🇭🇷 HNL
· Regular Season - 26
FT
HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 - HNL
Stadion HNK Rijeka
·
Ref: Ante Terzić, Croatia
HNK
2
·
Ist
2
AI Match Analysis
A crucial HNL clash sees third-placed HNK Rijeka host Istra 1961, who sit comfortably in sixth. Rijeka needs a win to solidify their European qualification ambitions, while Istra will be desperate to break into the top half of the table. With only a few points separating several teams, every match is pivotal at this stage of the season.
Rijeka's recent form is a mixed bag, highlighted by a string of draws, including stalemates against Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb in the league. While they are unbeaten in their last five, the lack of victories will be a concern. Their home record is solid, with seven wins from thirteen matches, suggesting they are tough to beat at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Conversely, Istra 1961 are struggling, failing to win any of their last five and enduring a string of losses prior to their most recent draw against NK Osijek. Their away form is mediocre, with four wins and seven losses, indicating vulnerabilities on the road.
Head-to-head results show a fairly even split, although Rijeka holds a slight edge. Rijeka's slightly better form overall, combined with their strong home record and the implied win probability, suggests they are the favorites. However, Istra's need for points and the unpredictable nature of the HNL means Rijeka cannot afford to be complacent.
Rijeka's recent form is a mixed bag, highlighted by a string of draws, including stalemates against Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb in the league. While they are unbeaten in their last five, the lack of victories will be a concern. Their home record is solid, with seven wins from thirteen matches, suggesting they are tough to beat at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Conversely, Istra 1961 are struggling, failing to win any of their last five and enduring a string of losses prior to their most recent draw against NK Osijek. Their away form is mediocre, with four wins and seven losses, indicating vulnerabilities on the road.
Head-to-head results show a fairly even split, although Rijeka holds a slight edge. Rijeka's slightly better form overall, combined with their strong home record and the implied win probability, suggests they are the favorites. However, Istra's need for points and the unpredictable nature of the HNL means Rijeka cannot afford to be complacent.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
62%
1.53
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
31%
2.10
low
O/U
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
high
Match Info
Stadium
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Referee
Ante Terzić, Croatia
Round
Regular Season - 26
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
65.12%
Win Probability
34.88%
Match Analysis
Double chance : HNK Rijeka or draw
Predicted winner: HNK Rijeka — Win or draw
HNK Rijeka
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Istra 1961
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Match Statistics
70%
Ball Possession
30%
28
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
2
17
Shots off Goal
3
11
Corner Kicks
0
7
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
526
Total passes
238
463
Passes accurate
146
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Match Events
2'
⚽
S. Prevljak
(S. Gorican)
9'
⚽
E. Frederiksen
(S. Prevljak)
36'
🟦
A. Husic
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
J. Lasickas
(T. Morchiladze)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
D. Petrovic
(A. Barco)
Substitution 2
54'
🔄
A. Mauric
(I. Ayuma)
Substitution 1
61'
🔄
D. Legbo
(D. Adu Adjei)
Substitution 3
61'
🔄
G. Rukavina
(A. Orec)
Substitution 4
67'
🔄
S. Gorican
(N. Sepic)
Substitution 2
73'
🔄
D. Cop
(D. Thaqi)
Substitution 5
73'
🟦
N. Sepic
Yellow Card
83'
🔄
E. Frederiksen
(S. Miettinen)
Substitution 3
90+2'
🟦
A. Orec
Yellow Card
90+5'
🟦
M. Heister
Yellow Card
Player Ratings
HNK Rijeka
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Branko Pavić
-
-
-
-
-
Istra 1961
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Allen Obando
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
HNK Rijeka
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
Istra 1961
Victor Sanchez
Coach
-
4-4-2
77
Jurić
9
Čop
11
Rukavina
26
Dantas
8
Petrovič
24
Legbo
23
Lasickas
45
Majstorov.
51
Husić
91
Bodetić
13
Zlomislić
4-2-3-1
9
Prevljak
17
Frederiks.
8
Maurić
11
Goričan
5
Radošević
23
Štulac
97
Kadušić
3
Nasraoui
38
Kumar
26
Heister
1
Kolić
Starting XI
13
Martin Zlomislić
G
G
Franko Kolić
1
23
Justas Lasickas
D
D
Advan Kadušić
97
45
Ante Majstorović
D
D
Mohamed Nasraoui
3
51
Anel Husić
D
D
Raul Kumar
38
91
Noel Bodetić
D
D
Marcel Heister
26
11
Gabriel Rukavina
M
M
Josip Radošević
5
26
Tiago Dantas
M
M
Leo Štulac
23
8
Dejan Petrovič
M
M
Emil Frederiksen
17
24
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
M
M
Antonio Maurić
8
77
Ante Matej Jurić
F
M
Silvio Goričan
11
9
Duje Čop
F
F
Smail Prevljak
9
Substitutes
7
Tornike Morchiladze
Israel Ayuma
18
55
Alfonso Barco
Niko Šepić
13
22
Ante Oreč
Samuli Miettinen
16
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Roko Banovac
12
25
Dominik Thaqi
Jan Paus-Kunšt
40
99
Aleksa Todorović
Filip Taraba
24
6
Stjepan Radeljić
Rene Hrvatin
44
34
Mladen Devetak
Vinko Rozić
7
10
Toni Fruk
Dukan Ahmeti
20
14
Amer Gojak
Gustavo Albarracín
25
20
Merveil Ndockyt
Nik Škafar Žužić
30
66
Branko Pavić
Allen Obando
29
Head to Head
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2026-01-20
Istra 1961
1 - 2
HNK Rijeka
HT: 1-1
2025-09-27
HNK Rijeka
0 - 0
Istra 1961
HT: 0-0
2025-04-19
Istra 1961
2 - 0
HNK Rijeka
HT: 1-0
2025-04-02
HNK Rijeka
1 - 0
Istra 1961
HT: 0-0
2025-02-09
HNK Rijeka
0 - 1
Istra 1961
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.53
Draw
3.50
Away
6.50
Home
2.10
Draw
2.25
Away
6.50
Home
1.83
Draw
2.50
Away
6.00
Over 1.5
1.33
Under 1.5
3.25
Over 2.5
2.05
Under 2.5
1.75
Over 3.5
3.50
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
8.50
Over 4.5
8.00
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
34.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 1.5
2.20
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Home -1.25
2.25
Away -1.25
1.62
Home -1
1.98
Away -1
1.82
Home -0.75
1.70
Away -0.75
2.10
Home -0.5
1.55
Away -0.5
2.38
Home -0.25
1.35
Away -0.25
3.10
Home +0
1.18
Away +0
4.65
Home +0.25
1.15
Away +0.25
5.50
Home +0.5
1.12
Away +0.5
6.25
Home -2
4.15
Away -2
1.22
Home -1.75
3.10
Away -1.75
1.35
Home -1.5
2.60
Away -1.5
1.48
Home -2.5
5.25
Away -2.5
1.16
Home -2.25
4.50
Away -2.25
1.19
Home -2.75
6.80
Away -2.75
1.10
Home -1.25
5.00
Away -1.25
1.17
Home -1
4.15
Away -1
1.22
Home -0.75
2.68
Away -0.75
1.45
Home -0.5
2.10
Away -0.5
1.70
Home -0.25
1.70
Away -0.25
2.10
Home +0
1.26
Away +0
3.70
Home +0.25
1.17
Away +0.25
5.00
Home +0.5
1.12
Away +0.5
6.00
Home -1.5
5.75
Away -1.5
1.14
Home/Draw
1.11
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
2.38
Home/Draw
1.10
Home/Away
1.57
Draw/Away
1.67
1:0
6.00
2:0
6.50
2:1
8.50
3:0
10.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
21.00
4:1
26.00
0:0
9.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
19.00
0:1
15.00
0:2
34.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
51.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
251.00
1:4
151.00
2:4
151.00
4:2
51.00
3:4
251.00
5:0
41.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
101.00
6:0
81.00
6:1
101.00
6:2
251.00
4:3
126.00
5:3
301.00
7:0
251.00
7:1
301.00
1:0
3.40
2:0
7.50
2:1
21.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
151.00
0:0
2.75
1:1
9.50
2:2
67.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
34.00
0:3
151.00
1:2
41.00
1:3
151.00
2:3
351.00
5:0
251.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
13.00
Draw/Draw
5.50
Home/Home
2.38
Draw/Home
4.00
Away/Home
23.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
11.00
Home
1.17
Away
5.00
Home/Yes
4.00
Draw/Yes
5.50
Away/Yes
15.00
Home/No
2.38
Draw/No
9.00
Away/No
11.00
o/yes 2.5
2.75
o/no 2.5
6.50
u/yes 2.5
7.00
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
9.00
1
4.75
2
3.50
3
4.33
4
6.00
5
12.00
6
23.00
more 7
34.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
10.00
4
29.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.75
1
2.75
2
3.60
3
7.00
4
19.00
more 5
34.00
Over 1.5
1.32
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 1.75
1.42
Under 1.75
2.75
Over 2.25
1.80
Under 2.25
2.00
Over 2.5
2.05
Under 2.5
1.75
Over 2.75
2.35
Under 2.75
1.58
Over 3.5
3.55
Under 3.5
1.27
Over 2
1.55
Under 2
2.38
Over 3
2.85
Under 3
1.40
Over 4
6.40
Under 4
1.12
Over 1.25
1.21
Under 1.25
4.25
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
3.30
Under 3.25
1.32
Over 3.75
4.40
Under 3.75
1.20
Over 4.25
6.80
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.38
Over 1.75
3.80
Under 1.75
1.25
Over 2.25
7.00
Under 2.25
1.10
Over 1
1.95
Under 1
1.85
Over 2
6.40
Under 2
1.12
Over 0.5
1.42
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 0.75
1.58
Under 0.75
2.35
Over 1.25
2.42
Under 1.25
1.52
Home -1
2.50
Away -1
2.38
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
11.00
Draw -3
7.50
Away -3
1.14
Home -2
5.00
Draw -2
4.50
Away -2
1.50
Home +1
1.11
Draw +1
8.50
Away +1
17.00
Home +2
1.02
Draw +2
21.00
Away +2
41.00
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.67
Draw -1
3.00
Home -3
51.00
Draw -3
21.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
17.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.10
Home +1
1.10
Draw +1
6.50
Away +1
23.00
Over 8.5
1.83
Under 8.5
1.83
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.90
Under 4
1.90
Home -2.5
1.80
Away -2.5
2.00
Home -3
2.20
Draw -3
7.50
Away -3
1.91
Over 1.5
1.73
Under 1.5
2.00
Over 2.5
3.40
Under 2.5
1.30
Over 3.5
8.00
Under 3.5
1.08
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.50
Over 4.5
19.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
41.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.50
1
3.00
2
3.40
more 3
3.40
Over 5.5
1.83
Under 5.5
1.83
Over 1.5
5.50
Under 1.5
1.14
Over 2.5
19.00
Under 2.5
1.02
Over 3.5
51.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.80
Under 0.5
1.91
0
1.91
1
2.50
2
6.50
more 3
19.00
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.00
Home
2.38
Away
11.00
Home
4.00
Away
26.00
Home
1.33
Away
3.40
Home
9.00
Away
23.00
Home
1.44
Draw
9.00
Away
3.10
Home
1.50
Draw
8.50
Away
3.10
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.10
Home
2.62
Away
9.00
Home/Over 2.5
2.60
Draw/Over 2.5
17.00
Away/Over 2.5
13.00
Home/Under 2.5
3.40
Draw/Under 2.5
4.33
Away/Under 2.5
11.00
1 by 1
3.60
2 by 1
8.50
1 by 4+
11.00
1 by 2
4.50
2 by 2
21.00
1 by 3
7.50
2 by 3
67.00
2 by 4+
251.00
Score Draw
5.50
Draw
9.00
Draw
1.73
1st Half
4.33
2nd Half
3.40
Odd
2.38
Even
1.53
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Home
2.50
Away
13.00
Draw
1.57
Under 6
6.00
6 - 8
2.60
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
6.00
Over 14
15.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
6.00
Draw
1.14
Away
13.00
Draw
2.75
1st Half
3.20
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Over 15.5
1.80
Under 15.5
1.91
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
21.00
Home/Over 1.5
4.75
Home/Under 1.5
3.40
Draw/Under 1.5
2.75
Away/Under 1.5
7.50
Exactly 4
15.00
Over 4
1.05
Under 4
21.00
Exactly 5
11.00
Over 5
1.12
Under 5
11.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.83
Under 8
2.50
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.38
Under 9
1.83
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.40
Under 10
1.53
Exactly 11
10.00
Over 11
4.50
Under 11
1.30
Exactly 7
7.50
Over 7
1.50
Under 7
3.75
Exactly 12
13.00
Over 12
7.00
Under 12
1.18
Exactly 6
8.50
Over 6
1.25
Under 6
6.00
Exactly 13
17.00
Over 13
11.00
Under 13
1.10
Exactly 14
21.00
Over 14
15.00
Under 14
1.05
Exactly 15
26.00
Over 15
21.00
Under 15
1.02
HNL Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 59:20 | +39 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 37:24 | +13 | 47 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
HNK Rijeka
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37:25 | +12 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
NK Varazdin
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 5. |
NK Slaven Belupo
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:38 | -3 | 36 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 6. |
Istra 1961
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 7. |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 8. |
HNK Gorica
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 9. |
NK Osijek
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 10. |
Vukovar
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
HNK Rijeka
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 3
GD: +6
Istra 1961
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
GF: 29
GA: 36
GD: -7
Last 5 Matches
HNK Rijeka
12 Mar
H
Strasbourg
1-2
L
08 Mar
A
Vukovar
1-0
W
04 Mar
H
HNK Hajduk Split
3-2
W
01 Mar
H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-0
W
26 Feb
H
Omonia Nicosia
3-1
W
Istra 1961
06 Mar
H
NK Osijek
0-1
L