Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor

🇸🇮 1. SNL · Regular Season - 25 NS

Olimpija Ljubljana

W W W D W

14:00

Sun, 08 Mar 2026

Maribor

D W W W D

Stadion Stožice · Ref: D. Smajc

Match Preview

A crucial clash in the Slovenian 1. SNL sees fourth-placed Olimpija Ljubljana host second-placed Maribor in a pivotal Round 25 encounter at Stadion Stožice. With Maribor currently holding a four-point advantage over their rivals, Olimpija needs a victory to significantly close the gap and inject momentum into their pursuit of a top-three finish. A win for Maribor, however, would consolidate their position and apply pressure on the league leaders.

Olimpija enters the match with two consecutive wins, demonstrating improved form after a slightly inconsistent spell. Their home record is solid, with six wins from twelve matches, although four losses suggest vulnerability. Contrastingly, Maribor boasts an impressive away record, mirroring Olimpija's home form with six wins and only three defeats on the road. A recent drawn match against Brinje-Grosuplje for Olimpija may affect their confidence coming into this match.

Historically, recent head-to-head encounters have favored Maribor, who have secured two wins compared to Olimpija's single victory in the last five meetings, with two draws completing the set. While no specific injury information is provided, fitness levels will undoubtedly play a role in such a high-stakes match. Despite the head-to-head record, Olimpija's slightly higher win probability, according to Elo ratings, suggests a potentially tight contest, with the home advantage potentially proving decisive.

Our Predictions

1X2 X 30% 3.30 medium

BTTS BTTS Yes 60% 1.67 high

CS 2-2 6% 18.00 low

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HT/FT X/X 17% 6.35 medium

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O/U Over 2.5 56% 1.80 high

Match Info

Stadium

Stadion Stožice

Referee

D. Smajc

Round

Regular Season - 25

Olimpija Ljubljana Maribor

54.08% Win Probability 45.92%

Match Analysis

Double chance : draw or Maribor

Predicted winner: Maribor — Win or draw

Olimpija Ljubljana 10.00%

Draw 45.00%

Maribor 45.00%

Expected goals: -2.5 - -2.5

Head to Head

Olimpija Ljubljana

Maribor

1

2

1 wins 2 draws 2 wins

2025-11-23

Maribor 1 - 1 Olimpija Ljubljana

HT: 1-0

2025-08-31

Olimpija Ljubljana 1 - 0 Maribor

HT: 1-0

2025-05-03

Olimpija Ljubljana 1 - 2 Maribor

HT: 1-1

2025-03-09

Maribor 1 - 0 Olimpija Ljubljana

HT: 0-0

2024-11-10

Olimpija Ljubljana 0 - 0 Maribor

HT: 0-0

Odds

Bet365

Home

2.75

Draw

3.30

Away

2.30

Home

3.25

Draw

2.20

Away

2.88

Home

3.00

Draw

2.50

Away

2.60

Over 1.5

1.25

Under 1.5

3.75

Over 2.5

1.80

Under 2.5

2.00

Over 3.5

3.00

Under 3.5

1.36

Over 0.5

1.05

Under 0.5

8.50

Over 4.5

5.50

Under 4.5

1.12

Over 7.5

21.00

Under 7.5

1.00

Over 5.5

9.00

Under 5.5

1.04

Over 6.5

15.00

Under 6.5

1.01

Over 1.5

2.62

Under 1.5

1.44

Over 2.5

6.00

Under 2.5

1.11

Over 3.5

11.00

Under 3.5

1.02

Over 0.5

1.33

Under 0.5

3.25

Over 1.5

2.00

Under 1.5

1.73

Over 2.5

4.00

Under 2.5

1.22

Over 3.5

11.00

Under 3.5

1.05

Over 0.5

1.22

Under 0.5

4.00

Over 4.5

26.00

Under 4.5

1.01

Yes

1.67

No

2.10

Yes

4.33

No

1.20

Yes

3.25

No

1.33

Home -1.25

5.50

Away -1.25

1.15

Home -1

4.80

Away -1

1.18

Home -0.75

3.45

Away -0.75

1.30

Home -0.5

2.75

Away -0.5

1.42

Home -0.25

2.42

Away -0.25

1.52

Home +0

2.08

Away +0

1.72

Home +0.25

1.78

Away +0.25

2.02

Home +0.5

1.60

Away +0.5

2.30

Home +0.75

1.42

Away +0.75

2.75

Home +1

1.27

Away +1

3.55

Home -1.75

7.00

Away -1.75

1.10

Home -1.5

5.75

Away -1.5

1.14

Home +1.25

1.23

Away +1.25

4.00

Home +1.5

1.20

Away +1.5

4.40

Home +1.75

1.14

Away +1.75

5.75

Home -0.75

4.50

Away -0.75

1.19

Home -0.5

3.30

Away -0.5

1.32

Home -0.25

2.68

Away -0.25

1.45

Home +0

2.02

Away +0

1.78

Home +0.25

1.58

Away +0.25

2.35

Home +0.5

1.40

Away +0.5

2.85

Home +0.75

1.24

Away +0.75

3.90

Home/Draw

1.50

Home/Away

1.25

Draw/Away

1.36

Home/Draw

1.40

Home/Away

1.62

Draw/Away

1.33

1:0

11.00

2:0

15.00

2:1

11.00

3:0

29.00

3:1

21.00

3:2

29.00

4:0

51.00

4:1

41.00

0:0

12.00

1:1

6.50

2:2

13.00

0:1

9.50

0:2

12.00

0:3

21.00

1:2

9.50

1:3

19.00

2:3

26.00

3:3

41.00

0:4

41.00

1:4

41.00

2:4

51.00

4:2

51.00

0:5

81.00

1:5

67.00

2:5

101.00

3:4

81.00

5:0

126.00

5:1

101.00

5:2

126.00

4:3

81.00

4:4

151.00

1:0

5.00

2:0

15.00

2:1

23.00

3:0

51.00

3:1

67.00

3:2

151.00

4:0

151.00

0:0

3.25

1:1

7.50

2:2

51.00

0:1

4.50

0:2

12.00

0:3

41.00

1:2

21.00

1:3

51.00

2:3

126.00

0:4

126.00

Home/Draw

15.00

Home/Away

26.00

Draw/Away

6.00

Draw/Draw

5.50

Home/Home

4.50

Draw/Home

6.50

Away/Home

29.00

Away/Draw

15.00

Away/Away

3.60

Home

2.10

Away

1.67

Home/Yes

5.00

Draw/Yes

4.33

Away/Yes

4.50

Home/No

5.50

Draw/No

12.00

Away/No

4.33

o/yes 2.5

2.10

o/no 2.5

9.50

u/yes 2.5

6.50

u/no 2.5

2.60

Odd

2.00

Even

1.85

Odd

2.10

Even

1.73

Odd

1.91

Even

1.80

0

12.00

1

5.50

2

3.75

3

4.33

4

5.50

5

9.50

6

19.00

more 7

13.00

0

3.25

1

2.60

2

4.00

3

9.00

4

26.00

more 5

21.00

0

4.00

1

2.88

2

3.50

3

6.50

4

15.00

more 5

26.00

Over 1.5

1.26

Under 1.5

3.70

Over 1.75

1.32

Under 1.75

3.30

Over 2.25

1.60

Under 2.25

2.30

Over 2.5

1.82

Under 2.5

1.98

Over 2.75

2.05

Under 2.75

1.75

Over 3.5

3.00

Under 3.5

1.38

Over 2

1.40

Under 2

2.85

Over 3

2.38

Under 3

1.55

Over 4

5.00

Under 4

1.17

Over 1.25

1.16

Under 1.25

5.25

Over 4.5

5.75

Under 4.5

1.14

Over 3.25

2.68

Under 3.25

1.45

Over 3.75

3.55

Under 3.75

1.27

Over 4.25

5.50

Under 4.25

1.15

Over 1.5

2.68

Under 1.5

1.45

Over 1.75

3.45

Under 1.75

1.30

Over 2.25

6.00

Under 2.25

1.12

Over 2.5

6.60

Under 2.5

1.11

Over 1

1.75

Under 1

2.05

Over 2

5.50

Under 2

1.15

Over 0.75

1.50

Under 0.75

2.50

Over 1.25

2.25

Under 1.25

1.62

Home -1

5.50

Away -1

1.36

Draw -1

4.75

Home -2

12.00

Draw -2

8.00

Away -2

1.10

Home +1

1.50

Draw +1

4.00

Away +1

4.33

Home +2

1.18

Draw +2

6.50

Away +2

9.00

Home +3

1.05

Draw +3

15.00

Away +3

23.00

Home -1

11.00

Away -1

1.33

Draw -1

4.00

Home +1

1.40

Draw +1

3.75

Away +1

9.00

Home +2

1.06

Draw +2

11.00

Away +2

29.00

Home +3

1.01

Draw +3

41.00

Away +3

101.00

Over 1.5

2.50

Under 1.5

1.50

Over 2.5

5.50

Under 2.5

1.12

Over 3.5

10.00

Under 3.5

1.03

Over 0.5

1.30

Under 0.5

3.40

Over 4.5

17.00

Under 4.5

1.00

0

3.40

1

2.60

2

4.00

more 3

5.50

Over 1.5

2.10

Under 1.5

1.67

Over 2.5

4.50

Under 2.5

1.17

Over 3.5

9.00

Under 3.5

1.04

Over 0.5

1.25

Under 0.5

3.75

Over 4.5

15.00

Under 4.5

1.01

0

3.75

1

2.75

2

3.60

more 3

4.50

Home

5.50

Away

4.33

Home

10.00

Away

8.00

Home

1.83

Away

1.73

Home

11.00

Away

10.00

Home

2.05

Draw

12.00

Away

1.83

Home

2.05

Draw

12.00

Away

1.83

Draw

3.60

1st Half

3.00

2nd Half

2.05

Home

3.75

Away

3.50

Home/Over 2.5

4.50

Draw/Over 2.5

11.00

Away/Over 2.5

3.60

Home/Under 2.5

6.50

Draw/Under 2.5

4.50

Away/Under 2.5

5.50

1 by 1

4.75

2 by 1

4.00

1 by 4+

29.00

1 by 2

8.00

2 by 2

6.50

1 by 3

19.00

2 by 3

15.00

2 by 4+

23.00

Score Draw

4.33

Draw

12.00

Draw

2.40

1st Half

3.40

2nd Half

2.50

Odd

1.91

Even

1.80

Yes

3.40

No

1.30

Yes

3.75

No

1.25

Draw

2.30

1st Half

3.50

2nd Half

2.50

Odd

2.00

Even

1.73

Draw/Over 1.5

7.00

Away/Over 1.5

7.00

Home/Over 1.5

8.00

Home/Under 1.5

5.00

Draw/Under 1.5

3.25

Away/Under 1.5

4.50

1. SNL Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1.	Celje	24	15	5	4	59:25	+34	50	L L W L W
2.	Maribor	23	12	6	5	45:28	+17	42	D W W W D
3.	Koper	24	12	6	6	49:35	+14	42	W D D L W
4.	Olimpija Ljubljana	23	11	5	7	34:28	+6	38	W D W W W
5.	Bravo	24	10	4	10	41:42	-1	34	W L W L L
6.	Radomlje	23	9	6	8	35:40	-5	33	D W D L W
7.	Aluminij	23	9	4	10	35:39	-4	31	W L W L L
8.	Mura	24	5	6	13	23:40	-17	21	L L L W L
9.	Primorje	24	5	3	16	24:47	-23	18	L L L W L
10.	NK Domzale	18	3	3	12	17:38	-21	12	L W L L D