🇭🇷 HNL
· Regular Season - 26
FT
NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica - HNL
Opus Arena
·
Ref: Ante Culina, Croatia
NK
1
·
HNK
AI Match Analysis
A crucial mid-table clash unfolds in the HNL as ninth-placed NK Osijek welcomes eighth-placed HNK Gorica to the Opus Arena. Both teams are separated by just four points after 25 games, making this a pivotal fixture in the fight to climb the standings and avoid further slide down the league table. A win for either side would provide a significant boost, while defeat would intensify the pressure.
Osijek's form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Their recent form has been less than impressive, though, having drawn their last match against Istra 1961. Their home record is mediocre at best, having won only three of their 13 home games. In contrast, Gorica arrives with momentum, riding a two-match winning streak after having drawn their last three before that. While their away form mirrors Osijek's home record, those consecutive draws on the road might give them a slight psychological edge.
Head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with Osijek and Gorica each securing two wins and one draw in their last five meetings. While the Elo model gives Osijek a slight edge with a 51.25% win probability, Gorica's recent form and their ability to grind out results on the road suggest they could prove to be a tough opponent. Expect a tight affair with both teams battling for every inch of the pitch.
Osijek's form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Their recent form has been less than impressive, though, having drawn their last match against Istra 1961. Their home record is mediocre at best, having won only three of their 13 home games. In contrast, Gorica arrives with momentum, riding a two-match winning streak after having drawn their last three before that. While their away form mirrors Osijek's home record, those consecutive draws on the road might give them a slight psychological edge.
Head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with Osijek and Gorica each securing two wins and one draw in their last five meetings. While the Elo model gives Osijek a slight edge with a 51.25% win probability, Gorica's recent form and their ability to grind out results on the road suggest they could prove to be a tough opponent. Expect a tight affair with both teams battling for every inch of the pitch.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
49%
2.15
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
57%
1.83
high
O/U
Under 2.5
62%
1.65
high
Match Info
Stadium
Opus Arena
Referee
Ante Culina, Croatia
Round
Regular Season - 26
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
51.38%
Win Probability
48.62%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or HNK Gorica
Predicted winner: HNK Gorica — Win or draw
NK Osijek
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
HNK Gorica
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
58%
Ball Possession
42%
19
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots off Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
7
13
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
461
Total passes
323
400
Passes accurate
255
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Match Events
45'
🟦
D. M. Mejia Moscoso
Yellow Card
64'
🔄
D. Pavicic
(T. Epailly)
Substitution 1
65'
🔄
W. Sule
(A. Erceg)
Substitution 2
65'
🔄
N. Omerovic
(S. Akere)
Substitution 1
77'
🔄
J. Prsir
(O. Bakic)
Substitution 3
77'
🔄
B. Barisic
(E. Hasic)
Substitution 2
86'
🔄
B. Bogojevic
(E. Durakovic)
Substitution 4
89'
🔄
F. Karacic
(Renan Guedes)
Substitution 3
89'
🔄
D. Bukvic
(M. Jovicic)
Substitution 4
89'
🔄
L. Jelenic
(J. Mersinaj)
Substitution 5
Player Ratings
NK Osijek
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Jakov Dedic
-
-
-
-
-
HNK Gorica
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Medin Gashi
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
NK Osijek
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
HNK Gorica
Tomislav Radotic
Coach
Mario Carevic
4-2-3-1
17
Jakupović
39
Bukvić
99
Teklić
11
Omerović
16
Petrusenko
6
Mejía
29
Karačić
26
Jelenić
22
Jurišić
3
Barišić
31
Malenica
3-4-2-1
11
Sule
10
Pršir
24
Pavičić
22
Trontelj
8
Pozo
36
Kavelj
25
Bogojević
4
Filipović
45
Perić
19
Čabraja
71
Matijaš
Starting XI
31
Marko Malenica
G
G
Davor Matijaš
71
29
Fran Karačić
D
D
Jakov Filipović
4
26
Luka Jelenić
D
D
Stefan Perić
45
22
Roko Jurišić
D
M
Marijan Čabraja
19
3
Borna Barišić
D
M
Žan Trontelj
22
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
M
D
Iker Pozo
8
6
David Mejía
M
M
Ante Kavelj
36
39
Domagoj Bukvić
M
M
Bruno Bogojević
25
99
Tonio Teklić
M
M
Jurica Pršir
10
11
Nail Omerović
M
M
Domagoj Pavičić
24
17
Arnel Jakupović
F
F
Wisdom Sule
11
Substitutes
1
Nikola Ćurčija
Muhamed Šahinović
1
5
Jon Mersinaj
Darijan Žarkov
30
18
Niko Farkaš
Mateo Leš
5
33
Emin Hasić
Zvonimir Josić
35
42
Renan Guedes
Ognjen Bakić
7
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivan Fiolić
18
40
Fran Peček
Elvir Duraković
32
57
Samuel Akere
Luka Vrzić
20
7
Jakov Dedic
Ante Erceg
50
98
Miloš Jovičić
Theo Epailly
64
Medin Gashi
99
Head to Head
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2025-12-13
NK Osijek
1 - 1
HNK Gorica
HT: 0-1
2025-09-28
HNK Gorica
0 - 1
NK Osijek
HT: 0-1
2025-04-19
NK Osijek
0 - 1
HNK Gorica
HT: 0-1
2025-02-08
HNK Gorica
1 - 0
NK Osijek
HT: 0-0
2024-11-02
NK Osijek
2 - 0
HNK Gorica
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.15
Draw
2.80
Away
3.60
Home
2.88
Draw
2.05
Away
4.00
Home
2.50
Draw
2.30
Away
3.60
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Yes
1.83
No
1.83
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
3.70
Away -1.25
1.26
Home -1
3.30
Away -1
1.32
Home -0.75
2.50
Away -0.75
1.50
Home -0.5
2.15
Away -0.5
1.68
Home -0.25
1.82
Away -0.25
1.98
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.27
Away +0.5
3.55
Home +0.75
1.18
Away +0.75
4.65
Home +1
1.10
Away +1
7.00
Home -1.75
5.75
Away -1.75
1.14
Home -1.5
4.15
Away -1.5
1.22
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
7.00
Home -0.75
3.80
Away -0.75
1.25
Home -0.5
2.85
Away -0.5
1.40
Home -0.25
2.25
Away -0.25
1.62
Home +0
1.62
Away +0
2.25
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.24
Away +0.5
3.90
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.62
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
7.00
2:0
10.00
2:1
9.50
3:0
21.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
7.50
1:1
5.50
2:2
15.00
0:1
9.50
0:2
17.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
251.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
301.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
151.00
6:0
301.00
6:1
301.00
4:3
126.00
5:3
351.00
4:4
301.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
12.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
251.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
101.00
2:3
251.00
0:4
351.00
Home/Draw
12.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
7.50
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
3.60
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.50
Away
2.50
Home/Yes
5.00
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
8.00
Home/No
3.50
Draw/No
7.50
Away/No
6.00
o/yes 2.5
2.62
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
5.50
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
2.10
Even
1.78
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.50
1
4.33
2
3.25
3
4.50
4
6.50
5
15.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.40
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.60
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.85
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.90
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 1
1.12
Under 1
6.40
Over 2
1.62
Under 2
2.25
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.32
Over 0.75
1.10
Under 0.75
7.00
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.90
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.00
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.25
Under 1.75
1.21
Over 1
2.10
Under 1
1.70
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.68
Under 0.75
2.15
Over 1.25
2.68
Under 1.25
1.45
Home -1
4.33
Away -1
1.62
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
26.00
Draw -3
15.00
Away -3
1.04
Home -2
10.00
Draw -2
6.50
Away -2
1.20
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
8.50
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
9.50
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
126.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.05
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
15.00
Over 9
1.85
Under 9
1.95
Over 9.5
2.10
Under 9.5
1.67
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.78
Under 4
2.02
Home -1
1.95
Away -1
1.85
Home -1
2.10
Away -1
2.00
Draw -1
7.50
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Over 4.5
41.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.50
1
2.60
2
3.75
more 3
5.50
Over 4.5
1.73
Under 4.5
2.00
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
29.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.40
2
4.75
more 3
10.00
Over 3.5
1.67
Under 3.5
2.10
Home
3.50
Away
6.00
Home
7.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.67
Away
2.20
Home
11.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.80
Draw
7.50
Away
2.38
Home
1.80
Draw
7.50
Away
2.38
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.75
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
4.00
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
7.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
3.50
Away/Under 2.5
7.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
26.00
1 by 2
6.50
2 by 2
12.00
1 by 3
15.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
7.50
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
3.50
No
1.28
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home
3.25
Away
5.50
Draw
1.57
Under 6
8.00
6 - 8
2.88
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
5.00
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
8.00
Draw
1.12
Away
9.50
Draw
2.38
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 18.5
1.91
Under 18.5
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
8.50
Away/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Over 1.5
7.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.03
Under 4
23.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.08
Under 5
15.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.62
Under 8
3.00
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.10
Under 9
2.20
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
2.75
Under 10
1.67
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.75
Under 11
1.40
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.36
Under 7
4.50
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.50
Under 12
1.25
Exactly 6
9.50
Over 6
1.18
Under 6
8.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
9.00
Under 13
1.14
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.07
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
23.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
17.00
Under 15
1.04
HNL Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | +41 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | +14 | 50 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
HNK Rijeka
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 38 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 4. |
NK Varazdin
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 5. |
NK Slaven Belupo
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 6. |
Istra 1961
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 7. |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 8. |
HNK Gorica
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 9. |
NK Osijek
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 10. |
Vukovar
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
NK Osijek
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 22
GA: 36
GD: -14
HNK Gorica
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 29
GA: 38
GD: -9
Last 5 Matches
NK Osijek
06 Mar
A
Istra 1961
1-0
W
HNK Gorica
07 Mar
H
NK Slaven Belupo
2-2
D
04 Mar
A
NK Varazdin
3-1
W
01 Mar
A
Dinamo Zagreb
2-4
L