🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 24
NS
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin - Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa
L
D
D
W
L
16:30
Sun, 08 Mar 2026
Pogon Szczecin
L
D
W
W
W
zondacrypto Arena
·
Ref: J. Przybyl
Match Preview
A fascinating Ekstraklasa clash awaits as fifth-placed Raków Częstochowa hosts Pogon Szczecin, currently sitting 11th, in a crucial Round 24 fixture. With only three points separating the sides, both teams will be eager to secure a victory and climb the league table. Raków will be especially keen to solidify their position in the European qualification places, while Pogon needs to distance itself further from the relegation zone.
Raków enters the match with momentum on their side, boasting consecutive league wins. Their home form, however, is less convincing with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Pogon's away record is even more concerning, having only managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and a staggering 7 losses on the road. Recent cup match draws against Avia Świdnik and Lech Poznan, while not losses, might be a slight cause for concern regarding Raków's sharpness in front of goal.
Historically, Pogon has dominated this fixture, winning four and drawing one of the last five encounters. The Elo ratings give Raków a significant 58.96% probability of winning at home. Considering Raków's recent league form and the home advantage, despite a poor H2H record, expect them to finally break the Pogon curse.
Raków enters the match with momentum on their side, boasting consecutive league wins. Their home form, however, is less convincing with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Pogon's away record is even more concerning, having only managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and a staggering 7 losses on the road. Recent cup match draws against Avia Świdnik and Lech Poznan, while not losses, might be a slight cause for concern regarding Raków's sharpness in front of goal.
Historically, Pogon has dominated this fixture, winning four and drawing one of the last five encounters. The Elo ratings give Raków a significant 58.96% probability of winning at home. Considering Raków's recent league form and the home advantage, despite a poor H2H record, expect them to finally break the Pogon curse.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
59%
1.70
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
59%
1.70
high
CS
2-1
10%
10.80
medium
Get VIP Access
HT/FT
1/1
27%
4.00
medium
Get VIP Access
O/U
Over 2.5
58%
1.73
high
Match Info
Stadium
zondacrypto Arena
Referee
J. Przybyl
Round
Regular Season - 24
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
59.2%
Win Probability
40.8%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : draw or Pogon Szczecin and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Pogon Szczecin — Win or draw
Raków Częstochowa
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Pogon Szczecin
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2025-08-31
Pogon Szczecin
2 - 0
Raków Częstochowa
HT: 0-0
2025-04-19
Pogon Szczecin
1 - 0
Raków Częstochowa
HT: 1-0
2024-10-20
Raków Częstochowa
1 - 0
Pogon Szczecin
HT: 0-0
2024-05-11
Raków Częstochowa
2 - 1
Pogon Szczecin
HT: 2-0
2023-11-12
Pogon Szczecin
1 - 1
Raków Częstochowa
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.70
Draw
3.75
Away
4.75
Home
2.30
Draw
2.30
Away
4.50
Home
2.05
Draw
2.60
Away
4.00
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.08
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.40
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 1.5
1.91
Under 1.5
1.80
Over 2.5
4.00
Under 2.5
1.22
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.70
No
2.05
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Home -1.25
2.68
Away -1.25
1.45
Home -1
2.35
Away -1
1.58
Home -0.75
1.98
Away -0.75
1.82
Home -0.5
1.78
Away -0.5
2.02
Home -0.25
1.55
Away -0.25
2.38
Home +0
1.35
Away +0
3.10
Home +0.25
1.27
Away +0.25
3.55
Home +0.5
1.23
Away +0.5
4.00
Home +0.75
1.15
Away +0.75
5.50
Home -2
5.50
Away -2
1.15
Home -1.75
3.70
Away -1.75
1.26
Home -1.5
3.00
Away -1.5
1.38
Home -2.5
6.25
Away -2.5
1.12
Home -2.25
5.75
Away -2.25
1.14
Home -1.25
5.75
Away -1.25
1.14
Home -1
4.80
Away -1
1.18
Home -0.75
3.00
Away -0.75
1.38
Home -0.5
2.35
Away -0.5
1.58
Home -0.25
1.90
Away -0.25
1.90
Home +0
1.42
Away +0
2.75
Home +0.25
1.27
Away +0.25
3.55
Home +0.5
1.21
Away +0.5
4.25
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.40
Home -1.5
6.40
Away -1.5
1.12
Home/Draw
1.18
Home/Away
1.25
Draw/Away
2.10
Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.57
Draw/Away
1.57
1:0
8.00
2:0
9.00
2:1
8.50
3:0
15.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
23.00
4:0
29.00
4:1
26.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
15.00
0:2
23.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
15.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
41.00
0:5
351.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
251.00
3:4
101.00
5:0
51.00
5:1
51.00
5:2
67.00
6:0
126.00
6:1
101.00
6:2
151.00
4:3
67.00
3:5
401.00
5:3
151.00
5:4
451.00
6:3
401.00
4:4
201.00
7:0
351.00
7:1
351.00
1:0
3.75
2:0
9.00
2:1
17.00
3:0
29.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
126.00
0:0
3.25
1:1
7.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
6.50
0:2
23.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
26.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
151.00
3:3
501.00
0:4
401.00
1:4
451.00
4:2
401.00
5:0
301.00
5:1
501.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
9.50
Draw/Draw
6.00
Home/Home
2.75
Draw/Home
4.75
Away/Home
21.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
7.00
Home
1.33
Away
3.25
Home/Yes
3.50
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
7.50
Home/No
3.25
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
8.00
o/yes 2.5
2.10
o/no 2.5
8.00
u/yes 2.5
7.00
u/no 2.5
2.62
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
13.00
1
5.50
2
3.75
3
4.00
4
5.50
5
9.00
6
17.00
more 7
23.00
0
3.25
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
0
4.33
1
2.88
2
3.50
3
6.00
4
15.00
more 5
26.00
Over 1.5
1.23
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.55
Over 2.25
1.52
Under 2.25
2.42
Over 2.5
1.72
Under 2.5
2.08
Over 2.75
1.95
Under 2.75
1.85
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.42
Over 2
1.35
Under 2
3.10
Over 3
2.25
Under 3
1.62
Over 4
4.40
Under 4
1.20
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
5.75
Over 4.5
5.25
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.50
Under 3.25
1.50
Over 3.75
3.45
Under 3.75
1.30
Over 4.25
4.80
Under 4.25
1.18
Over 4.75
6.80
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 1.75
3.30
Under 1.75
1.32
Over 2.25
5.75
Under 2.25
1.14
Over 2.5
6.25
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 1
1.68
Under 1
2.15
Over 2
5.00
Under 2
1.17
Over 0.5
1.32
Under 0.5
3.30
Over 0.75
1.45
Under 0.75
2.68
Over 1.25
2.10
Under 1.25
1.70
Home -1
3.00
Away -1
2.10
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
13.00
Draw -3
9.00
Away -3
1.11
Home -2
6.00
Draw -2
5.00
Away -2
1.36
Home +1
1.18
Draw +1
6.50
Away +1
10.00
Home +2
1.05
Draw +2
13.00
Away +2
26.00
Home -1
6.00
Away -1
1.57
Draw -1
3.20
Home -3
51.00
Draw -3
23.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
17.00
Draw -2
7.50
Away -2
1.09
Home +1
1.17
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
17.00
Over 9.5
1.92
Under 9.5
1.88
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.00
Under 4
2.62
Over 4.5
2.02
Under 4.5
1.78
Over 1.5
1.73
Under 1.5
2.00
Over 2.5
3.40
Under 2.5
1.30
Over 3.5
8.00
Under 3.5
1.08
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
5.50
Over 4.5
19.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
41.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
5.50
1
3.00
2
3.25
more 3
3.40
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
0
2.62
1
2.40
2
4.50
more 3
9.00
Home
3.25
Away
8.00
Home
5.00
Away
17.00
Home
1.40
Away
2.50
Home
8.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.57
Draw
13.00
Away
2.50
Home
1.57
Draw
13.00
Away
2.50
Draw
3.60
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.05
Home
2.62
Away
5.00
Home/Over 2.5
2.62
Draw/Over 2.5
12.00
Away/Over 2.5
7.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.50
Draw/Under 2.5
5.00
Away/Under 2.5
9.50
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
6.50
1 by 4+
13.00
1 by 2
5.00
2 by 2
13.00
1 by 3
9.00
2 by 3
34.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
13.00
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Under 6
9.00
6 - 8
3.10
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.50
Over 14
11.00
Home
6.00
Draw
1.18
Away
9.50
Draw
2.75
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.30
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
7.50
Away/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Over 1.5
5.00
Home/Under 1.5
3.75
Draw/Under 1.5
3.25
Away/Under 1.5
6.50
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.07
Under 5
17.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.53
Under 8
3.40
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.83
Under 9
2.38
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.50
Under 10
1.83
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.40
Under 11
1.50
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.30
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
4.50
Under 12
1.30
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
9.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
7.00
Under 13
1.18
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
11.00
Under 14
1.10
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
19.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.05
Ekstraklasa Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:28 | +12 | 41 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2. |
Jagiellonia
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:29 | +10 | 38 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 3. |
Lech Poznan
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | +6 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
Gornik Zabrze
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | +2 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
| 5. |
Raków Częstochowa
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | +2 | 34 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 6. |
Cracovia Krakow
|
23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | +4 | 33 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 7. |
Wisla Plock
|
23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | +4 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 8. |
Korona Kielce
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | +2 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
Radomiak Radom
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 40:35 | +5 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 10. |
Lechia Gdansk
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 49:45 | +4 | 31 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 11. |
Pogon Szczecin
|
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 12. |
GKS Katowice
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 13. |
Motor Lublin
|
23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 14. |
Piast Gliwice
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 15. |
Arka Gdynia
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:41 | -19 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 16. |
Legia Warszawa
|
23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 17. |
Widzew Łódź
|
23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 18. |
Nieciecza
|
24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
Raków Częstochowa
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 31
GA: 29
GD: +2
Pogon Szczecin
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 33
GA: 35
GD: -2
Last 5 Matches
Raków Częstochowa
05 Mar
A
Avia Świdnik
1-1
D
01 Mar
A
Lech Poznan
3-4
L