🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 32 NS

Jong AZ vs MVV - Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ Jong AZ
W D L L L
19:00
Mon, 16 Mar 2026
MVV MVV
L L D D W
AFAS Trainingscomplex · Ref: R. Sturm

AI Match Analysis

A mid-table clash in the Eerste Divisie sees Jong AZ host MVV in round 32. Both sides are looking to pull further away from the relegation zone and secure a more comfortable end to the season. While neither team is in immediate danger, a win here would significantly ease any lingering anxieties about being dragged into a late-season scrap.

Jong AZ's form is concerning, having only managed one win in their last five (LWDLL). Their home form is even worse, with a dismal record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses at the AFAS Trainingscomplex. MVV fares slightly better, securing one win alongside two draws and two losses in their recent outings (WLLDD). However, their away form mirrors Jong AZ's home struggles, registering only 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses on the road. Both teams enter this fixture on the back of consecutive draws, suggesting a lack of cutting edge in the final third.

Historically, Jong AZ holds a significant advantage over MVV, winning four of their last five encounters. The ELO model also points towards a slight home advantage, giving Jong AZ a 51.82% chance of victory. Although both teams are struggling for form and consistency, Jong AZ's strong head-to-head record may give them the edge needed to secure a crucial three points in this encounter.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 47% 1.57 medium
BTTS BTTS Yes 45% 1.44 low
CS 2-1 9% 12.00 low
Login — 1 Credit
CS 2-1 9% 12.00 low
HT/FT 1/1 25% 4.32 medium
Login — 1 Credit
HT/FT 1/1 25% 4.32 medium
O/U Over 2.5 59% 1.36 medium
Bet at Bet365

Match Info

Stadium
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Referee
R. Sturm
Round
Regular Season - 32
Jong AZ MVV
51.82% Win Probability 48.18%

Match Analysis

Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

Predicted winner: Jong AZ — Win or draw

Jong AZ 35.00%
Draw 35.00%
MVV 30.00%
Expected goals: -2.5 - -2.5

Head to Head

Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
2 wins 0 draws 3 wins
2025-11-21
MVV 1 - 3 Jong AZ
HT: 1-1
2025-03-14
MVV 0 - 1 Jong AZ
HT: 0-0
2024-12-02
Jong AZ 2 - 3 MVV
HT: 1-2
2024-05-03
Jong AZ 2 - 3 MVV
HT: 1-2
2023-12-01
MVV 4 - 0 Jong AZ
HT: 2-0

Odds

Bet365
Home
1.57
Draw
4.33
Away
5.00
Home
2.00
Draw
2.75
Away
4.50
Home
1.83
Draw
3.00
Away
4.33
Over 1.5
1.10
Under 1.5
7.00
Over 2.5
1.36
Under 2.5
3.10
Over 3.5
1.83
Under 3.5
1.83
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
23.00
Over 8.5
41.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.00
Under 4.5
1.36
Over 7.5
19.00
Under 7.5
1.02
Over 5.5
5.50
Under 5.5
1.14
Over 6.5
11.00
Under 6.5
1.05
Over 1.5
1.91
Under 1.5
1.80
Over 2.5
4.00
Under 2.5
1.22
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 1.5
1.53
Under 1.5
2.38
Over 2.5
2.75
Under 2.5
1.40
Over 3.5
5.50
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
6.50
Over 4.5
13.00
Under 4.5
1.04
Yes
1.44
No
2.62
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home -1.25
2.10
Away -1.25
1.70
Home -1
1.90
Away -1
1.90
Home -0.75
1.70
Away -0.75
2.10
Home -0.5
1.58
Away -0.5
2.35
Home -0.25
1.40
Away -0.25
2.85
Home +0
1.25
Away +0
3.80
Home +0.25
1.21
Away +0.25
4.25
Home +0.5
1.18
Away +0.5
4.80
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.25
Home -2
3.45
Away -2
1.30
Home -1.75
2.75
Away -1.75
1.42
Home -1.5
2.35
Away -1.5
1.58
Home -2.5
4.10
Away -2.5
1.23
Home -2.25
3.70
Away -2.25
1.26
Home -2.75
5.25
Away -2.75
1.16
Home -1.25
3.90
Away -1.25
1.24
Home -1
3.45
Away -1
1.30
Home -0.75
2.38
Away -0.75
1.55
Home -0.5
2.02
Away -0.5
1.78
Home -0.25
1.75
Away -0.25
2.05
Home +0
1.35
Away +0
3.10
Home +0.25
1.26
Away +0.25
3.70
Home +0.5
1.20
Away +0.5
4.40
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.25
Home -1.75
6.25
Away -1.75
1.12
Home -1.5
4.50
Away -1.5
1.19
Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.20
Draw/Away
2.30
Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.40
Draw/Away
1.73
1:0
13.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
15.00
3:1
11.00
3:2
17.00
4:0
21.00
4:1
19.00
0:0
23.00
1:1
9.50
2:2
12.00
0:1
23.00
0:2
34.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
17.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
29.00
3:3
29.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
26.00
1:5
151.00
2:5
151.00
3:4
67.00
5:0
41.00
5:1
34.00
5:2
41.00
6:0
67.00
6:1
51.00
6:2
67.00
4:3
41.00
3:5
151.00
5:3
67.00
5:4
151.00
6:3
126.00
4:4
81.00
7:0
126.00
7:1
101.00
7:2
151.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
7.50
2:1
13.00
3:0
19.00
3:1
29.00
3:2
67.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
67.00
0:0
4.33
1:1
7.00
2:2
34.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
23.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
101.00
3:3
201.00
0:4
251.00
1:4
251.00
4:2
151.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
201.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
12.00
Draw/Draw
8.00
Home/Home
2.30
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
17.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
8.00
Home
1.25
Away
3.75
Home/Yes
2.50
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
7.00
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
23.00
Away/No
13.00
o/yes 2.5
1.62
o/no 2.5
6.50
u/yes 2.5
9.00
u/no 2.5
4.00
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
0
23.00
1
9.50
2
5.00
3
4.33
4
4.50
5
6.50
6
9.50
more 7
11.00
0
4.33
1
2.88
2
3.50
3
6.00
4
15.00
more 5
23.00
0
6.50
1
3.50
2
3.40
3
4.75
4
9.00
more 5
13.00
Over 1.5
1.10
Under 1.5
7.00
Over 1.75
1.12
Under 1.75
6.40
Over 2.25
1.25
Under 2.25
3.80
Over 2.5
1.35
Under 2.5
3.10
Over 2.75
1.42
Under 2.75
2.75
Over 3.5
1.90
Under 3.5
1.90
Over 2
1.13
Under 2
5.90
Over 3
1.52
Under 3
2.42
Over 4
2.42
Under 4
1.52
Over 5
4.50
Under 5
1.19
Over 4.5
3.00
Under 4.5
1.38
Over 3.25
1.70
Under 3.25
2.10
Over 3.75
2.10
Under 3.75
1.70
Over 4.25
2.68
Under 4.25
1.45
Over 4.75
3.55
Under 4.75
1.27
Over 5.5
5.25
Under 5.5
1.16
Over 5.25
4.80
Under 5.25
1.18
Over 5.75
6.60
Under 5.75
1.11
Over 1.5
1.98
Under 1.5
1.82
Over 1.75
2.30
Under 1.75
1.60
Over 2.25
3.45
Under 2.25
1.30
Over 2.5
3.90
Under 2.5
1.24
Over 2.75
5.25
Under 2.75
1.16
Over 1
1.35
Under 1
3.10
Over 2
3.00
Under 2
1.38
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.40
Over 0.75
1.26
Under 0.75
3.70
Over 1.25
1.65
Under 1.25
2.20
Home -1
2.50
Away -1
2.20
Draw -1
4.33
Home -3
8.00
Draw -3
7.00
Away -3
1.22
Home -2
4.00
Draw -2
5.00
Away -2
1.57
Home +1
1.17
Draw +1
7.50
Away +1
10.00
Home +2
1.04
Draw +2
15.00
Away +2
23.00
Home -1
4.50
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
3.20
Home -3
34.00
Draw -3
15.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
11.00
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.17
Home +1
1.17
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
15.00
Over 10.5
2.00
Under 10.5
1.73
Exactly 5
5.50
Over 5
2.50
Under 5
1.95
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
0
9.00
1
4.00
2
3.40
more 3
2.20
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.40
1
2.50
2
3.75
more 3
6.00
Home
3.75
Away
13.00
Home
3.75
Away
17.00
Home
1.30
Away
2.50
Home
6.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.50
Draw
23.00
Away
2.50
Home
1.50
Draw
23.00
Away
2.50
Draw
4.33
1st Half
2.88
2nd Half
1.95
Home
1.91
Away
4.00
Draw/Over 3.5
8.50
Home/Over 3.5
2.75
Away/Over 3.5
11.00
Home/Under 3.5
3.25
Draw/Under 3.5
7.00
Away/Under 3.5
8.00
1 by 1
4.33
2 by 1
7.50
1 by 4+
8.00
1 by 2
5.00
2 by 2
15.00
1 by 3
7.00
2 by 3
34.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
23.00
Draw
2.30
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
9.00
No
1.07
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Under 6
13.00
6 - 8
3.60
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
3.75
Over 14
7.00
Home
5.00
Draw
1.25
Away
8.50
Draw
3.20
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.10
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
6.50
Away/Over 1.5
9.50
Home/Over 1.5
3.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
4.33
Away/Under 1.5
7.50
Exactly 5
17.00
Over 5
1.04
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.36
Under 8
4.33
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.62
Under 9
3.00
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.00
Under 10
2.20
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
2.62
Under 11
1.73
Exactly 7
10.00
Over 7
1.20
Under 7
7.00
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
3.50
Under 12
1.44
Exactly 6
13.00
Over 6
1.10
Under 6
13.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
5.00
Under 13
1.28
Exactly 14
13.00
Over 14
7.00
Under 14
1.17
Exactly 17
26.00
Over 17
21.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
21.00
Over 16
15.00
Under 16
1.05
Exactly 15
17.00
Over 15
11.00
Under 15
1.10

Eerste Divisie Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
ADO Den Haag
31 23 2 6 71:31 +40 71
W L W W W
2.
Cambuur
30 20 7 3 62:33 +29 67
D W W W W
3.
De Graafschap
31 15 7 9 58:49 +9 52
W L D W W
4.
Jong PSV U21
31 15 5 11 62:55 +7 50
L W D W L
5.
Willem II
31 14 8 9 45:38 +7 50
W D W L W
6.
Almere City FC
31 15 3 13 64:51 +13 48
W W L W L
7.
Waalwijk
31 13 8 10 52:45 +7 47
W W W D L
8.
Roda
31 12 11 8 50:46 +4 47
D L D W W
9.
Dordrecht
31 11 9 11 41:41 0 42
L D D L W
10.
Den Bosch
31 11 7 13 54:57 -3 40
L D D D W
11.
FC Eindhoven
31 12 4 15 45:55 -10 40
W W L L W
12.
VVV Venlo
31 11 4 16 39:48 -9 37
L L L D D
13.
Jong Utrecht
31 9 9 13 48:53 -5 36
W L L L L
14.
Emmen
30 10 6 14 46:54 -8 36
L W W L D
15.
MVV
31 9 8 14 38:60 -22 35
W D D L L
16.
Helmond Sport
31 9 6 16 37:55 -18 33
L D L L W
17.
Vitesse
31 11 9 11 48:49 -1 30
L W W L D
18.
Jong AZ
31 9 3 19 52:62 -10 30
L L L D W
19.
Jong Ajax
31 7 8 16 44:57 -13 29
W L W D W
20.
FC OSS
31 6 10 15 37:54 -17 28
L D L D L
Promotion

Season Form

Jong AZ
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 52 GA: 62 GD: -10
MVV
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 38 GA: 60 GD: -22

Last 5 Matches

Jong AZ
13 Mar A Waalwijk 1-2 L
09 Mar H Emmen 2-3 L
MVV
13 Mar H VVV Venlo 2-1 W
06 Mar A Dordrecht 1-1 D

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