🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 28
FT
Lugo vs Real Madrid II - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Estadio Anxo Carro
Lug
5
·
Rea
2
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 sees fourth-placed Lugo host Real Madrid II, who sit further down the table in 11th. With Lugo chasing promotion playoff contention and Real Madrid II looking to consolidate their mid-table position, this match in Round 28 at Estadio Anxo Carro is significant for both sides. A win for Lugo could solidify their playoff aspirations, while Real Madrid II need points to ensure they don't get dragged into a late-season relegation battle.
Lugo's recent form is relatively strong (LDWDW), and their home record is particularly impressive (8W 3D 2L). They will be confident of taking maximum points in front of their own fans. Real Madrid II, on the other hand, have been struggling for consistency (DDWDL) and their away form is poor (2W 4D 7L). They've also drawn their last two matches, both of which ended in a stalemate. The contrast between Lugo's home strength and Real Madrid II's away weakness is a key factor to consider.
The head-to-head record favors Real Madrid II, having won the only previous encounter. Though no specific injuries are mentioned, fitness within the squad will undoubtedly play a role this late in the season. Considering Lugo's strong home form, their superior league position, and the ELO win probability (61%), they are the clear favorites to secure victory in this encounter. Expect Lugo to leverage their home advantage and put pressure on a vulnerable Real Madrid II defense.
Lugo's recent form is relatively strong (LDWDW), and their home record is particularly impressive (8W 3D 2L). They will be confident of taking maximum points in front of their own fans. Real Madrid II, on the other hand, have been struggling for consistency (DDWDL) and their away form is poor (2W 4D 7L). They've also drawn their last two matches, both of which ended in a stalemate. The contrast between Lugo's home strength and Real Madrid II's away weakness is a key factor to consider.
The head-to-head record favors Real Madrid II, having won the only previous encounter. Though no specific injuries are mentioned, fitness within the squad will undoubtedly play a role this late in the season. Considering Lugo's strong home form, their superior league position, and the ELO win probability (61%), they are the clear favorites to secure victory in this encounter. Expect Lugo to leverage their home advantage and put pressure on a vulnerable Real Madrid II defense.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
44%
2.10
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
56%
1.67
high
O/U
Under 2.5
61%
1.53
high
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio Anxo Carro
Referee
-
Round
Group 1 - 28
Lugo
Real Madrid II
34.72%
Win Probability
65.28%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Lugo or draw
Predicted winner: Lugo — Win or draw
Lugo
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Real Madrid II
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Match Events
26'
🟦
Yellow Card
27'
🟦
C. Perea
Yellow Card
29'
⚽
J. Ortega
31'
⚽
A. Ciria
35'
🟦
K. Presa
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
N. Celorio
(I. Unzueta)
Substitution 1
53'
🔄
K. Presa
(S. Samanes)
Substitution 2
53'
🔄
B. Sanchez
(L. Junior)
Substitution 3
57'
🟦
Yellow Card
60'
⚽
P. Fortuny
65'
🔄
A. Gallar
(O. Teofilovic)
Substitution 4
65'
🔄
P. Haro
(A. Perera)
Substitution 5
68'
🟦
A. Balboa
Yellow Card
72'
⚽
J. Ortega
82'
🟦
D. Jimenez
Yellow Card
86'
🟦
N. Reniero
Yellow Card
Head to Head
Lugo
Real Madrid II
0
1
0 wins
0 draws
1 wins
2025-08-29
Real Madrid II
2 - 1
Lugo
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.10
Draw
3.00
Away
3.30
Home
2.88
Draw
1.95
Away
4.00
Home
2.60
Draw
2.20
Away
3.60
Over 1.5
1.44
Under 1.5
2.62
Over 2.5
2.38
Under 2.5
1.53
Over 3.5
4.33
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
6.50
Over 4.5
8.50
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
8.50
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home -1.25
3.90
Away -1.25
1.24
Home -1
3.45
Away -1
1.30
Home -0.75
2.50
Away -0.75
1.50
Home -0.5
2.15
Away -0.5
1.68
Home -0.25
1.85
Away -0.25
1.95
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.21
Away +0.75
4.25
Home +1
1.10
Away +1
6.80
Home -1.75
5.90
Away -1.75
1.13
Home -1.5
4.25
Away -1.5
1.21
Home -0.75
3.90
Away -0.75
1.24
Home -0.5
2.85
Away -0.5
1.40
Home -0.25
2.30
Away -0.25
1.60
Home +0
1.60
Away +0
2.30
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.23
Away +0.5
4.10
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.00
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.60
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
6.00
2:0
9.00
2:1
10.00
3:0
19.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
6.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
19.00
0:1
8.00
0:2
15.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
81.00
2:4
101.00
4:2
67.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
101.00
5:2
151.00
4:3
151.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
13.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
4:0
151.00
0:0
2.38
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
34.00
1:3
101.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
7.00
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
3.50
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.53
Away
2.38
Home/Yes
5.50
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
8.50
Home/No
3.25
Draw/No
6.50
Away/No
5.00
o/yes 2.5
3.00
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
1.83
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
6.50
1
3.75
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
7.50
5
17.00
6
34.00
more 7
21.00
0
2.38
1
2.50
2
4.75
3
13.00
4
41.00
more 5
101.00
0
3.00
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.00
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.45
Under 1.5
2.68
Over 1.75
1.58
Under 1.75
2.35
Over 2.25
2.10
Under 2.25
1.70
Over 2.5
2.38
Under 2.5
1.55
Over 2.75
2.85
Under 2.75
1.40
Over 3.5
4.50
Under 3.5
1.19
Over 1
1.14
Under 1
5.75
Over 2
1.80
Under 2
2.00
Over 3
3.70
Under 3
1.26
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
6.40
Over 1.25
1.30
Under 1.25
3.45
Over 3.25
4.15
Under 3.25
1.22
Over 3.75
5.90
Under 3.75
1.13
Over 1.5
3.45
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 1.75
4.65
Under 1.75
1.18
Over 1
2.30
Under 1
1.60
Over 0.75
1.78
Under 0.75
2.02
Over 1.25
2.85
Under 1.25
1.40
Home -1
4.33
Away -1
1.60
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
26.00
Draw -3
15.00
Away -3
1.04
Home -2
9.50
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.18
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
10.00
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
151.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
12.00
Away -2
1.05
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
17.00
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
10.50
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.25
1
2.60
2
4.00
more 3
6.00
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
8.50
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.57
Under 0.5
2.25
0
2.25
1
2.50
2
5.00
more 3
8.50
Home
3.25
Away
5.00
Home
8.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.73
Away
2.25
Home
11.00
Away
17.00
Home
1.83
Draw
6.50
Away
2.40
Home
1.83
Draw
6.50
Away
2.40
Draw
3.10
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
4.00
Away
6.50
Home/Over 2.5
4.33
Draw/Over 2.5
17.00
Away/Over 2.5
7.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.00
Draw/Under 2.5
3.60
Away/Under 2.5
6.00
1 by 1
3.60
2 by 1
4.75
1 by 4+
26.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
15.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
6.50
Draw
1.91
1st Half
4.00
2nd Half
3.00
Odd
2.20
Even
1.62
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Yes
2.25
No
1.57
Draw
2.25
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
13.00
Home/Over 1.5
8.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.38
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Tenerife
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | +32 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Celta de Vigo II
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | +8 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Barakaldo
|
28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | +9 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
Athletic Club II
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 5. |
Pontevedra
|
27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | +12 | 42 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 6. |
Zamora
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | +5 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 7. |
Real Madrid II
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | +2 | 42 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 8. |
Racing Ferrol
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 9. |
Lugo
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 10. |
Ponferradina
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | +5 | 40 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 11. |
Mérida AD
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:36 | +1 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
| 13. |
Arenas Getxo
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Real Avilés
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 15. |
Ourense CF
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 16. |
Guadalajara
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 17. |
CF Talavera
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 18. |
Cacereño
|
28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 19. |
Arenteiro
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 20. |
Osasuna II
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Lugo
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 27
GA: 23
GD: +4
Real Madrid II
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 34
GA: 36
GD: -2
Last 5 Matches
Lugo
07 Mar
A
Tenerife
1-1
D
Real Madrid II
07 Mar
A
Arenteiro
2-2
D
01 Mar
H
Ponferradina
0-1
L