🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 2
· Group 2 - 28
FT
Sanluqueño vs Eldense - Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Estadio El Palmar
San
3
·
Eld
4
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash unfolds in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 as Sanluqueño, currently 17th and battling relegation, welcomes fourth-placed Eldense. For Sanluqueño, survival is paramount, and points at Estadio El Palmar are vital. Eldense, on the other hand, are aiming to consolidate their playoff position and maintain pressure on the teams above them. A win here would significantly boost their chances of promotion.
Sanluqueño's form is patchy, oscillating between wins and losses (LWLLW), although their recent draw against Real Murcia offers a glimmer of hope. Their home form is similarly inconsistent (4W 4D 5L). Eldense's recent form is also less than stellar (DWDLL), including consecutive draws against Gimnastic and Villarreal II. Worryingly for their travelling support, Eldense have only managed a single away win this season, drawing eight and losing four. Their ability to convert draws into wins on the road will be pivotal in this encounter.
The single previous meeting between these sides resulted in a victory for Eldense. While no injury information is provided, its presence could impact the team selection. The Elo model gives Sanluqueño a surprisingly high 60.55% chance of winning, likely influenced by their need for points and home advantage, despite Eldense's superior league position. However, Eldense's defensive solidity, underscored by their strong overall goal difference, suggests they will be difficult to break down, potentially leading to another frustrating day for the home side.
Sanluqueño's form is patchy, oscillating between wins and losses (LWLLW), although their recent draw against Real Murcia offers a glimmer of hope. Their home form is similarly inconsistent (4W 4D 5L). Eldense's recent form is also less than stellar (DWDLL), including consecutive draws against Gimnastic and Villarreal II. Worryingly for their travelling support, Eldense have only managed a single away win this season, drawing eight and losing four. Their ability to convert draws into wins on the road will be pivotal in this encounter.
The single previous meeting between these sides resulted in a victory for Eldense. While no injury information is provided, its presence could impact the team selection. The Elo model gives Sanluqueño a surprisingly high 60.55% chance of winning, likely influenced by their need for points and home advantage, despite Eldense's superior league position. However, Eldense's defensive solidity, underscored by their strong overall goal difference, suggests they will be difficult to break down, potentially leading to another frustrating day for the home side.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
49%
1.73
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
58%
1.67
high
O/U
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
high
Match Info
Stadium
Estadio El Palmar
Referee
-
Round
Group 2 - 28
Sanluqueño
Eldense
36.64%
Win Probability
63.36%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Eldense
Predicted winner: Eldense — Win or draw
Sanluqueño
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Eldense
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Events
28'
⚽
R. Ibanez
45'
🟦
Yellow Card
45+1'
⚽
Rodri
Penalty
45+7'
⚽
B. Calvo
45+9'
🟦
Yellow Card
45+9'
🟦
A. Juarez
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Kikin
(P. Barea)
Substitution 1
61'
🔄
A. Juarez
(L. Simon)
Substitution 2
63'
🔄
R. Ibanez
(Dioni)
Substitution 1
63'
🔄
B. Calvo
(M. Bustillo)
Substitution 2
67'
🟦
Yellow Card
73'
🟦
P. Barea
Yellow Card
75'
⚽
M. Bustillo
78'
🟦
A. G. Serradell
Yellow Card
81'
🔄
U. Lobede
(M. Denia)
Substitution 3
81'
🔄
S. Niza
(B. Diallo)
Substitution 4
82'
🟦
M. Molina
Yellow Card
86'
⚽
Dioni
90'
🔄
M. Molina
(O. Vega)
Substitution 3
90'
🔄
Quintana Nacho
(R. Nunez)
Substitution 4
Head to Head
Eldense
0
1
0 wins
0 draws
1 wins
2026-01-11
Eldense
1 - 0
Sanluqueño
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
4.75
Draw
3.10
Away
1.73
Home
5.00
Draw
2.05
Away
2.38
Home
4.75
Draw
2.30
Away
2.10
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.75
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
7.50
Over 4.5
7.50
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home -0.75
6.40
Away -0.75
1.12
Home -0.5
4.65
Away -0.5
1.18
Home -0.25
4.10
Away -0.25
1.23
Home +0
3.45
Away +0
1.30
Home +0.25
2.42
Away +0.25
1.52
Home +0.5
2.02
Away +0.5
1.78
Home +0.75
1.78
Away +0.75
2.02
Home +1
1.52
Away +1
2.42
Home +2
1.13
Away +2
5.90
Home +1.25
1.40
Away +1.25
2.85
Home +1.5
1.32
Away +1.5
3.30
Home +1.75
1.23
Away +1.75
4.00
Home +2.25
1.12
Away +2.25
6.40
Home +2.5
1.10
Away +2.5
6.80
Home -0.75
6.60
Away -0.75
1.11
Home -0.5
5.00
Away -0.5
1.17
Home -0.25
3.90
Away -0.25
1.24
Home +0
2.85
Away +0
1.40
Home +0.25
1.85
Away +0.25
1.95
Home +0.5
1.52
Away +0.5
2.42
Home +0.75
1.35
Away +0.75
3.10
Home +1
1.14
Away +1
5.75
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home/Draw
1.91
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.12
Home/Draw
1.53
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.14
1:0
11.00
2:0
23.00
2:1
17.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
41.00
3:2
51.00
4:0
126.00
4:1
101.00
0:0
7.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
19.00
0:1
6.00
0:2
7.50
0:3
13.00
1:2
9.50
1:3
17.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
29.00
1:4
34.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
126.00
0:5
51.00
0:6
126.00
1:5
67.00
1:6
151.00
2:5
126.00
3:4
151.00
1:0
6.50
2:0
29.00
2:1
41.00
3:0
101.00
3:1
126.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
3.60
0:2
9.50
0:3
34.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
4.50
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
7.50
Draw/Home
9.50
Away/Home
41.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
2.75
Home
3.50
Away
1.28
Home/Yes
11.00
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
4.75
Home/No
8.00
Draw/No
7.50
Away/No
2.62
o/yes 2.5
2.88
o/no 2.5
8.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.00
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.00
1
4.00
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
7.50
5
15.00
6
34.00
more 7
21.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.25
1
2.62
2
4.00
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.85
Over 1.75
1.50
Under 1.75
2.50
Over 2.25
2.00
Under 2.25
1.80
Over 2.5
2.30
Under 2.5
1.60
Over 2.75
2.68
Under 2.75
1.45
Over 3.5
4.10
Under 3.5
1.23
Over 1
1.12
Under 1
6.25
Over 2
1.68
Under 2
2.15
Over 3
3.45
Under 3
1.30
Over 0.75
1.10
Under 0.75
7.00
Over 1.25
1.26
Under 1.25
3.70
Over 3.25
3.70
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
5.50
Under 3.75
1.15
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.25
Under 1.75
1.21
Over 1
2.10
Under 1
1.70
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.70
Under 0.75
2.10
Over 1.25
2.68
Under 1.25
1.45
Home -1
11.00
Away -1
1.12
Draw -1
6.00
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
15.00
Away -2
1.03
Home +1
1.91
Draw +1
3.50
Away +1
3.10
Home +2
1.30
Draw +2
5.00
Away +2
6.50
Home +3
1.08
Draw +3
10.00
Away +3
17.00
Home -1
21.00
Away -1
1.14
Draw -1
5.50
Home +1
1.53
Draw +1
3.20
Away +1
7.00
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
9.00
Away +2
26.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
29.00
Away +3
67.00
Over 1.5
4.50
Under 1.5
1.17
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.03
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.00
Over 0.5
1.73
Under 0.5
2.00
0
2.00
1
2.50
2
6.00
more 3
10.00
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
8.50
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 4.5
15.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 5.5
21.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
4.00
1
2.75
2
3.60
more 3
4.33
Home
8.00
Away
2.62
Home
21.00
Away
5.50
Home
2.75
Away
1.44
Home
21.00
Away
10.00
Home
2.88
Draw
7.00
Away
1.62
Home
2.88
Draw
7.00
Away
1.62
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
8.00
Away
3.25
Home/Over 2.5
9.50
Draw/Over 2.5
17.00
Away/Over 2.5
3.20
Home/Under 2.5
8.50
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
3.50
1 by 1
6.00
2 by 1
3.50
1 by 4+
101.00
1 by 2
15.00
2 by 2
5.00
1 by 3
41.00
2 by 3
10.00
2 by 4+
17.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
7.00
Draw
2.50
1st Half
3.25
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Draw
1.73
1st Half
4.33
2nd Half
3.25
Odd
2.38
Even
1.53
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
6.00
Home/Over 1.5
17.00
Home/Under 1.5
6.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.50
Away/Under 1.5
3.60
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Sabadell
|
28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 36:15 | +21 | 51 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Atlético Madrid II
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | +15 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 3. |
Europa Fc
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 43:30 | +13 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 4. |
Eldense
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 38:28 | +10 | 47 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 5. |
Teruel
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 42 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 6. |
Villarreal II
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 37:25 | +12 | 41 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 7. |
Antequera
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 33:31 | +2 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 8. |
Hércules
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 32:30 | +2 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 9. |
FC Cartagena
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 40 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 10. |
Ibiza
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:25 | +5 | 38 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 11. |
Algeciras
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 12. |
Alcorcon
|
28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 25:24 | +1 | 37 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 13. |
Juventud Torremolinos
|
28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 36:37 | -1 | 36 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 14. |
Tarazona
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 34 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 15. |
Gimnastic
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 16. |
Real Murcia
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 17. |
Sanluqueño
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 18. |
Marbella
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 21:35 | -14 | 25 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 19. |
Real Betis II
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 20. |
Sevilla Atletico
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 15:29 | -14 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Sanluqueño
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 24
GA: 37
GD: -13
Eldense
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 34
GA: 27
GD: +7
Last 5 Matches
06 Mar
A
Real Murcia
1-0
W
07 Mar
H
Gimnastic
4-1
W
04 Mar
A
Villarreal II
0-2
L