🇨🇿 Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 26
FT
Hradec Králové vs Baník Ostrava - Czech Liga
Malsovicka arena
·
Ref: Dominik Stary, Czechia
Hra
2
·
Ban
3
AI Match Analysis
A crucial Czech Liga clash unfolds as seventh-placed Hradec Králové welcomes a struggling Baník Ostrava, currently sitting precariously in 15th. For Hradec Králové, a win solidifies their mid-table position and potentially pushes them closer to the European qualification places. For Baník Ostrava, points are desperately needed to escape the relegation battle, making this a high-stakes encounter for both sides in round 26.
Both teams enter this match in decent form, each boasting two wins from their last five outings. However, digging deeper reveals that recent results have been plagued by draws. Hradec Králové has turned Malsovicka arena into a relatively tough place to visit, securing 5 wins and 4 draws in 12 home matches. Contrastingly, Baník Ostrava's away form is abysmal, with only one win and a concerning seven losses on the road. This stark difference in home and away records suggests a significant advantage for the home side.
Historically, Hradec Králové has held the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters against Baník Ostrava. A recent draw between the two sides might give Baník Ostrava some confidence, but Hradec Králové's solid home form and Baník Ostrava's poor away record point towards a difficult afternoon for the visitors. While the Elo-based win probability surprisingly favors the away side, a closer look at the underlying stats suggests Hradec Králové will likely emerge with at least a point, if not all three.
Both teams enter this match in decent form, each boasting two wins from their last five outings. However, digging deeper reveals that recent results have been plagued by draws. Hradec Králové has turned Malsovicka arena into a relatively tough place to visit, securing 5 wins and 4 draws in 12 home matches. Contrastingly, Baník Ostrava's away form is abysmal, with only one win and a concerning seven losses on the road. This stark difference in home and away records suggests a significant advantage for the home side.
Historically, Hradec Králové has held the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters against Baník Ostrava. A recent draw between the two sides might give Baník Ostrava some confidence, but Hradec Králové's solid home form and Baník Ostrava's poor away record point towards a difficult afternoon for the visitors. While the Elo-based win probability surprisingly favors the away side, a closer look at the underlying stats suggests Hradec Králové will likely emerge with at least a point, if not all three.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
37%
2.20
low
BTTS
BTTS Yes
35%
1.75
low
O/U
Under 2.5
49%
1.80
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Malsovicka arena
Referee
Dominik Stary, Czechia
Round
Regular Season - 26
Hradec Králové
Baník Ostrava
51.37%
Win Probability
48.63%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Baník Ostrava
Predicted winner: Baník Ostrava — Win or draw
Hradec Králové
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Baník Ostrava
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
46%
Ball Possession
54%
6
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots off Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
5
7
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
363
Total passes
432
264
Passes accurate
332
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Match Events
10'
🟦
M. Kohut
Yellow Card
39'
🟦
A. Gning
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
F. Sancl
(D. Planka)
Substitution 1
57'
🟦
M. Chalus
Yellow Card
61'
⚽
O. Mihalik
(V. Pilar)
62'
🔄
M. Rusnak
(A. Bewene)
Substitution 2
66'
🟦
D. Ludvicek
Yellow Card
67'
🟦
S. Dancak
Yellow Card
71'
🔄
A. Gning
(J. Pira)
Substitution 3
77'
🔄
O. Mihalik
(M. Regza)
Substitution 1
77'
🔄
V. Pilar
(A. Binar)
Substitution 2
77'
🔄
M. Kohut
(A. Musak)
Substitution 4
88'
🔄
V. Darida
(E. Neto)
Substitution 3
90+1'
🔄
A. Vlkanova
(J. Hodek)
Substitution 4
Player Ratings
Hradec Králové
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Lucas Kubr
-
-
-
-
-
Baník Ostrava
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Marek Havran
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
Hradec Králové
3-4-2-1
5-3-2
Baník Ostrava
David Horejs
Coach
Tomas Galasek
3-4-2-1
17
Mihálik
58
Vlkanova
6
Pilař
2
Ludvicek
16
Darida
11
Dancák
3
Suchomel
7
Uhrinčať
5
Čihák
26
Horák
12
Zadražil
5-3-2
15
Jurečka
12
Gning
21
Kohút
5
Boula
19
Šancl
66
Rusnák
37
Chaluš
80
Kricfalusi
6
Pojezný
95
Holzer
23
Jedlička
Starting XI
12
Adam Zadražil
G
G
Martin Jedlička
23
7
Jakub Uhrinčať
D
D
Matúš Rusnák
66
5
Filip Čihák
D
D
Matěj Chaluš
37
26
Daniel Horák
D
D
Ondrej Kricfalusi
80
2
David Ludvicek
M
D
Karel Pojezný
6
16
Vladimír Darida
M
D
Daniel Holzer
95
11
Samuel Dancák
M
M
Michal Kohút
21
3
Martin Suchomel
M
M
Jiří Boula
5
58
Adam Vlkanova
F
M
Filip Šancl
19
6
Václav Pilař
F
F
Václav Jurečka
15
17
Ondřej Mihálik
F
F
Abdallah Gning
12
Substitutes
20
Matyas Vagner
David Planka
18
1
Patrik Vízek
Viktor Budinský
1
19
Elione Fernandes Neto
Matyas Moucka
16
23
Adam Binar
Michal Frydrych
17
8
Viktor Filip Zentrich
Hamidou Kante
3
77
Lucas Kubr
Abdullahi Bewene
34
14
Jakub Hodek
Artúr Musák
55
18
Marko Regža
Srđan Plavšić
10
David Buchta
9
Jakub Pira
29
Marek Havran
2
Head to Head
Hradec Králové
Baník Ostrava
1
3
1 wins
1 draws
3 wins
2026-03-04
Hradec Králové
0 - 0
Baník Ostrava
HT: 0-0
2025-10-19
Baník Ostrava
0 - 1
Hradec Králové
HT: 0-0
2024-12-08
Hradec Králové
0 - 1
Baník Ostrava
HT: 0-0
2024-08-11
Baník Ostrava
1 - 0
Hradec Králové
HT: 0-0
2023-12-09
Hradec Králové
2 - 3
Baník Ostrava
HT: 2-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.20
Draw
3.20
Away
3.10
Home
2.88
Draw
2.20
Away
3.75
Home
2.60
Draw
2.40
Away
3.20
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.40
Over 2.5
2.00
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 3.5
3.50
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Yes
1.75
No
2.00
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Home -1.25
3.90
Away -1.25
1.24
Home -1
3.45
Away -1
1.30
Home -0.75
2.60
Away -0.75
1.48
Home -0.5
2.20
Away -0.5
1.65
Home -0.25
1.92
Away -0.25
1.88
Home +0
1.60
Away +0
2.30
Home +0.25
1.45
Away +0.25
2.68
Home +0.5
1.35
Away +0.5
3.10
Home +0.75
1.24
Away +0.75
3.90
Home +1
1.13
Away +1
5.90
Home -1.75
5.75
Away -1.75
1.14
Home -1.5
4.25
Away -1.5
1.21
Home +1.25
1.12
Away +1.25
6.40
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home -0.75
3.90
Away -0.75
1.24
Home -0.5
2.85
Away -0.5
1.40
Home -0.25
2.30
Away -0.25
1.60
Home +0
1.70
Away +0
2.10
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.27
Away +0.5
3.55
Home +0.75
1.16
Away +0.75
5.25
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.67
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.62
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
8.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
9.50
3:0
21.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
9.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
13.00
0:1
10.00
0:2
15.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
201.00
1:5
151.00
1:6
501.00
2:5
201.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
101.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
126.00
6:0
301.00
6:1
251.00
6:2
401.00
4:3
101.00
3:5
351.00
5:3
251.00
4:4
251.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
12.00
2:1
21.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
126.00
4:1
201.00
0:0
2.75
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.00
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
26.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
151.00
0:4
251.00
1:4
351.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
7.00
Draw/Draw
5.00
Home/Home
3.60
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.00
Home
1.62
Away
2.20
Home/Yes
4.75
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
6.50
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
9.50
Away/No
5.50
o/yes 2.5
2.30
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.30
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
9.50
1
4.75
2
3.50
3
4.33
4
6.00
5
11.00
6
23.00
more 7
29.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
10.00
4
29.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.75
1
2.75
2
3.60
3
7.00
4
17.00
more 5
29.00
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.45
Over 1.75
1.38
Under 1.75
3.00
Over 2.25
1.72
Under 2.25
2.08
Over 2.5
2.00
Under 2.5
1.80
Over 2.75
2.25
Under 2.75
1.62
Over 3.5
3.45
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 2
1.50
Under 2
2.50
Over 3
2.75
Under 3
1.42
Over 4
6.00
Under 4
1.12
Over 1.25
1.19
Under 1.25
4.50
Over 4.5
6.80
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
3.10
Under 3.25
1.35
Over 3.75
4.25
Under 3.75
1.21
Over 4.25
6.40
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 1.5
2.85
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 1.75
3.70
Under 1.75
1.26
Over 2.25
7.00
Under 2.25
1.10
Over 1
1.92
Under 1
1.88
Over 2
6.25
Under 2
1.12
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.85
Over 0.75
1.58
Under 0.75
2.35
Over 1.25
2.38
Under 1.25
1.55
Home -1
4.50
Away -1
1.67
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
26.00
Draw -3
15.00
Away -3
1.04
Home -2
10.00
Draw -2
6.50
Away -2
1.18
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
7.00
Home +2
1.09
Draw +2
9.50
Away +2
17.00
Home -1
9.00
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
126.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
13.00
Over 10
1.82
Under 10
1.98
Over 10.5
2.00
Under 10.5
1.73
Exactly 5
5.50
Over 5
2.60
Under 5
1.95
Over 4.5
1.82
Under 4.5
1.98
Home -1
2.00
Away -1
1.80
Home +0
1.80
Away +0
2.00
Home -1
2.10
Away -1
1.91
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
2.20
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
34.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.75
1
2.60
2
3.60
more 3
5.00
Over 5.5
2.00
Under 5.5
1.73
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.83
Home
3.75
Away
5.50
Home
8.00
Away
11.00
Home
1.67
Away
2.00
Home
10.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.80
Draw
9.50
Away
2.20
Home
1.80
Draw
9.50
Away
2.20
Draw
3.50
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.50
Away
4.33
Home/Over 2.5
3.75
Draw/Over 2.5
12.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.50
Home/Under 2.5
5.00
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
6.50
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
5.00
1 by 4+
26.00
1 by 2
6.50
2 by 2
9.50
1 by 3
15.00
2 by 3
21.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
9.50
Draw
2.20
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Home
3.00
Away
4.00
Draw
1.91
Under 6
13.00
6 - 8
3.60
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
3.75
Over 14
8.00
Over
1.53
Under
2.38
Home
7.50
Draw
1.14
Away
9.00
Draw
2.38
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 23.5
1.80
Under 23.5
1.91
Draw/Over 1.5
7.50
Away/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Over 1.5
7.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
2.75
Away/Under 1.5
5.00
Exactly 5
17.00
Over 5
1.04
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.36
Under 8
4.33
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.62
Under 9
3.00
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.00
Under 10
2.20
Exactly 11
8.50
Over 11
2.62
Under 11
1.73
Exactly 7
10.00
Over 7
1.20
Under 7
7.00
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
3.50
Under 12
1.44
Exactly 6
13.00
Over 6
1.10
Under 6
13.00
Exactly 13
11.00
Over 13
5.00
Under 13
1.28
Exactly 14
13.00
Over 14
8.00
Under 14
1.17
Exactly 17
26.00
Over 17
21.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
21.00
Over 16
15.00
Under 16
1.05
Exactly 15
17.00
Over 15
11.00
Under 15
1.08
Czech Liga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Slavia Praha
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | +38 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
Sparta Praha
|
25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | +21 | 51 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Plzen
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 46:31 | +15 | 48 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 4. |
FK Jablonec
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | +5 | 45 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
Sigma Olomouc
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | +3 | 40 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 6. |
Slovan Liberec
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | +13 | 39 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
Hradec Králové
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | +3 | 37 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 8. |
Karviná
|
26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 9. |
Zlin
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 10. |
Pardubice
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11. |
Teplice
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 12. |
Bohemians 1905
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 13. |
Mlada Boleslav
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 14. |
Slovácko
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 15. |
Baník Ostrava
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 16. |
Dukla Praha
|
26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
Relegation
Season Form
Hradec Králové
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 34
GA: 32
GD: +2
Baník Ostrava
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 24
GA: 35
GD: -11
Last 5 Matches
Hradec Králové
08 Mar
H
Plzen
0-3
L
04 Mar
H
Baník Ostrava
0-0
D
Baník Ostrava
08 Mar
H
Zlin
6-2
W
04 Mar
A
Hradec Králové
0-0
D