🇫🇷 Ligue 2
· Regular Season - 26
NS
PAU vs Bastia - Ligue 2
PAU
W
W
L
L
L
19:00
Fri, 06 Mar 2026
Bastia
D
D
D
D
L
Nouste Camp
·
Ref: A. Valnet
Match Preview
A crucial Ligue 2 encounter unfolds as Pau, sitting comfortably in 11th place, hosts a struggling Bastia side languishing in the relegation zone at 18th. Pau will aim to consolidate their mid-table position, while Bastia desperately needs points to ignite their survival hopes. This match represents a significant opportunity for both teams to either solidify their standing or claw their way out of danger in a tight league.
Pau’s form has been inconsistent, mirroring their overall season. While their home record stands at a modest 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, they'll look to capitalize on Bastia's abysmal away form, which reads a single victory, five draws, and six defeats. Bastia's overall record paints a bleak picture, having only managed three wins all season. They've struggled to find the net and have been leaking goals, contributing to their precarious position.
Historical data heavily favors Pau. They are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Bastia, boasting two wins and three draws. While no specific injury news is available, Pau's strong head-to-head record, coupled with Bastia's away woes, suggests a likely home victory. The substantial Elo win probability of 59.25% for Pau further supports this assessment.
Pau’s form has been inconsistent, mirroring their overall season. While their home record stands at a modest 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, they'll look to capitalize on Bastia's abysmal away form, which reads a single victory, five draws, and six defeats. Bastia's overall record paints a bleak picture, having only managed three wins all season. They've struggled to find the net and have been leaking goals, contributing to their precarious position.
Historical data heavily favors Pau. They are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Bastia, boasting two wins and three draws. While no specific injury news is available, Pau's strong head-to-head record, coupled with Bastia's away woes, suggests a likely home victory. The substantial Elo win probability of 59.25% for Pau further supports this assessment.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
50%
2.00
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
52%
1.91
high
CS
1-1
14%
7.71
medium
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HT/FT
1/1
23%
4.70
medium
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O/U
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
high
Match Info
Stadium
Nouste Camp
Referee
A. Valnet
Round
Regular Season - 26
PAU
Bastia
59.25%
Win Probability
40.75%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : PAU or draw and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: PAU — Win or draw
PAU
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Bastia
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Head to Head
PAU
Bastia
1
1
1 wins
3 draws
1 wins
2025-08-15
Bastia
1 - 1
PAU
HT: 1-0
2025-01-24
Bastia
1 - 1
PAU
HT: 0-0
2024-10-22
PAU
1 - 1
Bastia
HT: 1-0
2024-05-10
PAU
1 - 2
Bastia
HT: 1-0
2023-09-26
Bastia
1 - 4
PAU
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.00
Draw
3.20
Away
3.70
Home
2.75
Draw
2.10
Away
4.33
Home
2.50
Draw
2.30
Away
3.60
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.67
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
3.55
Away -1.25
1.27
Home -1
3.10
Away -1
1.35
Home -0.75
2.38
Away -0.75
1.55
Home -0.5
2.05
Away -0.5
1.75
Home -0.25
1.78
Away -0.25
2.02
Home +0
1.48
Away +0
2.60
Home +0.25
1.38
Away +0.25
3.00
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.19
Away +0.75
4.50
Home +1
1.12
Away +1
6.25
Home -1.75
5.50
Away -1.75
1.15
Home -1.5
4.00
Away -1.5
1.23
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
6.80
Home -0.75
3.70
Away -0.75
1.26
Home -0.5
2.75
Away -0.5
1.42
Home -0.25
2.15
Away -0.25
1.68
Home +0
1.65
Away +0
2.20
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.23
Away +0.5
4.10
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.00
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.73
Home/Draw
1.20
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
6.50
2:0
9.50
2:1
9.00
3:0
19.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
8.00
1:1
6.00
2:2
17.00
0:1
9.50
0:2
17.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
301.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
301.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
81.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
126.00
6:0
251.00
6:1
251.00
4:3
126.00
5:3
351.00
4:4
351.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
126.00
4:1
251.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
101.00
2:3
251.00
0:4
351.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
7.50
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
3.40
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.00
Home
1.50
Away
2.50
Home/Yes
4.75
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
8.00
Home/No
3.40
Draw/No
8.00
Away/No
6.00
o/yes 2.5
2.60
o/no 2.5
10.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.00
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.60
Over 2.25
1.92
Under 2.25
1.88
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.90
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 2
1.62
Under 2
2.25
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.32
Over 4
6.80
Under 4
1.10
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.90
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.00
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 4.25
7.00
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 1.5
3.10
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 1.75
4.15
Under 1.75
1.22
Over 1
2.08
Under 1
1.72
Over 2
7.00
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.65
Under 0.75
2.20
Over 1.25
2.60
Under 1.25
1.48
Home -1
4.00
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
23.00
Draw -3
13.00
Away -3
1.06
Home -2
9.50
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.22
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
8.50
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
23.00
Home -1
9.00
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.50
Home -3
101.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.20
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
15.00
Over 8.5
1.67
Under 8.5
2.10
Over 9
1.95
Under 9
1.85
Over 9.5
1.91
Under 9.5
1.80
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.82
Under 4
1.98
Over 4.5
2.08
Under 4.5
1.72
Home -1.5
1.90
Away -1.5
1.90
Home -2
2.30
Draw -2
7.50
Away -2
1.83
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
34.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.75
1
2.60
2
3.60
more 3
5.50
Over 5.5
2.10
Under 5.5
1.67
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
29.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.40
2
4.75
more 3
10.00
Over 3.5
1.83
Under 3.5
1.83
Home
3.40
Away
6.00
Home
7.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.62
Away
2.25
Home
10.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.73
Draw
8.00
Away
2.38
Home
1.73
Draw
8.00
Away
2.38
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.50
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
3.60
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.50
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
6.50
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
23.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
12.00
1 by 3
13.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.00
1st Half
4.00
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home
2.88
Away
7.50
Draw
1.57
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
5.00
Over 14
15.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
7.50
Draw
1.14
Away
10.00
Draw
2.38
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 19.5
1.83
Under 19.5
1.83
Over 17.5
1.83
Under 17.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
13.00
Home/Over 1.5
7.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.67
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.20
Under 9
2.10
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.00
Under 10
1.62
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
4.00
Under 11
1.36
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.33
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.00
Under 12
1.22
Exactly 6
9.50
Over 6
1.20
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
9.00
Under 13
1.12
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
15.00
Under 14
1.07
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
23.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
17.00
Under 15
1.03
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Estac Troyes
|
25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | +15 | 48 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 2. |
Saint Etienne
|
25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | +15 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 3. |
Reims
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | +14 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 4. |
Le Mans
|
25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | +6 | 41 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 5. |
RED Star FC 93
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | +5 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 6. |
Annecy
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | +9 | 39 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 7. |
Dunkerque
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | +14 | 38 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
| 8. |
Rodez
|
25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 9. |
Montpellier
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | +3 | 35 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 10. |
Guingamp
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
| 11. |
PAU
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 12. |
Grenoble
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 13. |
Clermont Foot
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Boulogne
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 15. |
Nancy
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 16. |
Amiens
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 17. |
Laval
|
25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 18. |
Bastia
|
25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
PAU
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 37
GA: 42
GD: -5
Bastia
0
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 12
GA: 27
GD: -15