🇯🇵 J1 League
· Regular Season - 6
FT
Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka - J1 League
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
·
Ref: Futoshi Nakamura, Japan
Kyo
1
·
Cer
3
AI Match Analysis
A compelling J1 League clash awaits as third-placed Kyoto Sanga welcomes Cerezo Osaka, currently sitting seventh, in Round 6. Sanga will be eager to consolidate their position near the top of the table, while Osaka desperately needs points to climb into the top contention. A win for either side could significantly impact their early-season ambitions.
Kyoto Sanga enters this fixture riding a wave of confidence, having secured three wins in their last five league outings, a significant contrast to Cerezo Osaka's stuttering form, marked by three losses within the same timeframe. Sanga's recent draw with Fagiano Okayama might slightly dampen spirits, but their home record of one win and one loss suggests they are a tough opponent on their own turf. Cerezo Osaka mirrors this inconsistency away from home, mirroring Kyoto's home record.
Historically, Kyoto Sanga has dominated this fixture, winning all but one of the last five encounters against Cerezo Osaka. While no specific injury information is available, the historical dominance coupled with Sanga's superior form makes them slight favorites. The Elo-based win probability further solidifies this sentiment, giving the home side a significant edge. Expect Kyoto to leverage their home advantage and historical superiority to secure a positive result, even though Osaka will be desperate to turn their form around.
Kyoto Sanga enters this fixture riding a wave of confidence, having secured three wins in their last five league outings, a significant contrast to Cerezo Osaka's stuttering form, marked by three losses within the same timeframe. Sanga's recent draw with Fagiano Okayama might slightly dampen spirits, but their home record of one win and one loss suggests they are a tough opponent on their own turf. Cerezo Osaka mirrors this inconsistency away from home, mirroring Kyoto's home record.
Historically, Kyoto Sanga has dominated this fixture, winning all but one of the last five encounters against Cerezo Osaka. While no specific injury information is available, the historical dominance coupled with Sanga's superior form makes them slight favorites. The Elo-based win probability further solidifies this sentiment, giving the home side a significant edge. Expect Kyoto to leverage their home advantage and historical superiority to secure a positive result, even though Osaka will be desperate to turn their form around.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
46%
2.10
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
39%
1.75
low
O/U
Over 2.5
44%
1.85
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Referee
Futoshi Nakamura, Japan
Round
Regular Season - 6
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
56.29%
Win Probability
43.71%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : Kyoto Sanga or draw and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Kyoto Sanga — Win or draw
Kyoto Sanga
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Cerezo Osaka
10.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -1.5
Match Statistics
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
10
8
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
407
Total passes
352
299
Passes accurate
255
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Match Events
13'
🔄
Rafael Elias
(Fuchi Honda)
Substitution 1
28'
🟦
Ayumu Ohata
Yellow Card
35'
🟦
Nelson Ishiwatari
Yellow Card
48'
⚽
Marco Túlio
62'
🔄
Nelson Ishiwatari
(Masaya Shibayama)
Substitution 1
70'
🔄
Thiago Andrade
(Shion Homma)
Substitution 2
70'
🔄
Yumeki Yokoyama
(Reiya Sakata)
Substitution 3
71'
⚽
Reiya Sakata
74'
🔄
Fuchi Honda
(Masaya Okugawa)
Substitution 2
74'
🔄
Yusuke Ishida
(Henrique Trevisan)
Substitution 3
74'
🔄
Hidehiro Sugai
(Kyo Sato)
Substitution 4
75'
🟦
Temma Matsuda
Yellow Card
77'
🔄
Ayumu Ohata
(Kyohei Noborizato)
Substitution 4
77'
🔄
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
(Hayato Tanaka)
Substitution 5
79'
🔄
Taiki Hirato
(Ryuma Nakano)
Substitution 5
90+1'
🟦
Shion Homma
Yellow Card
90+6'
⚽
Shunta Tanaka
(Motohiko Nakajima)
Player Ratings
Kyoto Sanga
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Taiyo Hiraoka
-
-
-
-
-
Cerezo Osaka
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Wigi Kanemoto
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
Kyoto Sanga
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
Cerezo Osaka
Gwi-Jae Jo
Coach
Arthur Papas
4-3-3
11
Túlio
9
Elias
18
Matsuda
6
Pedro
25
Yoon
39
Hirato
2
Fukuda
40
Ishida
50
Suzuki
22
Sugai
1
Ota
4-2-3-1
9
Sakuragawa
14
Yokoyama
13
Nakajima
11
Andrade
18
Ishiwatari
10
Tanaka
27
Cools
4
Inoue
44
Hatanaka
66
Ohata
23
Nakamura
Starting XI
1
Gakuji Ota
G
G
Kosuke Nakamura
23
2
Shinnosuke Fukuda
D
D
Dion Cools
27
40
Yusuke Ishida
D
D
Rikito Inoue
4
50
Yoshinori Suzuki
D
D
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
44
22
Hidehiro Sugai
D
D
Ayumu Ohata
66
6
João Pedro
M
M
Nelson Ishiwatari
18
25
Sung-jun Yoon
M
M
Shunta Tanaka
10
39
Taiki Hirato
M
M
Yumeki Yokoyama
14
11
Marco Túlio
F
M
Motohiko Nakajima
13
9
Rafael Elias
F
M
Thiago Andrade
11
18
Temma Matsuda
F
F
Solomon Sakuragawa
9
Substitutes
99
Fuchi Honda
Masaya Shibayama
48
44
Kyo Sato
Shion Homma
19
34
Henrique Trevisan
Reiya Sakata
17
7
Masaya Okugawa
Kyohei Noborizato
6
48
Ryuma Nakano
Hayato Tanaka
3
21
Kentaro Kakoi
Koki Fukui
1
88
Barreto
Hayato Okuda
16
77
Haruki Arai
Hinata Kida
5
16
Taiyo Hiraoka
Wigi Kanemoto
39
Head to Head
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2025-09-28
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
HT: 0-1
2025-05-21
Kyoto Sanga
1 - 4
Cerezo Osaka
HT: 1-0
2025-05-03
Kyoto Sanga
2 - 3
Cerezo Osaka
HT: 2-2
2024-08-17
Cerezo Osaka
3 - 5
Kyoto Sanga
HT: 1-3
2024-06-01
Kyoto Sanga
1 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.10
Draw
3.30
Away
3.50
Home
2.75
Draw
2.20
Away
4.00
Home
2.40
Draw
2.40
Away
3.40
Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.75
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 3.5
3.00
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
11.00
Over 4.5
6.00
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
26.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.75
No
2.00
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Home -1.25
3.45
Away -1.25
1.30
Home -1
3.00
Away -1
1.38
Home -0.75
2.38
Away -0.75
1.55
Home -0.5
2.05
Away -0.5
1.75
Home -0.25
1.78
Away -0.25
2.02
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.38
Away +0.25
3.00
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.20
Away +0.75
4.40
Home +1
1.11
Away +1
6.60
Home -1.75
5.00
Away -1.75
1.17
Home -1.5
3.80
Away -1.5
1.25
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
7.00
Home -1.25
7.00
Away -1.25
1.10
Home -1
6.25
Away -1
1.12
Home -0.75
3.45
Away -0.75
1.30
Home -0.5
2.60
Away -0.5
1.48
Home -0.25
2.10
Away -0.25
1.70
Home +0
1.58
Away +0
2.35
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.25
Away +0.5
3.80
Home +0.75
1.15
Away +0.75
5.50
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.70
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.62
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
8.00
2:0
10.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
19.00
3:1
17.00
3:2
26.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
34.00
0:0
10.00
1:1
6.00
2:2
13.00
0:1
11.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
251.00
1:5
151.00
2:5
201.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
67.00
5:2
101.00
6:0
201.00
6:1
201.00
6:2
301.00
4:3
81.00
3:5
351.00
5:3
201.00
5:4
501.00
4:4
201.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
21.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
101.00
4:1
201.00
0:0
3.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
19.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
26.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
151.00
3:3
501.00
0:4
301.00
1:4
401.00
4:2
501.00
5:0
501.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
7.50
Draw/Draw
5.50
Home/Home
3.40
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
23.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.50
Away
2.50
Home/Yes
4.33
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
7.00
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
10.00
Away/No
6.50
o/yes 2.5
2.25
o/no 2.5
10.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.40
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
10.00
1
5.00
2
3.50
3
4.33
4
6.00
5
11.00
6
21.00
more 7
29.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
3
9.50
4
26.00
more 5
51.00
0
4.00
1
2.88
2
3.50
3
6.50
4
15.00
more 5
26.00
Over 1.5
1.26
Under 1.5
3.70
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
3.30
Over 2.25
1.62
Under 2.25
2.25
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 2.75
2.08
Under 2.75
1.72
Over 3.5
3.10
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 2
1.40
Under 2
2.85
Over 3
2.42
Under 3
1.52
Over 4
5.25
Under 4
1.16
Over 1.25
1.16
Under 1.25
5.25
Over 4.5
5.90
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 3.25
2.75
Under 3.25
1.42
Over 3.75
3.70
Under 3.75
1.26
Over 4.25
5.75
Under 4.25
1.14
Over 1.5
2.68
Under 1.5
1.45
Over 1.75
3.45
Under 1.75
1.30
Over 2.25
6.25
Under 2.25
1.12
Over 2.5
6.80
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 1
1.80
Under 1
2.00
Over 2
5.75
Under 2
1.14
Over 0.5
1.38
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 0.75
1.50
Under 0.75
2.50
Over 1.25
2.25
Under 1.25
1.62
Home -1
3.75
Away -1
1.70
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
21.00
Draw -3
13.00
Away -3
1.06
Home -2
9.00
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.22
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
19.00
Home -1
8.50
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.50
Home -3
81.00
Draw -3
34.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
29.00
Draw -2
10.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
13.00
Over 9.5
1.67
Under 9.5
2.10
Over 10
1.92
Under 10
1.88
Exactly 5
5.50
Over 5
2.62
Under 5
1.91
Over 4.5
1.85
Under 4.5
1.95
Home -1
1.95
Away -1
1.85
Home -1
2.05
Away -1
1.95
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
4.33
1
2.75
2
3.50
more 3
4.33
Over 5.5
2.00
Under 5.5
1.73
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 4.5
1.80
Home
3.75
Away
6.50
Home
6.50
Away
13.00
Home
1.57
Away
2.10
Home
9.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.73
Draw
10.00
Away
2.25
Home
1.73
Draw
11.00
Away
2.25
Draw
3.50
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.05
Home
3.25
Away
4.50
Home/Over 2.5
3.40
Draw/Over 2.5
11.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.75
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
7.50
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
21.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
13.00
2 by 3
26.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
10.00
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Home
3.00
Away
4.33
Draw
1.83
Under 6
11.00
6 - 8
3.40
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.00
Over 14
8.00
Over
1.57
Under
2.25
Home
7.00
Draw
1.17
Away
9.00
Shot
1.50
Header
6.50
Penalty
7.50
FreeKick
21.00
OwnGoal
29.00
Draw
11.00
Draw
2.50
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.40
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 21.5
1.83
Under 21.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
7.50
Away/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Over 1.5
6.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
3.00
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Home
19.00
Away
21.00
Home
6.50
Away
8.00
Exactly 5
17.00
Over 5
1.05
Under 5
21.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.40
Under 8
4.00
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.67
Under 9
2.75
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.10
Under 10
2.10
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
2.75
Under 11
1.67
Exactly 7
9.50
Over 7
1.22
Under 7
6.50
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
3.75
Under 12
1.40
Exactly 6
13.00
Over 6
1.11
Under 6
11.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
5.50
Under 13
1.25
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
8.00
Under 14
1.14
Exactly 17
29.00
Over 17
21.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
21.00
Over 16
15.00
Under 16
1.04
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
12.00
Under 15
1.08
J1 League Standings
East
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Kashima
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC Tokyo
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Machida Zelvia
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Tokyo Verdy
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
Urawa
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 6. |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 7 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Mito Hollyhock
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
JEF United Chiba
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10. |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
West
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Vissel Kobe
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 11 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Gamba Osaka
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
Kyoto Sanga
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Cerezo Osaka
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Nagoya Grampus
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 8. |
Fagiano Okayama
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 9. |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 10. |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Kyoto Sanga
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 7
GA: 5
GD: +2
Cerezo Osaka
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 4
GA: 4
GD: +0
Last 5 Matches
Kyoto Sanga
08 Mar
A
Fagiano Okayama
0-1
L
Cerezo Osaka
07 Mar
H
Shimizu S-pulse
0-0
D