🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 16
NS
Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice - Ekstraklasa
Chorten Arena
·
Ref: W. Myc
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Polish Ekstraklasa sees third-placed Jagiellonia hosting sixth-placed GKS Katowice in Round 16. With just two points separating the sides, both teams will be desperate for a victory to consolidate their positions in the upper half of the table and potentially climb higher. A win for Jagiellonia would strengthen their grip on a European qualification spot, while Katowice will be aiming to leapfrog their opponents and further establish themselves as genuine contenders this season.
Jagiellonia's recent form is concerning, with a run of draws disrupting what was a promising campaign. Their home form offers some solace, having won six of their eleven games at Chorten Arena. However, those two recent home defeats suggest a vulnerability. GKS Katowice, on the other hand, arrive with momentum despite some recent draws. They have a solid away record, winning four times on the road, indicating they are a tough opponent regardless of location. The draws for both teams suggest a tightness and caution creeping into their play.
Historically, GKS Katowice holds a significant psychological edge, having won the last three encounters against Jagiellonia. While there is no injury data to consider, that head-to-head record, combined with Katowice's stronger recent form and higher win probability according to Elo ratings, suggests an upset could be brewing at the Chorten Arena. Jagiellonia will have to overcome both their own slump and their opponent's confidence to secure a vital three points.
Jagiellonia's recent form is concerning, with a run of draws disrupting what was a promising campaign. Their home form offers some solace, having won six of their eleven games at Chorten Arena. However, those two recent home defeats suggest a vulnerability. GKS Katowice, on the other hand, arrive with momentum despite some recent draws. They have a solid away record, winning four times on the road, indicating they are a tough opponent regardless of location. The draws for both teams suggest a tightness and caution creeping into their play.
Historically, GKS Katowice holds a significant psychological edge, having won the last three encounters against Jagiellonia. While there is no injury data to consider, that head-to-head record, combined with Katowice's stronger recent form and higher win probability according to Elo ratings, suggests an upset could be brewing at the Chorten Arena. Jagiellonia will have to overcome both their own slump and their opponent's confidence to secure a vital three points.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
45%
1.70
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
38%
1.70
low
O/U
Over 2.5
52%
1.70
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Chorten Arena
Referee
W. Myc
Round
Regular Season - 16
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
39.94%
Win Probability
60.06%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or GKS Katowice
Predicted winner: GKS Katowice — Win or draw
Jagiellonia
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
GKS Katowice
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Lineups
Jagiellonia
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
GKS Katowice
Adrian Siemieniec
Coach
Rafał Górak
4-2-3-1
9
Rallis
7
Pozo
11
Imaz
72
Jóźwiak
6
Romanczuk
86
Mazurek
15
Wojtuszek
13
Vital
70
Pelmard
27
Wdowik
50
Abramowicz
3-4-2-1
99
Zreľák
11
Błąd
27
Nowak
30
Czerwiński
22
Milewski
5
Bosch
8
Galán
2
Kuusk
4
Jędrych
6
Klemenz
12
Strączek
Starting XI
50
Sławomir Abramowicz
G
G
Rafał Strączek
12
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
D
D
Märten Kuusk
2
13
Bernardo Vital
D
D
Arkadiusz Jędrych
4
70
Andy Pelmard
D
D
Lukas Klemenz
6
27
Bartłomiej Wdowik
D
M
Alan Czerwiński
30
6
Taras Romanczuk
M
M
Sebastian Milewski
22
86
Bartosz Mazurek
M
M
Jesse Bosch
5
7
Alejandro Pozo
M
M
Borja Galán
8
11
Jesús Imaz
M
F
Adrian Błąd
11
72
Kamil Jóźwiak
M
F
Bartosz Nowak
27
9
Dimitris Rallis
F
F
Adam Zreľák
99
Substitutes
22
Miłosz Piekutowski
Dawid Kudła
1
5
Cezary Polak
Jakub Łukowski
14
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Alan Bród
28
3
Dušan Stojinović
Marcel Wedrychowski
10
18
Louka Prip
Filip Rejczyk
20
80
Oskar Pietuszewski
Grzegorz Rogala
16
31
Leon Flach
Kacper Łukasiak
19
8
Dawid Drachal
Ilia Shkurin
80
21
Sergio Lozano
Eman Marković
15
10
Afimico Pululu
Jakub Kokosinski
21
25
Aziel Jackson
17
Youssuf Sylla
Head to Head
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
1
2
1 wins
0 draws
2 wins
2025-12-04
GKS Katowice
3 - 1
Jagiellonia
HT: 1-0
2025-03-02
Jagiellonia
1 - 0
GKS Katowice
HT: 1-0
2024-08-25
GKS Katowice
3 - 1
Jagiellonia
HT: 1-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.70
Draw
3.70
Away
4.33
Home
2.25
Draw
2.38
Away
4.75
Home
2.05
Draw
2.62
Away
4.00
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
Over 3.5
2.62
Under 3.5
1.44
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
5.00
Under 4.5
1.17
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 1.5
1.91
Under 1.5
1.80
Over 2.5
4.00
Under 2.5
1.22
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.70
No
2.05
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Home -1.25
2.60
Away -1.25
1.48
Home -1
2.30
Away -1
1.60
Home -0.75
1.95
Away -0.75
1.85
Home -0.5
1.72
Away -0.5
2.08
Home -0.25
1.52
Away -0.25
2.42
Home +0
1.32
Away +0
3.30
Home +0.25
1.26
Away +0.25
3.70
Home +0.5
1.21
Away +0.5
4.25
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home -2
5.00
Away -2
1.17
Home -1.75
3.55
Away -1.75
1.27
Home -1.5
2.85
Away -1.5
1.40
Home -2.5
5.90
Away -2.5
1.13
Home -2.25
5.50
Away -2.25
1.15
Home -1.25
5.50
Away -1.25
1.15
Home -1
4.50
Away -1
1.19
Home -0.75
2.85
Away -0.75
1.40
Home -0.5
2.30
Away -0.5
1.60
Home -0.25
1.85
Away -0.25
1.95
Home +0
1.42
Away +0
2.75
Home +0.25
1.27
Away +0.25
3.55
Home +0.5
1.20
Away +0.5
4.40
Home +0.75
1.11
Away +0.75
6.60
Home -1.5
6.00
Away -1.5
1.12
Home/Draw
1.20
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
2.10
Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.53
Draw/Away
1.57
1:0
8.50
2:0
9.00
2:1
8.50
3:0
15.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
21.00
4:0
26.00
4:1
26.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
13.00
0:1
15.00
0:2
23.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
15.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
41.00
0:5
401.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
251.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
51.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
67.00
6:0
101.00
6:1
101.00
6:2
151.00
4:3
67.00
3:5
351.00
5:3
151.00
5:4
451.00
6:3
401.00
4:4
151.00
7:0
301.00
7:1
301.00
1:0
3.75
2:0
8.50
2:1
17.00
3:0
26.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
126.00
0:0
3.40
1:1
7.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
6.50
0:2
23.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
26.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
151.00
3:3
501.00
0:4
401.00
1:4
451.00
4:2
401.00
5:0
301.00
5:1
501.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
9.50
Draw/Draw
6.00
Home/Home
2.75
Draw/Home
4.75
Away/Home
21.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
7.50
Home
1.30
Away
3.40
Home/Yes
3.40
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
7.50
Home/No
3.25
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
9.00
o/yes 2.5
2.05
o/no 2.5
7.50
u/yes 2.5
7.50
u/no 2.5
2.75
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
13.00
1
5.50
2
3.75
3
4.00
4
5.50
5
9.00
6
17.00
more 7
21.00
0
3.40
1
2.60
2
3.75
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
0
4.33
1
2.88
2
3.50
3
6.00
4
13.00
more 5
23.00
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.15
Over 1.75
1.26
Under 1.75
3.70
Over 2.25
1.52
Under 2.25
2.42
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
Over 2.75
1.90
Under 2.75
1.90
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.42
Over 2
1.32
Under 2
3.30
Over 3
2.15
Under 3
1.68
Over 4
4.25
Under 4
1.21
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
5.90
Over 4.5
5.25
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.42
Under 3.25
1.52
Over 3.75
3.30
Under 3.75
1.32
Over 4.25
4.65
Under 4.25
1.18
Over 4.75
6.40
Under 4.75
1.12
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 1.75
3.10
Under 1.75
1.35
Over 2.25
5.50
Under 2.25
1.15
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 1
1.65
Under 1
2.20
Over 2
4.65
Under 2
1.18
Over 0.75
1.45
Under 0.75
2.68
Over 1.25
2.08
Under 1.25
1.72
Home -1
2.88
Away -1
2.10
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
13.00
Draw -3
9.00
Away -3
1.11
Home -2
6.00
Draw -2
5.00
Away -2
1.40
Home +1
1.20
Draw +1
6.50
Away +1
10.00
Home +2
1.05
Draw +2
13.00
Away +2
26.00
Home -1
6.00
Away -1
1.57
Draw -1
3.20
Over 9.5
1.90
Under 9.5
1.90
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.80
Home -1.5
1.82
Away -1.5
1.98
Over 1.5
1.73
Under 1.5
2.00
Over 2.5
3.25
Under 2.5
1.33
Over 3.5
7.00
Under 3.5
1.10
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.50
Over 4.5
19.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
41.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.50
1
3.00
2
3.25
more 3
3.25
Over 5.5
1.83
Under 5.5
1.83
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
0
2.62
1
2.40
2
4.33
more 3
9.00
Over 3.5
1.73
Under 3.5
2.00
Home
3.25
Away
9.00
Home
5.00
Away
17.00
Home
1.40
Away
2.50
Home
8.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.57
Draw
13.00
Away
2.50
Home
1.57
Draw
13.00
Away
2.50
Draw
3.75
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.05
Home
2.62
Away
5.00
Home/Over 2.5
2.60
Draw/Over 2.5
11.00
Away/Over 2.5
7.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.50
Draw/Under 2.5
5.00
Away/Under 2.5
10.00
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
6.50
1 by 4+
13.00
1 by 2
5.00
2 by 2
13.00
1 by 3
9.00
2 by 3
34.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
13.00
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.10
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
10.00
Home
6.00
Draw
1.18
Away
9.50
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
7.00
Away/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Over 1.5
4.75
Home/Under 1.5
3.75
Draw/Under 1.5
3.40
Away/Under 1.5
6.50
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
17.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.50
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.83
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.38
Under 10
1.83
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.28
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Ekstraklasa Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | +11 | 41 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
Lech Poznan
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | +6 | 41 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Jagiellonia
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:31 | +9 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 4. |
Gornik Zabrze
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | +4 | 38 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
| 5. |
Raków Częstochowa
|
25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 6. |
GKS Katowice
|
24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 7. |
Wisla Plock
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 36 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 8. |
Pogon Szczecin
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 9. |
Motor Lublin
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 10. |
Radomiak Radom
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | +4 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 11. |
Cracovia Krakow
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | +2 | 33 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 12. |
Korona Kielce
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | +1 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13. |
Piast Gliwice
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 14. |
Lechia Gdansk
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | +2 | 31 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 15. |
Arka Gdynia
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 16. |
Legia Warszawa
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 17. |
Widzew Łódź
|
25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 18. |
Nieciecza
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
Jagiellonia
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 20
GA: 12
GD: +8
GKS Katowice
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 34
GA: 32
GD: +2
Last 5 Matches
Jagiellonia
14 Mar
H
Piast Gliwice
1-2
L
06 Mar
A
Lechia Gdansk
0-3
L
01 Mar
H
Legia Warszawa
2-2
D
26 Feb
A
Fiorentina
3-0
W
GKS Katowice
14 Mar
H
Lechia Gdansk
2-0
W
08 Mar
A
Radomiak Radom
1-0
W
03 Mar
H
Widzew Łódź
1-1
D