🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 25
FT
Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa - Ekstraklasa
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
·
Ref: Paweł Raczkowski, Poland
Gor
1
·
Rak
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Polish Ekstraklasa sees sixth-placed Gornik Zabrze host fourth-placed Raków Częstochowa in Round 25. Just two points separate the sides, making this a pivotal match in the battle for European qualification. A win for Gornik would see them leapfrog Raków, while the visitors will be keen to consolidate their position and potentially close the gap on the top three. Expect a tense and tactical affair at the Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
Gornik enters the match in scintillating form, having won their last three league games. Their home form is equally impressive, boasting seven wins from twelve matches. Raków, while also enjoying a strong run with two consecutive wins, have found recent results less convincing, with draws against Fiorentina, Pogon Szczecin, Avia Świdnik and Lech Poznan. Their away record, however, mirrors Gornik's home form, suggesting a tightly contested battle is in store. Gornik's recent defensive solidity will be tested by Raków's attacking prowess.
Head-to-head records show a balanced affair, with both sides claiming two wins and one draw in their last five encounters. The home advantage, coupled with Gornik's superior recent form and the high win probability (68.65%) suggested by Elo ratings, points towards a narrow victory for the hosts. However, Raków's ability to grind out results on the road cannot be discounted, setting the stage for a potentially thrilling encounter.
Gornik enters the match in scintillating form, having won their last three league games. Their home form is equally impressive, boasting seven wins from twelve matches. Raków, while also enjoying a strong run with two consecutive wins, have found recent results less convincing, with draws against Fiorentina, Pogon Szczecin, Avia Świdnik and Lech Poznan. Their away record, however, mirrors Gornik's home form, suggesting a tightly contested battle is in store. Gornik's recent defensive solidity will be tested by Raków's attacking prowess.
Head-to-head records show a balanced affair, with both sides claiming two wins and one draw in their last five encounters. The home advantage, coupled with Gornik's superior recent form and the high win probability (68.65%) suggested by Elo ratings, points towards a narrow victory for the hosts. However, Raków's ability to grind out results on the road cannot be discounted, setting the stage for a potentially thrilling encounter.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
46%
2.40
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
32%
1.95
low
O/U
Over 2.5
45%
2.20
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Referee
Paweł Raczkowski, Poland
Round
Regular Season - 25
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
71.06%
Win Probability
28.94%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa
Predicted winner: Raków Częstochowa — Win or draw
Gornik Zabrze
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Raków Częstochowa
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
6
4
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
0
337
Total passes
423
256
Passes accurate
365
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Match Events
23'
⚽
L. Sadilek
43'
⚽
L. Ambros
(E. Janza)
46'
🔄
Y. Ikia Dimi
(O. Zmrzly)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
I. Lopez
(P. Makuch)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Adriano
(J. C. Silva)
Substitution 2
46'
🔄
L. Rocha
(J. Brunes)
Substitution 3
46'
🔄
M. Bulat
(K. Struski)
Substitution 4
68'
🔄
Josema
(P. Bochniewicz)
Substitution 2
72'
🔄
B. Racovitan
(P. Dawidowicz)
Substitution 5
79'
⚽
M. Ameyaw
(K. Struski)
88'
⚽
L. Sadilek
(M. Khlan)
90'
🔄
S. Liseth
(M. Sauer)
Substitution 3
90'
🔄
M. Khlan
(L. Podolski)
Substitution 4
90+1'
🔄
P. Hellebrand
(B. Donio)
Substitution 5
90+2'
🟥
L. Podolski
Red Card
Player Ratings
Gornik Zabrze
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Borislav Rupanov
-
-
-
-
-
Raków Częstochowa
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Bogdan Mirčetić
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
Gornik Zabrze
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
Raków Częstochowa
Michal Gasparik
Coach
Lukasz Tomczyk
4-3-3
7
Dimi
23
Liseth
33
Khlan
13
Sadílek
8
Hellebrand
18
Ambros
16
Olkowski
26
Janicki
20
Josema
64
Janža
1
Łubik
3-4-2-1
17
Rocha
80
Diaby-Fad.
10
López
19
Ameyaw
5
Bulat
6
Repka
11
Adriano
24
Arsenić
25
Racovițan
4
Svarnas
48
Zych
Starting XI
1
Marcel Łubik
G
G
Oliwier Zych
48
16
Paweł Olkowski
D
D
Zoran Arsenić
24
26
Rafał Janicki
D
D
Bogdan Racovițan
25
20
Josema
D
D
Stratos Svarnas
4
64
Erik Janža
D
M
Michael Ameyaw
19
13
Lukáš Sadílek
M
M
Marko Bulat
5
8
Patrik Hellebrand
M
M
Oskar Repka
6
18
Lukáš Ambros
M
M
Adriano
11
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
F
F
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga
80
23
Sondre Liseth
F
F
Ivi López
10
33
Maksym Khlan
F
F
Leonardo Rocha
17
Substitutes
67
Ondřej Zmrzlý
Jean Carlos
20
4
Paweł Bochniewicz
Karol Struski
23
99
Tomasz Loska
Jonatan Braut Brunes
18
5
Kryspin Szcześniak
Patryk Makuch
9
28
Bastien Donio
Wiktor Zolneczko
29
21
Mathias Sauer
Kacper Trelowski
1
17
Kamil Lukoszek
Ariel Mosór
2
14
Jarosław Kubicki
Mitja Ilenič
35
11
Brandon Domingues
Isak Brusberg
39
36
Michał Rakoczy
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
22
77
Borislav Rupanov
Bogdan Mirčetić
44
10
Lukas Podolski
Paweł Dawidowicz
27
Head to Head
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
3
1
3 wins
1 draws
1 wins
2025-09-15
Raków Częstochowa
0 - 1
Gornik Zabrze
HT: 0-1
2025-02-21
Raków Częstochowa
1 - 0
Gornik Zabrze
HT: 1-0
2024-08-18
Gornik Zabrze
0 - 0
Raków Częstochowa
HT: 0-0
2024-04-19
Raków Częstochowa
0 - 1
Gornik Zabrze
HT: 0-0
2023-10-22
Gornik Zabrze
2 - 1
Raków Częstochowa
HT: 2-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.40
Draw
3.10
Away
2.80
Home
3.20
Draw
2.05
Away
3.60
Home
2.75
Draw
2.30
Away
3.10
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.95
No
1.80
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
4.65
Away -1.25
1.18
Home -1
4.15
Away -1
1.22
Home -0.75
3.00
Away -0.75
1.38
Home -0.5
2.42
Away -0.5
1.52
Home -0.25
2.10
Away -0.25
1.70
Home +0
1.78
Away +0
2.02
Home +0.25
1.55
Away +0.25
2.38
Home +0.5
1.42
Away +0.5
2.75
Home +0.75
1.30
Away +0.75
3.45
Home +1
1.16
Away +1
5.25
Home -1.75
7.00
Away -1.75
1.10
Home -1.5
5.25
Away -1.5
1.16
Home +1.25
1.14
Away +1.25
5.75
Home +1.5
1.12
Away +1.5
6.25
Home -0.75
4.25
Away -0.75
1.21
Home -0.5
3.10
Away -0.5
1.35
Home -0.25
2.42
Away -0.25
1.52
Home +0
1.80
Away +0
2.00
Home +0.25
1.42
Away +0.25
2.75
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.17
Away +0.75
5.00
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.50
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.36
1:0
7.50
2:0
11.00
2:1
10.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
8.00
1:1
6.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
8.00
0:2
13.00
0:3
29.00
1:2
11.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
151.00
1:5
151.00
1:6
501.00
2:5
201.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
126.00
5:2
151.00
6:0
451.00
6:1
401.00
6:2
501.00
4:3
126.00
3:5
451.00
5:3
401.00
4:4
351.00
1:0
4.50
2:0
15.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
301.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
4.75
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
26.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
251.00
1:4
401.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
6.50
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
4.00
Draw/Home
6.00
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
4.75
Home
1.73
Away
2.00
Home/Yes
5.50
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
6.50
Home/No
4.00
Draw/No
8.00
Away/No
4.50
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.00
1
4.00
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
7.00
5
13.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.60
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.85
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 2.75
2.60
Under 2.75
1.48
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.23
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
6.80
Over 2
1.65
Under 2
2.20
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.32
Over 4
6.80
Under 4
1.10
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.90
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.25
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.25
Under 1.75
1.21
Over 1
2.10
Under 1
1.70
Over 2
6.80
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.68
Under 0.75
2.15
Over 1.25
2.68
Under 1.25
1.45
Home -1
5.00
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
29.00
Draw -3
17.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
13.00
Draw -2
7.50
Away -2
1.14
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
6.50
Home +2
1.10
Draw +2
8.50
Away +2
15.00
Home -1
11.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
201.00
Draw -3
51.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
12.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
13.00
Over 9.5
1.83
Under 9.5
1.83
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.95
Under 4
2.62
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.80
Home -0.5
1.95
Away -0.5
1.85
Home -1
2.30
Away -1
1.80
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.25
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
6.50
Over 4.5
1.73
Under 4.5
2.00
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 4.5
1.80
Home
4.00
Away
4.50
Home
9.00
Away
11.00
Home
1.80
Away
2.00
Home
11.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.91
Draw
8.00
Away
2.10
Home
1.91
Draw
8.00
Away
2.10
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
4.00
Away
4.50
Home/Over 2.5
4.50
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.50
Home/Under 2.5
4.75
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
5.50
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
4.50
1 by 4+
29.00
1 by 2
7.50
2 by 2
8.50
1 by 3
17.00
2 by 3
21.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
8.00
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Home
3.40
Away
4.33
Draw
1.73
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.20
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
10.00
Over
1.57
Under
2.25
Home
8.50
Draw
1.14
Away
9.00
Draw
2.20
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 20.5
1.91
Under 20.5
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Over 1.5
8.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
4.75
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.50
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.83
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.38
Under 10
1.83
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.25
Under 11
1.53
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.28
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
4.33
Under 12
1.33
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
6.50
Under 13
1.20
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
10.00
Under 14
1.11
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
19.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.06
Ekstraklasa Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:28 | +12 | 41 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2. |
Jagiellonia
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:31 | +9 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 3. |
Lech Poznan
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 41:36 | +5 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 4. |
Raków Częstochowa
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 33:29 | +4 | 37 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 5. |
GKS Katowice
|
24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 6. |
Gornik Zabrze
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | +2 | 35 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 7. |
Cracovia Krakow
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 29:26 | +3 | 34 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 8. |
Wisla Plock
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 24:23 | +1 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 9. |
Motor Lublin
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 10. |
Radomiak Radom
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | +4 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 11. |
Korona Kielce
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | +2 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 12. |
Piast Gliwice
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 13. |
Lechia Gdansk
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | +2 | 31 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 14. |
Pogon Szczecin
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 15. |
Legia Warszawa
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 16. |
Arka Gdynia
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 17. |
Widzew Łódź
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 18. |
Nieciecza
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
Gornik Zabrze
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 33
GA: 31
GD: +2
Raków Częstochowa
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 20
GA: 5
GD: +15
Last 5 Matches
Gornik Zabrze
08 Mar
A
Motor Lublin
0-0
D
04 Mar
A
Lech Poznan
1-0
W
Raków Częstochowa
12 Mar
A
Fiorentina
1-2
L
08 Mar
H
Pogon Szczecin
2-0
W
05 Mar
A
Avia Świdnik
1-1
D
01 Mar
A
Lech Poznan
3-4
L