🇯🇵 J1 League
· Regular Season - 6
FT
Kashima vs Kawasaki Frontale - J1 League
Mercari Stadium
·
Ref: Atsushi Uemura, Japan
Kas
1
·
Kaw
AI Match Analysis
A fascinating clash is set for Mercari Stadium as the J1 League's Round 6 pits league leaders Kashima Antlers against a resurgent Kawasaki Frontale. With Kashima looking to solidify their top spot and Frontale aiming to close the gap, this fixture has significant implications for the early season standings. Three points for either side would represent a major statement of intent.
Kashima's form has been strong, boasting four wins in their last five outings, and they hold a perfect home record with three wins from three. However, their recent draw against Tokyo Verdy suggests a slight dip in momentum. Kawasaki Frontale, sitting in sixth, have also enjoyed a positive start, winning three of their four matches, including a win on the road. Frontale's recent draw against Mito Hollyhock mirrors Kashima's stutter, indicating both teams may be vulnerable.
Historically, Kawasaki Frontale have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters. Despite this, Kashima's current form and dominant home record make them favourites, further reinforced by a hefty 67.88% home win probability based on Elo ratings. While Frontale possess the quality to challenge, overcoming Kashima's home advantage will be a stern test, especially with the Antlers keen to bounce back from their recent slip-up.
Kashima's form has been strong, boasting four wins in their last five outings, and they hold a perfect home record with three wins from three. However, their recent draw against Tokyo Verdy suggests a slight dip in momentum. Kawasaki Frontale, sitting in sixth, have also enjoyed a positive start, winning three of their four matches, including a win on the road. Frontale's recent draw against Mito Hollyhock mirrors Kashima's stutter, indicating both teams may be vulnerable.
Historically, Kawasaki Frontale have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters. Despite this, Kashima's current form and dominant home record make them favourites, further reinforced by a hefty 67.88% home win probability based on Elo ratings. While Frontale possess the quality to challenge, overcoming Kashima's home advantage will be a stern test, especially with the Antlers keen to bounce back from their recent slip-up.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
59%
1.95
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
42%
1.57
low
O/U
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
high
Match Info
Stadium
Mercari Stadium
Referee
Atsushi Uemura, Japan
Round
Regular Season - 6
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
70.38%
Win Probability
29.62%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Kashima or draw
Predicted winner: Kashima — Win or draw
Kashima
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Kawasaki Frontale
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -3.5
Match Statistics
52%
Ball Possession
48%
16
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
0
524
Total passes
500
439
Passes accurate
415
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Match Events
60'
🔄
Akihiro Ienaga
(Marcinho)
Substitution 1
66'
🔄
Ryotaro Araki
(Haruki Hayashi)
Substitution 1
66'
🔄
Aleksandar Čavrić
(Kyosuke Tagawa)
Substitution 2
66'
🔄
Ryota Oshima
(Yuki Yamamoto)
Substitution 2
74'
🔄
Yuta Higuchi
(Gaku Shibasaki)
Substitution 3
79'
⚽
Léo Ceará
(Yuma Suzuki)
83'
🔄
Kento Tachibanada
(Yuto Ozeki)
Substitution 3
83'
🔄
Lazar Romanić
(Erison)
Substitution 4
83'
🔄
Tatsuya Ito
(Kazuya Konno)
Substitution 5
84'
🔄
Shuhei Mizoguchi
(Ryoya Ogawa)
Substitution 4
84'
🔄
Kento Misao
(Kei Chinen)
Substitution 5
90+1'
🟦
Kyosuke Tagawa
Yellow Card
Player Ratings
Kashima
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Élber
-
-
-
-
-
Kawasaki Frontale
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
So Kawahara
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
Kashima
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
Kawasaki Frontale
Toru Oniki
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
4-2-3-1
9
Ceará
71
Araki
40
Suzuki
77
Čavrić
14
Higuchi
6
Misao
22
Nono
55
Ueda
3
Kim
16
Mizoguchi
1
Hayakawa
4-2-3-1
91
Romanić
41
Ienaga
14
Wakizaka
17
Ito
8
Tachibana.
10
Oshima
29
Yamahara
3
Taniguchi
28
Maruyama
13
Miura
49
Brodersen
Starting XI
1
Tomoki Hayakawa
G
G
Svend Brodersen
49
22
Kimito Nono
D
D
Reon Yamahara
29
55
Naomichi Ueda
D
D
Hiroto Taniguchi
3
3
Tae-hyeon Kim
D
D
Yuichi Maruyama
28
16
Shuhei Mizoguchi
D
D
Sota Miura
13
14
Yuta Higuchi
M
M
Kento Tachibanada
8
6
Kento Misao
M
M
Ryota Oshima
10
71
Ryotaro Araki
M
M
Akihiro Ienaga
41
40
Yuma Suzuki
M
M
Yasuto Wakizaka
14
77
Aleksandar Čavrić
M
M
Tatsuya Ito
17
9
Léo Ceará
F
F
Lazar Romanić
91
Substitutes
24
Haruki Hayashi
Marcinho
23
11
Kyosuke Tagawa
Yuki Yamamoto
6
10
Gaku Shibasaki
Yuto Ozeki
16
7
Ryoya Ogawa
Erison
9
13
Kei Chinen
Kazuya Konno
18
29
Yuji Kajikawa
Yuki Hayasaka
21
5
Ikuma Sekigawa
Filip Uremović
22
27
Yuta Matsumura
Yuto Matsunagane
2
17
Élber
So Kawahara
19
Head to Head
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
3
2
3 wins
0 draws
2 wins
2025-07-05
Kawasaki Frontale
2 - 1
Kashima
HT: 1-1
2025-05-11
Kashima
2 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
HT: 1-1
2024-11-01
Kawasaki Frontale
1 - 3
Kashima
HT: 0-3
2024-03-17
Kashima
2 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
HT: 0-1
2023-11-24
Kawasaki Frontale
3 - 0
Kashima
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.95
Draw
3.75
Away
3.50
Home
2.50
Draw
2.40
Away
3.75
Home
2.25
Draw
2.62
Away
3.40
Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.50
Over 2.5
1.62
Under 2.5
2.25
Over 3.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 4.5
4.33
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 7.5
34.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
9.00
Under 5.5
1.07
Over 6.5
19.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Over 1.5
1.80
Under 1.5
1.91
Over 2.5
3.50
Under 2.5
1.28
Over 3.5
9.00
Under 3.5
1.07
Over 0.5
1.17
Under 0.5
5.00
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.57
No
2.25
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Home -1.25
3.00
Away -1.25
1.38
Home -1
2.68
Away -1
1.45
Home -0.75
2.20
Away -0.75
1.65
Home -0.5
1.95
Away -0.5
1.85
Home -0.25
1.70
Away -0.25
2.10
Home +0
1.45
Away +0
2.68
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.20
Away +0.75
4.40
Home -2
6.00
Away -2
1.12
Home +1
1.11
Away +1
6.60
Home -1.75
4.15
Away -1.75
1.22
Home -1.5
3.45
Away -1.5
1.30
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
7.00
Home -2.5
7.00
Away -2.5
1.10
Home -2.25
6.40
Away -2.25
1.12
Home -1.25
6.00
Away -1.25
1.12
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.15
Home -0.75
3.30
Away -0.75
1.32
Home -0.5
2.42
Away -0.5
1.52
Home -0.25
2.02
Away -0.25
1.78
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.26
Away +0.5
3.70
Home +0.75
1.15
Away +0.75
5.50
Home -1.5
6.80
Away -1.5
1.10
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.80
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.53
Draw/Away
1.50
1:0
10.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
8.50
3:0
17.00
3:1
15.00
3:2
21.00
4:0
34.00
4:1
29.00
0:0
15.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
12.00
0:1
15.00
0:2
21.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
29.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
41.00
0:5
201.00
1:5
126.00
2:5
151.00
3:4
81.00
5:0
51.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
67.00
6:0
151.00
6:1
126.00
6:2
151.00
4:3
51.00
3:5
201.00
4:5
451.00
5:3
126.00
5:4
301.00
6:3
351.00
4:4
126.00
7:1
351.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
10.00
2:1
17.00
3:0
29.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
126.00
0:0
3.50
1:1
7.00
2:2
41.00
0:1
6.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
126.00
3:3
351.00
0:4
201.00
1:4
251.00
4:2
351.00
5:0
351.00
5:1
501.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
8.00
Draw/Draw
6.50
Home/Home
3.10
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
21.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.44
Away
2.62
Home/Yes
3.40
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
6.00
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
15.00
Away/No
7.00
o/yes 2.5
1.83
o/no 2.5
8.50
u/yes 2.5
7.00
u/no 2.5
3.00
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
15.00
1
6.50
2
4.00
3
4.00
4
5.00
5
8.00
6
15.00
more 7
19.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
0
5.00
1
3.00
2
3.40
3
5.50
4
12.00
more 5
21.00
Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
4.50
Over 1.75
1.22
Under 1.75
4.15
Over 2.25
1.45
Under 2.25
2.68
Over 2.5
1.62
Under 2.5
2.25
Over 2.75
1.75
Under 2.75
2.05
Over 3.5
2.42
Under 3.5
1.52
Over 2
1.26
Under 2
3.70
Over 3
2.00
Under 3
1.80
Over 4
3.70
Under 4
1.26
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
6.60
Over 4.5
4.40
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 3.25
2.25
Under 3.25
1.62
Over 3.75
2.85
Under 3.75
1.40
Over 4.25
4.10
Under 4.25
1.23
Over 4.75
5.75
Under 4.75
1.14
Over 1.5
2.35
Under 1.5
1.58
Over 1.75
3.00
Under 1.75
1.38
Over 2.25
5.00
Under 2.25
1.17
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.15
Over 1
1.58
Under 1
2.35
Over 2
4.25
Under 2
1.21
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.45
Over 0.75
1.40
Under 0.75
2.85
Over 1.25
2.02
Under 1.25
1.78
Home -1
3.40
Away -1
1.80
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
15.00
Draw -3
11.00
Away -3
1.09
Home -2
7.00
Draw -2
5.50
Away -2
1.30
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.08
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
19.00
Home -1
6.50
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
51.00
Draw -3
26.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
21.00
Draw -2
9.00
Away -2
1.09
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
12.00
Over 9.5
1.91
Under 9.5
1.80
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.05
Under 4
2.60
Over 4.5
2.05
Under 4.5
1.75
Home -1
1.85
Away -1
1.95
Home -1
2.00
Away -1
2.05
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
1.73
Under 1.5
2.00
Over 2.5
3.40
Under 2.5
1.30
Over 3.5
8.00
Under 3.5
1.08
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.50
Over 4.5
19.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
51.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.50
1
3.00
2
3.25
more 3
3.40
Over 5.5
2.10
Under 5.5
1.67
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.40
1
2.50
2
3.75
more 3
6.50
Over 3.5
1.62
Under 3.5
2.20
Home
3.75
Away
7.00
Home
5.50
Away
13.00
Home
1.50
Away
2.10
Home
8.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.67
Draw
15.00
Away
2.20
Home
1.67
Draw
15.00
Away
2.20
Draw
3.75
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.00
Home
2.62
Away
4.00
Home/Over 2.5
2.75
Draw/Over 2.5
9.50
Away/Over 2.5
5.00
Home/Under 2.5
5.50
Draw/Under 2.5
5.00
Away/Under 2.5
9.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
15.00
1 by 2
5.50
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
11.00
2 by 3
23.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
15.00
Draw
2.25
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Home
3.00
Away
5.50
Draw
1.67
Under 6
9.00
6 - 8
3.00
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.50
Over 14
11.00
Over
1.62
Under
2.20
Home
6.50
Draw
1.20
Away
8.50
Shot
1.44
Header
6.00
Penalty
7.00
FreeKick
21.00
OwnGoal
26.00
Draw
15.00
Draw
2.75
1st Half
3.20
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Over 19.5
1.80
Under 19.5
1.91
Draw/Over 1.5
6.50
Away/Over 1.5
9.00
Home/Over 1.5
5.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
3.50
Away/Under 1.5
6.00
Home
17.00
Away
21.00
Home
5.50
Away
7.00
Exactly 4
19.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.07
Under 5
17.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.53
Under 8
3.40
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
1.91
Under 9
2.38
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.50
Under 10
1.80
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.50
Under 11
1.50
Exactly 7
8.50
Over 7
1.30
Under 7
5.00
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.00
Under 12
1.28
Exactly 6
10.00
Over 6
1.17
Under 6
9.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
7.00
Under 13
1.17
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
11.00
Under 14
1.10
Exactly 16
26.00
Over 16
21.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
15.00
Under 15
1.05
J1 League Standings
East
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Kashima
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC Tokyo
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Machida Zelvia
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Tokyo Verdy
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
Urawa
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 6. |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 7 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Mito Hollyhock
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
JEF United Chiba
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10. |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
West
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Vissel Kobe
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 11 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Gamba Osaka
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
Kyoto Sanga
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Cerezo Osaka
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Nagoya Grampus
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 8. |
Fagiano Okayama
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 9. |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 10. |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Kashima
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 4
GD: +5
Kawasaki Frontale
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 10
GA: 7
GD: +3
Last 5 Matches
Kashima
07 Mar
H
Tokyo Verdy
2-0
W
Kawasaki Frontale
01 Mar
H
Mito Hollyhock
2-2
D