🇯🇵 J1 League
· Regular Season - 6
FT
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka - J1 League
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
·
Ref: Hiroki Kasahara, Japan
San
2
·
Gam
4 1
AI Match Analysis
A top-of-the-table clash awaits in Round 6 of the J1 League as fourth-placed Sanfrecce Hiroshima host league leaders Gamba Osaka at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. With only three points separating the sides, and both having played a game less than some of their rivals, the stakes are high. A victory for Sanfrecce would see them leapfrog Gamba, while Osaka will be looking to extend their lead at the summit and continue their impressive start to the season.
Gamba Osaka's form has been strong, with four wins in their last five league outings, although they were held to a draw by V-varen Nagasaki in a recent Levain Cup match. Their away form is particularly impressive, boasting a perfect record of two wins from two on the road. Sanfrecce, on the other hand, have a mixed home record, with one win and one loss in their two matches in Hiroshima. Their overall form is solid, with three wins from four league games played.
Head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been evenly contested, with each team recording two wins and one draw in their last five meetings. While no specific injury information is available, the home advantage, coupled with the higher win probability suggested by the Elo ratings (58.11% for Sanfrecce), hints at a potentially tight affair with the hosts slightly favored to take the points.
Gamba Osaka's form has been strong, with four wins in their last five league outings, although they were held to a draw by V-varen Nagasaki in a recent Levain Cup match. Their away form is particularly impressive, boasting a perfect record of two wins from two on the road. Sanfrecce, on the other hand, have a mixed home record, with one win and one loss in their two matches in Hiroshima. Their overall form is solid, with three wins from four league games played.
Head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been evenly contested, with each team recording two wins and one draw in their last five meetings. While no specific injury information is available, the home advantage, coupled with the higher win probability suggested by the Elo ratings (58.11% for Sanfrecce), hints at a potentially tight affair with the hosts slightly favored to take the points.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
52%
1.65
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
37%
1.70
low
O/U
Over 2.5
54%
1.70
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Referee
Hiroki Kasahara, Japan
Round
Regular Season - 6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
61.78%
Win Probability
38.22%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Gamba Osaka
Predicted winner: Gamba Osaka — Win or draw
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Gamba Osaka
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
51%
Ball Possession
49%
20
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
2
11
Shots off Goal
2
10
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
4
Offsides
0
323
Total passes
336
234
Passes accurate
240
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Match Events
32'
🟦
Taishi Matsumoto
Yellow Card
41'
⚽
Naoto Arai
(Hayao Kawabe)
46'
🔄
Taishi Matsumoto
(Tsukasa Shiotani)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Ryotaro Meshino
(Issam Jebali)
Substitution 1
49'
🟦
Shuto Abe
Yellow Card
60'
🔄
Kosuke Kinoshita
(Ryo Germain)
Substitution 2
61'
🔄
Kanji Okunuki
(Ryoya Yamashita)
Substitution 2
61'
🔄
Shuto Abe
(Welton)
Substitution 3
66'
🟦
Takeru Kishimoto
Yellow Card
67'
⚽
Sota Nakamura
(Ryo Germain)
70'
🔄
Hayao Kawabe
(Sho Sasaki)
Substitution 3
70'
🔄
Akito Suzuki
(Mutsuki Kato)
Substitution 4
76'
🔄
Deniz Hümmet
(Gaku Nawata)
Substitution 4
85'
🟦
Takeru Kishimoto
Yellow Card
85'
🟥
Takeru Kishimoto
Red Card
86'
🔄
Shu Kurata
(Riku Handa)
Substitution 5
88'
🔄
Ju-sung Kim
(Takaaki Shichi)
Substitution 5
89'
🟦
Riku Handa
Yellow Card
90+2'
🟦
Taichi Yamasaki
Yellow Card
Player Ratings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Naoki Maeda
-
-
-
-
-
Gamba Osaka
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Harumi Minamino
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
Bartosch Gaul
Coach
Jens Wissing
3-4-2-1
17
Kinoshita
10
Suzuki
39
Nakamura
15
Nakano
6
Kawabe
14
Matsumoto
13
Arai
3
Yamasaki
4
Araki
37
Kim
1
Osako
4-2-3-1
23
Hümmet
44
Okunuki
10
Kurata
8
Meshino
13
Abe
27
Mito
15
Kishimoto
5
Miura
4
Nakatani
21
Hatsuse
1
Higashigu.
Starting XI
1
Keisuke Osako
G
G
Masaaki Higashiguchi
1
3
Taichi Yamasaki
D
D
Takeru Kishimoto
15
4
Hayato Araki
D
D
Genta Miura
5
37
Ju-sung Kim
D
D
Shinnosuke Nakatani
4
15
Shuto Nakano
M
D
Ryo Hatsuse
21
6
Hayao Kawabe
M
M
Shuto Abe
13
14
Taishi Matsumoto
M
M
Rin Mito
27
13
Naoto Arai
M
M
Kanji Okunuki
44
10
Akito Suzuki
F
M
Shu Kurata
10
39
Sota Nakamura
F
M
Ryotaro Meshino
8
17
Kosuke Kinoshita
F
F
Deniz Hümmet
23
Substitutes
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
Issam Jebali
11
9
Ryo Germain
Ryoya Yamashita
17
19
Sho Sasaki
Welton
97
11
Mutsuki Kato
Gaku Nawata
38
16
Takaaki Shichi
Riku Handa
3
99
Issei Ouchi
Rui Araki
18
18
Daiki Suga
Philipp Max
30
40
Motoki Ohara
Tokuma Suzuki
16
41
Naoki Maeda
Harumi Minamino
42
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka
HT: 1-0
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0 - 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HT: 0-1
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HT: 1-0
2024-09-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 2
Gamba Osaka
HT: 1-1
2024-03-30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.65
Draw
4.00
Away
4.75
Home
2.20
Draw
2.40
Away
5.00
Home
1.95
Draw
2.62
Away
4.50
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
Over 3.5
2.62
Under 3.5
1.44
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
5.00
Under 4.5
1.17
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 1.5
1.83
Under 1.5
1.83
Over 2.5
3.75
Under 2.5
1.25
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.18
Under 0.5
4.50
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.70
No
2.05
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Home -1.25
2.38
Away -1.25
1.55
Home -1
2.08
Away -1
1.72
Home -0.75
1.80
Away -0.75
2.00
Home -0.5
1.62
Away -0.5
2.25
Home -0.25
1.45
Away -0.25
2.68
Home +0
1.26
Away +0
3.70
Home +0.25
1.22
Away +0.25
4.15
Home +0.5
1.18
Away +0.5
4.65
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.40
Home -2
4.40
Away -2
1.20
Home -1.75
3.30
Away -1.75
1.32
Home -1.5
2.68
Away -1.5
1.45
Home -2.5
5.25
Away -2.5
1.16
Home -2.25
4.80
Away -2.25
1.18
Home -2.75
6.80
Away -2.75
1.10
Home -1.25
5.00
Away -1.25
1.17
Home -1
4.15
Away -1
1.22
Home -0.75
2.68
Away -0.75
1.45
Home -0.5
2.15
Away -0.5
1.68
Home -0.25
1.78
Away -0.25
2.02
Home +0
1.35
Away +0
3.10
Home +0.25
1.24
Away +0.25
3.90
Home +0.5
1.18
Away +0.5
4.80
Home +0.75
1.10
Away +0.75
7.00
Home -1.5
5.75
Away -1.5
1.14
Home/Draw
1.18
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.20
Home/Draw
1.14
Home/Away
1.53
Draw/Away
1.62
1:0
8.00
2:0
8.50
2:1
8.50
3:0
13.00
3:1
13.00
3:2
23.00
4:0
23.00
4:1
23.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
7.50
2:2
15.00
0:1
15.00
0:2
26.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
15.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
126.00
1:4
81.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
41.00
1:5
301.00
2:5
301.00
3:4
126.00
5:0
41.00
5:1
41.00
5:2
67.00
6:0
101.00
6:1
81.00
6:2
151.00
4:3
67.00
3:5
451.00
5:3
151.00
5:4
451.00
6:3
351.00
4:4
201.00
7:0
251.00
7:1
251.00
7:2
451.00
1:0
3.75
2:0
8.00
2:1
17.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
101.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
101.00
0:0
3.40
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
26.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
101.00
2:3
151.00
3:3
501.00
0:4
501.00
1:4
501.00
4:2
351.00
5:0
251.00
5:1
451.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
10.00
Draw/Draw
6.50
Home/Home
2.50
Draw/Home
4.50
Away/Home
21.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
8.00
Home
1.25
Away
3.75
Home/Yes
3.25
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
8.50
Home/No
3.00
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
10.00
o/yes 2.5
2.10
o/no 2.5
7.00
u/yes 2.5
7.50
u/no 2.5
2.62
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
15.00
1
5.50
2
4.00
3
4.00
4
5.50
5
9.00
6
17.00
more 7
21.00
0
3.40
1
2.60
2
3.75
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
41.00
0
4.50
1
2.88
2
3.40
3
6.00
4
13.00
more 5
23.00
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.15
Over 1.75
1.26
Under 1.75
3.70
Over 2.25
1.52
Under 2.25
2.42
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
Over 2.75
1.90
Under 2.75
1.90
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.42
Over 2
1.32
Under 2
3.30
Over 3
2.15
Under 3
1.68
Over 4
4.25
Under 4
1.21
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
5.90
Over 4.5
5.25
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.42
Under 3.25
1.52
Over 3.75
3.30
Under 3.75
1.32
Over 4.25
4.65
Under 4.25
1.18
Over 4.75
6.40
Under 4.75
1.12
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 1.75
3.10
Under 1.75
1.35
Over 2.25
5.50
Under 2.25
1.15
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 1
1.65
Under 1
2.20
Over 2
4.65
Under 2
1.18
Over 0.5
1.32
Under 0.5
3.30
Over 0.75
1.42
Under 0.75
2.75
Over 1.25
2.08
Under 1.25
1.72
Home -1
2.62
Away -1
2.20
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
11.00
Draw -3
8.00
Away -3
1.14
Home -2
5.00
Draw -2
4.75
Away -2
1.44
Home +1
1.18
Draw +1
7.00
Away +1
11.00
Home +2
1.04
Draw +2
15.00
Away +2
29.00
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.62
Draw -1
3.10
Home -3
41.00
Draw -3
21.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
15.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.10
Home +1
1.14
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
19.00
Over 9.5
1.91
Under 9.5
1.80
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.00
Under 4
2.60
Over 4.5
2.02
Under 4.5
1.78
Home -2.5
2.15
Away -2.5
1.68
Home -2
2.10
Draw -2
8.00
Away -2
2.00
Over 1.5
1.62
Under 1.5
2.20
Over 2.5
3.00
Under 2.5
1.36
Over 3.5
6.50
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.12
Under 0.5
6.00
Over 4.5
17.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
34.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
6.00
1
3.20
2
3.25
more 3
3.00
Over 5.5
1.83
Under 5.5
1.83
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
29.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.40
2
4.75
more 3
10.00
Over 3.5
1.83
Under 3.5
1.83
Home
3.00
Away
10.00
Home
4.33
Away
19.00
Home
1.36
Away
2.62
Home
7.00
Away
17.00
Home
1.53
Draw
13.00
Away
2.60
Home
1.53
Draw
15.00
Away
2.60
Draw
3.75
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.05
Home
2.50
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
2.40
Draw/Over 2.5
12.00
Away/Over 2.5
8.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
5.00
Away/Under 2.5
11.00
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
7.00
1 by 4+
11.00
1 by 2
4.75
2 by 2
15.00
1 by 3
8.00
2 by 3
41.00
2 by 4+
81.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
13.00
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home
2.60
Away
7.00
Draw
1.73
Under 6
9.00
6 - 8
3.00
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.50
Over 14
11.00
Over
1.62
Under
2.20
Home
6.00
Draw
1.18
Away
10.00
Shot
1.44
Header
6.00
Penalty
7.00
FreeKick
21.00
OwnGoal
26.00
Draw
15.00
Draw
2.88
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.25
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Over 19.5
1.80
Under 19.5
1.91
Draw/Over 1.5
7.50
Away/Over 1.5
13.00
Home/Over 1.5
4.50
Home/Under 1.5
3.75
Draw/Under 1.5
3.40
Away/Under 1.5
7.00
Home
15.00
Away
23.00
Home
5.50
Away
9.00
Exactly 4
19.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.07
Under 5
17.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.53
Under 8
3.40
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
1.91
Under 9
2.38
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.50
Under 10
1.80
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.50
Under 11
1.50
Exactly 7
8.50
Over 7
1.30
Under 7
5.00
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.00
Under 12
1.28
Exactly 6
10.00
Over 6
1.17
Under 6
9.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
7.00
Under 13
1.17
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
11.00
Under 14
1.10
Exactly 16
26.00
Over 16
21.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
15.00
Under 15
1.05
J1 League Standings
East
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Kashima
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC Tokyo
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Machida Zelvia
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Tokyo Verdy
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
Urawa
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 6. |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 7 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Mito Hollyhock
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
JEF United Chiba
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10. |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
West
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Vissel Kobe
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 11 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Gamba Osaka
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
Kyoto Sanga
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Cerezo Osaka
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Nagoya Grampus
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 8. |
Fagiano Okayama
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 9. |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 10. |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 8
GA: 5
GD: +3
Gamba Osaka
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 6
GD: +3
Last 5 Matches
Gamba Osaka
08 Mar
H
V-varen Nagasaki
3-2
W