🏴 Premier League
· Relegation Group - 28
FT
llanelli AFC vs Briton Ferry - Premier League
llanelli AFC
L
L
D
L
D
0 - 2
HT: 0-1
Briton Ferry
W
W
L
D
W
Stebonheath Park
·
Ref: A. McInch
Match Preview
In the Welsh Premier League's relegation group, Llanelli AFC hosts Briton Ferry in a crucial match on Round 28. Llanelli, currently languishing at the bottom of the table with a mere 8 points, desperately needs a win to ignite any hope of survival. Briton Ferry, sitting more comfortably in 8th place with 25 points, will aim to distance themselves further from the relegation zone and consolidate their position. The stakes are high for both teams as they battle for precious points at Stebonheath Park.
Llanelli's form has been abysmal, reflected in their league-worst 18 losses. At home, they've managed only a single victory in 11 attempts, highlighting their struggles in front of their own fans. Conversely, Briton Ferry boasts a solid away record, winning 4, drawing 4, and losing just 3. Their away form suggests they are a difficult team to beat on the road, a stark contrast to Llanelli's home woes. The numbers paint a clear picture: Llanelli is struggling, while Briton Ferry is capable of securing points away from home.
Historically, head-to-head matchups between these two sides have been competitive, with Llanelli holding a slight 3-2 advantage in their last 5 encounters. However, current form suggests a different outcome might be on the cards. While no injury news is available, the Elo-based win probability favors the home side slightly at 59.25%. Despite Llanelli's poor form and Briton Ferry's stronger away record, the historical H2H dominance and home advantage might just give Llanelli a glimmer of hope, although an upset seems unlikely given current performance levels.
Llanelli's form has been abysmal, reflected in their league-worst 18 losses. At home, they've managed only a single victory in 11 attempts, highlighting their struggles in front of their own fans. Conversely, Briton Ferry boasts a solid away record, winning 4, drawing 4, and losing just 3. Their away form suggests they are a difficult team to beat on the road, a stark contrast to Llanelli's home woes. The numbers paint a clear picture: Llanelli is struggling, while Briton Ferry is capable of securing points away from home.
Historically, head-to-head matchups between these two sides have been competitive, with Llanelli holding a slight 3-2 advantage in their last 5 encounters. However, current form suggests a different outcome might be on the cards. While no injury news is available, the Elo-based win probability favors the home side slightly at 59.25%. Despite Llanelli's poor form and Briton Ferry's stronger away record, the historical H2H dominance and home advantage might just give Llanelli a glimmer of hope, although an upset seems unlikely given current performance levels.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
74%
1.36
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
61%
1.65
high
CS
1-2
10%
10.80
medium
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HT/FT
2/2
27%
4.00
medium
Get VIP Access
O/U
Over 2.5
67%
1.50
high
Match Info
Stadium
Stebonheath Park
Referee
A. McInch
Round
Relegation Group - 28
llanelli AFC
Briton Ferry
53.94%
Win Probability
46.06%
Match Analysis
Winner : Briton Ferry
Predicted winner: Briton Ferry
llanelli AFC
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Briton Ferry
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -3.5
Match Events
8'
⚽
R. Owen
53'
🔄
R. Booth
(H. Bright)
Substitution 1
67'
🔄
R. Dyer
(M. Bates)
Substitution 1
68'
🔄
R. Owen
(R. George)
Substitution 2
68'
🔄
C. Hurford
(O. Anderson)
Substitution 3
71'
🔄
M. Evans
(K. Hussein)
Substitution 2
72'
🔄
K. Williams
(D. Packer)
Substitution 4
83'
🔄
D. Williams
(J. Farrell-Alli)
Substitution 3
90+3'
⚽
O. Anderson
Head to Head
llanelli AFC
Briton Ferry
1
4
1 wins
0 draws
4 wins
2026-01-23
Briton Ferry
3 - 1
llanelli AFC
HT: 1-0
2025-09-23
Briton Ferry
1 - 2
llanelli AFC
HT: 1-0
2025-08-22
llanelli AFC
2 - 4
Briton Ferry
HT: 2-2
2024-04-13
llanelli AFC
2 - 5
Briton Ferry
HT: 1-3
2023-12-08
Briton Ferry
1 - 0
llanelli AFC
HT: 0-0
Odds
10Bet
Home
6.80
Draw
4.40
Away
1.36
Home
6.00
Draw
2.50
Away
1.80
Home
5.25
Draw
2.95
Away
1.70
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.45
Over 3.5
2.20
Under 3.5
1.62
Over 4.5
3.75
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.45
Over 1.5
1.65
Under 1.5
2.10
Yes
1.65
No
2.05
Yes
3.65
No
1.20
Yes
2.70
No
1.40
Home/Draw
2.85
Home/Away
1.13
Draw/Away
1.05
1:0
19.00
2:0
34.00
2:1
15.00
3:0
91.00
3:1
46.00
3:2
34.00
4:1
126.00
0:0
15.00
1:1
8.00
2:2
13.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
7.00
0:3
9.00
1:2
7.00
1:3
8.50
2:3
15.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
15.00
1:4
13.00
2:4
26.00
4:2
91.00
0:5
31.00
0:6
61.00
1:5
29.00
1:6
56.00
2:5
46.00
2:6
91.00
3:4
61.00
4:3
101.00
3:5
101.00
0:7
126.00
1:7
126.00
1:0
8.00
2:0
34.00
2:1
26.00
3:1
81.00
0:0
3.45
1:1
7.00
2:2
46.00
0:1
3.55
0:2
6.00
0:3
13.00
1:2
10.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
76.00
0:4
46.00
1:4
71.00
0:5
81.00
1:0
7.50
2:0
23.00
2:1
17.00
3:0
76.00
3:1
61.00
3:2
76.00
0:0
4.50
1:1
5.75
2:2
23.00
0:1
3.70
0:2
5.25
0:3
11.00
1:2
8.00
1:3
15.00
2:3
46.00
0:4
26.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
91.00
0:5
71.00
1:5
91.00
Home/Draw
19.00
Home/Away
21.00
Draw/Away
4.33
Draw/Draw
7.00
Home/Home
12.00
Draw/Home
13.00
Away/Home
41.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
1.95
Home
5.25
Away
1.12
Home/Yes
10.00
Draw/Yes
5.50
Away/Yes
2.62
Home/No
13.00
Draw/No
15.00
Away/No
2.55
Odd
1.85
Even
1.85
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Home +1
2.85
Draw +1
3.55
Away +1
2.05
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.30
0
2.30
1
2.40
more 2
3.50
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
2.65
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.55
0
7.00
1
3.75
more 2
1.38
Home
34.00
Away
3.10
Home
3.10
Draw
15.00
Away
1.38
Home
3.10
Draw
15.00
Away
1.38
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
The New Saints
|
22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 59:19 | +40 | 53 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
GAP Connah S Quay FC
|
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 48:25 | +23 | 47 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 3. |
Penybont
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | +5 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 4. |
Caernarfon Town
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 44:32 | +12 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 5. |
Barry Town
|
22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33:25 | +8 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 6. |
Colwyn Bay
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | +4 | 30 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 7. |
Cardiff MET
|
22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 33:36 | -3 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 8. |
Briton Ferry
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 25 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 9. |
Haverfordwest County AFC
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 10. |
Bala Town
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 23 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 11. |
Flint Town United
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 12. |
llanelli AFC
|
22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12:59 | -47 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Relegation
Season Form
llanelli AFC
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 14
GA: 66
GD: -52
Briton Ferry
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 37
GA: 44
GD: -7