🏴 Premier League
· Relegation Group - 28
FT
Flint Town United vs Bala Town - Premier League
Essity Stadium
·
Ref: I. A. Griffith
Fli
1
·
Bal
1
AI Match Analysis
A crucial relegation group fixture in the Welsh Premier League sees Flint Town United host Bala Town in Round 28. With both teams hovering precariously close to the bottom, the stakes are incredibly high at the Essity Stadium. A win for either side would provide a significant boost in their survival bid, while a loss would deepen the relegation worries.
Flint Town enters this match in surprisingly strong form, boasting a four-game winning streak, although recent results have been draws against Bangor 1876 and Haverfordwest County AFC. Despite their overall league position of 11th, the Silkmen will be looking to leverage their home advantage, where they've secured 3 wins and 2 draws this season. Bala Town, sitting just one spot above Flint, have struggled on the road, losing 7 of their 11 away games. This poor away form contrasts sharply with Flint's recent resurgence, presenting a tactical conundrum for the Lakesiders.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Flint Town United, remaining undefeated in their last five encounters with Bala Town, winning twice and drawing three times. While no specific injury information is available, fitness will undoubtedly play a role at this stage of the season. Given Flint's recent form, home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record, they appear well-positioned to secure a vital victory in this relegation battle. The Elo model also gives Flint a whopping 73.06% chance of winning.
Flint Town enters this match in surprisingly strong form, boasting a four-game winning streak, although recent results have been draws against Bangor 1876 and Haverfordwest County AFC. Despite their overall league position of 11th, the Silkmen will be looking to leverage their home advantage, where they've secured 3 wins and 2 draws this season. Bala Town, sitting just one spot above Flint, have struggled on the road, losing 7 of their 11 away games. This poor away form contrasts sharply with Flint's recent resurgence, presenting a tactical conundrum for the Lakesiders.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Flint Town United, remaining undefeated in their last five encounters with Bala Town, winning twice and drawing three times. While no specific injury information is available, fitness will undoubtedly play a role at this stage of the season. Given Flint's recent form, home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record, they appear well-positioned to secure a vital victory in this relegation battle. The Elo model also gives Flint a whopping 73.06% chance of winning.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
52%
1.65
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
34%
1.73
low
O/U
Over 2.5
49%
1.70
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Essity Stadium
Referee
I. A. Griffith
Round
Relegation Group - 28
Flint Town United
Bala Town
71.86%
Win Probability
28.14%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Flint Town United or draw
Predicted winner: Flint Town United — Win or draw
Flint Town United
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Bala Town
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Events
23'
⚽
J. Thorn
28'
🔄
O. Ibrahim
(L. Mendes)
Substitution 1
51'
⚽
C. Ferguson
74'
🔄
E. Reeves
(O. Abadaki)
Substitution 1
74'
🔄
J. Tarasenko
(T. Kelly)
Substitution 2
74'
🔄
L. Hall
(C. Fisher)
Substitution 3
81'
🔄
J. Canavan
(B. Wynne)
Substitution 2
84'
🔄
D. McGiveron
(C. Evans)
Substitution 4
90+1'
🟥
B. Wynne
Red Card
90+5'
🟦
L. Mendes
Yellow Card
Head to Head
Flint Town United
Bala Town
1
1
1 wins
3 draws
1 wins
2026-01-23
Bala Town
3 - 4
Flint Town United
HT: 1-4
2026-01-13
Flint Town United
0 - 4
Bala Town
HT: 0-3
2025-08-08
Bala Town
1 - 1
Flint Town United
HT: 1-1
2024-11-16
Flint Town United
2 - 2
Bala Town
HT: 0-1
2024-10-12
Flint Town United
2 - 2
Bala Town
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.65
Draw
3.60
Away
4.50
Home
2.20
Draw
2.30
Away
4.50
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
Yes
1.73
No
2.00
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.57
Draw/Away
1.62
1:0
8.00
2:0
9.00
2:1
8.50
3:0
13.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
23.00
4:0
23.00
4:1
26.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
15.00
0:1
15.00
0:2
26.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
15.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
41.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
41.00
5:1
41.00
5:2
67.00
6:0
81.00
6:1
81.00
6:2
151.00
4:3
67.00
5:3
151.00
4:4
151.00
1:0
3.75
2:0
8.50
2:1
17.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
101.00
0:0
3.25
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
6.50
0:2
23.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
151.00
Home
1.28
Away
3.50
Home/Yes
3.40
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
8.00
Home/No
3.00
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
9.00
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.62
Draw -1
3.20
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
The New Saints
|
22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 59:19 | +40 | 53 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
GAP Connah S Quay FC
|
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 48:25 | +23 | 47 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 3. |
Penybont
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | +5 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
| 4. |
Caernarfon Town
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 44:32 | +12 | 34 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 5. |
Barry Town
|
22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33:25 | +8 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 6. |
Colwyn Bay
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | +4 | 30 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 7. |
Cardiff MET
|
22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 33:36 | -3 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 8. |
Briton Ferry
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 25 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 9. |
Haverfordwest County AFC
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 10. |
Bala Town
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
| 11. |
Flint Town United
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 12. |
llanelli AFC
|
22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12:59 | -47 | 8 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
Relegation
Season Form
Flint Town United
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 44
GA: 53
GD: -9
Bala Town
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 24
GA: 40
GD: -16
Last 5 Matches
Flint Town United
07 Mar
H
Bangor 1876
5-1
W
01 Mar
A
Haverfordwest County AFC
3-1
W