🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 25
NS
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce - Ekstraklasa
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
AI Match Analysis
With both teams hovering in mid-table, this Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce carries significant weight in the fight to secure a comfortable finish and avoid any late-season relegation anxieties. Just two points separate the sides, adding extra spice to this Round 25 encounter at the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. A win for either team would provide a valuable buffer and potentially propel them up the standings.
Pogon Szczecin's recent form is a mixed bag, showing inconsistency with a recent loss followed by a string of three wins, before again drawing with Raków Częstochowa. However, their home record is reasonably solid, boasting seven wins from twelve matches. Korona Kielce, similarly, have been unpredictable, alternating wins and losses in their last five outings and drawing their most recent match against Nieciecza. Their away form mirrors Pogon's home form closely, showcasing four wins, four draws, and four losses. Consistency will be key for both teams looking to capitalize on this opportunity.
Historically, Korona Kielce holds the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, having avoided defeat in the last five encounters, winning three and drawing two. The recent form suggests a tight contest, and the Elo-based win probability, while slightly favoring Korona, indicates a closely contested affair. Expect a tactical battle with both teams eager to secure valuable points, but Kielce's historical dominance might just give them the edge.
Pogon Szczecin's recent form is a mixed bag, showing inconsistency with a recent loss followed by a string of three wins, before again drawing with Raków Częstochowa. However, their home record is reasonably solid, boasting seven wins from twelve matches. Korona Kielce, similarly, have been unpredictable, alternating wins and losses in their last five outings and drawing their most recent match against Nieciecza. Their away form mirrors Pogon's home form closely, showcasing four wins, four draws, and four losses. Consistency will be key for both teams looking to capitalize on this opportunity.
Historically, Korona Kielce holds the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, having avoided defeat in the last five encounters, winning three and drawing two. The recent form suggests a tight contest, and the Elo-based win probability, while slightly favoring Korona, indicates a closely contested affair. Expect a tactical battle with both teams eager to secure valuable points, but Kielce's historical dominance might just give them the edge.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
43%
1.95
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
35%
1.67
low
O/U
Over 2.5
49%
1.80
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 25
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
48.08%
Win Probability
51.92%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Pogon Szczecin or draw
Predicted winner: Pogon Szczecin — Win or draw
Pogon Szczecin
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Korona Kielce
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
2
1
2 wins
2 draws
1 wins
2025-09-13
Korona Kielce
1 - 0
Pogon Szczecin
HT: 1-0
2024-12-09
Korona Kielce
0 - 0
Pogon Szczecin
HT: 0-0
2024-07-20
Pogon Szczecin
3 - 0
Korona Kielce
HT: 1-0
2024-03-17
Korona Kielce
2 - 2
Pogon Szczecin
HT: 2-0
2023-09-16
Pogon Szczecin
3 - 1
Korona Kielce
HT: 1-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.95
Draw
3.40
Away
3.40
Home
2.60
Draw
2.30
Away
4.00
Home
2.30
Draw
2.50
Away
3.50
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 2.5
1.80
Under 2.5
2.00
Over 3.5
3.00
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 1.5
1.91
Under 1.5
1.80
Over 2.5
4.00
Under 2.5
1.22
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.67
No
2.10
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Home -1.25
3.30
Away -1.25
1.32
Home -1
2.85
Away -1
1.40
Home -0.75
2.35
Away -0.75
1.58
Home -0.5
2.02
Away -0.5
1.78
Home -0.25
1.75
Away -0.25
2.05
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.32
Away +0.5
3.30
Home +0.75
1.22
Away +0.75
4.15
Home -2
7.00
Away -2
1.10
Home +1
1.12
Away +1
6.40
Home -1.75
4.65
Away -1.75
1.18
Home -1.5
3.70
Away -1.5
1.26
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
6.80
Home -2.25
7.00
Away -2.25
1.10
Home -1.25
6.80
Away -1.25
1.10
Home -1
6.00
Away -1
1.12
Home -0.75
3.45
Away -0.75
1.30
Home -0.5
2.60
Away -0.5
1.48
Home -0.25
2.10
Away -0.25
1.70
Home +0
1.58
Away +0
2.35
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.26
Away +0.5
3.70
Home +0.75
1.15
Away +0.75
5.50
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.73
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.57
Draw/Away
1.50
1:0
8.50
2:0
10.00
2:1
8.50
3:0
19.00
3:1
15.00
3:2
23.00
4:0
34.00
4:1
34.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
13.00
0:1
12.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
29.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
41.00
0:5
201.00
1:5
151.00
1:6
501.00
2:5
151.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
67.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
81.00
6:0
151.00
6:1
151.00
6:2
201.00
4:3
67.00
3:5
301.00
5:3
151.00
5:4
451.00
6:3
501.00
4:4
151.00
7:0
501.00
7:1
501.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
10.00
2:1
19.00
3:0
34.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
101.00
4:1
151.00
0:0
3.25
1:1
7.50
2:2
41.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
19.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
151.00
3:3
451.00
0:4
251.00
1:4
351.00
4:2
451.00
5:0
451.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
8.00
Draw/Draw
6.00
Home/Home
3.20
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
21.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.44
Away
2.62
Home/Yes
3.75
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
6.50
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
6.50
o/yes 2.5
2.05
o/no 2.5
9.00
u/yes 2.5
7.00
u/no 2.5
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
13.00
1
5.50
2
3.75
3
4.00
4
5.50
5
9.50
6
19.00
more 7
23.00
0
3.25
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.00
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
0
4.33
1
2.88
2
3.50
3
6.00
4
15.00
more 5
26.00
Over 1.5
1.24
Under 1.5
3.90
Over 1.75
1.30
Under 1.75
3.45
Over 2.25
1.58
Under 2.25
2.35
Over 2.5
1.78
Under 2.5
2.02
Over 2.75
2.00
Under 2.75
1.80
Over 3.5
2.85
Under 3.5
1.40
Over 2
1.38
Under 2
3.00
Over 3
2.30
Under 3
1.60
Over 4
4.65
Under 4
1.18
Over 1.25
1.15
Under 1.25
5.50
Over 4.5
5.75
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 3.25
2.60
Under 3.25
1.48
Over 3.75
3.55
Under 3.75
1.27
Over 4.25
5.25
Under 4.25
1.16
Over 4.75
7.00
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 1.5
2.60
Under 1.5
1.48
Over 1.75
3.30
Under 1.75
1.32
Over 2.25
5.90
Under 2.25
1.13
Over 2.5
6.40
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 1
1.72
Under 1
2.08
Over 2
5.25
Under 2
1.16
Over 0.5
1.35
Under 0.5
3.10
Over 0.75
1.48
Under 0.75
2.60
Over 1.25
2.20
Under 1.25
1.65
Home -1
3.60
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
19.00
Draw -3
12.00
Away -3
1.07
Home -2
7.50
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.28
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
19.00
Home -1
7.50
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
67.00
Draw -3
29.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
26.00
Draw -2
9.50
Away -2
1.07
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
13.00
Over 10
1.90
Under 10
1.90
Over 10.5
2.10
Under 10.5
1.67
Exactly 5
5.50
Over 5
2.62
Under 5
1.91
Over 4.5
1.85
Under 4.5
1.95
Home -1
1.95
Away -1
1.85
Home -1
2.05
Away -1
1.95
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
1.83
Under 1.5
1.83
Over 2.5
3.75
Under 2.5
1.25
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.18
Under 0.5
4.50
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 5.5
51.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
4.50
1
2.88
2
3.40
more 3
3.75
Over 5.5
2.00
Under 5.5
1.73
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
7.00
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 4.5
1.80
Home
3.75
Away
6.50
Home
6.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.53
Away
2.10
Home
8.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.73
Draw
13.00
Away
2.25
Home
1.73
Draw
13.00
Away
2.25
Draw
3.60
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.05
Home
3.00
Away
4.33
Home/Over 2.5
3.00
Draw/Over 2.5
11.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.50
Home/Under 2.5
5.00
Draw/Under 2.5
4.75
Away/Under 2.5
8.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
19.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
12.00
2 by 3
23.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
13.00
Draw
2.20
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Home
2.88
Away
4.33
Draw
1.83
Under 6
11.00
6 - 8
3.50
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.00
Over 14
8.00
Over
1.57
Under
2.25
Home
6.50
Draw
1.18
Away
8.50
Draw
2.60
1st Half
3.25
2nd Half
2.38
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 23.5
1.83
Under 23.5
1.83
Over 24.5
1.83
Under 24.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
7.00
Away/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Over 1.5
5.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
3.25
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
23.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
34.00
Exactly 5
17.00
Over 5
1.05
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.40
Under 8
4.00
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.67
Under 9
2.75
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.10
Under 10
2.10
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
2.75
Under 11
1.67
Exactly 7
9.50
Over 7
1.22
Under 7
6.50
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
3.75
Under 12
1.40
Exactly 6
13.00
Over 6
1.11
Under 6
11.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
5.50
Under 13
1.25
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
8.00
Under 14
1.14
Exactly 17
26.00
Over 17
21.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 18
29.00
Over 18
21.00
Under 18
1.02
Exactly 16
21.00
Over 16
15.00
Under 16
1.04
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.08
Ekstraklasa Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | +11 | 41 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
Lech Poznan
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | +6 | 41 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Jagiellonia
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:31 | +9 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 4. |
Gornik Zabrze
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:31 | +4 | 38 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 5. |
Raków Częstochowa
|
25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 33:31 | +2 | 37 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 6. |
GKS Katowice
|
24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 7. |
Wisla Plock
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 36 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 8. |
Motor Lublin
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 9. |
Radomiak Radom
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | +4 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 10. |
Cracovia Krakow
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | +2 | 33 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 11. |
Korona Kielce
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | +2 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 12. |
Piast Gliwice
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 13. |
Lechia Gdansk
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | +2 | 31 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 14. |
Pogon Szczecin
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 15. |
Arka Gdynia
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 16. |
Legia Warszawa
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 17. |
Widzew Łódź
|
25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 18. |
Nieciecza
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
Pogon Szczecin
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 33
GA: 37
GD: -4
Korona Kielce
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 29
GA: 27
GD: +2
Last 5 Matches
Pogon Szczecin
08 Mar
A
Raków Częstochowa
0-2
L
Korona Kielce
07 Mar
H
Nieciecza
2-1
W