🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura
· Regular Season - 5
NS
Racing Montevideo vs Cerro - Primera División - Apertura
Racing Montevideo
L
D
W
W
12:45
Sun, 08 Mar 2026
Cerro
L
L
D
D
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
·
Ref: J. Cianni
Match Preview
Apertura action sees Racing Montevideo host Cerro in a clash with significant implications for both sides. Racing, currently sitting a respectable 5th, will be looking to consolidate their position near the top of the table and build momentum. Cerro, languishing in 14th, desperately need a win to kickstart their campaign and climb away from the relegation zone.
Racing's form has been reasonably solid, with two wins, a draw, and a loss in their opening four matches. A recent draw against Boston River might sting, but their home form, while not perfect (1W 1L), provides a platform for optimism. Cerro, on the other hand, are struggling to find any rhythm, yet to secure a victory and carrying a negative goal difference. Their away form is equally concerning, having already suffered one defeat on the road.
Head-to-head, Racing Montevideo holds a slight advantage, winning two of the last five encounters, with two draws and one loss. While no specific injury news is available, the underlying data strongly suggests Racing Montevideo are the favorites. Their superior league position, decent home form, and Cerro's struggles point towards a likely home victory.
Racing's form has been reasonably solid, with two wins, a draw, and a loss in their opening four matches. A recent draw against Boston River might sting, but their home form, while not perfect (1W 1L), provides a platform for optimism. Cerro, on the other hand, are struggling to find any rhythm, yet to secure a victory and carrying a negative goal difference. Their away form is equally concerning, having already suffered one defeat on the road.
Head-to-head, Racing Montevideo holds a slight advantage, winning two of the last five encounters, with two draws and one loss. While no specific injury news is available, the underlying data strongly suggests Racing Montevideo are the favorites. Their superior league position, decent home form, and Cerro's struggles point towards a likely home victory.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
55%
1.83
high
BTTS
BTTS No
65%
1.53
high
CS
1-0
11%
9.82
medium
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HT/FT
1/1
25%
4.32
medium
Get VIP Access
O/U
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
high
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Referee
J. Cianni
Round
Regular Season - 5
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
55.01%
Win Probability
44.99%
Match Analysis
Combo Winner : Racing Montevideo and +1.5 goals
Predicted winner: Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Cerro
10.00%
Expected goals:
-6.5 - -1.5
Head to Head
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
2
1
2 wins
2 draws
1 wins
2026-01-15
Racing Montevideo
2 - 1
Cerro
HT: 0-0
2025-08-10
Cerro
1 - 2
Racing Montevideo
HT: 1-1
2025-02-08
Racing Montevideo
0 - 1
Cerro
HT: 0-0
2024-10-20
Cerro
1 - 1
Racing Montevideo
HT: 0-1
2024-04-19
Racing Montevideo
1 - 1
Cerro
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.83
Draw
3.20
Away
4.20
Home
2.60
Draw
1.95
Away
5.50
Home
2.30
Draw
2.20
Away
4.50
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 2.5
2.60
Under 2.5
1.48
Over 3.5
5.50
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
6.50
Over 4.5
13.00
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 5.5
26.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
51.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.57
Under 0.5
2.25
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.38
No
1.53
Yes
6.50
No
1.11
Yes
5.00
No
1.17
Home -1.25
3.10
Away -1.25
1.35
Home -1
2.75
Away -1
1.42
Home -0.75
2.15
Away -0.75
1.68
Home -0.5
1.85
Away -0.5
1.95
Home -0.25
1.60
Away -0.25
2.30
Home +0
1.35
Away +0
3.10
Home +0.25
1.26
Away +0.25
3.70
Home +0.5
1.22
Away +0.5
4.15
Home +0.75
1.13
Away +0.75
5.90
Home -1.75
4.65
Away -1.75
1.18
Home -1.5
3.55
Away -1.5
1.27
Home -1
6.60
Away -1
1.11
Home -0.75
3.45
Away -0.75
1.30
Home -0.5
2.60
Away -0.5
1.48
Home -0.25
2.02
Away -0.25
1.78
Home +0
1.40
Away +0
2.85
Home +0.25
1.23
Away +0.25
4.00
Home +0.5
1.16
Away +0.5
5.25
Home +0.75
1.10
Away +0.75
6.80
Home/Draw
1.20
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.80
Home/Draw
1.12
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.50
1:0
5.00
2:0
7.50
2:1
9.50
3:0
15.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
34.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
6.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
23.00
0:1
9.00
0:2
21.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
17.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
51.00
3:3
81.00
0:4
151.00
1:4
126.00
2:4
151.00
4:2
67.00
1:5
351.00
3:4
351.00
5:0
67.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
201.00
6:0
201.00
6:1
301.00
4:3
201.00
1:0
3.60
2:0
10.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
251.00
4:0
126.00
4:1
301.00
0:0
2.25
1:1
9.50
2:2
81.00
0:1
6.50
0:2
29.00
0:3
101.00
1:2
41.00
1:3
151.00
2:3
301.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
9.00
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
3.00
Draw/Home
4.50
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
8.00
Home
1.33
Away
3.25
Home/Yes
5.50
Draw/Yes
5.50
Away/Yes
11.00
Home/No
2.62
Draw/No
6.50
Away/No
6.50
o/yes 2.5
3.25
o/no 2.5
9.50
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
1.80
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
6.50
1
3.50
2
3.40
3
4.75
4
8.50
5
19.00
6
41.00
more 7
67.00
0
2.25
1
2.50
2
5.00
3
15.00
4
41.00
more 5
101.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
3
9.50
4
29.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.52
Under 1.5
2.42
Over 1.75
1.68
Under 1.75
2.15
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.85
Over 2.5
2.60
Under 2.5
1.48
Over 2.75
3.10
Under 2.75
1.35
Over 3.5
5.50
Under 3.5
1.15
Over 1
1.16
Under 1
5.25
Over 2
1.98
Under 2
1.82
Over 3
4.25
Under 3
1.21
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
6.80
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
6.00
Over 1.25
1.35
Under 1.25
3.10
Over 3.25
4.80
Under 3.25
1.18
Over 3.75
7.00
Under 3.75
1.10
Over 1.5
3.70
Under 1.5
1.26
Over 1.75
5.25
Under 1.75
1.16
Over 1
2.42
Under 1
1.52
Over 0.5
1.58
Under 0.5
2.35
Over 0.75
1.82
Under 0.75
1.98
Over 1.25
3.10
Under 1.25
1.35
Home -1
3.60
Away -1
1.80
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
21.00
Draw -3
12.00
Away -3
1.06
Home -2
8.50
Draw -2
5.50
Away -2
1.25
Home +1
1.20
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
12.00
Home +2
1.04
Draw +2
15.00
Away +2
34.00
Home -1
8.50
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
3.25
Home -3
101.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
10.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.12
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
23.00
Over 8.5
1.67
Under 8.5
2.10
Over 9
1.95
Under 9
1.85
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.20
Under 4
2.38
Home -1
1.85
Away -1
1.95
Home -1
2.00
Away -1
2.10
Draw -1
7.50
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Over 4.5
41.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.50
1
2.60
2
3.75
more 3
5.50
Over 4.5
1.67
Under 4.5
2.10
Over 1.5
5.00
Under 1.5
1.17
Over 2.5
17.00
Under 2.5
1.02
Over 3.5
51.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.80
Under 0.5
1.91
0
1.91
1
2.50
2
6.00
more 3
17.00
Over 3.5
1.73
Under 3.5
2.00
Home
2.62
Away
6.50
Home
6.00
Away
21.00
Home
1.53
Away
2.75
Home
11.00
Away
21.00
Home
1.67
Draw
6.50
Away
2.75
Home
1.67
Draw
6.50
Away
2.75
Draw
3.10
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.25
Home
3.75
Away
9.00
Home/Over 2.5
3.75
Draw/Over 2.5
21.00
Away/Over 2.5
10.00
Home/Under 2.5
3.25
Draw/Under 2.5
3.60
Away/Under 2.5
6.50
1 by 1
3.40
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
21.00
1 by 2
5.50
2 by 2
15.00
1 by 3
12.00
2 by 3
51.00
2 by 4+
126.00
Score Draw
5.50
Draw
6.50
Draw
1.73
1st Half
4.33
2nd Half
3.25
Odd
2.38
Even
1.53
Yes
3.50
No
1.28
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Home
3.20
Away
6.50
Draw
1.53
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
5.00
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
7.50
Draw
1.11
Away
12.00
Draw
2.30
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 17.5
1.83
Under 17.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
10.00
Away/Over 1.5
19.00
Home/Over 1.5
7.00
Home/Under 1.5
3.60
Draw/Under 1.5
2.25
Away/Under 1.5
6.50
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.67
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.20
Under 9
2.10
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.00
Under 10
1.62
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
4.00
Under 11
1.36
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.33
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.00
Under 12
1.22
Exactly 6
9.50
Over 6
1.20
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
9.00
Under 13
1.12
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.07
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
26.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
17.00
Under 15
1.03
Primera División - Apertura Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Central Espanol
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Penarol
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
| 4. |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 5. |
Racing Montevideo
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
| 6. |
Atletico Torque
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
| 7. |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
|
| 8. |
Club Nacional
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
| 9. |
Defensor Sporting
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
| 10. |
Danubio
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
| 11. |
Albion FC
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Cerro Largo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
| 13. |
Boston River
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
| 14. |
Cerro
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
| 15. |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
|
| 16. |
Progreso
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Racing Montevideo
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 10
GA: 6
GD: +4
Cerro
0
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 2
GA: 6
GD: -4
Last 5 Matches
Racing Montevideo
05 Mar
A
Boston River
0-1
L