🇧🇷 Copa Do Brasil · Round of 64 NS

Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC - Copa Do Brasil

22:00
Tue, 17 Mar 2026
Estadio Janio Moraes

AI Match Analysis

The Copa Do Brasil Round of 64 pits Nova Iguaçu against Fortaleza EC in a crucial match at Estadio Janio Moraes. Progression in this cup offers a significant boost, both financially and in terms of prestige, making this a high-stakes encounter for both sides despite the early stage. The winner advances, while the loser faces immediate elimination, focusing the mind.

Both teams enter this match with winning momentum, each securing victories in their recent fixtures. However, recent results show that both teams are involved in drawn matches. The Elo-based win probability heavily favors the home side, Nova Iguaçu, at 64.15%, a surprising figure given Fortaleza EC's higher profile. This suggests a significant home advantage or potentially an underestimation of Nova Iguaçu's capabilities on their own ground. Fortaleza EC's away form will be critical to counteracting this perceived advantage.

Head-to-head data and injury news are unavailable, further intensifying the uncertainty surrounding this clash. The significant home advantage implied by the Elo ratings coupled with Nova Iguaçu's recent form makes them slight favorites, but Fortaleza EC cannot be written off. Expect a tightly contested match where Nova Iguaçu's home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Our Predictions

1X2 2 47% 1.91 medium
BTTS BTTS No 53% 1.70 medium
CS 0-1 11% 9.82 medium
CS 0-1 11% 9.82 medium
HT/FT X/2 18% 6.00 medium
HT/FT X/2 18% 6.00 medium
O/U Under 2.5 56% 1.57 medium

Match Info

Stadium
Estadio Janio Moraes
Referee
-
Round
Round of 64
Nova Iguaçu Fortaleza EC
64.15% Win Probability 35.85%

Match Analysis

Double chance : Nova Iguaçu or draw

Predicted winner: Nova Iguaçu — Win or draw

Nova Iguaçu 35.00%
Draw 35.00%
Fortaleza EC 30.00%
Expected goals: -3.5 - -2.5

Odds

Bet365
Home
4.00
Draw
3.20
Away
1.91
Over 1.5
1.44
Under 1.5
2.62
Over 2.5
2.35
Under 2.5
1.57
Over 3.5
4.33
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
7.50
Over 4.5
10.00
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
21.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
51.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Yes
2.05
No
1.70
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home +0.5
1.88
Away +0.5
1.92
1:0
9.50
2:0
21.00
2:1
15.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
126.00
4:1
101.00
0:0
7.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
19.00
0:1
6.00
0:2
8.00
0:3
15.00
1:2
9.00
1:3
19.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
34.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
126.00
0:5
81.00
0:6
201.00
1:5
81.00
1:6
251.00
2:5
151.00
2:6
501.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
501.00
5:1
401.00
5:2
501.00
4:3
201.00
3:5
451.00
4:4
501.00
1:0
6.00
2:0
26.00
2:1
34.00
3:0
101.00
3:1
126.00
3:2
301.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
3.75
0:2
10.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
251.00
Home
3.00
Away
1.36
Home/Yes
9.50
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
5.00
Home/No
6.50
Draw/No
7.50
Away/No
2.75
o/yes 2.5
2.88
o/no 2.5
9.50
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
1.95
Over 2
1.75
Under 2
2.05
Home
6.50
Away
2.75
Home
19.00
Away
6.00
Home
2.62
Away
1.53
Home
19.00
Away
11.00
Home
7.00
Away
3.50
Home/Over 2.5
8.50
Draw/Over 2.5
17.00
Away/Over 2.5
3.60
Home/Under 2.5
7.00
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
3.60
1/90 Mins
4.00
1/Penalties
6.00
2/90 Mins
1.91
2/Penalties
6.00
Home
2.50
Away
1.50

Season Form

Nova Iguaçu
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 6 GA: 1 GD: +5
Fortaleza EC
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 5 GA: 3 GD: +2

Last 5 Matches

Nova Iguaçu
11 Mar A Castanhal 4-0 W
04 Mar H Lagarto 1-1 D
Fortaleza EC
11 Mar A Manauara 1-0 W

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