🇧🇷 Copa Do Brasil · Round of 128 FT

Manauara vs Fortaleza EC - Copa Do Brasil

Manauara
Manauara
W
0 - 1
HT: 0-0
Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC
W
Arena da Amazonia
Man 2 · For 4

Match Preview

The Copa Do Brasil Round of 128 pits Manauara against Fortaleza EC in what promises to be a David vs Goliath encounter. Progression in this cup offers not only prestige but also a valuable route to continental competition for both sides, though the gulf in resources and league stature is significant. For Manauara, a positive result here would be a major upset, while Fortaleza will be expected to progress comfortably.

Manauara enter the match with a recent victory, though specific details are unavailable, and a prior drawn fixture against AO Itabaiana. The single piece of recent form data available is a drawn fixture. What is notable is the home win probability according to Elo ratings, which stands at a surprisingly high 66.57%. This potentially reflects a significant home advantage or factors not immediately apparent from the available data. Whether this is purely analytical or reflects on the ground sentiment is unclear.

Head-to-head data and injury reports are unavailable at this time. Given Fortaleza's likely dominance in squad quality and experience, Manauara will need to maximize their home advantage to have any chance of causing an upset. However, based purely on the Elo rating discrepancy, a Manauara victory would defy the odds, suggesting Fortaleza should ultimately advance, albeit potentially after a tougher fight than initially anticipated.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 56% 1.93 medium
BTTS BTTS No 61% 1.77 medium
CS 1-0 14% 7.71 medium
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HT/FT 1/1 29% 3.72 medium
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O/U Under 2.5 64% 1.69 medium

Match Info

Stadium
Arena da Amazonia
Referee
-
Round
Round of 128
Manauara Fortaleza EC
61.77% Win Probability 38.23%

Match Analysis

Combo Double chance : Manauara or draw and +2.5 goals

Predicted winner: Manauara — Win or draw

Manauara 45.00%
Draw 45.00%
Fortaleza EC 10.00%
Expected goals: -3.5 - -4.5

Match Events

9' 🟦
Brenno Yellow Card
10' 🟦
Joao Guilherme Yellow Card
25' 🟦
Mailton Yellow Card
46' 🔄
Gazal (Welliton) Substitution 1
46' 🔄
Maicon (Quadrado) Substitution 1
46' 🔄
Pierre (Paulo Baya) Substitution 2
64' 🔄
Felipe Camargo (Everson) Substitution 2
64' 🔄
Adriano Klein (Allefe) Substitution 3
69' 🔄
Pablo Pardal (Giba) Substitution 4
70' 🔄
Ronald (Rodrigo) Substitution 3
74' 🔄
Luiz Fernando (J. B. Miritello) Substitution 4
78' 🔄
Marinho (Gui Campana) Substitution 5
82' 🟦
E. Britez Yellow Card
84' 🔄
T. Pochettino (Lucca Prior) Substitution 5
90+2' 🟦
Yellow Card
90+5' 🟦
Yellow Card
90+8'

Lineups

Luís Carlos Winck Coach Carpini Thiago
Starting XI

Season Form

Manauara
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 3 GA: 1 GD: +2
Fortaleza EC
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 4 GA: 3 GD: +1

Last 5 Matches

Manauara
05 Mar H AO Itabaiana 3-1 W

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