🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 2
· Group 2 - 28
FT
Hércules vs Real Murcia - Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Estadio José Rico Pérez
Hé
4
·
Rea
4
AI Match Analysis
A mid-table clash with significant implications unfolds in Group 2 of the Primera División RFEF as tenth-placed Hércules welcomes sixteenth-placed Real Murcia. For Hércules, sitting on 37 points, a victory would solidify their position and potentially ignite a late push towards the playoff places. Real Murcia, with 33 points, are desperate to distance themselves from the relegation zone, making this a crucial encounter at the Estadio José Rico Pérez.
Hércules enters the match with slightly better form, boasting two wins in their last five (WDLDW) compared to Real Murcia's winless streak (DLLDL). Hércules' home form provides a distinct advantage, having secured 8 wins, 2 draws, and only 3 losses on their own turf. Conversely, Real Murcia's away record is decent, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Both teams are coming off of draws in their most recent fixtures, suggesting a potential lack of cutting edge in front of goal.
Historically, Real Murcia has dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last five meetings (3W 2D). However, the Elo model gives Hércules a significant 64.54% win probability, potentially influenced by their strong home record and Real Murcia's recent struggles to convert draws into wins. Given the contrasting home and away form, and the urgency for both sides to secure points, expect a tightly contested affair where Hércules might just edge it.
Hércules enters the match with slightly better form, boasting two wins in their last five (WDLDW) compared to Real Murcia's winless streak (DLLDL). Hércules' home form provides a distinct advantage, having secured 8 wins, 2 draws, and only 3 losses on their own turf. Conversely, Real Murcia's away record is decent, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Both teams are coming off of draws in their most recent fixtures, suggesting a potential lack of cutting edge in front of goal.
Historically, Real Murcia has dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last five meetings (3W 2D). However, the Elo model gives Hércules a significant 64.54% win probability, potentially influenced by their strong home record and Real Murcia's recent struggles to convert draws into wins. Given the contrasting home and away form, and the urgency for both sides to secure points, expect a tightly contested affair where Hércules might just edge it.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
47%
2.30
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
64%
1.50
high
O/U
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
high
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio José Rico Pérez
Referee
-
Round
Group 2 - 28
Hércules
Real Murcia
67.86%
Win Probability
32.14%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : Hércules or draw and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Hércules — Win or draw
Hércules
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Real Murcia
10.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -1.5
Match Events
27'
🟦
S. Vazquez
Yellow Card
37'
🟦
O. Gil
Yellow Card
48'
🟦
H. J. Garcia
Yellow Card
55'
🔄
A. Aranda
(G. F. Sergio)
Substitution 1
55'
🔄
F. Sol
(A. Toril)
Substitution 2
64'
⚽
A. Toril
67'
🟦
Yellow Card
69'
🔄
A. Yoldi
(Juan Carlos)
Substitution 1
69'
🔄
D. Bosilj
(J. Ortuno)
Substitution 2
77'
🔄
J. Jorquera Romero
(A. P. Benito P.)
Substitution 3
78'
🔄
A. Escudero
(J. De Leon)
Substitution 3
78'
🔄
J. Calavera
(C. Mangada)
Substitution 4
82'
🟦
Yellow Card
82'
🔄
O. Gil
(I. Gomez)
Substitution 4
82'
🔄
V. Narro
(A. P. Benito P.)
Substitution 5
83'
🟦
A. P. Benito P.
Yellow Card
85'
⚽
A. Toril
87'
🟦
Yellow Card
90+4'
🟦
Yellow Card
Head to Head
Hércules
Real Murcia
2
1
2 wins
2 draws
1 wins
2026-01-11
Real Murcia
1 - 1
Hércules
HT: 1-0
2025-01-18
Real Murcia
1 - 0
Hércules
HT: 0-0
2024-09-21
Hércules
2 - 0
Real Murcia
HT: 1-0
2024-08-17
Hércules
2 - 1
Real Murcia
HT: 0-1
2022-04-10
Real Murcia
1 - 1
Hércules
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.30
Draw
2.75
Away
3.25
Home
3.20
Draw
1.80
Away
4.00
Home
2.88
Draw
2.05
Away
3.60
Over 1.5
1.62
Under 1.5
2.20
Over 2.5
3.00
Under 2.5
1.36
Over 3.5
6.00
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.00
Over 4.5
10.00
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.00
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
4.33
Under 1.5
1.20
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.67
Under 0.5
2.10
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Yes
7.00
No
1.10
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Home -1.25
4.50
Away -1.25
1.19
Home -1
4.10
Away -1
1.23
Home -0.75
2.85
Away -0.75
1.40
Home -0.5
2.35
Away -0.5
1.58
Home -0.25
2.00
Away -0.25
1.80
Home +0
1.60
Away +0
2.30
Home +0.25
1.42
Away +0.25
2.75
Home +0.5
1.32
Away +0.5
3.30
Home +0.75
1.21
Away +0.75
4.25
Home +1
1.10
Away +1
7.00
Home -1.75
7.00
Away -1.75
1.10
Home -1.5
5.25
Away -1.5
1.16
Home -0.75
4.50
Away -0.75
1.19
Home -0.5
3.30
Away -0.5
1.32
Home -0.25
2.42
Away -0.25
1.52
Home +0
1.68
Away +0
2.15
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.22
Away +0.5
4.15
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.25
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.50
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.91
Draw/Away
1.36
1:0
5.50
2:0
9.50
2:1
11.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
26.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
5.00
1:1
6.00
2:2
23.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
15.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
15.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
51.00
3:3
101.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
81.00
2:4
151.00
4:2
101.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
151.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
15.00
2:1
34.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
101.00
4:0
151.00
0:0
2.10
1:1
10.00
2:2
81.00
0:1
5.00
0:2
21.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
41.00
1:3
126.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
6.50
Draw/Draw
3.75
Home/Home
4.00
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
41.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.57
Away
2.25
Home/Yes
7.00
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
10.00
Home/No
3.25
Draw/No
5.00
Away/No
4.50
o/yes 2.5
3.60
o/no 2.5
13.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
1.67
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.30
Even
1.62
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
0
5.00
1
3.25
2
3.25
3
5.00
4
9.50
5
23.00
6
41.00
more 7
81.00
0
2.10
1
2.50
2
5.50
3
17.00
4
51.00
more 5
151.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
67.00
Over 1.5
1.65
Under 1.5
2.20
Over 1.75
1.85
Under 1.75
1.95
Over 2.25
2.60
Under 2.25
1.48
Over 2.5
3.00
Under 2.5
1.38
Over 2.75
3.70
Under 2.75
1.26
Over 3.5
6.25
Under 3.5
1.12
Over 1
1.22
Under 1
4.15
Over 2
2.25
Under 2
1.62
Over 3
5.50
Under 3
1.15
Over 0.75
1.18
Under 0.75
4.80
Over 1.25
1.42
Under 1.25
2.75
Over 3.25
5.75
Under 3.25
1.14
Over 3.75
7.00
Under 3.75
1.10
Over 1.5
4.15
Under 1.5
1.22
Over 1.75
5.90
Under 1.75
1.13
Over 1
2.75
Under 1
1.42
Over 0.75
2.00
Under 0.75
1.80
Over 1.25
3.45
Under 1.25
1.30
Home -1
5.00
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
34.00
Draw -3
17.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
12.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.12
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
8.00
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
23.00
Home -1
12.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
401.00
Draw -3
67.00
Away -3
1.00
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
13.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
19.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
7.50
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
7.50
Over 1.5
4.33
Under 1.5
1.20
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.04
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.67
Under 0.5
2.10
0
2.10
1
2.50
2
5.50
more 3
9.00
Home
3.25
Away
4.50
Home
10.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.83
Away
2.25
Home
15.00
Away
19.00
Home
1.95
Draw
5.00
Away
2.40
Home
1.95
Draw
5.00
Away
2.40
Draw
2.88
1st Half
3.20
2nd Half
2.30
Home
5.50
Away
7.00
Home/Over 2.5
5.50
Draw/Over 2.5
21.00
Away/Over 2.5
8.00
Home/Under 2.5
3.75
Draw/Under 2.5
3.10
Away/Under 2.5
5.00
1 by 1
3.60
2 by 1
4.50
1 by 4+
34.00
1 by 2
7.00
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
17.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
5.00
Draw
1.83
1st Half
4.00
2nd Half
3.10
Odd
2.25
Even
1.57
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Draw/Over 1.5
9.50
Away/Over 1.5
13.00
Home/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
2.10
Away/Under 1.5
5.00
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Sabadell
|
28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 36:15 | +21 | 51 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Europa Fc
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 42:30 | +12 | 47 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 3. |
Atlético Madrid II
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37:25 | +12 | 45 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
Eldense
|
27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 34:27 | +7 | 44 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 5. |
Teruel
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 41 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 6. |
Villarreal II
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 35:23 | +12 | 40 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 7. |
Antequera
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 32:30 | +2 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 8. |
FC Cartagena
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 9. |
Ibiza
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 30:24 | +6 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 10. |
Hércules
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 37 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 11. |
Algeciras
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
| 12. |
Alcorcon
|
27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 25:24 | +1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 13. |
Juventud Torremolinos
|
27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 14. |
Tarazona
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 15. |
Gimnastic
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 16. |
Real Murcia
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 33 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 17. |
Sanluqueño
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:37 | -13 | 27 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 18. |
Real Betis II
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 19. |
Marbella
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20:35 | -15 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 20. |
Sevilla Atletico
|
27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Hércules
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 30
GA: 30
GD: +0
Real Murcia
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 25
GA: 27
GD: -2
Last 5 Matches
Hércules
08 Mar
A
Atlético Madrid II
0-0
D
Real Murcia
11 Mar
H
Marbella
1-1
D
06 Mar
H
Sanluqueño
0-1
L
01 Mar
A
Villarreal II
1-1
D