🇨🇠Super League
· Regular Season - 30
PST
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano - Super League
Kybunpark
·
Ref: L. Fahndrich
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Swiss Super League sees second-placed FC St. Gallen host third-placed FC Lugano in round 30. With just five points separating the sides, this encounter at Kybunpark has significant implications for Champions League qualification. St. Gallen will be eager to extend their lead, while Lugano aims to close the gap and potentially leapfrog their rivals.
St. Gallen's form is a mixed bag (DWDWD), with two consecutive draws in their most recent outings against Basel and Thun. Their home record, standing at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, suggests Kybunpark is generally a fortress, though they've shown vulnerability. Lugano, similarly inconsistent (DDWLW), have also drawn their last three matches, including stalemates against Luzern, Sion, and Grasshoppers. Their away form is respectable (5W 4D 5L), indicating they can pick up points on the road. Both teams appear to be struggling to convert draws into wins lately.
Recent head-to-head results favor Lugano slightly (2W, 2D, 1L in the last 5), though St. Gallen will be buoyed by the considerable home win probability of 74.48% according to Elo ratings. Given both teams' current drawing trend and Lugano's slightly better head-to-head record, expect a tightly contested affair, though St. Gallen's home advantage could be a deciding factor.
St. Gallen's form is a mixed bag (DWDWD), with two consecutive draws in their most recent outings against Basel and Thun. Their home record, standing at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, suggests Kybunpark is generally a fortress, though they've shown vulnerability. Lugano, similarly inconsistent (DDWLW), have also drawn their last three matches, including stalemates against Luzern, Sion, and Grasshoppers. Their away form is respectable (5W 4D 5L), indicating they can pick up points on the road. Both teams appear to be struggling to convert draws into wins lately.
Recent head-to-head results favor Lugano slightly (2W, 2D, 1L in the last 5), though St. Gallen will be buoyed by the considerable home win probability of 74.48% according to Elo ratings. Given both teams' current drawing trend and Lugano's slightly better head-to-head record, expect a tightly contested affair, though St. Gallen's home advantage could be a deciding factor.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
58%
1.85
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
41%
1.62
low
O/U
Over 2.5
56%
1.70
high
Match Info
Stadium
Kybunpark
Referee
L. Fahndrich
Round
Regular Season - 30
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
75.91%
Win Probability
24.09%
Match Analysis
Double chance : FC ST. Gallen or draw
Predicted winner: FC ST. Gallen — Win or draw
FC ST. Gallen
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
FC Lugano
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
3
0
3 wins
2 draws
0 wins
2025-11-26
FC Lugano
1 - 3
FC ST. Gallen
HT: 1-1
2025-09-13
FC ST. Gallen
1 - 0
FC Lugano
HT: 1-0
2025-04-13
FC Lugano
1 - 1
FC ST. Gallen
HT: 0-0
2025-02-05
FC ST. Gallen
2 - 1
FC Lugano
HT: 0-1
2024-09-01
FC Lugano
1 - 1
FC ST. Gallen
HT: 1-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.85
Draw
3.60
Away
4.00
Home
2.40
Draw
2.38
Away
4.00
Home
2.20
Draw
2.62
Away
3.75
Over 1.5
1.20
Under 1.5
4.33
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
Over 3.5
2.62
Under 3.5
1.44
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
5.00
Under 4.5
1.17
Over 7.5
41.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
10.00
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 1.5
1.83
Under 1.5
1.83
Over 2.5
3.75
Under 2.5
1.25
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.18
Under 0.5
4.50
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.62
No
2.20
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Home -1.25
2.85
Away -1.25
1.40
Home -1
2.50
Away -1
1.50
Home -0.75
2.08
Away -0.75
1.72
Home -0.5
1.85
Away -0.5
1.95
Home -0.25
1.62
Away -0.25
2.25
Home +0
1.40
Away +0
2.85
Home +0.25
1.30
Away +0.25
3.45
Home +0.5
1.25
Away +0.5
3.80
Home +0.75
1.17
Away +0.75
5.00
Home -2
5.75
Away -2
1.14
Home +1
1.12
Away +1
6.25
Home -1.75
3.90
Away -1.75
1.24
Home -1.5
3.30
Away -1.5
1.32
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
6.80
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home -2.5
6.60
Away -2.5
1.11
Home -2.25
6.00
Away -2.25
1.12
Home -1.25
5.90
Away -1.25
1.13
Home -1
5.25
Away -1
1.16
Home -0.75
3.10
Away -0.75
1.35
Home -0.5
2.38
Away -0.5
1.55
Home -0.25
1.98
Away -0.25
1.82
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.23
Away +0.5
4.00
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home -1.5
6.60
Away -1.5
1.11
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.91
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.53
Draw/Away
1.53
1:0
9.00
2:0
10.00
2:1
8.50
3:0
17.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
21.00
4:0
29.00
4:1
26.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
13.00
0:1
15.00
0:2
21.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
41.00
0:5
251.00
1:5
151.00
2:5
151.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
51.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
67.00
6:0
126.00
6:1
101.00
6:2
151.00
4:3
67.00
3:5
301.00
5:3
126.00
5:4
351.00
6:3
351.00
4:4
151.00
7:1
351.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
9.50
2:1
17.00
3:0
29.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
126.00
0:0
3.40
1:1
7.50
2:2
41.00
0:1
6.00
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
151.00
3:3
351.00
0:4
251.00
1:4
351.00
4:2
351.00
5:0
301.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
8.50
Draw/Draw
6.00
Home/Home
2.88
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
21.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.50
Home
1.36
Away
3.00
Home/Yes
3.50
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
7.00
Home/No
3.50
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
8.00
o/yes 2.5
2.00
o/no 2.5
8.50
u/yes 2.5
7.00
u/no 2.5
2.75
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
13.00
1
6.00
2
3.75
3
4.00
4
5.00
5
9.00
6
17.00
more 7
21.00
0
3.40
1
2.60
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
0
4.50
1
3.00
2
3.40
3
6.00
4
13.00
more 5
23.00
Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
4.25
Over 1.75
1.25
Under 1.75
3.80
Over 2.25
1.50
Under 2.25
2.50
Over 2.5
1.68
Under 2.5
2.15
Over 2.75
1.85
Under 2.75
1.95
Over 3.5
2.68
Under 3.5
1.45
Over 2
1.30
Under 2
3.45
Over 3
2.10
Under 3
1.70
Over 4
4.10
Under 4
1.23
Over 1.25
1.12
Under 1.25
6.00
Over 4.5
4.80
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 3.25
2.38
Under 3.25
1.55
Over 3.75
3.10
Under 3.75
1.35
Over 4.25
4.40
Under 4.25
1.20
Over 4.75
6.25
Under 4.75
1.12
Over 1.5
2.42
Under 1.5
1.52
Over 1.75
3.10
Under 1.75
1.35
Over 2.25
5.50
Under 2.25
1.15
Over 2.5
5.90
Under 2.5
1.13
Over 1
1.65
Under 1
2.20
Over 2
4.50
Under 2
1.19
Over 0.5
1.32
Under 0.5
3.30
Over 0.75
1.42
Under 0.75
2.75
Over 1.25
2.08
Under 1.25
1.72
Home -1
3.20
Away -1
1.91
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
15.00
Draw -3
10.00
Away -3
1.10
Home -2
6.50
Draw -2
5.50
Away -2
1.33
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
6.00
Away +1
8.50
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
6.50
Away -1
1.53
Draw -1
3.25
Home -3
51.00
Draw -3
23.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
21.00
Draw -2
8.50
Away -2
1.09
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
13.00
Over 9.5
1.80
Under 9.5
2.00
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.91
Under 4
2.75
Over 4.5
1.95
Under 4.5
1.85
Home -1.5
1.98
Away -1.5
1.82
Home -1
1.91
Away -1
2.20
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
1.73
Under 1.5
2.00
Over 2.5
3.40
Under 2.5
1.30
Over 3.5
8.00
Under 3.5
1.08
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.50
Over 4.5
19.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
51.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.50
1
3.00
2
3.25
more 3
3.40
Over 5.5
1.91
Under 5.5
1.80
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
2.20
Under 4.5
1.62
Home
3.50
Away
8.00
Home
5.50
Away
15.00
Home
1.44
Away
2.25
Home
8.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.62
Draw
13.00
Away
2.38
Home
1.62
Draw
13.00
Away
2.38
Draw
3.75
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.00
Home
2.62
Away
4.33
Home/Over 2.5
2.75
Draw/Over 2.5
10.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.00
Home/Under 2.5
5.00
Draw/Under 2.5
5.00
Away/Under 2.5
9.50
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
6.00
1 by 4+
15.00
1 by 2
5.50
2 by 2
12.00
1 by 3
10.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
13.00
Draw
2.20
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Home
2.75
Away
5.00
Draw
1.80
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.25
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.00
Over 14
9.00
Over
1.57
Under
2.25
Home
6.00
Draw
1.18
Away
9.00
Draw
2.75
1st Half
3.20
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Over 20.5
1.83
Under 20.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
7.00
Away/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Over 1.5
5.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
3.40
Away/Under 1.5
6.00
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.44
Under 8
3.75
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.80
Under 9
2.62
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.25
Under 10
1.91
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.00
Under 11
1.57
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.25
Under 7
6.00
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
4.00
Under 12
1.36
Exactly 6
12.00
Over 6
1.12
Under 6
10.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
6.00
Under 13
1.22
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
9.00
Under 14
1.12
Exactly 17
29.00
Over 17
23.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
17.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.07
Super League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
FC Thun
|
30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | +38 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC ST. Gallen
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 58:35 | +23 | 54 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 3. |
FC Lugano
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 46:36 | +10 | 49 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
FC Basel 1893
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | +6 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 5. |
FC Sion
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | +9 | 45 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 6. |
BSC Young Boys
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | +5 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 7. |
FC Luzern
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | +2 | 36 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 8. |
Lausanne
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 9. |
Servette FC
|
30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 10. |
FC Zurich
|
30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 11. |
Grasshoppers
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 12. |
FC Winterthur
|
30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
Relegation
Season Form
FC ST. Gallen
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 58
GA: 35
GD: +23
FC Lugano
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 46
GA: 36
GD: +10
Last 5 Matches
FC ST. Gallen
08 Mar
H
FC Basel 1893
3-0
W
05 Mar
A
FC Thun
2-2
D
FC Lugano
07 Mar
H
FC Luzern
1-3
L
04 Mar
H
FC Sion
2-1
W
01 Mar
A
Grasshoppers
0-1
L