🇲🇪 First League · Regular Season - 25 FT

Mornar

L D W L W

3 - 0

HT: 2-0

Buducnost Podgorica

W L D W W

Stadion Topolica

Mor 1 · Bud 1

AI Match Analysis

A crucial First League clash unfolds at Stadion Topolica as second-placed Mornar hosts Buducnost Podgorica, who sit fifth. With Mornar holding a slender four-point advantage over their rivals after 24 games, this match in the regular season's 25th round carries significant weight in the battle for top-four positioning and potential European qualification. A win for the home side would solidify their grip on second place, while Buducnost desperately need three points to close the gap and climb the table.

Mornar's form is patchy (WLDWL), but their home record offers a degree of comfort, boasting six wins, four draws, and only one defeat at Stadion Topolica. However, their recent results feature a string of draws, suggesting a dip in attacking potency. Buducnost's form mirrors that of their opponents (LWLDW). Critically, Buducnost has a middling away record of five wins, one draw, and six losses, showcasing inconsistency on their travels. Recent results for Buducnost have also been plagued by draws.

The head-to-head record between these sides is closely contested, with Mornar edging it slightly at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last five encounters. The Elo model gives Buducnost a significant 61.55% win probability, despite Mornar's superior league position and home advantage. Considering the recent draw trend for both teams and Buducnost's slightly favored position based on Elo, a tight, potentially cagey affair is to be expected.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 41% 2.55 medium

BTTS BTTS Yes 37% 2.92 low

CS 2-1 9% 12.00 low

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CS 2-1 9% 12.00 low

HT/FT 1/1 16% 6.75 medium

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HT/FT 1/1 16% 6.75 medium

O/U Over 2.5 52% 2.25 medium

Bet at Bet365

Match Info

Stadium

Stadion Topolica

Referee

-

Round

Regular Season - 25

Mornar Buducnost Podgorica

45.71% Win Probability 54.29%

Match Analysis

Double chance : draw or Buducnost Podgorica

Predicted winner: Buducnost Podgorica — Win or draw

Mornar 10.00%

Draw 45.00%

Buducnost Podgorica 45.00%

Expected goals: -2.5 - -2.5

Match Events

5' ⚽

J. Dasic

12' ⚽

B. Sekulic

15' 🟦

Yellow Card

26' 🟦

Yellow Card

88' ⚽

Head to Head

Mornar

Buducnost Podgorica

1

3

1 wins 1 draws 3 wins

2025-11-22

Buducnost Podgorica 2 - 0 Mornar

HT: 1-0

2025-09-17

Mornar 1 - 1 Buducnost Podgorica

HT: 0-1

2025-05-04

Buducnost Podgorica 3 - 0 Mornar

HT: 1-0

2025-03-08

Mornar 1 - 2 Buducnost Podgorica

HT: 0-1

2024-10-27

Buducnost Podgorica 0 - 1 Mornar

HT: 0-0

Odds

Bet365

Home

2.55

Draw

3.10

Away

2.50

Home

3.25

Draw

2.00

Away

3.25

Over 2.5

2.25

Under 2.5

1.62

Home +0

1.92

Away +0

1.88

Home/Draw

1.44

Home/Away

1.28

Draw/Away

1.44

Home/Draw

1.33

Home/Away

1.73

Draw/Away

1.33

1:0

7.50

2:0

12.00

2:1

12.00

3:0

23.00

3:1

26.00

3:2

41.00

4:0

41.00

4:1

51.00

0:0

7.00

1:1

6.50

2:2

19.00

0:1

7.50

0:2

12.00

0:3

23.00

1:2

12.00

1:3

23.00

2:3

41.00

3:3

51.00

0:4

41.00

1:4

51.00

2:4

67.00

4:2

67.00

0:5

81.00

5:0

81.00

1:0

4.75

2:0

15.00

2:1

29.00

3:0

51.00

3:1

81.00

0:0

2.50

1:1

9.00

2:2

67.00

0:1

4.75

0:2

15.00

0:3

41.00

1:2

29.00

1:3

81.00

Home

1.83

Away

1.83

Odd

2.02

Even

1.82

Over 2.25

2.00

Under 2.25

1.80

Over 0.75

1.70

Under 0.75

2.10

Over 8.5

1.73

Under 8.5

2.00

Exactly 9

7.50

Over 9

2.20

Under 9

2.00

First League Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1.	Sutjeska	24	14	4	6	42:26	+16	46	W W D W L
2.	Mornar	24	11	6	7	32:26	+6	39	W L W D L
3.	Dečić	24	11	6	7	31:31	0	39	W L D D W
4.	Petrovac	24	10	8	6	35:23	+12	38	W W W L W
5.	Buducnost Podgorica	24	10	5	9	30:23	+7	35	W W D L W
6.	Jezero	24	9	7	8	31:29	+2	34	L W D D L
7.	Mladost DG	24	9	3	12	33:40	-7	30	L L L W D
8.	Arsenal Tivat	24	6	8	10	22:33	-11	26	L L L W W
9.	Bokelj	24	4	9	11	27:38	-11	21	L L L D D
10.	Jedinstvo	24	5	6	13	18:32	-14	21	L W W L L