🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 28
FT
Ourense CF vs Racing Ferrol - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Estadio de O Couto
Our
2
·
Rac
1
AI Match Analysis
A mid-table clash with implications for both survival and potential playoff aspirations sees Racing Ferrol travel to Estadio de O Couto to face Ourense CF in this Primera División RFEF Group 1 encounter. Ourense, currently sitting precariously in 15th place with 31 points, desperately need to widen the gap between themselves and the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Racing Ferrol, in 7th with 40 points, will be looking to close the distance to the playoff places, currently a few points ahead.
Ourense's form is patchy, oscillating between wins and losses (LLWLW), although their home form offers some encouragement with 7 wins from 13 games. Racing Ferrol's form is similarly inconsistent (LDWLL), compounded by a dreadful away record with 8 losses in 13 matches. Both teams enter the match on the back of draws, with neither side managing to break the deadlock in their previous fixture. Racing Ferrol's inability to secure away wins could prove to be a significant hurdle.
Recent head-to-head records slightly favor Racing Ferrol, with one win and one draw in their last two meetings, suggesting a tight affair. While concrete injury information is unavailable, the Elo-based win probability marginally favors Ourense CF at home (53.45%), likely influenced by Racing Ferrol's poor away form. Given Ourense's need for points and home advantage, expect a hard-fought match, but the data suggests they may just edge it.
Ourense's form is patchy, oscillating between wins and losses (LLWLW), although their home form offers some encouragement with 7 wins from 13 games. Racing Ferrol's form is similarly inconsistent (LDWLL), compounded by a dreadful away record with 8 losses in 13 matches. Both teams enter the match on the back of draws, with neither side managing to break the deadlock in their previous fixture. Racing Ferrol's inability to secure away wins could prove to be a significant hurdle.
Recent head-to-head records slightly favor Racing Ferrol, with one win and one draw in their last two meetings, suggesting a tight affair. While concrete injury information is unavailable, the Elo-based win probability marginally favors Ourense CF at home (53.45%), likely influenced by Racing Ferrol's poor away form. Given Ourense's need for points and home advantage, expect a hard-fought match, but the data suggests they may just edge it.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
43%
2.30
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
29%
2.20
low
O/U
Under 2.5
57%
1.50
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio de O Couto
Referee
-
Round
Group 1 - 28
Ourense CF
Racing Ferrol
52.72%
Win Probability
47.28%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Ourense CF or draw
Predicted winner: Ourense CF — Win or draw
Ourense CF
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Racing Ferrol
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Events
15'
🟦
A. Jelbat
Yellow Card
17'
🟦
C. Moreno
Yellow Card
19'
⚽
A. Gimenez
45+2'
🟦
Yellow Card
52'
⚽
E. Coto
57'
🔄
C. Moreno
(A. Yuste)
Substitution 1
69'
🔄
D. Munoz
(A. Bouzaig)
Substitution 2
69'
🔄
M. Ochoa
(I. Punzano)
Substitution 3
78'
🔄
A. Guerrero
(L. Rivas)
Substitution 4
86'
🔄
A. Gimenez
(M. Tavares)
Substitution 1
86'
🔄
S. Tejera
(A. Gorostidi)
Substitution 2
Head to Head
Ourense CF
Racing Ferrol
1
0
1 wins
1 draws
0 wins
2025-10-04
Racing Ferrol
1 - 1
Ourense CF
HT: 0-1
2024-07-27
Ourense CF
1 - 0
Racing Ferrol
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.88
Draw
3.00
Away
2.30
Home
3.75
Draw
1.91
Away
3.10
Home
3.25
Draw
2.20
Away
2.88
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.50
Over 3.5
4.50
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
6.50
Over 4.5
8.50
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
8.50
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.57
Under 0.5
2.25
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.20
No
1.62
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Home -1.25
6.00
Away -1.25
1.12
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.15
Home -0.75
3.55
Away -0.75
1.27
Home -0.5
2.85
Away -0.5
1.40
Home -0.25
2.42
Away -0.25
1.52
Home +0
2.08
Away +0
1.72
Home +0.25
1.72
Away +0.25
2.08
Home +0.5
1.55
Away +0.5
2.38
Home +0.75
1.38
Away +0.75
3.00
Home +1
1.22
Away +1
4.15
Home -1.5
6.60
Away -1.5
1.11
Home +1.25
1.18
Away +1.25
4.65
Home +1.5
1.16
Away +1.5
5.25
Home +1.75
1.10
Away +1.75
7.00
Home -0.75
5.50
Away -0.75
1.15
Home -0.5
3.70
Away -0.5
1.26
Home -0.25
2.85
Away -0.25
1.40
Home +0
2.05
Away +0
1.75
Home +0.25
1.50
Away +0.25
2.50
Home +0.5
1.32
Away +0.5
3.30
Home +0.75
1.19
Away +0.75
4.50
Home/Draw
1.50
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.33
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.25
1:0
7.00
2:0
13.00
2:1
12.00
3:0
34.00
3:1
29.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
67.00
0:0
6.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
21.00
0:1
6.00
0:2
10.00
0:3
23.00
1:2
11.00
1:3
23.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
81.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
101.00
0:5
126.00
1:5
126.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
151.00
5:1
151.00
4:3
151.00
1:0
5.00
2:0
19.00
2:1
34.00
3:0
67.00
3:1
101.00
0:0
2.25
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
4.33
0:2
15.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
5.50
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
5.00
Draw/Home
6.50
Away/Home
41.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
4.00
Home
2.10
Away
1.67
Home/Yes
7.50
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
6.50
Home/No
4.33
Draw/No
6.50
Away/No
3.50
o/yes 2.5
3.00
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
1.83
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
6.50
1
3.60
2
3.40
3
4.75
4
8.00
5
17.00
6
41.00
more 7
21.00
0
2.25
1
2.50
2
5.00
3
15.00
4
41.00
more 5
101.00
0
3.00
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.50
4
26.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.52
Under 1.5
2.42
Over 1.75
1.68
Under 1.75
2.15
Over 2.25
2.25
Under 2.25
1.62
Over 2.5
2.60
Under 2.5
1.48
Over 2.75
3.10
Under 2.75
1.35
Over 3.5
5.25
Under 3.5
1.16
Over 1
1.16
Under 1
5.25
Over 2
1.92
Under 2
1.88
Over 3
4.15
Under 3
1.22
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
6.00
Over 1.25
1.32
Under 1.25
3.30
Over 3.25
4.50
Under 3.25
1.19
Over 3.75
6.60
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 1.5
3.55
Under 1.5
1.27
Over 1.75
5.00
Under 1.75
1.17
Over 1
2.38
Under 1
1.55
Over 0.75
1.80
Under 0.75
2.00
Over 1.25
3.00
Under 1.25
1.38
Home -1
6.50
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
4.33
Home -3
34.00
Draw -3
17.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
17.00
Draw -2
9.00
Away -2
1.09
Home +1
1.50
Draw +1
3.75
Away +1
5.00
Home +2
1.12
Draw +2
7.00
Away +2
12.00
Home +3
1.03
Draw +3
17.00
Away +3
34.00
Home -1
15.00
Away -1
1.28
Draw -1
4.33
Home -3
301.00
Draw -3
67.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
13.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
3.75
Away +1
12.00
Home +2
1.04
Draw +2
13.00
Away +2
41.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
67.00
Away +3
351.00
Over 8.5
1.73
Under 8.5
2.00
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
more 3
8.00
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
12.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
7.00
Home
4.33
Away
3.50
Home
13.00
Away
10.00
Home
2.10
Away
1.83
Home
15.00
Away
13.00
Home
2.25
Draw
6.50
Away
1.95
Home
2.20
Draw
6.50
Away
1.95
Draw
3.10
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
6.00
Away
5.00
Home/Over 2.5
6.00
Draw/Over 2.5
19.00
Away/Over 2.5
4.75
Home/Under 2.5
5.00
Draw/Under 2.5
3.50
Away/Under 2.5
4.33
1 by 1
4.33
2 by 1
3.75
1 by 4+
41.00
1 by 2
9.00
2 by 2
7.00
1 by 3
21.00
2 by 3
17.00
2 by 4+
34.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
6.50
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
5.50
Over 14
13.00
Draw
1.95
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.75
Draw/Under 1.5
2.25
Away/Under 1.5
4.33
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
12.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.73
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.20
Under 9
2.00
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.00
Under 10
1.62
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.00
Exactly 6
9.00
Over 6
1.22
Under 6
7.00
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Tenerife
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | +32 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Celta de Vigo II
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | +8 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Barakaldo
|
28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | +9 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
Athletic Club II
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 5. |
Pontevedra
|
27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | +12 | 42 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 6. |
Zamora
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | +5 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 7. |
Real Madrid II
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | +2 | 42 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 8. |
Racing Ferrol
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 9. |
Lugo
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 10. |
Ponferradina
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | +5 | 40 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 11. |
Mérida AD
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:36 | +1 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
| 13. |
Arenas Getxo
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Real Avilés
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 15. |
Ourense CF
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 16. |
Guadalajara
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 17. |
CF Talavera
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 18. |
Cacereño
|
28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 19. |
Arenteiro
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 20. |
Osasuna II
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Ourense CF
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 30
GA: 32
GD: -2
Racing Ferrol
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 33
GA: 32
GD: +1
Last 5 Matches
Ourense CF
08 Mar
A
Barakaldo
0-1
L
Racing Ferrol
08 Mar
H
Cacereño
3-1
W