🌍 CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Qualification Round 1 NS

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta - CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Nacional Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
22:00
Thu, 05 Mar 2026
Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Match Preview

A place in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana group stage is on the line as Nacional Asuncion hosts Deportivo Recoleta in this Qualification Round 1 clash at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco. The winner advances, adding significant prestige and financial benefits to their season. Expect a tense, tactical affair as both teams seek to avoid an early exit from continental competition.

Nacional Asuncion will be relying on home advantage to overcome their recent inconsistencies. While specific recent form data is unavailable, their overall season performance suggests a team capable of scoring but also prone to defensive lapses. Conversely, Deportivo Recoleta's away form is equally unclear, making it difficult to assess their chances on the road. However, they will need to improve on their recent away performances if they hope to upset the odds in Asuncion.

Historically, this fixture has favored Deportivo Recoleta, who hold a 2-0 advantage in the last 5 meetings, with 3 draws. Nacional Asuncion has struggled to overcome Recoleta. While no injury information is available at this time, the home side enters the match as favorites, with win probability of 59.25% according to Elo ratings. This suggests a narrow advantage for Nacional, but the historical head-to-head record cautions against a straightforward victory. Expect a close encounter that could be decided by a single moment of brilliance or a costly error.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 45% 2.40 medium
BTTS BTTS Yes 55% 1.96 medium
CS 1-1 14% 7.71 medium
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HT/FT 1/1 20% 5.40 medium
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O/U Under 2.5 51% 2.12 medium

Match Info

Stadium
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Referee
-
Round
Qualification Round 1
Nacional Asuncion Deportivo Recoleta
59.25% Win Probability 40.75%

Match Analysis

No predictions available

Nacional Asuncion 33.00%
Draw 33.00%
Deportivo Recoleta 33.00%

Head to Head

Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
1 wins 3 draws 1 wins
2026-02-26
Deportivo Recoleta 2 - 2 Nacional Asuncion
HT: 2-1
2025-11-27
Deportivo Recoleta 0 - 0 Nacional Asuncion
HT: 0-0
2025-09-06
Nacional Asuncion 1 - 0 Deportivo Recoleta
HT: 0-0
2025-04-21
Nacional Asuncion 1 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta
HT: 0-0
2025-02-08
Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 0 Nacional Asuncion
HT: 0-0

Season Form

Nacional Asuncion
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 0 GA: 0 GD: +0
Deportivo Recoleta
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 0 GA: 0 GD: +0

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