🇯🇵 J1 League
· Regular Season - 6
FT
Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe - J1 League
Toyota Stadium
·
Ref: Masuya Ueda, Japan
Nag
2
·
Vis
AI Match Analysis
A crucial J1 League clash sees second-placed Nagoya Grampus host fifth-placed Vissel Kobe in Round 6. With only a single point separating the two sides, a win for either team would solidify their position among the league leaders and apply pressure to the teams above. Expect a tightly contested affair as both teams look to build momentum early in the season.
Nagoya Grampus’ recent form is patchy, with two wins followed by two losses, highlighting inconsistency. Their home record mirrors this mixed bag: one win and one loss. Vissel Kobe, despite being slightly lower in the standings, have a marginally better record with three wins and one loss from their opening four games. Their away form is identical to Nagoya's home form, suggesting this game could be decided by fine margins. Nagoya's recent Emperor's Cup performances, drawing against lower-league opposition, further cloud their current form.
Head-to-head records favor Vissel Kobe slightly, winning two of the last five encounters compared to Nagoya's one. Two games ended in draws, indicating previous matches have often been closely fought. The vastly skewed Elo ratings give Nagoya a massive advantage, but the previous H2H results suggest Kobe will be no pushover. The team that can best convert their opportunities will likely emerge victorious, and Nagoya's strong home advantage according to the Elo ratings could prove the decisive factor.
Nagoya Grampus’ recent form is patchy, with two wins followed by two losses, highlighting inconsistency. Their home record mirrors this mixed bag: one win and one loss. Vissel Kobe, despite being slightly lower in the standings, have a marginally better record with three wins and one loss from their opening four games. Their away form is identical to Nagoya's home form, suggesting this game could be decided by fine margins. Nagoya's recent Emperor's Cup performances, drawing against lower-league opposition, further cloud their current form.
Head-to-head records favor Vissel Kobe slightly, winning two of the last five encounters compared to Nagoya's one. Two games ended in draws, indicating previous matches have often been closely fought. The vastly skewed Elo ratings give Nagoya a massive advantage, but the previous H2H results suggest Kobe will be no pushover. The team that can best convert their opportunities will likely emerge victorious, and Nagoya's strong home advantage according to the Elo ratings could prove the decisive factor.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
40%
3.10
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
34%
1.95
low
O/U
Over 2.5
46%
2.20
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Toyota Stadium
Referee
Masuya Ueda, Japan
Round
Regular Season - 6
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
54.8%
Win Probability
45.2%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Vissel Kobe
Predicted winner: Vissel Kobe — Win or draw
Nagoya Grampus
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Vissel Kobe
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
8
7
Shots off Goal
6
7
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
415
Total passes
377
332
Passes accurate
293
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Match Events
12'
⚽
Ren Komatsu
(Katsuya Nagato)
43'
🟦
Tsukasa Morishima
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Tsukasa Morishima
(Soichiro Mori)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Yuya Asano
(Ryuji Izumi)
Substitution 2
58'
⚽
Yosuke Ideguchi
(Daiju Sasaki)
62'
🔄
Yota Sato
(Yudai Kimura)
Substitution 3
62'
🔄
Yuya Yamagishi
(Taichi Kikuchi)
Substitution 4
75'
🔄
Ren Komatsu
(Yuya Osako)
Substitution 1
78'
🔄
Teruki Hara
(Kensuke Nagai)
Substitution 5
81'
🟦
Marcus Vinicius
Yellow Card
84'
🔄
Takahiro Ogihara
(Mitsuki Hidaka)
Substitution 2
84'
🔄
Yuta Goke
(Diego)
Substitution 3
88'
⚽
Katsuya Nagato
90'
🔄
Katsuya Nagato
(Kaito Yamada)
Substitution 4
90'
🔄
Rikuto Hirose
(Caetano)
Substitution 5
Player Ratings
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Keiya Shiihashi
-
-
-
-
-
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Kento Hamasaki
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
4-3-3
Vissel Kobe
Mihailo Petrovic
Coach
Michael Skibbe
3-4-2-1
11
Yamagishi
25
Vinicius
14
Morishima
9
Asano
15
Inagaki
31
Takamine
27
Nakayama
70
Hara
13
Fujii
3
Sato
1
Schmidt
4-3-3
11
Muto
29
Komatsu
13
Sasaki
5
Goke
6
Ogihara
7
Ideguchi
23
Hirose
4
Yamakawa
3
Thuler
41
Nagato
71
Gonda
Starting XI
1
Daniel Schmidt
G
G
Shuichi Gonda
71
70
Teruki Hara
D
D
Rikuto Hirose
23
13
Haruya Fujii
D
D
Tetsushi Yamakawa
4
3
Yota Sato
D
D
Thuler
3
9
Yuya Asano
M
D
Katsuya Nagato
41
15
Sho Inagaki
M
M
Yuta Goke
5
31
Tomoki Takamine
M
M
Takahiro Ogihara
6
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama
M
M
Yosuke Ideguchi
7
25
Marcus Vinicius
F
F
Yoshinori Muto
11
14
Tsukasa Morishima
F
F
Ren Komatsu
29
11
Yuya Yamagishi
F
F
Daiju Sasaki
13
Substitutes
7
Ryuji Izumi
Yuya Osako
10
44
Soichiro Mori
Diego
15
33
Taichi Kikuchi
Mitsuki Hidaka
44
22
Yudai Kimura
Caetano
16
18
Kensuke Nagai
Kaito Yamada
43
35
Alexandre Pisano
Daiya Maekawa
1
20
Kennedy Mikuni
Boniface Nduka
80
2
Yuki Nogami
Takashi Inui
14
8
Keiya Shiihashi
Kento Hamasaki
28
Head to Head
Vissel Kobe
0
3
0 wins
2 draws
3 wins
2025-06-15
Vissel Kobe
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus
HT: 2-0
2025-02-22
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Vissel Kobe
HT: 0-0
2024-07-20
Vissel Kobe
3 - 3
Nagoya Grampus
HT: 1-1
2024-05-03
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 2
Vissel Kobe
HT: 0-1
2023-11-25
Vissel Kobe
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus
HT: 2-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
3.10
Draw
3.30
Away
2.30
Home
3.75
Draw
2.05
Away
3.00
Home
3.25
Draw
2.30
Away
2.62
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
8.50
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.95
No
1.80
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
6.40
Away -1.25
1.12
Home -1
5.90
Away -1
1.13
Home -0.75
3.80
Away -0.75
1.25
Home -0.5
3.00
Away -0.5
1.38
Home -0.25
2.60
Away -0.25
1.48
Home +0
2.25
Away +0
1.62
Home +0.25
1.82
Away +0.25
1.98
Home +0.5
1.62
Away +0.5
2.25
Home +0.75
1.45
Away +0.75
2.68
Home +1
1.26
Away +1
3.70
Home -1.5
7.00
Away -1.5
1.10
Home +1.25
1.22
Away +1.25
4.15
Home +1.5
1.19
Away +1.5
4.50
Home +1.75
1.12
Away +1.75
6.25
Home -0.75
5.50
Away -0.75
1.15
Home -0.5
3.70
Away -0.5
1.26
Home -0.25
3.00
Away -0.25
1.38
Home +0
2.10
Away +0
1.70
Home +0.25
1.58
Away +0.25
2.35
Home +0.5
1.38
Away +0.5
3.00
Home +0.75
1.23
Away +0.75
4.10
Home/Draw
1.57
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.36
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.25
1:0
8.50
2:0
15.00
2:1
12.00
3:0
34.00
3:1
29.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
8.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
10.00
0:3
21.00
1:2
9.50
1:3
21.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
41.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
81.00
0:5
101.00
0:6
401.00
1:5
101.00
1:6
351.00
2:5
151.00
2:6
501.00
3:4
126.00
5:0
201.00
5:1
151.00
5:2
251.00
4:3
151.00
3:5
351.00
5:3
501.00
4:4
351.00
1:0
5.00
2:0
19.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
81.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
301.00
4:1
451.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
4.33
0:2
13.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
151.00
1:4
301.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
5.50
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
5.00
Draw/Home
7.00
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
3.75
Home
2.20
Away
1.62
Home/Yes
7.00
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
5.00
Home/No
5.00
Draw/No
8.50
Away/No
3.75
o/yes 2.5
2.60
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.50
1
4.00
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
7.00
5
13.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.60
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.85
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 2.75
2.60
Under 2.75
1.48
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.23
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
6.80
Over 2
1.65
Under 2
2.20
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.32
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.90
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.25
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.25
Under 1.75
1.21
Over 1
2.10
Under 1
1.70
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.68
Under 0.75
2.15
Over 1.25
2.68
Under 1.25
1.45
Home -1
7.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
4.75
Home -2
19.00
Draw -2
10.00
Away -2
1.08
Home +1
1.57
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
4.75
Home +2
1.17
Draw +2
7.00
Away +2
11.00
Home +3
1.04
Draw +3
15.00
Away +3
29.00
Home -1
15.00
Away -1
1.25
Draw -1
4.33
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
3.60
Away +1
10.00
Home +2
1.05
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
34.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
41.00
Away +3
151.00
Over 9.5
1.73
Under 9.5
2.00
Over 10
2.00
Under 10
1.80
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.91
Under 4
2.88
Over 4.5
1.92
Under 4.5
1.88
Home +0.5
1.98
Away +0.5
1.82
Home +1
1.82
Away +1
1.98
Home +1
1.91
Draw +1
8.00
Away +1
2.20
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
9.00
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 4.5
1.80
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 4.5
41.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.40
1
2.50
2
3.75
more 3
6.00
Over 5.5
2.10
Under 5.5
1.67
Home
5.00
Away
3.75
Home
13.00
Away
8.00
Home
2.10
Away
1.73
Home
13.00
Away
11.00
Home
2.20
Draw
8.50
Away
1.83
Home
2.20
Draw
8.50
Away
1.83
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
5.00
Away
4.00
Home/Over 2.5
5.50
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
4.00
Home/Under 2.5
6.00
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
4.50
1 by 1
4.75
2 by 1
4.00
1 by 4+
41.00
1 by 2
10.00
2 by 2
7.00
1 by 3
23.00
2 by 3
15.00
2 by 4+
29.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.30
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Home
4.50
Away
3.00
Draw
1.80
Under 6
11.00
6 - 8
3.25
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.00
Over 14
9.00
Over
1.57
Under
2.25
Home
9.50
Draw
1.12
Away
8.00
Shot
1.50
Header
6.50
Penalty
7.50
FreeKick
23.00
OwnGoal
29.00
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Over 20.5
1.83
Under 20.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
8.00
Home/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Under 1.5
5.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
4.33
Home
23.00
Away
21.00
Home
9.00
Away
7.00
Exactly 4
23.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.05
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.44
Under 8
3.75
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.73
Under 9
2.62
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.20
Under 10
2.00
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.00
Under 11
1.62
Exactly 7
9.50
Over 7
1.25
Under 7
6.00
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
4.00
Under 12
1.36
Exactly 6
12.00
Over 6
1.12
Under 6
11.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
6.00
Under 13
1.22
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
9.00
Under 14
1.12
Exactly 17
29.00
Over 17
23.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
17.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
12.00
Under 15
1.07
J1 League Standings
East
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Kashima
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC Tokyo
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Machida Zelvia
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Tokyo Verdy
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
Urawa
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 6. |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 7 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Mito Hollyhock
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
JEF United Chiba
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10. |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
West
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Vissel Kobe
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 11 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Gamba Osaka
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
Kyoto Sanga
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Cerezo Osaka
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Nagoya Grampus
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 8. |
Fagiano Okayama
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 9. |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 10. |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Nagoya Grampus
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 6
GD: +3
Vissel Kobe
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 6
GA: 3
GD: +3
Last 5 Matches
07 Mar
A
Avispa Fukuoka
5-1
W
01 Mar
A
Fagiano Okayama
1-1
D