🇯🇵 J1 League
· Regular Season - 6
FT
Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo - J1 League
K's Denki Stadium Mito
·
Ref: Yusuke Ohashi, Japan
Mit
1
·
FC
3
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in Round 6 of the J1 League sees third-placed FC Tokyo travel to face Mito Hollyhock, currently sitting eighth in the table. With ten points from a possible fifteen, FC Tokyo will be looking to maintain their strong start and potentially climb higher in the standings. Mito Hollyhock, on the other hand, desperately need points to recover from a poor beginning to the season, with only one win and four losses so far.
FC Tokyo's form is significantly better, boasting four wins in their last five matches compared to Mito Hollyhock's single victory in the same period. Despite their overall struggles, Mito Hollyhock have a perfect home record, winning their only match at Best Denki Stadium. FC Tokyo mirrors that away, also with a perfect record on the road. Recent results show both teams coming off draws, against Urawa and Kawasaki Frontale for Mito, and against Yokohama F. Marinos for FC Tokyo. The clash of perfect home and away records sets up an interesting dynamic.
The head-to-head record is evenly split, with each side claiming one victory in their last two encounters. The Elo ratings heavily favor an FC Tokyo victory, giving them a 60.30% chance of securing the three points. While Mito Hollyhock’s home form offers a glimmer of hope, FC Tokyo’s superior form and stronger Elo rating suggest they are the favorites to emerge victorious in this encounter.
FC Tokyo's form is significantly better, boasting four wins in their last five matches compared to Mito Hollyhock's single victory in the same period. Despite their overall struggles, Mito Hollyhock have a perfect home record, winning their only match at Best Denki Stadium. FC Tokyo mirrors that away, also with a perfect record on the road. Recent results show both teams coming off draws, against Urawa and Kawasaki Frontale for Mito, and against Yokohama F. Marinos for FC Tokyo. The clash of perfect home and away records sets up an interesting dynamic.
The head-to-head record is evenly split, with each side claiming one victory in their last two encounters. The Elo ratings heavily favor an FC Tokyo victory, giving them a 60.30% chance of securing the three points. While Mito Hollyhock’s home form offers a glimmer of hope, FC Tokyo’s superior form and stronger Elo rating suggest they are the favorites to emerge victorious in this encounter.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
54%
2.10
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
38%
1.95
low
O/U
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
medium
Match Info
Stadium
K's Denki Stadium Mito
Referee
Yusuke Ohashi, Japan
Round
Regular Season - 6
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
38.08%
Win Probability
61.92%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or FC Tokyo
Predicted winner: FC Tokyo — Win or draw
Mito Hollyhock
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
FC Tokyo
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots off Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
366
Total passes
380
261
Passes accurate
281
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Match Events
22'
🔄
Yuto Nagatomo
(Kento Hashimoto)
Substitution 1
34'
🟦
Ryunosuke Sato
Yellow Card
39'
🟦
Rio Omori
Yellow Card
42'
🟦
Kento Hashimoto
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Chihiro Kato
(Tada Keisuke)
Substitution 1
59'
⚽
Sei Muroya
(Kento Hashimoto)
61'
⚽
Arata Watanabe
(Tada Keisuke)
64'
🔄
Kyota Tokiwa
(Keita Endo)
Substitution 2
64'
🔄
Ryunosuke Sato
(Kei Koizumi)
Substitution 3
73'
🔄
Taishi Semba
(Yuto Nagao)
Substitution 2
73'
🔄
Takumi Mase
(Yamamota Hayata)
Substitution 3
82'
🔄
Marcelo Ryan
(Teruhito Nakagawa)
Substitution 4
82'
🔄
Kein Sato
(Fuki Yamada)
Substitution 5
87'
🔄
Arata Watanabe
(Seiichiro Kubo)
Substitution 4
90+1'
🟦
Danilo Cardoso
Yellow Card
Player Ratings
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Koya Okuda
-
-
-
-
-
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Leon Nozawa
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
4-4-2
FC Tokyo
Daisuke Kimori
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
4-4-2
11
Torikai
10
Watanabe
25
Mase
3
Osaki
19
Semba
8
Kato
6
Iida
17
Itakura
2
Cardoso
7
Omori
34
Nishikawa
4-4-2
9
Ryan
26
Nagakura
16
Sato
18
Hashimoto
27
Tokiwa
23
Sato
2
Muroya
24
Scholz
15
Omori
5
Nagatomo
81
Kim
Starting XI
34
Konosuke Nishikawa
G
G
Seung-gyu Kim
81
6
Takahiro Iida
D
D
Sei Muroya
2
17
Kenta Itakura
D
D
Alexander Scholz
24
2
Danilo Cardoso
D
D
Rio Omori
15
7
Sho Omori
D
D
Yuto Nagatomo
5
25
Takumi Mase
M
M
Kein Sato
16
3
Koshi Osaki
M
M
Kento Hashimoto
18
19
Taishi Semba
M
M
Kyota Tokiwa
27
8
Chihiro Kato
M
M
Ryunosuke Sato
23
11
Yoshiki Torikai
F
F
Marcelo Ryan
9
10
Arata Watanabe
F
F
Motoki Nagakura
26
Substitutes
29
Tada Keisuke
Kento Hashimoto
42
39
Yamamota Hayata
Kei Koizumi
37
15
Yuto Nagao
Keita Endo
22
22
Seiichiro Kubo
Fuki Yamada
71
21
Shuhei Matsubara
Teruhito Nakagawa
39
5
Seiya Inoue
Hayate Tanaka
1
14
Mizuki Arai
Yasuki Kimoto
4
70
Matheus Leiria
Keigo Higashi
10
44
Koya Okuda
Leon Nozawa
28
Head to Head
FC Tokyo
1
1
1 wins
0 draws
1 wins
2024-10-12
FC Tokyo
2 - 3
Mito Hollyhock
HT: 1-0
2015-11-11
FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Mito Hollyhock
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
3.50
Draw
3.40
Away
2.10
Home
4.00
Draw
2.10
Away
2.75
Home
3.50
Draw
2.30
Away
2.50
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.67
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
8.50
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.95
No
1.80
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
6.80
Away -1.25
1.10
Home -1
7.00
Away -1
1.10
Home -0.75
4.40
Away -0.75
1.20
Home -0.5
3.45
Away -0.5
1.30
Home -0.25
3.00
Away -0.25
1.38
Home +0
2.42
Away +0
1.52
Home +0.25
2.00
Away +0.25
1.80
Home +0.5
1.72
Away +0.5
2.08
Home +0.75
1.52
Away +0.75
2.42
Home +1
1.32
Away +1
3.30
Home +1.25
1.27
Away +1.25
3.55
Home +1.5
1.23
Away +1.5
4.10
Home +1.75
1.15
Away +1.75
5.50
Home -0.75
5.90
Away -0.75
1.13
Home -0.5
4.00
Away -0.5
1.23
Home -0.25
3.30
Away -0.25
1.32
Home +0
2.35
Away +0
1.58
Home +0.25
1.65
Away +0.25
2.20
Home +0.5
1.42
Away +0.5
2.75
Home +0.75
1.26
Away +0.75
3.70
Home +1
1.10
Away +1
7.00
Home/Draw
1.70
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.28
Home/Draw
1.40
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.22
1:0
9.50
2:0
17.00
2:1
13.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
29.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
67.00
0:0
8.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
9.50
0:3
19.00
1:2
9.00
1:3
19.00
2:3
29.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
41.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
81.00
0:5
81.00
0:6
301.00
1:5
81.00
1:6
251.00
2:5
151.00
2:6
451.00
3:4
126.00
5:0
251.00
5:1
201.00
5:2
301.00
4:3
151.00
3:5
351.00
5:3
501.00
4:4
301.00
1:0
5.50
2:0
21.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
67.00
3:1
81.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
351.00
4:1
501.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
4.00
0:2
12.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
151.00
0:4
126.00
1:4
251.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
26.00
Draw/Away
5.00
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
6.00
Draw/Home
7.50
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
3.40
Home
2.50
Away
1.50
Home/Yes
7.50
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
4.75
Home/No
5.50
Draw/No
8.50
Away/No
3.50
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
10.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.50
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
7.50
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.45
Under 1.75
2.68
Over 2.25
1.90
Under 2.25
1.90
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.68
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.90
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
7.00
Over 2
1.60
Under 2
2.30
Over 3
3.10
Under 3
1.35
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
4.00
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.00
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 1.5
3.10
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 1.75
4.15
Under 1.75
1.22
Over 1
2.05
Under 1
1.75
Over 2
7.00
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.45
Under 0.5
2.68
Over 0.75
1.65
Under 0.75
2.20
Over 1.25
2.60
Under 1.25
1.48
Home -1
8.00
Away -1
1.28
Draw -1
5.00
Home -2
21.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.07
Home +1
1.70
Draw +1
3.75
Away +1
4.00
Home +2
1.22
Draw +2
6.00
Away +2
9.50
Home +3
1.05
Draw +3
13.00
Away +3
23.00
Home -1
15.00
Away -1
1.22
Draw -1
4.75
Home +1
1.40
Draw +1
3.50
Away +1
9.00
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
34.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
41.00
Away +3
126.00
Over 9.5
1.83
Under 9.5
1.83
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.95
Under 4
2.75
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.80
Home +0.5
1.95
Away +0.5
1.85
Home +1
1.91
Draw +1
8.00
Away +1
2.20
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.40
2
4.50
more 3
10.00
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.73
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
34.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.50
1
2.60
2
3.75
more 3
5.50
Over 4.5
1.67
Under 4.5
2.10
Home
5.50
Away
3.40
Home
15.00
Away
7.00
Home
2.20
Away
1.62
Home
15.00
Away
10.00
Home
2.30
Draw
8.50
Away
1.73
Home
2.30
Draw
8.50
Away
1.80
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
5.50
Away
3.50
Home/Over 2.5
6.50
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
3.75
Home/Under 2.5
6.50
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
4.33
1 by 1
5.00
2 by 1
3.75
1 by 4+
51.00
1 by 2
11.00
2 by 2
6.50
1 by 3
26.00
2 by 3
15.00
2 by 4+
26.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.38
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home
4.50
Away
3.20
Draw
1.73
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.20
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
10.00
Over
1.62
Under
2.20
Home
9.50
Draw
1.14
Away
8.00
Shot
1.50
Header
6.50
Penalty
7.50
FreeKick
23.00
OwnGoal
29.00
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Over 20.5
1.91
Under 20.5
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
7.00
Home/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Under 1.5
5.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
4.00
Home
23.00
Away
19.00
Home
9.00
Away
7.00
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.50
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.83
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.38
Under 10
1.83
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.25
Under 11
1.53
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.28
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
4.33
Under 12
1.33
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
6.50
Under 13
1.20
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
10.00
Under 14
1.11
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
19.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.06
J1 League Standings
East
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Kashima
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC Tokyo
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Machida Zelvia
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Tokyo Verdy
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
Urawa
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 6. |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 7 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Mito Hollyhock
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
JEF United Chiba
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10. |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
West
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Vissel Kobe
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 11 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Gamba Osaka
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
Kyoto Sanga
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Cerezo Osaka
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Nagoya Grampus
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 8. |
Fagiano Okayama
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 9. |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 10. |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Mito Hollyhock
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
GF: 7
GA: 12
GD: -5
FC Tokyo
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 5
GD: +4
Last 5 Matches
07 Mar
A
Urawa
0-2
L
01 Mar
A
Kawasaki Frontale
2-2
D
07 Mar
H
Yokohama F. Marinos
3-0
W