🇭🇷 HNL
· Regular Season - 26
FT
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - HNL
Stadion Poljud
·
Ref: Patrik Pavlešić, Croatia
HNK
1
·
NK
1
AI Match Analysis
With HNL's Round 26 upon us, Hajduk Split, currently second in the league with 47 points, welcomes Lokomotiva Zagreb to Stadion Poljud. For Hajduk, maintaining their grip on a Champions League qualifying spot is paramount, while Lokomotiva, sitting in seventh with 30 points, will be eager to upset the odds and climb the table.
Hajduk's recent form shows two consecutive wins in the league, while Lokomotiva's is less convincing with only one win in their last five (DWLWL). Digging deeper, Hajduk's home record is solid (8W 2D 3L), contrasting sharply with Lokomotiva's dismal away form (1W 5D 6L). Lokomotiva has drawn their last three matches. It's clear that Hajduk holds a significant advantage playing on their own turf.
However, the head-to-head record paints a different picture. Lokomotiva has dominated recent encounters, winning three of the last five matches against Hajduk (3L 1D 1W). While the probability numbers heavily favour the home side at 53.78% based on Elo ratings, the recent history between these two sides suggests that Lokomotiva might prove to be a trickier opponent than the standings indicate. Nevertheless, Hajduk's strong home form and need for points to keep pace in the title race should see them secure a result.
Hajduk's recent form shows two consecutive wins in the league, while Lokomotiva's is less convincing with only one win in their last five (DWLWL). Digging deeper, Hajduk's home record is solid (8W 2D 3L), contrasting sharply with Lokomotiva's dismal away form (1W 5D 6L). Lokomotiva has drawn their last three matches. It's clear that Hajduk holds a significant advantage playing on their own turf.
However, the head-to-head record paints a different picture. Lokomotiva has dominated recent encounters, winning three of the last five matches against Hajduk (3L 1D 1W). While the probability numbers heavily favour the home side at 53.78% based on Elo ratings, the recent history between these two sides suggests that Lokomotiva might prove to be a trickier opponent than the standings indicate. Nevertheless, Hajduk's strong home form and need for points to keep pace in the title race should see them secure a result.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
51%
1.57
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
31%
2.00
low
O/U
Over 2.5
46%
2.00
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Stadion Poljud
Referee
Patrik Pavlešić, Croatia
Round
Regular Season - 26
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
56.41%
Win Probability
43.59%
Match Analysis
Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw
Predicted winner: HNK Hajduk Split — Win or draw
HNK Hajduk Split
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
46%
Ball Possession
54%
16
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots off Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
9
16
Fouls
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
324
Total passes
371
273
Passes accurate
314
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Match Events
22'
⚽
M. Livaja
(A. Rebic)
33'
⚽
A. Rebic
(M. Livaja)
46'
🔄
A. Trajkovski
(I. Sabra)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
D. Kamenovic
(M. Situm)
Substitution 2
46'
🔄
B. Boskovic
(J. Vasilj)
Substitution 3
59'
🟦
Z. Sarlija
Yellow Card
62'
⚽
I. Sabra
(M. Pajac)
72'
🔄
H. Guillamon
(M. Sego)
Substitution 1
79'
🔄
A. Stojakovic
(M. Susak)
Substitution 4
81'
🟦
J. Vasilj
Yellow Card
84'
🔄
M. Subotic
(M. Rog)
Substitution 5
85'
🔄
A. Rebic
(D. Melnjak)
Substitution 2
90'
🔄
M. Livaja
(A. Kalik)
Substitution 3
Player Ratings
HNK Hajduk Split
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Noa Skoko
-
-
-
-
-
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Marko Rog
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
HNK Hajduk Split
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gonzalo Garcia
Coach
Nikica Jelavic
4-3-3
28
Brajković
10
Livaja
9
Rebić
21
Pukštas
6
Guillamón
23
Krovinović
8
Sigur
31
Šarlija
15
Marešić
32
Hrgović
33
Silić
3-4-2-1
15
Stojaković
7
Trajkovski
28
Belcar
23
Vešović
10
Subotić
6
Bošković
17
Pajač
20
Kolinger
5
Jukić
33
Kamenović
12
Posavec
Starting XI
33
Toni Silić
G
G
Josip Posavec
12
8
Niko Sigur
D
D
Denis Kolinger
20
31
Zvonimir Šarlija
D
M
Tino Jukić
5
15
Dario Marešić
D
D
Dimitrije Kamenović
33
32
Šimun Hrgović
D
M
Marko Vešović
23
21
Rokas Pukštas
M
D
Matija Subotić
10
6
Hugo Guillamón
M
M
Blaž Bošković
6
23
Filip Krovinović
M
M
Marko Pajač
17
28
Roko Brajković
M
F
Aleksandar Trajkovski
7
10
Marko Livaja
F
M
Leon Belcar
28
9
Ante Rebić
M
M
Aleks Stojaković
15
Substitutes
44
Dante Stipica
Mario Šitum
18
99
Davyd Fesyuk
Jakov Anton Vasilj
29
14
Ron Raçi
Ibrahim Sabra
9
17
Dario Melnjak
Luka Savatović
32
36
Marino Skelin
Luka Dajčer
16
7
Anthony Kalik
Franjo Posavac
19
11
Michele Šego
David Virgili Fernandez
21
24
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
Marko Rog
26
34
Bruno Durdov
Mirko Sušak
11
37
Noa Skoko
Head to Head
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
1
3 wins
1 draws
1 wins
2025-12-13
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1 - 3
HNK Hajduk Split
HT: 1-1
2025-09-27
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HT: 1-0
2025-04-13
HNK Hajduk Split
1 - 1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HT: 0-1
2025-02-02
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3 - 2
HNK Hajduk Split
HT: 2-1
2024-10-26
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HT: 1-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.57
Draw
3.60
Away
5.50
Home
2.20
Draw
2.25
Away
6.00
Home
1.95
Draw
2.50
Away
5.00
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.40
Over 2.5
2.00
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 3.5
3.50
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
9.50
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 1.5
2.20
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
2.38
Away -1.25
1.55
Home -1
2.08
Away -1
1.72
Home -0.75
1.78
Away -0.75
2.02
Home -0.5
1.60
Away -0.5
2.30
Home -0.25
1.42
Away -0.25
2.75
Home +0
1.23
Away +0
4.00
Home +0.25
1.19
Away +0.25
4.50
Home +0.5
1.16
Away +0.5
5.25
Home -2
4.50
Away -2
1.19
Home -1.75
3.30
Away -1.75
1.32
Home -1.5
2.68
Away -1.5
1.45
Home -2.5
5.50
Away -2.5
1.15
Home -2.25
5.00
Away -2.25
1.17
Home -1.25
5.25
Away -1.25
1.16
Home -1
4.40
Away -1
1.20
Home -0.75
2.75
Away -0.75
1.42
Home -0.5
2.20
Away -0.5
1.65
Home -0.25
1.75
Away -0.25
2.05
Home +0
1.30
Away +0
3.45
Home +0.25
1.20
Away +0.25
4.40
Home +0.5
1.15
Away +0.5
5.50
Home -1.5
6.00
Away -1.5
1.12
Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.20
Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.57
Draw/Away
1.62
1:0
6.50
2:0
7.00
2:1
8.50
3:0
12.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
23.00
4:1
29.00
0:0
9.50
1:1
7.00
2:2
19.00
0:1
13.00
0:2
29.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
19.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
51.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
201.00
1:4
126.00
2:4
126.00
4:2
51.00
3:4
201.00
5:0
41.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
81.00
6:0
101.00
6:1
101.00
6:2
251.00
4:3
101.00
5:3
251.00
4:4
351.00
7:0
301.00
7:1
351.00
1:0
3.50
2:0
8.00
2:1
21.00
3:0
26.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
151.00
0:0
2.75
1:1
9.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
29.00
0:3
101.00
1:2
41.00
1:3
151.00
2:3
301.00
5:0
251.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
11.00
Draw/Draw
5.50
Home/Home
2.50
Draw/Home
4.33
Away/Home
23.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
9.50
Home
1.22
Away
4.00
Home/Yes
3.75
Draw/Yes
5.50
Away/Yes
12.00
Home/No
2.50
Draw/No
9.50
Away/No
10.00
o/yes 2.5
2.60
o/no 2.5
7.00
u/yes 2.5
7.50
u/no 2.5
2.20
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
9.50
1
4.75
2
3.50
3
4.33
4
6.00
5
11.00
6
23.00
more 7
29.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
10.00
4
29.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.75
1
2.75
2
3.60
3
7.00
4
19.00
more 5
29.00
Over 1.5
1.32
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 1.75
1.38
Under 1.75
3.00
Over 2.25
1.75
Under 2.25
2.05
Over 2.5
2.00
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 2.75
2.25
Under 2.75
1.62
Over 3.5
3.45
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 2
1.50
Under 2
2.50
Over 3
2.75
Under 3
1.42
Over 4
6.00
Under 4
1.12
Over 1.25
1.19
Under 1.25
4.50
Over 4.5
6.80
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
3.10
Under 3.25
1.35
Over 3.75
4.25
Under 3.75
1.21
Over 4.25
6.40
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 1.5
2.85
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 1.75
3.70
Under 1.75
1.26
Over 2.25
6.80
Under 2.25
1.10
Over 1
1.92
Under 1
1.88
Over 2
6.25
Under 2
1.12
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.85
Over 0.75
1.58
Under 0.75
2.35
Over 1.25
2.38
Under 1.25
1.55
Home -1
2.62
Away -1
2.20
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
12.00
Draw -3
8.00
Away -3
1.12
Home -2
5.50
Draw -2
4.75
Away -2
1.44
Home +1
1.12
Draw +1
7.50
Away +1
15.00
Home +2
1.03
Draw +2
17.00
Away +2
41.00
Home -1
6.00
Away -1
1.62
Draw -1
3.00
Home -3
51.00
Draw -3
21.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
17.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.10
Home +1
1.12
Draw +1
6.00
Away +1
23.00
Over 8.5
1.67
Under 8.5
2.10
Over 9
1.95
Under 9
1.85
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.10
Under 4
2.40
Home -3
1.95
Away -3
1.85
Home -1.5
1.82
Away -1.5
1.98
Home -3
2.10
Draw -3
7.50
Away -3
2.00
Home -2
2.10
Draw -2
7.50
Away -2
1.95
Over 1.5
1.80
Under 1.5
1.91
Over 2.5
3.50
Under 2.5
1.28
Over 3.5
8.00
Under 3.5
1.08
Over 0.5
1.17
Under 0.5
5.00
Over 4.5
19.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
51.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.00
1
3.00
2
3.40
more 3
3.50
Over 5.5
1.73
Under 5.5
2.00
Over 1.5
4.50
Under 1.5
1.18
Over 2.5
15.00
Under 2.5
1.03
Over 3.5
51.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.67
Under 0.5
2.10
0
2.10
1
2.50
2
6.00
more 3
15.00
Over 2.5
1.67
Under 2.5
2.10
Over 3.5
2.00
Under 3.5
1.73
Home
2.50
Away
10.00
Home
4.33
Away
23.00
Home
1.36
Away
3.00
Home
9.00
Away
21.00
Home
1.50
Draw
9.50
Away
2.88
Home
1.50
Draw
9.50
Away
2.88
Draw
3.50
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.10
Home
2.62
Away
8.00
Home/Over 2.5
2.62
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
10.00
Home/Under 2.5
3.60
Draw/Under 2.5
4.50
Away/Under 2.5
10.00
1 by 1
3.60
2 by 1
7.50
1 by 4+
12.00
1 by 2
4.75
2 by 2
17.00
1 by 3
8.00
2 by 3
51.00
2 by 4+
151.00
Score Draw
5.50
Draw
9.50
Draw
1.80
1st Half
4.33
2nd Half
3.10
Odd
2.25
Even
1.57
Yes
5.00
No
1.17
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Home
2.30
Away
12.00
Draw
1.67
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
5.00
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
6.00
Draw
1.14
Away
12.00
Draw
2.75
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 17.5
1.80
Under 17.5
1.91
Draw/Over 1.5
8.50
Away/Over 1.5
19.00
Home/Over 1.5
4.75
Home/Under 1.5
3.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.75
Away/Under 1.5
7.00
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.67
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.10
Under 9
2.10
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
2.75
Under 10
1.67
Exactly 11
10.00
Over 11
4.00
Under 11
1.40
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.33
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.00
Under 12
1.22
Exactly 6
9.50
Over 6
1.20
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
9.00
Under 13
1.12
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.07
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
23.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
17.00
Under 15
1.03
HNL Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 59:20 | +39 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 37:24 | +13 | 47 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
HNK Rijeka
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37:25 | +12 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
NK Varazdin
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 5. |
NK Slaven Belupo
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:38 | -3 | 36 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 6. |
Istra 1961
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 7. |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 8. |
HNK Gorica
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 9. |
NK Osijek
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 10. |
Vukovar
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
HNK Hajduk Split
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 37
GA: 24
GD: +13
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 30
GA: 38
GD: -8
Last 5 Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
08 Mar
H
Dinamo Zagreb
1-3
L
04 Mar
A
HNK Rijeka
2-3
L
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
10 Mar
A
NK Slaven Belupo
1-1
D
07 Mar
H
NK Varazdin
1-1
D
01 Mar
A
HNK Rijeka
0-2
L