🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 23 NS

Real Murcia vs Marbella - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Real Murcia
Real Murcia
L D L L D
18:00
Wed, 11 Mar 2026
Marbella
Marbella
W L L W L
Estadio Enrique Roca

Match Preview

A crucial encounter unfolds in Group 2 of the Primera División RFEF as Real Murcia hosts Marbella. With both teams battling at opposite ends of the relegation zone, the stakes are high. Murcia, currently 16th with 32 points, desperately needs a win to distance themselves from the drop, while bottom-placed Marbella, languishing with just 21 points, faces a must-win situation to ignite any hopes of survival.

Murcia's recent form is deeply concerning, a string of two draws and three losses paints a grim picture. Their home record is equally unimpressive, with only four wins in 13 matches at the Estadio Enrique Roca. Marbella, although securing a morale-boosting win recently, has largely struggled, particularly on the road where they’ve managed only one victory and nine defeats. Their defense has been particularly porous away from home. A recent draw against Europa Fc does little to inspire confidence.

Head-to-head clashes between these sides have been tightly contested, reflected in the relatively balanced record of one win apiece and three draws in the last five meetings. While no specific injury news is available, any absences could further impact the already fragile confidence of both squads. The ELO model heavily favors a Real Murcia victory, assigning them a 65% win probability, but given their current form and Marbella's desperation, an upset cannot be ruled out.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 58% 1.72 high
BTTS BTTS No 69% 1.54 high
CS 1-0 17% 6.35 medium
Get VIP Access
HT/FT X/1 22% 4.91 medium
Get VIP Access
O/U Under 2.5 75% 1.40 high

Match Info

Stadium
Estadio Enrique Roca
Referee
-
Round
Group 2 - 23
Real Murcia Marbella
65.47% Win Probability 34.53%

Match Analysis

Double chance : Real Murcia or draw

Predicted winner: Real Murcia — Win or draw

Real Murcia 45.00%
Draw 45.00%
Marbella 10.00%
Expected goals: -1.5 - -2.5

Head to Head

Real Murcia
Marbella
1
1
1 wins 2 draws 1 wins
2025-09-01
Marbella 2 - 1 Real Murcia
HT: 1-1
2025-02-09
Marbella 1 - 4 Real Murcia
HT: 0-2
2024-10-20
Real Murcia 0 - 0 Marbella
HT: 0-0
2020-03-29
Marbella ? - ? Real Murcia
2019-11-10
Real Murcia 1 - 1 Marbella
HT: 1-0

Odds

1xBet
Home
1.72
Draw
2.90
Away
5.23
Home
2.32
Draw
1.91
Away
6.21
Home
2.22
Draw
2.05
Away
5.36
Over 1.5
1.57
Under 1.5
2.20
Over 2.5
2.70
Under 2.5
1.40
Over 3.5
5.50
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.12
Under 0.5
5.50
Over 4.5
13.00
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 1.5
3.60
Under 1.5
1.22
Over 2.5
12.00
Under 2.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.55
Under 0.5
2.25
Over 1.5
2.90
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 2.5
7.50
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.60
Yes
2.40
No
1.54
Yes
6.50
No
1.08
Yes
5.00
No
1.12
Home +0
1.22
Away +0
3.70
Home/Draw
1.14
Home/Away
1.35
Draw/Away
1.95
1:0
4.50
2:0
6.50
2:1
8.00
3:0
13.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
29.00
4:1
46.00
0:0
5.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
23.00
0:1
9.50
0:2
26.00
0:3
80.00
1:2
17.00
1:3
70.00
2:3
70.00
3:3
100.00
0:4
100.00
1:4
100.00
2:4
100.00
4:2
90.00
0:5
100.00
0:6
100.00
1:5
100.00
1:6
100.00
2:5
100.00
2:6
100.00
3:4
100.00
5:0
80.00
5:1
100.00
5:2
100.00
6:0
100.00
6:1
100.00
6:2
100.00
4:3
100.00
3:5
100.00
3:6
100.00
4:5
100.00
4:6
100.00
5:3
100.00
5:4
100.00
5:6
100.00
6:3
100.00
6:4
100.00
6:5
100.00
4:4
100.00
7:0
100.00
7:1
100.00
7:2
100.00
7:3
100.00
7:4
100.00
7:5
100.00
7:6
100.00
8:0
100.00
8:1
100.00
8:2
100.00
8:3
100.00
8:4
100.00
8:5
100.00
8:6
100.00
8:7
100.00
9:0
100.00
9:1
100.00
9:2
100.00
9:3
100.00
9:4
100.00
9:5
100.00
9:6
100.00
9:7
100.00
9:8
100.00
10:0
100.00
10:1
100.00
10:2
100.00
10:3
100.00
10:4
100.00
10:5
100.00
10:6
100.00
10:7
100.00
10:8
100.00
10:9
100.00
5:5
100.00
6:6
100.00
7:7
100.00
8:8
100.00
9:9
100.00
10:10
100.00
0:7
100.00
0:8
100.00
0:9
100.00
0:10
100.00
1:7
100.00
1:8
100.00
1:9
100.00
1:10
100.00
2:7
100.00
2:8
100.00
2:9
100.00
2:10
100.00
3:7
100.00
3:8
100.00
3:9
100.00
3:10
100.00
4:7
100.00
4:8
100.00
4:9
100.00
4:10
100.00
5:7
100.00
5:8
100.00
5:9
100.00
5:10
100.00
6:7
100.00
6:8
100.00
6:9
100.00
6:10
100.00
7:8
100.00
7:9
100.00
7:10
100.00
8:9
100.00
8:10
100.00
9:10
100.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
65.00
Draw/Away
10.00
Draw/Draw
3.90
Home/Home
2.62
Draw/Home
4.20
Away/Home
36.00
Away/Draw
19.00
Away/Away
8.50
Over 1.5
2.30
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 1.5
6.00
Under 1.5
1.11
Over 2.5
26.00
Under 2.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.91
Under 0.5
1.75
Over 0.5
3.50
Under 0.5
1.25
Over 1.5
6.00
Under 1.5
1.10
Over 0.5
1.91
Under 0.5
1.75

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
Sabadell
27 13 11 3 36:15 +21 50
W D W L L
2.
Atlético Madrid II
27 12 9 6 37:25 +12 45
D D L W D
3.
Europa Fc
27 11 11 5 38:28 +10 44
W L W D D
4.
Eldense
27 11 11 5 34:27 +7 44
W L L D W
5.
Teruel
27 11 8 8 21:21 0 41
W D D W W
6.
Villarreal II
27 10 10 7 35:23 +12 40
L W D W W
7.
FC Cartagena
27 10 9 8 25:26 -1 39
D D W W W
8.
Ibiza
27 10 8 9 30:24 +6 38
W W L W L
9.
Algeciras
26 10 7 9 29:28 +1 37
L D L W D
10.
Antequera
26 10 7 9 30:30 0 37
L W L W W
11.
Hércules
27 9 10 8 30:30 0 37
D W D L D
12.
Alcorcon
27 8 12 7 25:24 +1 36
L W D W D
13.
Juventud Torremolinos
27 8 11 8 34:35 -1 35
W W D D L
14.
Tarazona
27 8 10 9 22:25 -3 34
D L W D L
15.
Gimnastic
27 9 6 12 31:38 -7 33
L L W D L
16.
Real Murcia
26 8 8 10 24:26 -2 32
L D L L D
17.
Sanluqueño
27 7 6 14 24:37 -13 27
W W L L W
18.
Real Betis II
27 6 7 14 28:42 -14 25
W L L D W
19.
Sevilla Atletico
27 4 9 14 14:28 -14 21
L D L L L
20.
Marbella
26 5 6 15 19:34 -15 21
L L W L L
Promotion
Relegation

Season Form

Real Murcia
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 24 GA: 25 GD: -1
Marbella
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 19 GA: 32 GD: -13

Last 5 Matches

Real Murcia
06 Mar H Sanluqueño 0-1 L
01 Mar A Villarreal II 1-1 D
Marbella
07 Mar H Europa Fc 0-2 L

More Predictions

1X2 Predictions Over/Under Tips BTTS Predictions Daily Offers Stats & Win Rate Betting Blog