscar Kabwit
F
F
Nishan Burkart
99
19
Andrej Vasovic
F
F
Andrin Hunziker
17
Substitutes
45
Erblin Sadikaj
Tibault Citherlet
33
90
Vaso Vasić
Luca Zuffi
7
2
Severin Ottiger
Alexandre Jankewitz
45
14
Andrejs Cigaņiks
Francis Momoh
14
29
Levin Winkler
Antonio Spagnoli
75
9
Adrian Grbić
Rhodri Smith
3
10
Sinan Karweina
Bafode Dansoko
11
39
Sandro Wyss
Elias Maluvunu
37
27
Lars Villiger
Dario Ulrich
19
Head to Head
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
1
3 wins
1 draws
1 wins
2025-11-29
FC Luzern
1 - 3
FC Winterthur
HT: 1-1
2025-10-25
FC Winterthur
2 - 2
FC Luzern
HT: 2-0
2025-02-09
FC Luzern
3 - 2
FC Winterthur
HT: 1-1
2025-01-11
FC Winterthur
1 - 5
FC Luzern
HT: 1-0
2024-12-14
FC Winterthur
3 - 4
FC Luzern
HT: 3-2
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.38
Draw
5.00
Away
7.00
Home
1.73
Draw
2.88
Away
6.00
Home
1.62
Draw
3.20
Away
5.50
Over 1.5
1.10
Under 1.5
7.00
Over 2.5
1.36
Under 2.5
3.10
Over 3.5
1.83
Under 3.5
1.83
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
23.00
Over 8.5
41.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.00
Under 4.5
1.36
Over 7.5
19.00
Under 7.5
1.02
Over 5.5
5.50
Under 5.5
1.14
Over 6.5
11.00
Under 6.5
1.05
Over 1.5
1.91
Under 1.5
1.80
Over 2.5
4.00
Under 2.5
1.22
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 1.5
1.57
Under 1.5
2.25
Over 2.5
2.75
Under 2.5
1.40
Over 3.5
6.00
Under 3.5
1.12
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
6.50
Over 4.5
13.00
Under 4.5
1.04
Yes
1.53
No
2.38
Yes
3.50
No
1.28
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Home -1.25
1.72
Away -1.25
2.08
Home -1
1.52
Away -1
2.42
Home -0.75
1.45
Away -0.75
2.68
Home -0.5
1.38
Away -0.5
3.00
Home -0.25
1.25
Away -0.25
3.80
Home +0
1.14
Away +0
5.75
Home +0.25
1.12
Away +0.25
6.25
Home +0.5
1.11
Away +0.5
6.60
Home -3
5.00
Away -3
1.17
Home -2
2.50
Away -2
1.50
Home -1.75
2.15
Away -1.75
1.68
Home -1.5
1.98
Away -1.5
1.82
Home -2.5
3.10
Away -2.5
1.35
Home -2.25
2.85
Away -2.25
1.40
Home -3.5
5.75
Away -3.5
1.14
Home -3.25
5.50
Away -3.25
1.15
Home -2.75
3.70
Away -2.75
1.26
Home -1.25
3.30
Away -1.25
1.32
Home -1
2.68
Away -1
1.45
Home -0.75
2.08
Away -0.75
1.72
Home -0.5
1.78
Away -0.5
2.02
Home -0.25
1.50
Away -0.25
2.50
Home +0
1.23
Away +0
4.00
Home +0.25
1.17
Away +0.25
5.00
Home +0.5
1.14
Away +0.5
5.75
Home -1.75
5.00
Away -1.75
1.17
Home -1.5
3.70
Away -1.5
1.26
Home/Draw
1.10
Home/Away
1.17
Draw/Away
3.00
Home/Draw
1.11
Home/Away
1.40
Draw/Away
2.00
1:0
12.00
2:0
9.50
2:1
9.00
3:0
11.00
3:1
10.00
3:2
19.00
4:0
17.00
4:1
15.00
0:0
26.00
1:1
11.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
29.00
0:2
41.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
201.00
1:4
101.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
26.00
2:5
251.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
29.00
5:1
26.00
5:2
41.00
6:0
41.00
6:1
41.00
6:2
67.00
4:3
51.00
5:3
81.00
5:4
201.00
6:3
126.00
4:4
101.00
7:0
81.00
7:1
81.00
7:2
126.00
8:0
201.00
8:1
201.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
6.50
2:1
13.00
3:0
15.00
3:1
29.00
3:2
67.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
4.33
1:1
8.00
2:2
41.00
0:1
9.00
0:2
29.00
0:3
101.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
126.00
3:3
301.00
4:2
151.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
151.00
6:0
301.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
17.00
Draw/Draw
9.00
Home/Home
1.95
Draw/Home
4.50
Away/Home
15.00
Away/Draw
19.00
Away/Away
12.00
Home
1.12
Away
6.00
Home/Yes
2.40
Draw/Yes
6.00
Away/Yes
10.00
Home/No
2.75
Draw/No
26.00
Away/No
17.00
o/yes 2.5
1.73
o/no 2.5
5.00
u/yes 2.5
11.00
u/no 2.5
4.00
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
0
26.00
1
9.00
2
5.00
3
4.33
4
4.50
5
6.00
6
9.50
more 7
10.00
0
4.33
1
2.88
2
3.50
3
6.00
4
13.00
more 5
23.00
0
6.50
1
3.40
2
3.40
3
4.75
4
9.00
more 5
13.00
Over 1.5
1.10
Under 1.5
7.00
Over 1.75
1.12
Under 1.75
6.40
Over 2.25
1.24
Under 2.25
3.90
Over 2.5
1.35
Under 2.5
3.10
Over 2.75
1.42
Under 2.75
2.75
Over 3.5
1.90
Under 3.5
1.90
Over 2
1.13
Under 2
5.90
Over 3
1.52
Under 3
2.42
Over 4
2.42
Under 4
1.52
Over 5
4.50
Under 5
1.19
Over 4.5
3.00
Under 4.5
1.38
Over 3.25
1.70
Under 3.25
2.10
Over 3.75
2.10
Under 3.75
1.70
Over 4.25
2.68
Under 4.25
1.45
Over 4.75
3.55
Under 4.75
1.27
Over 5.5
5.25
Under 5.5
1.16
Over 5.25
4.80
Under 5.25
1.18
Over 5.75
6.60
Under 5.75
1.11
Over 1.5
1.98
Under 1.5
1.82
Over 1.75
2.30
Under 1.75
1.60
Over 2.25
3.45
Under 2.25
1.30
Over 2.5
3.90
Under 2.5
1.24
Over 2.75
5.25
Under 2.75
1.16
Over 1
1.35
Under 1
3.10
Over 2
3.00
Under 2
1.38
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.40
Over 0.75
1.25
Under 0.75
3.80
Over 1.25
1.65
Under 1.25
2.20
Home -1
1.91
Away -1
3.00
Draw -1
4.33
Home -3
5.50
Draw -3
6.00
Away -3
1.33
Home -2
3.10
Draw -2
4.50
Away -2
1.83
Home +1
1.10
Draw +1
10.00
Away +1
17.00
Home +2
1.02
Draw +2
21.00
Away +2
41.00
Home -1
3.60
Away -1
2.00
Draw -1
3.00
Home -3
26.00
Draw -3
13.00
Away -3
1.05
Home -2
9.00
Draw -2
5.00
Away -2
1.25
Home +1
1.11
Draw +1
6.50
Away +1
19.00
Over 10
1.88
Under 10
1.92
Over 10.5
1.83
Under 10.5
1.83
Exactly 5
5.50
Over 5
2.30
Under 5
2.10
Over 4.5
1.78
Under 4.5
2.02
Home -4
2.00
Away -4
1.80
Home -3.5
1.80
Away -3.5
2.00
Home -4
2.10
Draw -4
8.00
Away -4
1.91
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.40
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 3.5
3.40
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
11.00
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01
0
11.00
1
4.50
2
3.50
more 3
1.91
Over 6.5
1.80
Under 6.5
1.91
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
9.00
Over 2.5
1.62
Under 2.5
2.20
Over 3.5
1.83
Under 3.5
1.83
Home
2.75
Away
17.00
Home
3.00
Away
26.00
Home
1.20
Away
3.25
Home
5.50
Away
19.00
Home
1.36
Draw
26.00
Away
2.88
Home
1.36
Draw
26.00
Away
2.88
Draw
4.33
1st Half
2.88
2nd Half
1.95
Home
1.80
Away
5.50
Draw/Over 3.5
11.00
Home/Over 3.5
2.40
Away/Over 3.5
17.00
Home/Under 3.5
2.88
Draw/Under 3.5
8.00
Away/Under 3.5
10.00
1 by 1
4.33
2 by 1
10.00
1 by 4+
5.50
1 by 2
4.50
2 by 2
21.00
1 by 3
6.00
2 by 3
51.00
2 by 4+
126.00
Score Draw
6.00
Draw
26.00
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
11.00
No
1.05
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Home
1.80
Away
12.00
Draw
2.20
Under 6
15.00
6 - 8
4.00
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
3.50
Over 14
6.00
Over
1.50
Under
2.50
Home
4.50
Draw
1.25
Away
11.00
Draw
3.40
1st Half
2.88
2nd Half
2.10
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Over 23.5
1.83
Under 23.5
1.83
Over 24.5
1.83
Under 24.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
7.00
Away/Over 1.5
15.00
Home/Over 1.5
3.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
4.33
Away/Under 1.5
9.00
Exactly 4
23.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
34.00
Exactly 5
19.00
Over 5
1.03
Under 5
21.00
Exactly 8
9.00
Over 8
1.30
Under 8
5.00
Exactly 9
8.50
Over 9
1.53
Under 9
3.40
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
1.83
Under 10
2.38
Exactly 11
8.50
Over 11
2.38
Under 11
1.83
Exactly 7
11.00
Over 7
1.17
Under 7
8.00
Exactly 12
9.50
Over 12
3.25
Under 12
1.53
Exactly 6
15.00
Over 6
1.08
Under 6
15.00
Exactly 13
11.00
Over 13
4.33
Under 13
1.33
Exactly 14
13.00
Over 14
6.00
Under 14
1.20
Exactly 17
23.00
Over 17
17.00
Under 17
1.03
Exactly 18
29.00
Over 18
23.00
Under 18
1.02
Exactly 16
19.00
Over 16
12.00
Under 16
1.06
Exactly 15
15.00
Over 15
10.00
Under 15
1.12
Super League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
FC Thun
|
30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | +38 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC ST. Gallen
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 58:35 | +23 | 54 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 3. |
FC Lugano
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 46:36 | +10 | 49 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
FC Basel 1893
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 42:38 | +4 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 5. |
FC Sion
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | +9 | 45 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 6. |
BSC Young Boys
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 58:55 | +3 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 7. |
FC Luzern
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 57:54 | +3 | 36 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 8. |
Lausanne
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 45:47 | -2 | 36 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 9. |
Servette FC
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 47:53 | -6 | 33 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 10. |
FC Zurich
|
30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 11. |
Grasshoppers
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 12. |
FC Winterthur
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 32:79 | -47 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
Relegation
Season Form
FC Luzern
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 57
GA: 54
GD: +3
FC Winterthur
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 32
GA: 79
GD: -47
Last 5 Matches
FC Luzern
07 Mar
A
FC Lugano
3-1
W
04 Mar
H
BSC Young Boys
1-2
L
FC Winterthur
07 Mar
A
FC Sion
1-1
D
03 Mar
H
Servette FC
1-1
D