🇰🇪 FKF Premier League
· Regular Season - 24
FT
Mathare United vs AFC Leopards - FKF Premier League
Moi International Sports Centre
AI Match Analysis
A crucial FKF Premier League encounter sees second-placed AFC Leopards travel to the Moi International Sports Centre to face Mathare United, currently sitting in 13th position. Leopards will be eager to secure three points to maintain pressure on the league leaders, while Mathare United are looking to distance themselves further from the relegation zone. This Round 24 fixture presents a significant challenge for both sides.
AFC Leopards, despite a recent draw against Shabana, boast an impressive away record, having won six, drawn four, and lost just two of their away matches this season. It's a stark contrast to Mathare United's home form, where they've lost seven of their eleven games, winning only four. Mathare's struggles at home could prove to be a major disadvantage against a confident Leopards side pushing for the title. The Leopards' superior goal difference (16 compared to Mathare's -5) also underscores their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
Historically, AFC Leopards have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-head meetings. While the provided 'win probability' from Elo ratings gives Mathare a surprising edge, the recent form and head-to-head record heavily favor AFC Leopards. Unless Mathare United can drastically improve their home performance, Leopards are likely to continue their winning ways in this encounter.
AFC Leopards, despite a recent draw against Shabana, boast an impressive away record, having won six, drawn four, and lost just two of their away matches this season. It's a stark contrast to Mathare United's home form, where they've lost seven of their eleven games, winning only four. Mathare's struggles at home could prove to be a major disadvantage against a confident Leopards side pushing for the title. The Leopards' superior goal difference (16 compared to Mathare's -5) also underscores their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
Historically, AFC Leopards have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-head meetings. While the provided 'win probability' from Elo ratings gives Mathare a surprising edge, the recent form and head-to-head record heavily favor AFC Leopards. Unless Mathare United can drastically improve their home performance, Leopards are likely to continue their winning ways in this encounter.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
46%
1.95
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
27%
4.00
low
O/U
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
high
Match Info
Stadium
Moi International Sports Centre
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 24
Mathare United
AFC Leopards
65.54%
Win Probability
34.46%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or AFC Leopards
Predicted winner: AFC Leopards — Win or draw
Mathare United
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
AFC Leopards
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -2.5
Match Events
59'
⚽
76'
⚽
82'
⚽
87'
⚽
90+5'
⚽
Head to Head
Mathare United
AFC Leopards
1
4
1 wins
0 draws
4 wins
2025-11-02
AFC Leopards
2 - 0
Mathare United
HT: 0-0
2025-05-14
AFC Leopards
3 - 1
Mathare United
HT: 2-0
2024-08-25
Mathare United
0 - 4
AFC Leopards
2023-03-12
Mathare United
1 - 0
AFC Leopards
2023-01-18
AFC Leopards
2 - 1
Mathare United
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
3.75
Draw
3.00
Away
1.95
Home
4.75
Draw
1.91
Away
2.75
Over 2.5
2.62
Under 2.5
1.44
Home +0.5
1.80
Away +0.5
2.00
Home +0.25
1.68
Away +0.25
2.15
Home/Draw
1.70
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.20
Home/Draw
1.40
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.17
1:0
8.50
2:0
17.00
2:1
17.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
51.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
81.00
0:0
5.50
1:1
7.00
2:2
23.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
8.00
0:3
15.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
23.00
2:3
41.00
0:4
34.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
81.00
0:5
51.00
1:5
81.00
1:0
6.00
2:0
23.00
2:1
41.00
3:0
81.00
0:0
2.20
1:1
10.00
2:2
81.00
0:1
3.75
0:2
11.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
67.00
Home
2.75
Away
1.40
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Over 1.75
1.75
Under 1.75
2.05
Home
2.75
Draw
5.50
Away
1.73
FKF Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
GOR Mahia
|
24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 42:17 | +25 | 53 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
AFC Leopards
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 31:18 | +13 | 43 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 3. |
Shabana
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:25 | +4 | 40 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 4. |
Homeboyz
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:25 | +9 | 38 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 5. |
Murang'a SEAL
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | +6 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Police
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 20:16 | +4 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 7. |
Tusker
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 37 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
KCB
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 34 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 9. |
Nairobi United
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | +6 | 33 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 10. |
Bandari
|
24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
| 11. |
Mara Sugar
|
23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 12. |
Mathare United
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 21:23 | -2 | 29 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 13. |
Posta Rangers FC
|
24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 21:28 | -7 | 28 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 15. |
Bidco United
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
APS Bomet
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 17. |
Ulinzi Stars
|
24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 18. |
Sofapaka
|
24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15:34 | -19 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Champions League
Relegation
Season Form
Mathare United
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 17
GA: 22
GD: -5
AFC Leopards
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 30
GA: 14
GD: +16
Last 5 Matches
AFC Leopards
01 Mar
H
Shabana
5-1
W