🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie
· Regular Season - 31
NS
MVV vs VVV Venlo - Eerste Divisie
MVV
D
W
L
L
D
19:00
Fri, 13 Mar 2026
VVV Venlo
D
W
D
D
L
De Geusselt
Match Preview
A mid-table Eerste Divisie clash sees MVV Maastricht host VVV Venlo in round 31. Both teams are looking to salvage some pride from disappointing seasons. While neither is in relegation danger, a strong finish could provide momentum heading into the next campaign, and a chance to climb the table. Venlo, sitting 11th with 37 points, will be keen to extend their lead over 16th-placed MVV, who have amassed 32 points.
Recent form paints a similar picture of inconsistency for both sides. MVV's last five games show a mixed bag of two draws, two losses, and a win. A recent draw against Dordrecht highlights their struggles to secure victories. VVV Venlo mirrors this with a similar record, punctuated by draws and losses, including a recent stalemate against Waalwijk. On their own patch, MVV have won five, drawn four, and lost five, while Venlo boasts a slightly better away record with five wins, three draws, and seven losses.
Historically, VVV Venlo holds the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five matches against MVV, with one draw and one MVV victory. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors a home win for MVV, suggesting the market believes their home advantage will be decisive. Given Venlo’s slightly better away record combined with their H2H dominance, an upset should not be ruled out, but it will be a tough ask against a Maastricht side fighting to improve their home form.
Recent form paints a similar picture of inconsistency for both sides. MVV's last five games show a mixed bag of two draws, two losses, and a win. A recent draw against Dordrecht highlights their struggles to secure victories. VVV Venlo mirrors this with a similar record, punctuated by draws and losses, including a recent stalemate against Waalwijk. On their own patch, MVV have won five, drawn four, and lost five, while Venlo boasts a slightly better away record with five wins, three draws, and seven losses.
Historically, VVV Venlo holds the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five matches against MVV, with one draw and one MVV victory. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors a home win for MVV, suggesting the market believes their home advantage will be decisive. Given Venlo’s slightly better away record combined with their H2H dominance, an upset should not be ruled out, but it will be a tough ask against a Maastricht side fighting to improve their home form.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
47%
2.15
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
67%
1.50
high
CS
1-2
9%
12.00
low
Get VIP Access
HT/FT
2/2
22%
4.91
medium
Get VIP Access
O/U
Over 2.5
65%
1.53
high
Match Info
Stadium
De Geusselt
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 31
MVV
VVV Venlo
65.75%
Win Probability
34.25%
Match Analysis
Double chance : MVV or draw
Predicted winner: MVV — Win or draw
MVV
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
VVV Venlo
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
MVV
VVV Venlo
3
1
3 wins
1 draws
1 wins
2025-09-21
VVV Venlo
1 - 0
MVV
HT: 0-0
2025-02-09
VVV Venlo
0 - 0
MVV
HT: 0-0
2024-10-13
MVV
2 - 0
VVV Venlo
HT: 1-0
2024-05-10
MVV
2 - 0
VVV Venlo
HT: 2-0
2023-08-13
VVV Venlo
1 - 3
MVV
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
3.00
Draw
3.75
Away
2.15
Home
3.40
Draw
2.40
Away
2.62
Home
3.00
Draw
2.75
Away
2.40
Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
5.00
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.40
Over 3.5
2.25
Under 3.5
1.57
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.22
Over 7.5
29.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
8.00
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
17.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.5
2.20
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 1.5
1.73
Under 1.5
2.00
Over 2.5
3.40
Under 2.5
1.30
Over 3.5
8.00
Under 3.5
1.08
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.50
Over 4.5
19.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Yes
1.50
No
2.50
Yes
3.50
No
1.28
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Home -1.25
5.50
Away -1.25
1.15
Home -1
5.00
Away -1
1.17
Home -0.75
3.55
Away -0.75
1.27
Home -0.5
3.00
Away -0.5
1.38
Home -0.25
2.60
Away -0.25
1.48
Home +0
2.25
Away +0
1.62
Home +0.25
1.90
Away +0.25
1.90
Home +0.5
1.68
Away +0.5
2.15
Home +0.75
1.52
Away +0.75
2.42
Home +1
1.35
Away +1
3.10
Home +2
1.10
Away +2
7.00
Home -1.5
5.90
Away -1.5
1.13
Home +1.25
1.30
Away +1.25
3.45
Home +1.5
1.25
Away +1.5
3.80
Home +1.75
1.18
Away +1.75
4.80
Home -0.75
4.50
Away -0.75
1.19
Home -0.5
3.30
Away -0.5
1.32
Home -0.25
2.68
Away -0.25
1.45
Home +0
2.10
Away +0
1.70
Home +0.25
1.65
Away +0.25
2.20
Home +0.5
1.45
Away +0.5
2.68
Home +0.75
1.30
Away +0.75
3.45
Home +1
1.13
Away +1
5.90
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
6.80
Home/Draw
1.67
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
1.36
Home/Draw
1.44
Home/Away
1.53
Draw/Away
1.30
1:0
15.00
2:0
19.00
2:1
11.00
3:0
34.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
23.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
17.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
11.00
0:1
12.00
0:2
13.00
0:3
21.00
1:2
9.50
1:3
15.00
2:3
21.00
3:3
34.00
0:4
41.00
1:4
29.00
2:4
41.00
4:2
41.00
0:5
67.00
0:6
151.00
1:5
51.00
1:6
126.00
2:5
67.00
2:6
151.00
3:4
51.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
101.00
6:1
251.00
6:2
301.00
4:3
67.00
3:5
101.00
4:5
251.00
5:3
151.00
5:4
301.00
4:4
101.00
1:0
5.50
2:0
15.00
2:1
19.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
201.00
0:0
3.75
1:1
7.00
2:2
41.00
0:1
4.75
0:2
11.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
17.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
81.00
3:3
301.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
126.00
2:4
301.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
21.00
Draw/Away
6.00
Draw/Draw
6.50
Home/Home
4.75
Draw/Home
7.50
Away/Home
23.00
Away/Draw
13.00
Away/Away
3.40
Home
2.20
Away
1.62
Home/Yes
4.75
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
3.60
Home/No
6.50
Draw/No
17.00
Away/No
4.50
o/yes 2.5
1.73
o/no 2.5
9.00
u/yes 2.5
7.50
u/no 2.5
3.20
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
17.00
1
7.00
2
4.33
3
4.33
4
4.75
5
7.50
6
13.00
more 7
17.00
0
3.75
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
7.50
4
19.00
more 5
34.00
0
5.50
1
3.10
2
3.40
3
5.50
4
11.00
more 5
19.00
Over 1.5
1.16
Under 1.5
5.25
Over 1.75
1.19
Under 1.75
4.50
Over 2.25
1.38
Under 2.25
3.00
Over 2.5
1.55
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 2.75
1.68
Under 2.75
2.15
Over 3.5
2.35
Under 3.5
1.58
Over 2
1.23
Under 2
4.10
Over 3
1.85
Under 3
1.95
Over 4
3.45
Under 4
1.30
Over 5
6.80
Under 5
1.10
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.23
Over 3.25
2.08
Under 3.25
1.72
Over 3.75
2.68
Under 3.75
1.45
Over 4.25
3.70
Under 4.25
1.26
Over 4.75
5.00
Under 4.75
1.17
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 1.75
2.75
Under 1.75
1.42
Over 2.25
4.50
Under 2.25
1.19
Over 2.5
5.25
Under 2.5
1.16
Over 2.75
7.00
Under 2.75
1.10
Over 1
1.52
Under 1
2.42
Over 2
3.90
Under 2
1.24
Over 0.75
1.35
Under 0.75
3.10
Over 1.25
1.90
Under 1.25
1.90
Home -1
6.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
5.00
Home -2
13.00
Draw -2
8.50
Away -2
1.11
Home +1
1.67
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
3.75
Home +2
1.25
Draw +2
6.50
Away +2
8.00
Home +3
1.07
Draw +3
12.00
Away +3
19.00
Home -1
10.00
Away -1
1.30
Draw -1
4.33
Home +1
1.44
Draw +1
3.60
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
9.50
Away +2
23.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
29.00
Away +3
67.00
Over 1.5
2.20
Under 1.5
1.62
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
29.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
3.75
1
2.62
2
3.60
more 3
5.00
Over 1.5
1.80
Under 1.5
1.91
Over 2.5
3.50
Under 2.5
1.28
Over 3.5
9.00
Under 3.5
1.07
Over 0.5
1.17
Under 0.5
5.00
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 5.5
51.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.00
1
2.88
2
3.40
more 3
3.50
Home
6.50
Away
4.50
Home
10.00
Away
6.50
Home
1.83
Away
1.62
Home
10.00
Away
8.00
Home
2.05
Draw
17.00
Away
1.73
Home
2.05
Draw
17.00
Away
1.73
Draw
4.00
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.00
Home
3.40
Away
2.75
Draw/Over 3.5
8.50
Home/Over 3.5
7.00
Away/Over 3.5
4.75
Home/Under 3.5
4.75
Draw/Under 3.5
5.50
Away/Under 3.5
3.60
1 by 1
5.00
2 by 1
4.33
1 by 4+
29.00
1 by 2
8.50
2 by 2
6.50
1 by 3
19.00
2 by 3
12.00
2 by 4+
19.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
17.00
Draw
2.62
1st Half
3.20
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
5.00
No
1.17
Home
7.50
Draw
1.22
Away
6.50
Draw
2.50
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.40
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
6.50
Away/Over 1.5
5.50
Home/Over 1.5
7.50
Home/Under 1.5
5.50
Draw/Under 1.5
3.75
Away/Under 1.5
4.75
Eerste Divisie Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
ADO Den Haag
|
30 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 70:31 | +39 | 68 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
Cambuur
|
29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 61:32 | +29 | 66 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 3. |
Jong PSV U21
|
30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 61:53 | +8 | 50 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 4. |
De Graafschap
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 56:48 | +8 | 49 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Willem II
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:37 | +5 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 6. |
Roda
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | +4 | 46 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 7. |
Almere City FC
|
30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 61:50 | +11 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Waalwijk
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 50:44 | +6 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 9. |
Dordrecht
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:39 | +1 | 42 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 10. |
Den Bosch
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 52:54 | -2 | 40 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 11. |
VVV Venlo
|
30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 12. |
FC Eindhoven
|
30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 43:54 | -11 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 13. |
Emmen
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 46:53 | -7 | 36 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 14. |
Jong Utrecht
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 47:53 | -6 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 15. |
Helmond Sport
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 37:54 | -17 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 16. |
MVV
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:59 | -23 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
| 17. |
Vitesse
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47:46 | +1 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 18. |
Jong AZ
|
30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 51:60 | -9 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 19. |
FC OSS
|
30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | -15 | 28 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 20. |
Jong Ajax
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 41:55 | -14 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
MVV
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 35
GA: 58
GD: -23
VVV Venlo
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 38
GA: 43
GD: -5
Last 5 Matches
MVV
06 Mar
A
Dordrecht
1-1
D
VVV Venlo
06 Mar
H
Waalwijk
0-3
L